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Political media gotta spin that narrative somehow. Because nobody has the attention span to grasp that a 50.1-49.9 race in EITHER direction in a district that's been anywhere from double-digit Republican to "strongman plebescite" territory since the turn of the millennium might be another canary in the coal mine. Nope. It's gotta get painted as a Significant Victory for whoever wins despite the context. |
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This district was Trump +19.5. Lamb will be running in November in a Trump +2.6 district. |
Family of slain Democratic staffer Seth Rich sues Fox News - Mar. 14, 2018
Hope they get a big settlement/award from the judge for this |
Let us all mourn for the thousands of "Lamb wasn't progressive enough" hot taeks from deluded Berniebros and Stein idiots that will now never see the light of day.
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Well Rand Paul is squeaking again about the CIA nominee and her connection to torture. Just be quiet and he'll fall in line.
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The new top economic adviser wrote this. Look at the date.
https://www.nationalreview.com/blog/...-larry-kudlow/ |
You should find some of the shit he was peddling during The Obama years.
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Trump has certainly changed the US Presidency for the foreseeable future.
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Mueller subpoenas the Trump Organization.
About Russia. |
This seems like a waste of time. I mean, no one up to collusion or other shenanigans would actually use their Trump.org e-mail address for anything.
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You do this on the first day of the NCAA's Mueller? How are we supposed to keep up with this news? :) |
There's a level of poetry of Ides of March and this leaking today that's probably lost on everyone in the Trump administration but Kelly.
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Vanessa Trump becomes the next member of the Trump administration to quit
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I get the joke, but this is about more than the election. This will open up all the financial connections between Trump and Russians. |
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You give them too much credit. |
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wonder how much the "white powder scare" and being married to a Trump with all the scandals and turmoil played a part in this? Just hope there's not a "Stormy Daniels" involved. |
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I'd watch a Vanessa Trump/Stormy Daniels video. |
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Going to beat McMaster by a nose, it seems. |
I really hope John Bolton isn't McMaster's replacement. I think Sessions and McMaster are the next to go.
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Bolton would be an interesting choice considering that Trump was looking to talk with the North Koreans. Bolton’s persona non grata over there due to insulting the last Kim.
Guy is scum all around so it would be no surprise if he ended up in Trump’s cabinet. Supposedly, the only reason he isn’t already is that Trump doesn’t like his mustache. |
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I'm sure there's a Donald jr. Pee tape somewhere. |
I'm sure Trump was briefed on this prior to its release. Cyber-warfare seems like a logical extension of the information age. If real, its so hard to understand Trump's affinity for Putin.
https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/15/polit...rid/index.html Quote:
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I'm starting to get the feeling that Russia is not our friend...
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So I never really pay attention to the incumbent party during the primaries but can people run against the sitting president for the nomination? This has to happen in 2020 right?
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Yes, it can happen. In both 1980, when Kennedy challenged Carter, and 1992, when Buchanan challenged Bush1, the split in the party from the primary contributed to their losses. I don't know if there's been a credible primary opponent for an incumbent that won the general election. |
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This is no shock at all. From June 2017. Great article by the way. Straight up Russian blueprint. "How an Entire Nation Became Russia's Test Lab For Cyberwar" https://www.wired.com/story/russian-...ttack-ukraine/ |
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IMO, Kasich has been planning to primary Trump since the end of the 2016 primary. He never bowed, never backed down, has been exceptionally vocal as the anti-Trump Republican voice. I guarantee he will be one of them. |
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Jeff Flake (from Arizona) was in New Hampshire yesterday "for the weather." So he's probably going to have some challengers for the nomination. He beat them all for it last time though, so remains to be seen if there are enough Republican/independent voters out there fed up enough with Trump to push him out the door. |
Here's my Trump 2020 scenario (that does not involve voter suppression or Russian hacking):
Dems nominate a moderate candidate Flake or Kasich run as a 3rd party Trump runs The Flake/Kasich candidate siphons off the anti-Trump Republicans. Trump's base stays with him. Trump ends up winning a lot of states with, like, a 45% GOP / 43% DEM / 12% THIRD PARTY split. |
Trump consistently polls at @80% GOP approval. That can change between now and the primary, but I'd expect Trump to win the nomination easily. A third party run is a much bigger threat.
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It would be really interesting to see what happens, but I don't see 57% of states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida voting for Trump and a "true conservative." |
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Fair point. Those numbers are probably pretty far off. But I do think that the general approach holds. President Trump's floor and ceiling are very close. His base will vote for him; no one else will.If you were a 2016 Trump voter, you have to be excited about what he's done. But I don't see much reaching out beyond that. So, for a Dem to win, they have to get above that baseline. And a 3rd party running as an anti-Trump seems likely to cut into the vote needed to do that. |
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Like digamma, I think your scenario has a lot of merit up until the end. If there is a credible "Moderate" (Kasich) or Conservative (Flake) R that runs as a 3rd party, which could realistically happen, any decent Democratic candidate gets >400 electoral votes. |
The difference is a reelect is a referendum on the incumbent and the opposition candidate doesn't matter as much. If Trump is still around 40% approval it's very unlikely he can win.
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fixed |
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And a large reason why the remain the biggest threat to us as a country. China may be 1a but no one else is in the conversation as far as threats go. |
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Off the top of my head, and this going back a ways, Franklin Pierce lost the nomination to Buchanan who then won the election in 1856. There might have been 1 or 2 more in the 1800s, but not since. |
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Does Robert Kennedy count? |
Ted Kennedy took a pretty good shot at Carter in 1980.
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Why is stuff like power plants on the normal grid anyway, and not some hardened, no connections outside of the nation network anyway? |
Someone might run but I don't think it matters. Trump is the Republican Party. If anything I think he made their goals more defined.
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When they were built, that wasn't a worry. Now, it takes $$$ to upgrade/fix, and the folks in charge of the government right now don't exactly want to raise the taxes to undertake such a project. There's a similar problem with our physical infrastructure, something I agree with Trump on, but that effort also seems dead in the weeds. Taxes are bad...especially so in an election year. Plus, these are projects that are better suited, politically, when we are in a recession, where they can be used to stimulate job growth. Of course, that would require whoever's in charge at the time to push for it. It would also make sense to raise taxes now, while the economy is good, so that money is available later to be used on projects like this. |
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I was thinking about an incumbent that had a real challenge in the primary that then went on to win the general. |
Looks like Andrew McCabe won't be collecting his pension without a legal fight.
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But he will be collecting a hell of a check for his tell all book.
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Sessions firing someone for "lack of candor while under oath" is a pot and kettle situation.
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This stuff is coming to a head, I think we will see some real action leading up to the 60 minutes interview. I hope everyone stays out of harms way until the dust settles but something tells me I shouldn't expect that. It's crazy that I think it is entirely feasible that people could die as a result of their involvement with this because I don't know how desperate Trump can get, but I do know how untouchable he thinks he is and how poorly guided he is.
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wont matter, gop has no backbone. and ive been wrong about the bottom on this one too often to guess again.
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wow put that on playback on every Fox news channel twitter.
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A couple of Democratic congressmen are offering McCabe a job so he can get his full pension. Apparently he only has to work a day.
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That's what imo is the real problem with a guy like Trump: He makes everything personal and actively seeks to hurt people as much as he can. Not just fire a guy, but fire him a day short of his pension and personally attack him. And he doesn't seem to grasp at all that people in the public agencies are not his employees but civil servants. There's a difference and he doesn't get it. |
So this is what set off Trump's latest tweet storm:
Mueller gives Trump's legal team questions for potential interview: report | TheHill |
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Just to clarify, make someone else fire a guy. He's too much of a pussy to do it himself. |
dola
I'm sure this is just an odd coincidence. Quote:
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While I agree with the complete double standard on the Fox clips, and think Trump is a disaster in general, note that Obama said he would talk/meet, Trump said he is meeting, so there is something to crow about.
It may well be that Kim agreed to meet with Trump as he thinks he is far more likely to be able to get what he wants through Trump than with Obama, but until the meet actually happens and Trump announces that the US has become the junior partner in the new Kormerica, Trump definitely has a ‘win’ to claim. |
Until it happens it can't be a win, not if you say it can't be a loss either.
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Rambling thoughts this morning.
Hillary is starting (continuing?) to sound like a sore loser now. She should just fade away gracefully or play behind the scenes as the grand dame. I think the odds of Mueller being fired has increased. Looking forward to the Mueller vs Trump escalation. I'm still thinking no collusion between Trump and Russians but can easily believe collusion with Trump's team and Russians. No specific details on what/how McCabe mislead but he was probably wrong. I like a response from a talking head this morning (paraphrased) ... "the firing may have merit but its not without taint". If I was Rex, I would be glad the attention wasn't on me all week. |
Trump seems to be getting really worried about the Mueller investigation.
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Agreed. She's doing more harm than good. Needs to bow out gracefully; her time is done. Quote:
Mueller can only be fired by Rosenstein since Sessions recused himself. Rosenstein would have to be fired first by Sessions and they'd have to replace him with someone that had to be approved by the Senate. Senate wants the investigation to continue. Whether Trump himself colluded isn't really the issue anymore. The evidence is piling up that he's obstructing justice. Honestly, for his own sake, he should throw everybody that he thinks colluded under the bus and move on. Continuing to tweet like he is won't help him. Quote:
It's typical Trump. Quote:
Yep |
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I'm thinking not about collusion. I figure its more about Mueller getting into his and family's business. There are likely some embarrassing things there. |
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I agree, but I don't think collusion is what Mueller is going to hiit him with. On a side note, keep in mind that Trump can also fire Mueller by firing Sessions and replacing him with someone that doesn't need to recuse himself. |
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I think he'll definitely go down for tax evasion without a doubt - collusion I wouldn't be surprised if it happened, but proving it will be far harder than catching him for dodgy business practices .. |
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Shocking. House Intel Republican says panel did not investigate collusion | TheHill Quote:
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Just digging his hole deeper
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I expect the report on collusion will be blistering, but much, maybe all of it won't be illegal, so Mueller will put them in jail through perjury and financial crimes. That way he doesn't have to hope the GOP congress will take action for what are political crimes. |
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No love for the re-election of President Putin? 73.9% is impressive.
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Numerous. Incredibly numerous. |
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Not really, not with the state of the russian “democracy“. Even without going into this (plenty of hidden camera vids out there showing officials stuffing ballot boxes with bogus votes and such, not to mention more systematic fraud), this is essentially like a US vote would go if you had just one major party with 90% of the media beholden to it and then a bunch of independent-like competitors in terms of ressources both financially and logistically. The communist party the biggest of those but that message isn't exactly inspiring the younger generation to vote. Most of the others a big portion of voters dont even have on their radar. I mean, victory was such a foregone conclusion that the main empasise towards the end was purely getting the voter participation up (which was down a decent amount even by the official numbers). |
I don't think US democracy works everywhere. FWIW, the % may be less but I think Putin would have won in a "fair" election anyway.
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Выборная Навка (@Gulay_Pole) | Twitter Twitter page of someone posting CCTV footage of people stuffing ballot boxes. |
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To be perfectly honest, not sure it works anywhere, US included. I won't claim a dictatorship is a better solution, but two party opposition politics is hardly a political utopia. |
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And the only possible threat(Navalny) arrested and deemed ineligible for the election. |
This will come as no surprise but Trump made senior staff sign NDA's to try to prevent them from leaking:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...ort/436778002/ |
Yeah, that doesn't seem enforceable.
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That I would have expected would be standard for any WH job surely? (in terms of revealing secrets about decisions etc.). |
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Those kinds of things would be covered by your security clearance. |
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That's what I would have thought. TBH, I think a NDA is appropriate. I would assume that does not cover any criminal activities. |
Seems like a big assumption to me.
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As far as I know Trump is the first President to require them. Freedom of Speech, protecting potential whistleblowers, etc is what I was thinking of here. |
If you can't inspire loyalty, force it.
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Details. I am sure if you asked Putin, he would tell you that all those things had no impact whatsoever on the election results.
#Don’tQuestionThePresidentialElections |
Not sure where to put this but wanted to record it for posterity sake.
If I was him, I would have said "sorry, bad joke" but the apology implies he really believed it. Weird. https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/19/polit...ent/index.html Quote:
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Pennsylvania Repub's strike out in their attempt to prevent the new congressional map from taking place:
Supreme Court denies GOP request to block new Pa. congressional map | TheHill |
The firm Trump campaign used in the 2016 election Cambridge Analytica for data gathering, caught on camera detailing some of the things it did to influence more than 200 elections around the world:
Cambridge Analytica CEO filmed talking about using bribes, sex workers in political work | TheHill |
Lots of stories breaking today:
Trump hiring former federal prosecutor who's argued FBI framed president | TheHill |
Ari Melber had Stormy Daniels attorney on again-Trump had to admit in lawsuit against Stormy that he was David Dennison-check out of msnbc for interview. And Fox covering the story less than "mainstream media" and her attorney has not received one request for an interview.
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Looks like Jr prefers cheating on his wife with a blonde with fake tits just as much as pops.
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The dung doesn't fall far from the donkey's asshole, or however that saying goes.
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Hiring 70-some year old Joe DiGenova is so pathetic. |
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/pol...gnancy-n857686
Again, none of this is about pregnancy, it is about sex. |
Gay sex is the real answer to unwanted pregnancies.
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Wasn't the Sermon on the Mount about female sexual purity?
That Jesus guy was always going on and on about sex. |
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The South prefers bestiality |
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WTF? Where did that come from? |
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The South will rise again... for pig sex. |
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Growing up in North Dakota, it was Montana where the men were men, and the sheep were scared. |
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