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Nice job not countering last night
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Not sure when I'll have time to look at votes to try and sniff out the third
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That sounds like a choking hazard. |
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I was worried that I had been sniffed out but it seemed worth it to wait in order to get the other read and I figured that after calling out the Brit nightkill they wouldn't go after Autumn. Was originally going to scan fontisian all day long because if I was right that she was village I was kicking around the idea of coming out today anyway and trying to put together a circle of trust. But then Shoveler fake revealed and I switched up. |
Felt pretty comfortable with Autumn after the way last night went down anyways, but never hurts to be sure
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Hopefully you won't need another scan.. but you should theoretically be able to get one if necessary and the martyr does their job
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We've still got one out there after tonight, right? Not going to mention in thread but have a fairly good idea who I am going to search. |
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Hah, I must've already had Shoveler lynched in my mind .. so yes you'll get another scan |
So, shoverler flips wolf or places path in the crosshairs. Vaimes action will tell us what we need to know there. Then it's find the 3rd stooge tomorrow? Or 2nd if tonight is a cluster. I need to finish reading the posts so far but grover and autumn are my 2 evil reads at the moment.
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May I ask you to expand on the read on me? |
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Seeking as how Autumn was scanned good and there is no cunning in this game, having Autumn as one of your evil reads is...curious. |
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He may be doing that for us. |
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:confused: Not sure if confused or evil. |
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Or not 100% sold on Path. I am 95% of the way there. I'll have my reads regardless in a few. |
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This makes me feel better about my shoveler vote. Could be a trap play but I read it as honest. |
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So both the claimed seers say that I scanned as good but you still have an evil read on me? I'll remember that when I'm simming Chicago's games... :) |
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Even without a scan, I think I've probably made the most pro-villager play in the game by pushing Raven as a lynch target when I could have put anybody in the crosshairs. It's quite a stretch to have me on your short list. |
Okay, now I caught up.
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lol, yep. I'm an idiot. Your play has so confused me I believe no one. Anyone have one of those handy cheat sheet thingy's on who has claimed what handy? |
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I'm good at stretching. I'd sit back and not post and wait for everything to play out but what good would that do? If I am confusing everyone then I can just bite my tongue. |
With path's read:
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Post away! The only biting around here should be by wolves. |
Feeling okay about timmae and JAG with their votes on day two. No way they sacrifice a wolf while another wolf makes a false claim. Now that is unless Shoveler comes back as the actual seer tonight.
Vaimes could still be a possible. Don't think font would vote Raven at that point yesterday to put him close to the lead and in danger. |
The above post can be thrown out the window if Shoveler ends up being the real seer; though I am inclined to believe path (if nothing more than to make me feel good about my initial Shoveler read).
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As of Post 824
Shoveler 7-Path(763), Font(765), Vaimes(766), JAG(771), Narcizo(773), Grover(783), EagleFan(784), Autumn(793), The Jackal(800) Autumn 1-Timmae(728) |
So... path reveals... but Shoveler still hasn't voted for him or acted at all like a true seer being countered would act...
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I'd think me telling you to go cool off when I was trying to shift the narrative on you would have helped you believe me as well. :) |
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Vaimes claimed Martyr but told town to ignore it. Shoveler claimed Red when he was gonna get lynched. I claimed Red the next day with evidence left in thread. Narcizo subsequently claimed Martyr. Vaimes has not fought him on that. That it? I think so. |
Anyone would think people don't read my posts. :(
Vaimes isn't the martyr - I am. Vaimes never seriously meant he was the martyr. Vaimes claiming martyr should not be interpreted in any way as him being bad. If anyone says that I'm going to come back from the dead and box their ears. I would like to change my suspicion list a bit. Most suspicious at the top this time: Grover Jag Jackal Timmae Vaimes Fonti So not actually a radical change to be honest I've just realised. Jag's vote on Raven was when it was fait accomplice. Jackal's votes have been pretty bogus but I've had a better vibe from Jackal than Jag. I feel very confident that font and Vaimes are village, particularly fonti. And that should be enough to see us win. |
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I had a slight evil read on D1 for the jokey posts about the redskins. I am fine with a lone vote but your reasoning re: redskins was weird. D2 you called out vaimes for lurking. Odd post. D3 has been better. Adjusting for recent reads you are slightly evil/neutral in my book. |
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I <3 Path |
More Redskin-related problems. Where does it end?
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I see zero chance that brit is NK day one if JAG is a wolf. JAG could have just as easily voted Autumn, it was still a question between them at that point.
With only three wolves it would be a ballsy move to vote one out when the other one had previously made a false claim as that makes it 9:2 (where we are at now) and could be sitting 8:1 after tonight with potentially 4 cleared villagers. Actually, I just talked myself into why I may want to dial back my view on JAG. He may be a worthy scan option tonight. Was JAG around much day one? |
Well I'm off to lose my pokeball to mean ole Team Rocket. Go Team Path!
I won't be around so I'll .... Vote Nightfall |
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JAG started a new job this week? so he has not been around much. If he wasn't around that could explain the N1 kill better. I wondered about him early but lately I've gone neutral. |
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Haha, I was using the Skins as a meta-excuse to vote for Jackal. He and I are good friends, so it was a nice little jab. Thanks for answering the question though, much appreciated. |
Wolf-Jag couldn't tie it up by voting Autumn. He might as well dance on a table performing the I-am-a-wolf dance.
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Let's also make clear that I'm not being completely honest with my feelings on people today because I would like my scan to live if my guess is wrong.
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we're on the up and up, damnit |
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Because a villager would never tie a vote... (ducks from the tomatoes being thrown) |
And I know my votes don't do much for me, and I could let someone else point it out, but if I was looking in as an outsider I find it very unlikely that all 3 wolves would have been on Autumn AND stayed on Autumn when that run on Raven started.
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Not to save someone else. |
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:) |
In any event, we're in great shape
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I don't know what to think of Grover - his votes are hidden but he qualified it by saying he would be out. Makes it harder to get reads when people aren't forced to move their vote around.
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Feel pretty good about JAG
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I'd probably scan Jag just because, well, then you get a cleared villager Jag which is a bonus in anyone's books. I still think Grover is teh wolf though.
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timmae prolly looking the most suspicious to me at the moment
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OK. My reads are as follows.
Good - EF (yeah! Let's throw tomatoes!), Autumn (99.9% likely since path and narc lying would equal victory for townies) Good to evil (based on content provided throughout game mainly): Font JAG Vaimes Grover Jackal |
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I also voted Shoveler before Raven and was the first to say I thought he was suspicious at the end of Day 1 before he was brought up as a candidate. I'm a little surprised to be next most distrusted by you. |
Now I really must go.
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That's interesting! Hey jackal! :lol:
I find the raven/shoveler/jackal around posts 520-550 weird. |
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Can you clarify? I just went back and read them and didn't see a whole lot. |
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I read back through to verify any instances in which Jag or Jackal interacted with team evil (and assumed team evil member shoveler) during the game. That page of threads was the jist of it I think. The sequencing between jackal/raven/shoveler posts was an interesting give and take. Jackal pushes raven's thought about me being inactive. Meanwhile shoveler is asking about jackals vote towards him. Jackal pushes more action towards me. Jackal backs off when CR pipes in. Then has an iffy reason on the shoveler vote (not much going on). Then when I vote autumn he places his vote there. In the span of 2 hours there were numerous thoughts/reactions from jackal but not much conviction to any of them. Just pinged me is all. |
Fair assessment - I was intentionally moving my vote around yesterday to see how other votes would follow, as I alluded to.
What do you mean though by, "Jackal pushes more action towards me" All I said was that I wanted to hear more from you, then that your line about not voting for you should be irrelevant. If that was a joke CR obviously saw it but to me I was being honest.. saying something like that before leaving just strikes me as being off. |
Honestly though I don't have a good read on whom the last wolf is, I'm happy to admit it. I haven't played my best game so if I need to be scanned/lynched that's fine, s'long as the village wins.
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Certainly not saying I won't continue to attempt to analyze, though!
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double negatives and all
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I'll prolly end up putting together a trust list with stabs at reasoning tomorrow once we presumably have one more scan.
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Though the way this week is going at work, not sure I'll have a ton of time during the day.. we'll see
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By action I meant notice I guess. Your posts: Quote:
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I was reading into the fact that you were casting the net wider in some cases (thoughts without direct reasoning or content to back it up) rather than being specific to what was pinging you about certain people. Essentially I read wolfies as casting a little bit of blame amongst the most amount of people while village tends to pick apart specific instances/content. I think to my detriment I often have a gut feel towards why I think someone is evil and I am not able to back it up with enough case study. I am hoping I am getting better at it though. These first few games have been more about posting my thoughts so I don't die with them more than anything. |
So Narc and I called out Grover, no response. Timmae said something, Grover asked for clarification, then just said thanks afterwards.
So Grover, do you have any thoughts on the remaining wolf? Anything you van point to that would make me feel better about you? |
Timmae - the meeting comment was about the actual meeting I was in at work, not us "meeting" - just in case you were interpreting it that way. I would rarely call WW banter useless. ;)
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And as someone who is having trouble deciding who the last person to target is, I appreciate the depth of your analysis on me. Now you don't necessarily have to believe me, but my vote jumping yesterday was intentional and trying to detect any shifts in the overall vote because of it, as well as gauging the reactions of the people I was voting for.
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Where was I called out? I must have missed this. I think it's Font. I'm still rubbed the wrong way by her aggressiveness toward EF. Other than that, I'm pretty certain we guessed right tonight. If we're wrong and Shoveler is innocent, I think we have to lynch path. If we're right, I want to focus on font tomorrow. |
I am curious why other people are reading font strongly as villager - haven't been able to make up my mind there.
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Let me put up the vote counts before I take a look see
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(thanks EF, updating with Narc reveal)
Day One Final Tally Cheekimonk 5-The Jackal(160), Raven(214), Chief Rum(226), Britrock(237), EagleFan(337) EagleFan 5-Fontisian(61), Vaimes(71), Shoveler(264), Path(318), Cheekimonk(333) Britrock 4- JAG(59), Narcizo(192), Autumn(260), Timmae(293) The Jackal 1-Grover(104) Day Two Final Tally Raven 6- Autumn(622), Vaimes(626), Fontisian(636), Path(638), Timmae(641), JAG(675) Autumn 4- The Jackal(546), Shoveler(579), Chief Rum(585), Raven(597) Shoveler 2-EagleFan(360), Narcizo(510) Timmae 1- Grover(530) |
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Not everyone has... :D |
In no particular order:
Font - Early vote on EF D1 that doesn't move, overtly aggressive towards him. The aggressiveness seems to strike others as unwolfy - in general I agree but I don't have a strong village read on Font. D2 Voted for Raven post-shoveler reveal as a drive-by at 9:32 (636) - didn't post again until 9:59 to say: Quote:
Again, I'm pretty neutral on font. Vaimes: Have talked at length about how the false claim bothered me, but without playing with Vaimes much it's fairly hard to make any reads based on it, learning as I go about other boards cultures. Another early vote on EF that wasn't moved, and the first to follow Autumn on to Raven. He didn't need to make that move, he was only the 2nd vote and it was early enough to wait for other candidates to be suggested if he's a wolf. Could have done it to buy trust in case Raven got momentum, but that vote elevates him slightly for me. Timmae: D1 doesn't say a lot to me, was more quiet than I've come to expect as mentioned by others, but everyone has a busy day now and then. D2 he is one of the latter people to move on to Raven - but that isn't indicative in itself as four people voted Raven within 15 posts. I tend to find it likeliest that a wolf teammate would bide their time and not jump on Raven right away, so this pushes timmae slightly down my trust list. JAG: Hasn't really pinged me, but I'm not an expert in reading him. Early D1 vote with no movement and the last to jump on Raven are not the best looking votes, but I'm neutral leaning good here. Grover: No real read. Two outlier votes which look bad but that we were told to expect if the votes went different ways. As I said before, without him having been forced to make a decision, it's tough to use his votes to look at. I know Grover pretty well but I have no idea what to expect from him in terms of how he plays this game. I didn't think he was the Angel in the Mars game. So, throwing knowing him aside - I don't think his posts have added much and he's been absent during critical periods where people were talking to each other. So I guess I'm pretty neutral here but thinking I can give him more time to make his mark. |
Here Grover:
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We'll know more about someone in a couple hours. Before I sink time into going back through more posts to see if I feel anything outside of vote analysis, I'll wait for the night results.
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Not as sold as Narc is, but she did have good votes on Shoveler and Raven yesterday. |
I actually feel like part of my neutral to good read on JAG is you guys getting in my head about it being unlikely that EF/Autumn (before knowing their allegiance) would approve of the brit NK. If that's the reasoning, JAG fits in that group too.
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If Grover ends up being the wolf, good on the 4 of you for making that switch and excellent villager play. |
(and obviously good target, autumn)
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Where has font been?
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Don't like Grover's two votes at all. A Raven/Shoveler/Grover WW team would be a relatively inexperienced FOFC WW team which could point to the day 1 NK.
Jackal is trying hard tonight, which could be helpful villager or a wolf trying to be a helpful villager. font has vanished today; potentially a wolf in hiding move. JAG has been hard to read, he doesn't seem to be the same JAG that I remember in games. His vote on Raven looks good though. timmae has been a riddle to me but his vote on Raven looks decent. Vaimes had a parked vote on day one. His day two vote could go either way. Don't feel strongly enough about any of the above at the moment. |
Or, font's been busy toDay.
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this entire game was a clusterfuck from the beginning. zinto should have seen that three noobs on the wolf team would get absolutely eaten alive. team rocketing into the side of a mountain has been a dream to be a part of for the past two or so days. after last night i gave up, and i am really surprised to see the last of my team trying desperately to keep the game alive when he doesn’t have a chance in hell. this game is fucking over, and has been due to the stupid ass mistakes made last night. raven was supposed to vote for me and then move his vote after my reveal. and path you are so damn lucky buddy. i had the night kill order on you right after you contested my claim and it stuck there until timmae decided to change it to chief in the last few minutes before the deadline. i have stewed about this all day and fuck it i cannot wait to be lynched and get the hell out of this thread. I suck at werewolf, screw this game
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woh... what is that now? Shoveler... stooge #2. Now we need to find the 3rd stooge. This play sounds like a vet move to throw choas around. Bad shoveler!
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Font, what are your thoughts on this claim by shoveler?
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As of Post 882
Shoveler 7-Path(763), Font(765), Vaimes(766), JAG(771), Narcizo(773), Grover(783), EagleFan(784), Autumn(793), The Jackal(800) Autumn 1-Timmae(728) Nightfall 1-Narcizo(834) |
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unvote autumn
vote shoveler Bit of housekeeping after my shoveler vote didn't have an unvote of autumn. |
Hmm, really hope that is gamesmanship. Not fond of that play if it is the truth though.
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I laughed.
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I sincerely hope that last sentence was added only for an exclamation to the last ditch effort to save this for the wolves. I hope shoveler is onboard for the next game and many more after that!
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I think he's trying to save himself at the last moment, it's a complete desperation play.
But it is a bizarre play of gamesmanship. I don't know why something like that statement would be thrown out there. |
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Luck my ass. If you would have night killed me you would have found out I was the seer and you'd be right where you are this very minute. I will get night killed as a role every single time if it means a village win. |
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Enjoyed playing with you though. |
Though it does help having a couple extra cleared players.
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You would have went back and found those earlier posts to clear you. Wouldn't have known about Autumn, but you'd still have two wolves down at that point. |
So. Stupid to keep the scan choice under wraps with one wolf yet, so let me get some ideas from y'all.
Right now I'm between Grover and timmae. Thoughts? |
Dola, I'm going for a wolf, not to clear anyone's name.
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"Yet" in #894 should be "left".
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I wouldn't be adverse to a JAG scan to be honest (would clear up an potential "why is JAG still alive?" confusion).
Though your two choices are good as well, or throw font into that mix. If we think that Shoveler's rant was just a planned rant for gamesmanship we would have to assume it was discussed between the two remaining wolves. That would mean that we need to ask if timmae's response was a believable just got thrown under the bus response. That is kind of a risky play as going after the wrong person that way could potentially blow things out of control. (sorry, kind of spitting out random thoughts as they come to me there) |
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Grover naturally. He still hasn't responded to me and had a vote that helped wolf Raven. Even if we were only to go on post tone, it's hard to believe wolf timmae would forget that Autumn had been scanned by the real seer. |
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From Day 1 |
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And you haven't responded to my response where I asked when you called me out. |
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