Quote:
Originally Posted by Vinatieri for Prez
No, it's not over if Hillary wins S.C. because John Edwards will drop out and potentially all his supporters will go to Obama. This thing is going to Super Tuesday, and perhaps beyond.
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Yeah, but don't you think it would be a pretty big blow if Obama loses another huge lead to Hillary, the comeback kid. She'd have beaten him 3/4 states and would have all the momentum. There'd still be plenty of chances to get delegates, but let's look at the Super Tuesday states:
Alaska
Alabama
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Utah
How many of these states do you actually see Obama beating Hillary? Illinois for sure, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee? Mass. with Kerry's help?
Hillary picks up New York for sure, California is likely and it's for 441 delegates but I think it's proportional so Obama can minimize the damage, N.J., Arkansas, Utah, New Mexico, and a lot of these states probably have closed primary systems that will hurt Obama.