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This is the playbook. Count and certify the rural areas so it looks like Trump is winning late into the night, then when Atlanta count comes up scream fraud and how the dems are cheating because ballots mysteriously appeared over night. |
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As a Dem, I find it somewhat comforting that the GOP feels the need to start introducing maximum shenanigans this late in the game (Nebraska, Georgia). That means that their internal polling shows that they are losing. They weren't acting like this when Trump was up 5 over Biden.
As an American, I am scared b/c once you break Democracy, it is hard to fix it. |
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That, or miss the deadline and try to throw it to the House. How Republicans Could Block a Democratic Victory in Georgia – Mother Jones |
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Yeah. I can only assume their internal polling in the blue wall is really bad and Nebraska is a Hail Mary. I’m really trying to be cautious but the more I think about it I think Harris could win in a landslide. |
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As an American, I'm scared because I don't believe Democracy works and because ours has been becoming more and more broken for decades, arguably generations. All of the deplorable election shenanigans could go away tomorrow and it wouldn't do any more than buy us a little more time. |
This is fantastic.
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Can't wait until the find Cam Edwards FOFC account one day.
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That's a name i haven't heard in years. I assume he's still doing the 2A stuff? I'd be afraid to see how radicalized he would have been forced to get to stay afloat as a podcast/online show host amongst the cesspool of awfulness that he'd be competing with for clicks.
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Someone on twitter asked this question, and you know I enjoy gaming out a good thought exercise. "If Brian Kemp were the nominee for president and won, would he do anything different policy wise than trump?"
I do not like Brian Kemp, and disagree with him on many things, but the only thing I can think of that he would be worst then Trump on is that he would definitely sign a national abortion ban. Other than that, he plays on the social warfare angles but less extreme than the full MAGA people. He is more classic style voter suppression than full on disenfranchisement of Trump. He is basically MAGA-lite. Closer akin to classic conservatives than full fascist like Desantis. When we talk about what comes after Trump, I think Kemp is trying to lead that replacement. Enough MAGA to keep the extreme on board without going so far you make the suburban moms to throw up in their mouths. |
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Kemp would do whatever his wife tells him to. That dimwitted sack of shit being in office is the #2 motivation for me moving out of Georgia. |
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Edit: Just to add that is why I think he might be successful Post-Trump. There are hard core MAGA people in the state that hate him, but he still pulled more than enough of the MAGA demo to win reelection quite handily. He will most likely become Senator in 2 years over Jon Ossoff, and that is really depressing. Ossoff has been a great Senator, and has been very successful at getting many bi-partisan reforms done as a freshman. |
Bipartisan is the new racist in terms of electability, it seems.
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We can thank Supreme Court approved gerrymandering. The number of actual competitive districts anywhere is so small there's no need for moderation at any level of elected government now. |
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Why, will he be Secretary of State again when he's running? |
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Harris has accepted a proposed CNN debate on October 23rd. It is unlikely Trump will accept, but also that is so late.
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But will Harris accept the proposed CNN debate? |
My Pillow guy goes full Nazi.
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It's too obvious for the people that look for hidden codes in everything.
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Please don't be dumb enough to buy $30 dollars of silver from Trump for $100.
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I just got an e-mail from Rural King about the Trump AR-15 that's easily twice the cost of a similar tier AR-15, so $100 for $30 worth of silver wouldn't surprise me.
On the other hand, 30 pieces of silver seems like the right price to betray your country. |
A My Pillow for the cost of 14 Heil Hitler Dollars sounds like a good price. I’m sure they only come in white
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Amazing to me that a nut like RFK Jr is so close to having some real power.
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How exactly are they going to have less regulations on corporations and at the same time force companies to use less chemicals?
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I saw a common sense point this morning that I had not actually considered. Candidates need to grab low information and undecided voters. So they should not campaign on policy. Because, by definition, voters who care about policy are not low information and not undecided. They’ve already picked the party whose policies they agree with. Campaign on vibes. Govern on policy.
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:) |
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Which argues for a shortened Presidential campaign season as it's hard to ride vibes only for 18+ months. Harris certainly has an advantage from that perspective.
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Welp. MAGA may not believe the Robinson story, but apparently Robinson's entire senior campaign staff and nearly all of the lower-level staffers do.
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I was driving through the back roads of North Carolina (think whatever is between TN and Asheville) and I saw a home with Trump and Stein signs outside.
What the hell is the cross section between Donald Trump and Josh Stein supporters? Is it just that they're so racist that they can't support the black guy who hates black people? |
Maybe one spouse is the Trump supporter and the other is the Stein supporter?
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This is one of the saddest things I've ever seen. Even worse that a 4 year old would actually want this which means he's been indoctrinated well at such an early age - and you have to assume it was "suggested" by the parents.
But no, it's not a cult - totally normal for a 4 year old to have a political candidate-themed birthday party and to make the party more about your cult leader than your child. Sheesh.
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Robinson has a new campaign manager...or maybe he doesn't? :popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn::popcorn: My favorite headline so far: ‘Black Nazi’ Mark Robinson Denies Hiring MAGA Troll Fraudster as Campaign Manager |
The Trump campaign is sending targeted ads out to Georgia voters using shutterstock pics from the country Georgia.
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I don't know where the number stands, but I'm 100% sure that the 10 point swing in AZ shown by NYT over the past month isn't true. There isn't any state that's swung ten points to either candidate over the past month.
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I swear that's not the first time the GOP has done this. |
Percentage of Trump voters that even know there is a country named Georgia? 5, maybe 10%?
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"I did not post those comments, but whatever you do, don't look in to it!"
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You know, if* Trump loses, a lot of it will be because he ended Roe
And there's an irony in Trump losing because of abortion. Because can you think of a GOP politician who would care less about abortion than Trump? I assume that his personal belief falls somewhere between not caring at all and vaguely thinking that it is nice if your mistress can conveniently get an abortion. I mean, if Mike Pence or Mike Hucakabee lost an election because they helped ban abortion, there would be a bit of nobility in that. They wouldn't like losing, but they could be proud that they lost for doing the politically unpopular but morally right thing. But Trump? To lose on something that he didn't care about? Or that he even did not agree with? Funny in its way. *[Of course, he could still win.] |
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Have you seen any analysis on why the NYT/Sienna polls seem like such an outlier this election cycle? They seem to be further out there than Rasmussen at this point. |
Bulwark touched on it today, and I was feeling the same over the weekend as I was pushed articles from a bunch of different sites alternately telling me that Trump was winning the swing states, closing in nationally, and losing ground while Harris had lost momentum, was winning in swing states, and expanding her lead nationally.
It's information overload to the nth degree. It's all useless at this kind of contradictory saturation point. |
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Being a double-digit IQ socialist is a "vibe"? Who knew. |
oh burn
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Ehh, this I don't buy. I think Harris is still ahead a little, but it's tightening as one would expect. I also think it's possible I'm completely wrong, most likely reason would be polls being off in one way or another (most likely being overestimating Trump's support a bit). I think either candidate could still win by a decent margin, or it could be very close, but if I had to bet I'd bet on Harris, even dispensing with my personal feelings. But this is kind of what pseudoscience does; throws enough stuff at the wall so you don't know what to believe. Polling isn't much different; there's a lot of bad information in the mix, but if you filter that out there's always good information to be found that's a lot more likely to be accurate. |
Trump has a plan to pay off the debt, he'll just sign a paper that says crypto pays all 35 trillion.
But Harris needs to flesh out her plans. |
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He also doesn't have a plan to deport millions but he said it would be a lot easier to do if the media didn't cover it. |
I've been using this as an aggregator site for polling but maybe there is a better one available. Even Rasmussen has Harris +2 so the NYT polling is strange.
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight |
If he weren’t backed by types like Miller, I could see his plan being to say that he is going to do it, not do anything, then say he did it and have everyone believe him because their lives aren’t affected by immigrants one bit (like the guy in PA interviewed at a rally the other day who admitted that no, they’re not hurting him personally).
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