Quote:
Originally Posted by Jas_lov
I usually use the rcp average, but those can be misleading as well in these states that haven't been polled more than once or twice recently and go back all the way to December.
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The RCP average with
fresh polling data is extremely accurate, and always has been.
They nailed the 2004 presidential election.
Here are the RCP updated states, with fresh polling data:
Alabama - Clinton +1%
Tennessee - Clinton +17%
Illinois - Obama +28%
Massachusetts - Clinton +17%
New Jersey - Clinton +10%
New York - Clinton +21%
Connecticut - Clinton +3%
Missouri - Clinton +12%
Georgia - Obama +8%
California - Clinton +11%
Right now, it appears that Obama will add Illinois and Georgia to his South Carolina victory, with a decent shot at Alabama and Connecticut.