It also came out today that the RNC audit showed that Steele's folks are spending $1.09 in costs for every $1.00 they raise from big dollar donors.

Maybe it's the return part of a handshake deal for the GOP basically convincing the Dems in 2004 that John Kerry was a good idea

SI

That's a slightly worse ratio than the federal government, if you replace big dollar donars with taxpayers. (regardless of the party running it).

Political parties are so backwards. The natural reaction to this seems to be the Democrats bringing it up, and the Republicans defending it/minimizing it.

But if someone's a Republican, why doesn't this nonsense piss them off and encourage them to jump ship? Why would you want to donate money to a group like this?

The Daily Show was merciless on them for that exact reason during this actual event. Well worth checking out.

Dems, GOP spend two-thirds of budget on parties, ‘pampered adventures’

Where exactly are they going to go? Vote 3rd party? :lol: :lol: :lol: :(

Why not? Neither of these parties will ever see a dime from me. My one vote for an independent/third party won't change any elections, but my one vote for any established candidate isn't going to turn an election either.

I did small donor fundraising one summer and left when I found out how little actually went to the campaign. I would never give a penny to any national political organization.

I don't suppose there's more to that story to share? I'm not asking about the candidate you worked for or anything but what you found out about political fundraising

SI

I voted 3rd party in the last election as well. However my uneducated mind believes that people in this country are more likely to vote AGAINST a candidate/party than FOR a candidate/party so voting 3rd party will have that "wasted vote" stigma for the forseeable future.

It was with the DNC when McAuliffe was still in charge. We had a meeting where we were discouraged from spending any time on donations under 100$ except for getting emails. I don't recall the exact percentage, but it was something close to 90% of the money we raised went back into our operation. The whole point wasn't to get instant donations, but to get contact info where people could be pressured for larger donations. All of the people who were thrilled to be able to give ten or twenty bucks because they wanted Bush out of office weren't helping at all.

I found the info and the attitude of the people running the operation disgusting. It was nothing but a long-term shakedown.

that's fucking gross

:+1: :mad:

Gallup poll shows that party affiliation numbers are nearly back to even again, mostly due to a large independent swing back towards the Republicans in the past 1 1/2 years........

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127499/Pa..._term=Politics

But will you still argue that pollsters should use party ID numbers from the previous election?

Most use projections based on polls such as this one, do they not? I believe I've made the argument that party turnout should use the previous election numbers. This poll backs up that assertion, since it shows that Dem/Rep party numbers remain unchanged. The change occurs in independents, not party voters. The middle voters are where you have to use more current assessments in the polls.

Lacking a better place to post it, I'll just throw this in here since there's certainly an element of catch-all political to the thread. It's a great quote I saw over the weekend from an upstart candidate for Georgia governor but I believe there's at least some part of it that's applicable to conversations about third party candidates at the federal level.


That very simple factor probably shouldn't be overlooked when assessing the hopes of any third party candidate at any level.

Definitely. See 1992, for instance.

General agreement amongst economists that stimulus package had no impact on economy..........

Economists say the stimulus didn't help - Apr. 26, 2010

Please read and resubmit your post.

I read the entire thing. It was very clear what the article was reporting.

Just because two words start with e doesn't mean they are the same word.

I guess I shouldn't act surprised that you're looking for any way to distract from the discussion in the article.

This trend seems to be going the exact opposite way that Obama and the Democrats need it to go. Less energized young voters is a BAD sign for November.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127526/Yo...ting-Year.aspx

Funny that I'm trying to point out what the article actually says while you're saying something not in the article, but I'm the one trying to distract.

Good follow up post to the article I cited. No mention of stimulus anywhere in that article, which is a big indicator of just how disappointing it has been. They cite the disappointing unemployment rate despite the growth in the economy. It's a shame we had to spend $787B of taxpayer money to find out that stimulus packages don't work.

Fair enough. I guess it's more important to win a nit-picking argument than to discuss the poor decision-making of our leaders. It doesn't save any money, while billions were wasted on the other end.

Does having Rush Limbaugh's hand up your ass all the time hurt?

I don't think anyone is questioning what these economists are noting. Tossing a bunch of money at something is going to make something happen, but in the end as noted in that article, it would have happened anyway. Under the most optimistic of assessments, it allowed the recovery to begin a month or two early. That's not worth putting the country $787B further in debt IMO. Perhaps you think it's OK, but I don't. We didn't achieve anything that couldn't have been done without the massive spending.

The stimulus did exactly what was expected, it raised GDP by 3 to 4% in the last two quarters of 2009. Employment hasn't picked up, but you have a difficult argument saying it would have been better with 3 to 4% lower growth.

And for the one gajillionith time, it wasn't all spending, nearly 40% was in tax cuts and out of the spending less than half was spent last year. Of course those facts are probably also a distraction.

JPhillips and his dirty Jedi mind tricks.

Do you have an opinion on the subject or are you just looking to pigeonhole anyone who has a fiscally conservative viewpoint? I'm not a fan of Limbaugh at all, but don't let that stop you. You may find the huge debt that we're in to be amusing, but I don't in any way.

The two of you should get your story straight.

I think he's just looking to pigeonhole you, MBBF.

It doesn't matter how it's added up. Whether it's spending or tax cuts, it's increasing our debt at a time when that's the last thing we need to do.

It's true. I'm a pigeonholer. It's not something I'm proud of.

Those two statements are not mutually exclusive in any way.

If we want to save serious money, pull out of a couple wars, bring home the many many people in the services who are stationed in foreign lands, and cut defense spending.

It's an unfortunate situation. I can see how someone would look to make jokes about the situation to avoid the real issues facing the country. I'm not one of those. It's embarrassing that we continue to excuse the poor leadership of our country over the last few years.

Kodos, he was against all of those things too! He just never said it.

So now you're for allowing all the Bush tax cuts to expire?

You'll have to talk to the guy who was going to make those 'changes'. I certainly don't disagree as long as it's done responsibly.

Few years? We haven't had a good leader since the 90s.

Somebody's going to have to yank this economy back out of the mess it's in. If the politicians refuse to do it, I guess the taxpayers are going to be required to pay for the stupidity of the politicians currently in office. It's a sad situation.

There's a separate thread for that. We're talking about the current lousy 'leaders' in this thread.

Well, ignoring the messenger for a moment, for the low low price of say 700 billion dollars I could have fixed the unemployment rate for you, I'm sure at the low price of say, a million per job, I can create 700,000 jobs. I'm sure that could trigger a recovery.

What we spent for the limited results is the problem. Stimulus was a pork bill, it fed certain fat cats well, and a lot of people a lil bit. Meanwhile the debt will linger for a long while (or we have an inflation boom, there are no other alternatives, and at certain levels of debt you only have the option of the inflation boom).

I know this is the 'rah rah Obama' and 'bash Obama' thread, but liberals and conservatives alike need to use their heads and look at this garbage that all of our leaders are doing.

Well, ignoring the messenger for a moment, this is exactly what I've posted on several occasions in this thread. It's called common sense whether some want to believe it or not.

And again, 700 billion wasn't spent.

Okay, prorate the results for what was spent if you want to get technical... the point is the amount spent for the results gained is garbage.

At this point I think the spending is around 300 billion with the tax cuts around 200. Yes, it's still a lot of money, but the whole "we spent 700 billion and all I got was this lousy t-shirt" bit isn't close to accurate.

Alright, we'll use your numbers. $500B is a lot of money to waste to most people. I'm surprised you're able to downplay the waste of that amount so easily.

It's not all waste by any means. The direct aid to states and the extension of benefits not only saved jobs and helped people in need, but they also generate more economic activity than anything else in the stimulus. The spending on other projects was too little and not targeted enough at job production, but it's not like none of that money was beneficial. The tax cuts were the worst bang for the buck, but that was the only way to get anything passed.

Again, while I won't defend every aspect of the stimulus, it did what was expected by generating three or four points of GDP growth. Without it we almost certainly would have higher unemployment and more forecasts for the year ahead. Given that a few hundred billion of the deficit is from declining tax receipts, some of the money spent would have been lost without a stimulus.

I think you're confusing the projections by Democrats before the bill was signed with what actually happened. I don't think I need to repost that graph. And 'certainly' is far from provable in this instance. The projections were way off and the results are inconclusive at best.

As is saying the whole endeavor was a waste.

Absolutely. Could you point out a few examples of where you felt that the dollars were well spent? I personally saw nothing but waste in all the projects listed in my home state, but perhaps Texas had some spending that you thought was worthy of praise.

For starters:

• Increased funding for Head Start programs
• Technology updates for Job Corps sites
• Funding for infrastructure needs for over 500 school districts
• Grants for Border Patrol vehicles

Not to mention the $20-25 billion in tax cuts and credits from the stimulus package that will stay in the state.

It is damn near impossible for you to say with any level of believability that every single fund spent for your state was nothing but waste.

Good Lord. Doom and gloom. I guess it's too much for our government to ask people to take pay cuts or have a reduction in work force. The money isn't there. You haven't improved the economy any by 'saving' those jobs. A good leader would take the bull by the horns and run things like a business, not welfare. I work for the government as a contractor. I personally think it's laughable that contracting jobs like mine haven't been removed in favor of government workers. It's just more political games that create a need where there really isn't one. Another way to shove money around the system.

Yeah, but that wouldn't have accomplished the primary goal: buying votes.

Tell me how employment would be better or even the same with 3 to 4% lower GDP growth.

Just because projections were wrong doesn't mean the stimulus is ineffective.

Think of it this way.. at least we're not as bad off politically as the Ukraine Parliament, which today dissolved into chaos with smoke bombs going off and eggs being thrown..

How to be a successful Ukrainian politician - Boston.com

So that's why all the hot Ukranian women I was looking at on hotrussianbrides.com last night want to get out of there!!!

No, a stupid leader would try to run the government like a business. They would get frustrated because a corporate decision-making structure is nothing like the government structure. There is separation of powers and walls created to prevent any single person or entity from wielding too much power in the government.

I have no doubt that printing hundreds of billions of dollars of funny money improves short-term numbers, or even that an efficient, targeted stimulus could have made a lot of sense.

But the "jobs created" nonsense requires a lot of questionable math. I think that chart has been posted here, but when the white house claims "2.8 million jobs saved or created", all they've done is slash the number of "expected jobs without stimulus", a number which keeps changing downward every time numbers are thrown out.

(For example, last year, the white house contended that without the stimulus, there would be apprx 134 million jobs. As it turns out, there's only 129 million jobs now. So to make the "saved jobs" argument, they change that 134 estimate to 127. It's not very convincing).

I'm sure some jobs have been created. I'm sure if we throw another couple hundred billion at states a few more will be "created/saved." Why not make it a hundred trillion - that would wipe out unemployment altogether, and poverty while we're at it!

Give 'em time, it takes a while to redistribute that much money.

I've been pretty consistent that measuring jobs created is a fool's errand. GDP growth is much more measurable and a more realistic gauge of the stimulus.

I guess I'm just a cold hearted fiscal conservative.... of course I should have seen that the 3-4% increase in GDP (a gamed statistic that is inflated by stock market gains as well...) is much more important than a paltry thing such as nearly 10% unemployment (a gamed statistic that is much lower than what the average man would consider unemployment).

Hell, you give me $100 billion and I would have outperformed Uncle Sam at whatever level you will admit was spent. Even if all I did was turn around and throw it into an unemployment benefits program... zero creativity necessary to do that.

I'm not saying every piece of the stimulus is bad (like some hardliners may), I've posted elsewhere on the value of unemployment payments over tax cuts, of infrastructure investment over subsidies, and so on. What I'm saying is for the bajillion dollars I'm not seeing all that much gain. You give me that kind of lever and I'd have moved some statistics in a noticeable way.

Hell in another thread I'm promoting a full public option which would be liberal heaven, but in this thread I'm throwing down the 'stimulus was crap' guantlet and I'm not gonna say it was good just to be a cheerleader for Obama. Democrats have been passing some really Republican-like shit lately, and its pissin me off! Same for the Republicans... its like they've agreed to put together the two most evil portions of their policies together to screw us all in the butt (government spendocracy + vote buying tax cuts + massive bureacracies that do nothing).

Believe me or not I guess... one thing to mention, besides the names of the line items, just look at the amounts and then track down particular results. If you would think for the amounts they spend they should expect what they actually got, then I guess I'll never convince you. Maybe I don't see the benefit of construction contracts where the amount paid is far more then the amount anyone could possibly spend on materials and labor (or maybe inflation really has hit)... or handouts to supposedly slow job loss and the budgets are still millions or billions in the hole and doing further cuts. There is some damn huge corruption going on here, and that is why I claim my million dollars per job estimate would actually be better results than what we got.

Hell, most businesses are happy if they can get 200-300K total revenue per average employee (this is a basic stat you can use when evaluating growth stocks). Where is the money going? Why are we going to have depressed employment for 5 years? This is stupid and its broken, I don't care whether it is a Republican or a Democrat giving the speeches.

Because we've got more people than we have jobs for them, and in an increasingly automated and/or sophisticated work environment that's going to be a given. We've had that for years but we refused to make sound business decisions for so long that warranted cuts weren't made until things got really tight & then they came in a bunch.

Some of those jobs will come back (theoretically at least), if only to make life a little easier for those who remained on the job, but many of them won't ... because there simply isn't a valid fiscal reason for them to.

Ford reporting 2.1 Billion Profit, and many are pointing at info like this that things are recovering:

BBC News - Ford Motors quarterly profits hit a six-year high

But the package you describe would have never passed through Congress. I've said repeatedly I'm not defending every aspect of this bill, for example I would have liked to see a civilian corps created to paint and repair public schools. I am saying that any discussion of the stimulus should be based on facts and not just catchy slogans.

The stimulus was not 700 billion in spending.

The government didn't spend 787 billion on stimulus last year.

The stimulus did boost GDP by 3 to 4% based on economists of every political persuasion.

I think unemployment is a much bigger issue than does Obama and I can't understand why they aren't trying to do something about employment when their own projections look so rough over the next few years. However, just because I don't think the stimulus was as effective as it could have been it doesn't mean it had no effect at all.

WTF?

That's fucking ridiculous. No way that stands up in the courts, no matter how far up they have to take it. I'd also go about it from another direction and if I was a patient get any doctor that lied to me like that's medical license revoked for unethical conduct.

But didn't you know the GOP is for tort reform? This fits perfectly... Next, you'll have to produce proof that you are a citizen and be forced to watch the entire procedure, without anesthesia, and officially name the fertilized egg for the birth and death certificates.

This commericial seems like a really bad idea. No I don't think they are really going to come and do me harm but I can't imagine what they were thinking when they made this ad and or when a supervisor approved it. It's almost like they hope to piss people off and I don't really think it should be government's role to try and agitate people. Maybe it's all in good fun and I don't get the joke? :confused:

Yeah, that's a really bad ad. That stuff should be used for DUI ads and stuff like that. Not for people having trouble paying their taxes.

I wouldn't have done the ad in that fashion, but it doesn't seem any more harsh than deadbeat dad ads.

I just think this is exactly the type of thing that gets the tea party people up in arms. They don't think they should have to pay taxes, they think the government is recording their every move, and some of them are expecting a war with the government. Doesn't this play into their hands completely? If so, why make the ad? Seems like agitiation would be the only motive. I can't imagine there is any tax cheat sitting around watching this commericial and deciding to pay now. The ad could have had a completely different spin and maybe gotten someone to decide it's worth the amnesty.

As I said, I would have done it differently. I'm not sure, though, that we should be worried about the delicate sensibilities of tax cheats. You can argue all you want about tax rates, but at the end of the day not paying fucks over everyone in the state that does pay.

My guess, and it's only a guess, is that the ad is aimed at high end tax cheats that have a lot to lose by being run through the court system. I don't know if it would be effective, but I doubt it's aimed at the anti-tax zealots in he first place.

Nobody likes criminals.

For the love of God. Lieberman I understand, but Schumer shouldn't be such a dumbass.

Senator McCarthy is dancing in his grave...

Apparently Schumer isn't as much of a dumbass.

Fixed that for you.

Strip citizenship? No need. Just hang them for treason.

Congress can't strip citizenship from a person involuntarily. It's just political posturing and it apparently has worked on a few of you.

So McCain can't access the internet and Obama's can't play a video game or use a touch interface......

AFP: Obama bemoans 'diversions' of IPod, Xbox era

"With iPods and iPads and Xboxes and PlayStations, -- none of which I know how to work -- information becomes a distraction, a diversion, a form of entertainment, rather than a tool of empowerment, rather than the means of emancipation," Obama said.

I agree. It would have done us alot of good to strip Richard Jewell of his citizenship and hang him.

Good choice of argument. Seriously...what the hell is it that? Guy was innocent and found to be so.

If someone goes to trial, is found guilty of sending money/aid to a member of Al-Qaeda or any like terrorist network, they should be put to death for treason.

And the discussion in the thread was about someone who hasn't been found guilty yet. Yet people want to strip him of his citizenship and/or hang him.

I'm just saying it's a good thing we didn't do that to Jewell.

I certainly don't believe the state department should be allowed to do anything just because but we've reached the point where the govenment has decided it has the right to do anything it deems needed on just about anything.

Why was The Chris Matthews Show and Fareed Zakaria's GPS left out?

Kagan is the SCOTUS nominee. Good choice. It will be hard for the Republicans to oppose her.

I liked Stevens comments on how it is inappropriate to try and determine exactly how a justice will rule. Yet I'm sure we will get more of that this time around.

Have you been in a coma for the past 18 months?

What have we come to where Jabba the Hut suddenly is a viable nominee? I only agree with the decision if Princess Leia is chained to the Supreme Court bench in a gold bikini. Otherwise, filibuster.

Preemptive post:

Any other thread this would be funny to everyone. (Of coruse it is to me!) This thread will get ugly (pun intended) we will hear about Janet Reno and how Sarah Palin is all looks and no substance. Its politics guys none of these people give two shits about you. Lighten up. (Crosses fingers and hopes Bollea doesn't have to climb into his ivory tower for this one)

I just want to see Princess Leia become an established part of our judicial system. I think that would indicate true 'change' for the better.

You basically beat me to it. Although I'll concede that he probably meant "oppose with a to-the-death-filibuster" a great deal more than simply "oppose".

On a more serious note, I should mention that I support what appears to be Obama's move to even out the female/male ratio on the Supreme Court. Honestly, I think that there should be five women and four men. We'll see if that ever happens in my lifetime (which should hopefully last another 40-50 years).

Big surprise.

Demographically I'm pleased about the inclusion of a non-federal court judge to the mix. On the other hand, the appointment will leave the court without a single Protestant, a rather glaring omission for the most common denomination in the US.

I assumed that's what Larry meant as well.


Well, you could always throw your support behind my preferred nominee, Diane Wood. :D