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Edward64 05-08-2023 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3400967)
I think there is a good chance we will be in an official recession by next year, all the while we are not going to see prices drop.


Yes, I can see it worse in 2024. But like to think 2022 was the bottom ... we are (supposedly) at the end of the Fed tightening now. If we are in the depths of a recession during election year, Trump's odds increases significantly.

If we have a recession, better to have a recession this year so Biden will have some time to recover.

RainMaker 05-08-2023 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3400967)
I think there is a good chance we will be in an official recession by next year, all the while we are not going to see prices drop.


Fed is going all out to make it happen.

GrantDawg 05-08-2023 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3400979)
Fed is going all out to make it happen.

That is really what it looks like to me. They have timed this out for the worst of everything to hit and exact time it will destroy Biden's chances.

RainMaker 05-08-2023 05:03 PM

I don't know if they're timing it to hurt Biden per say, I just think when wages started increasing for the common folk, they got terrified and had to shut that shit down.

GrantDawg 05-08-2023 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3400989)
I don't know if they're timing it to hurt Biden per say, I just think when wages started increasing for the common folk, they got terrified and had to shut that shit down.

In their case, I'm not saying it was a plot. Just how it has happened.

sterlingice 05-08-2023 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3400989)
I don't know if they're timing it to hurt Biden per say, I just think when wages started increasing for the common folk, they got terrified and had to shut that shit down.



This is my belief as well. They know the GOP and Dems both will help siphon money from the poor to the rich. But the poors were starting to get some wage relief for the first time since the 90s so they had to nip that in the bud.



SI

NobodyHere 05-08-2023 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3400986)
That is really what it looks like to me. They have timed this out for the worst of everything to hit and exact time it will destroy Biden's chances.


I think you give the Fed too much credit here.

GrantDawg 05-08-2023 06:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3400993)
I think you give the Fed too much credit here.

I'm pretty sure the Fed is having a pretty hard affect on the economy right now.

Brian Swartz 05-08-2023 08:07 PM

I think we are 6-8 months out from when it begins to make sense to even *start* worrying about polls.

Edward64 05-09-2023 05:13 PM

Now this is the Grandpa Joe I expect. Nice heartwarming story, essentially Biden inviting WH reporters to attend personally relevant events.

West Wing Playbook - POLITICO
Quote:

While it’s incredibly rare for a member of the White House press corps to receive such an exclusive invitation, it’s becoming far less so. In what longtime White House correspondents and historians say is a return to tradition, the Biden administration in recent months has started inviting those who cover them to attend smaller, more restrictive events.
:
The shift toward inviting more journalists to White House events in their personal capacity began ahead of St. Patrick’s Day this year, when members of the press shop were given the green light to submit a list of White House reporters with Irish heritage to the social office.

Quote:

Another early arrival was SEUNG MIN KIM, who, on another night, might have been standing alongside her fellow reporters taking cell phone pics of arriving guests and shouting out questions. But on this night, the Associated Press White House reporter was in a floral ball gown, walking through a doorway festooned with the American and South Korean flags along with her mother, MI RYUNG CHANG.

Kim, who is Korean American, was invited to attend the state dinner honoring South Korean President YOON SUK YEOL in a personal capacity.
Quote:

... several Asian American reporters were invited to attend Monday night’s screening of the film “American Born Chinese,” an event marking Asian American, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander Heritage Month.
Quote:

Some Jewish members of the press corps have also been invited to a reception marking Jewish American Heritage month, which also is observed in May.
Quote:

And when Biden hosted his first state dinner last December, in honor of French President EMMANUEL MACRON, the Washington Post’s OLIVIER KNOX (one of the Frenchiest members of the press corps) drew an invite,

Edward64 05-09-2023 06:59 PM

No surprise there wasn't any movement. Game of chicken continues on Fri.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/09/debt...mcconnell.html
Quote:

Debt ceiling deal appears no closer after high-stakes meeting, but leaders will huddle again Friday

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said he did not see “any new movement” on negotiating positions during his White House meeting with President Joe Biden and congressional leaders.

Hoping this is still a Plan D to keep in the backpocket.

Quote:

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said he would reject any three-month debt ceiling proposals. The White House denied that Biden plans to put a short-term fix on the table.

GrantDawg 05-09-2023 07:04 PM

I think in the end there will be some kind of extension, because the last thing the GOP wants is for the White House to claim the 14th amendment means the cap is moot and they lose this threat every few months.

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

RainMaker 05-10-2023 03:18 PM

Just incredibly cruel what they are doing to her.



Edward64 05-10-2023 06:44 PM

Another interesting option for the debt ceiling fight.

Former Biden adviser Tribe: Just use the 14th Amendment now - POLITICO
Quote:

President Joe Biden made waves Tuesday when he acknowledged he was considering using the 14th Amendment to end the debt standoff — before saying he feared it would get caught up in courts.
:
The idea of using the 14th Amendment — which says the nation’s debts “shall not be questioned” — to continue making payments on spending approved by Congress has garnered increased interest as the nation tips closer to default.
His argument below seems logical to me but would be worried about unintended consequences. My guess is they'll try a Plan D ... prioritizing payments before doing the 14th amendment (but plan for it as a Plan E).

But if I was an impartial 3rd party observer, would love to see how this plays out in courts.

Quote:

Tribe, in an interview, said that House Republicans — who have hinted they would challenge the president’s use of the 14th Amendment — can’t sue the president for not violating the Constitution. He anticipated the Supreme Court would reject such a case.

“Even bending their standing doctrine, I don’t know how they or how anyone could find somebody with standing to sue the president and the secretary of the Treasury for spending the money that Congress has said they’re supposed to spend,” Tribe said. “What would a court tell them not to spend the money on?”

GrantDawg 05-11-2023 04:51 PM

I didn't know where to put this, but it is an interesting case decision from the Supreme Court. Interesting in it one of the few that there were liberal and conservatives on both sides. Basically it allows California to set restrictions on what pork can be sold in the state, and it is a pretty clear indicator that the court is allowing states to set their own restrictions even if it affects other producer states. Mostly, just fascinated by the strange bedfellows on both sides.

albionmoonlight 05-12-2023 06:27 AM

Reports are that there is good progress on the behind the scenes negotiations concerning the debt ceiling. Remember, these are the negotiations that President Biden swore would never happen.

Now, he took that position when he expected the GOP to infight so much that it would not have a coherent plan. And he expected outside groups (business leaders, etc) to put pressure on the GOP. But that never materialized.

So I think he was smart to see that the game was playing out very differently than he had hoped and to change strategies. But (assuming that a deal is reached) it will be very interesting to see how the GOP plays this. Because they got what they wanted from him. But the thing that they want it from him was reasonable negotiations, so it is hard to criticize him for agreeing with you to be reasonable.

flere-imsaho 05-12-2023 09:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3401238)
Just incredibly cruel what they are doing to her.


She's 89 and has served in the Senate for over 30 years. Barbara Boxer, who is "only" 82, was also elected to the Senate in 1992 (Feinstein's election in 1992 was a special election to finish Wilson's term), but retired in 2017, at age 76, after 25 years in the Senate, which is still way too old and way too long but is still a whole lot better than the ego trip Feinstein has been on (and RBG before her and Ted Kennedy before her, etc...).

It may be cruel, but hopefully it serves as a kick in the ass to some of those geriatrics to plan a reasonable succession timeline and stop fucking things up for their party because they're too fucking old.

The list of Senators 72 & over contains 6 Republicans, 16 Democrats, and both Independents.

albionmoonlight 05-12-2023 09:46 AM

Or what about the 95 year old federal judge whose court is seeking to remove her because of concerns about her ability--and she is suing them, arguing that only Congress can remove a judge via impeachment, and that any attempt to de facto remove her is thus unconstitutional:

Judge Newman Sues Fed. Circ. To Halt Probe Of Her Fitness - Law360 Pulse

FWIW, I think that she is right. I could easily see "fitness" being weaponized by partisan court to get around life tenure.

But, come on, you are 95 years old and have your salary for life. Just retire.

Edward64 05-12-2023 01:51 PM

What's in Lebanon that justifies the $1B embassy? I'd think maybe Jordan, at least they've shown they can be friendly to US interests.

I'm sure there's a reason, I hope its a really good one. Just seems we are a sitting duck whenever Syria wants to apply some pressure.

A massive new US embassy in a tiny Middle East nation is raising eyebrows | CNN
Quote:

A massive new US embassy complex in Lebanon is causing controversy for its sheer size and opulence in a country where nearly 80% of the population is under the poverty line.

Located some 13 kilometers (about 8 miles) from the center of Beirut, the US’ new embassy compound in Lebanon looks like a city of its own.

Sprawling over a 43-acre site, the complex in the Beirut suburb of Awkar is almost two-and-a-half times the size of the land the White House sits on and more than 21 soccer fields.
Quote:

Plans for the embassy complex were announced in 2015 and it is reported to have cost $1 billion.


Yeah, old enough to remember this one vividly.

Quote:

Last month marked 40 years since the 1983 bombing of the American embassy in Beirut, which killed 63 people, including 52 Lebanese and embassy employees. In October that year, a bomb struck barracks in Beirut housing American and French peacekeepers, killing 299 people.

flere-imsaho 05-12-2023 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3401420)
What's in Lebanon that justifies the $1B embassy?


Well, maybe not in Lebanon, but all those construction and ancillary companies that bid on government contracts but mainly live below the poverty line need work so they can feed their kids.

RainMaker 05-12-2023 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 3401382)
She's 89 and has served in the Senate for over 30 years. Barbara Boxer, who is "only" 82, was also elected to the Senate in 1992 (Feinstein's election in 1992 was a special election to finish Wilson's term), but retired in 2017, at age 76, after 25 years in the Senate, which is still way too old and way too long but is still a whole lot better than the ego trip Feinstein has been on (and RBG before her and Ted Kennedy before her, etc...).

It may be cruel, but hopefully it serves as a kick in the ass to some of those geriatrics to plan a reasonable succession timeline and stop fucking things up for their party because they're too fucking old.

The list of Senators 72 & over contains 6 Republicans, 16 Democrats, and both Independents.


I don't think this is on her. She has dementia and doesn't know what's going on. This isn't something that just sprung up either. Sure she shouldn't have run again, but I don't know if she even knew she was.

This is on her staff for continuing the Weekend and Bernie's act and other Democrats who haven't spoken up about her health. Like I said, it's just cruel to do this to someone with dementia.

Flasch186 05-12-2023 02:37 PM

She’s been diagnosed with dementia

Or

Is that just rhetoric?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

RainMaker 05-12-2023 02:56 PM

She was introducing herself to reporters as Mayor a few months ago. One of her staffers resigned and said that she is no longer mentally there and that her Chief of Staff is essentially acting as the Senator. There are videos of people bringing her in for votes, her being confused as to where she is, and them telling her what to vote.


I'm not knocking her in any way. This is just flat out elder abuse.

flere-imsaho 05-12-2023 04:15 PM

It's on her much the same was it was on RBG: retire before you become cripplingly old and lose your agency (and, in RBG's case, the legacy of everything you fought for).

She could have retired ~15 years ago at the age of ~74 after having served for ~15 years and would still have left a good legacy.

PilotMan 05-13-2023 08:34 PM

The Democrats are making the same mistake they did with Hillary if they think Biden is the right choice in '24. They have a great chance to change the narrative and routine if he walks away. There's no way whoever it loses the party momentum if the incumbent. It'll be seen as the right choice and the Republicans will scramble to deal with the change. They couldn't see the importance of 16 when it canev to the SC and they are missing the real life importance of what happens should they lose. They already know Congress is stacked against them and trump or someone like him will have 2 years minimum fee reign to burn at the speed similar to Florida. It'll set back causes and all the progress the left has spent 50 years fighting for, and it'll be fine in 2.

Where is our Zalensky?

Jon Stewart may be the best hope, but the old men politicians can't think that way. Strategically, they are fighting the battle they think they can win and they are missing the why they'll lose if they stick with tired tactics of another ancient white man.

Brian Swartz 05-14-2023 06:58 AM

I think it's totally different than Hillary. Hillary wasn't the incumbent president.

I agree that it's the right thing to pick someone else in a utopia, but politics is the art of the practical/possible, etc. Part of choosing Biden to run in 2020 was choosing him to run again in 2024 if he won and wanted to run again. They are the same decision, and you take the good with the bad on those things.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2023 08:38 AM

Biden does well with old white moderates in the Midwest.

And that's who you need to win elections right now.

flere-imsaho 05-14-2023 09:14 PM

As a follow-up to albion....

In 2020, the 10 closest states were:

1. Georgia
2. Arizona
3. Wisconsin
4. Pennsylvania
5. North Carolina
6. Nevada
7. Michigan
8. Florida
9. Texas
10. Minnesota

Show me a potential Democratic candidate with a better shot in most of those states than Biden. Serious proposal - I'm interested in seeing ideas.

Edward64 05-15-2023 08:42 AM

Too early to tell but I'm grasping for any good news, and Yellen's comment is somewhat positive.

Quote:

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen hinted over the weekend that the U.S. would avoid a default.

“I’m hopeful. I think the negotiations are very active. I’m told they have found some areas of agreement,” said Yellen in an interview with the Wall Street Journal on Saturday from Japan during a meeting of G-7 finance ministers.

albionmoonlight 05-15-2023 08:47 AM

This will be a huge test for McCarthy. It sounds like he and Biden will come to a deal. If McCarthy can get the MAGA caucus to agree to it, then he's a more powerful/better Speaker than we all assumed coming out of his clown show of an election.

As someone who does not want a global recession that will forever diminish the United States, I hope that (1) they come to a deal, and (2) the MAGAs go along with it.

Then we can lurch to the next crisis.

Edward64 05-15-2023 10:15 AM

Well, you are obviously wrong about a global recession.

Just a moment...
Quote:

Trump told CNN moderator Kaitlan Collins at a town hall on Wednesday, "I say to the Republicans out there – congressmen, senators – if they don’t give you massive cuts, you’re going to have to do a default."

Trump said while he doesn't believe a default is going to happen, "it’s better than what we’re doing right now because we’re spending money like drunken sailors."

He also suggested that the effects of a default may not be as calamitous as economists have warned, musing that "it’s really psychological more than anything else" and "maybe it’s, you have a bad week or a bad day."

It's good there hasn't been a upswell of support for Trump's position. Article has some GOP publicly disagreeing.

So yeah, if it was between DeSantis or Trump, I'd take DeSantis any day. Much less dangerous to the country (and world).

Edward64 05-15-2023 10:42 AM

Another headache for Joe.

I'm sure additional funding will get approved (not all GOP are against it) but Joe may have to compromise on something.

The end of Ukraine aid is rapidly approaching. Reupping it won’t be easy - POLITICO
Quote:

Move over, Treasury. You’re not the only one with an X-date.

The $48 billion Ukraine aid package that Congress approved in December has about $6 billion left, meaning U.S. funding for weapons and supplies could dry up by midsummer.

RainMaker 05-15-2023 03:09 PM

At this point, I'm fine with a default. Seems silly to go through this song and dance ever year and maybe the fuck around crowd should find out what happens.

Atocep 05-15-2023 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3401603)
At this point, I'm fine with a default. Seems silly to go through this song and dance ever year and maybe the fuck around crowd should find out what happens.


It's one of the dumbest parts of our government. Congress can pass bills to spend money, and the president is constitutionally required to make sure that money is spent correctly, but we have an arbitrary debt ceiling that prevents him from doing his constitutional duty unless congress agrees to let him spend the money they allocated.

Either the 14th ammendment or the duties of the presidency should make a debt ceiling unnecessary.

Lathum 05-15-2023 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3401582)

So yeah, if it was between DeSantis or Trump, I'd take DeSantis any day. Much less dangerous to the country (and world).


Eh....
some of the stuff DeSantis is doing n Florida would destroy us as a nation. Trump is an idiot, but I'm not sure the ling term damage would be as bad a what DeSantis would do.

I think it is safe to say we really can't afford as a nation for either of them to win.

Ksyrup 05-15-2023 05:04 PM

They are both dangerous. Trump would turn the entire government into a Trump state. DeSantis would do a lot of damage in a more or less "within norms" way (using the legislature and executive branches kinda like he's done in Florida). They are both bad but DeSantis actually worries me more because, outside of court challenges to the constitutionality of any of it, it will be done within the system.

JPhillips 05-15-2023 05:11 PM

RFK Jr. is so desperate to be Trump's "unity" running mate. Dems aren't looking for a candidate that endlessly praises Trump.

RainMaker 05-16-2023 05:37 PM

I was wrong. Feinstein didn't miss any time at all according to her.

Dianne Feinstein's health: The senator seems not to remember being absent from the Capitol.

By the way, I'm not knocking her at all. This is flat-out elder abuse and everyone carrying on this charade should be ashamed of themselves.

Edward64 05-16-2023 09:32 PM

Thank you Turbo Tax (and like) for paving the way, but think it's a no-brainer for the IRS to do this.

I chatted with someone from Australia that said his tax information was preloaded into the tax system for him. So all he had to do was review and maybe do some exceptions to complete his taxes. This is where we should be, everything from employers, banks, investments etc. pre-loaded.

It won't get everything but 80-20 is good enough.

The IRS is working on software to allow taxpayers to file online : NPR
Quote:

The IRS is developing a system that would let taxpayers send electronic returns directly to the government for free, sidestepping commercial options such as TurboTax.

The agency plans a pilot test of the program next year.

Many other countries already offer taxpayers a government-run filing system. But the IRS plan is likely to face stiff opposition from the $14 billion tax-preparation industry.
Quote:

Americans already spend significant time and money preparing their taxes. The average individual filer pays $140 per year, according to the IRS.

While an alliance of industry players offers a free-filing option through the IRS website, only about 2% of taxpayers use it.

"That's because the tax prep companies sabotaged the program, so they could keep raking in money," Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., said last month.

Last year, TurboTax paid $141 million to settle a complaint that it advertised free tax preparation, then steered customers into costly upgrades. The company did not admit to any wrongdoing.

Lathum 05-16-2023 09:53 PM

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CsTn5...c4MTIwNjQ2YQ==


VERY NSFW

Flasch186 05-16-2023 09:55 PM

Surely the republicans would be against making it easier to take care of taxes considering they’d like to completely make it harder to impossible to pay your taxes… let alone those you couldn’t avoid.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

thesloppy 05-16-2023 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3401749)
Thank you Turbo Tax (and like) for paving the way, but think it's a no-brainer for the IRS to do this.


TurboTax has been actively trying to demolish that road & lobbying to keep taxes complicated, since the last millennium fwiw.

Inside TurboTax’s 20-Year Fight to Stop Americans From Filing Their Taxes for Free — ProPublica

JPhillips 05-16-2023 11:11 PM

The GOP saw Covid and decided they are anti-vax now.


cuervo72 05-16-2023 11:40 PM

but God made measles for a reason

(bring on polio! their kids won't ever get it only commies like FDR)

Edward64 05-17-2023 12:31 PM

I'm impressed we've gotten to a (initial) kumbaya moment with 2 weeks before Jun 1. Good sign there's not heated rhetoric right now between Joe & McCarthy.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/17/debt...-progress.html
Quote:

Top leaders from both sides of the aisle reassured Americans Wednesday that the U.S. won’t default on its debt as tense negotiations over the debt ceiling continued.

“I think at the end of the day we do not have a debt default,” House Speaker Kevin McCarthy told CNBC in a “Squawk Box” interview Wednesday morning.

President Joe Biden echoed that sentiment later in remarks from the White House: “We’re going to come together because these is no alternative,” he said. “Every leader in the room understands the consequences of failure.”
Quote:

The House speaker’s and the president’s remarks were the latest signs that negotiations, which had been stalled for months, were now moving into a more serious and concrete phase, and potentially closer to a deal.

albionmoonlight 05-17-2023 12:45 PM

I would hate doing negotiations for a living.

Going in, everyone knows that there will end up being a deal that falls within a pretty narrow band of possibilities. You may know that months ahead of time.

But, under game theory, it makes no sense for either side to start to move toward that deal until there is real deadline pressure.

So you end up with tense last-minute negotiations to end up where you knew you were going to end up a month ago.

It would annoy my sense of efficiency.

albionmoonlight 05-17-2023 12:50 PM

dola:

That said, in this case, I do think that the delay had some effect--the GOP House was able to pass a bill, the GOP senators stood behind the House, and the public didn't buy the "GOP must pass a clean bill" take--none of which were known at the beginning of the process.

Basically, McCarthy has been getting a run of pretty good breaks here. It will be fascinating to see if his MAGA rump ends up fucking this up for him.

To get Biden from "We won't negotiate, period." to "We are open to some SNAP work requirements" without the Senate and with a narrow House majority is a legislative butt kicking.

Brian Swartz 05-17-2023 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep
It's one of the dumbest parts of our government. Congress can pass bills to spend money, and the president is constitutionally required to make sure that money is spent correctly, but we have an arbitrary debt ceiling that prevents him from doing his constitutional duty unless congress agrees to let him spend the money they allocated.

Either the 14th ammendment or the duties of the presidency should make a debt ceiling unnecessary.


Agree completely, except for the 14th amendment part.

I can't get on board with 'just default and let them learn what it means' because that's not what will actually happen. People will blame those not on their political team for the consequences, not their own actions.

Atocep 05-17-2023 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3401797)
Agree completely, except for the 14th amendment part.

I can't get on board with 'just default and let them learn what it means' because that's not what will actually happen. People will blame those not on their political team for the consequences, not their own actions.


I'm not saying default, I'm saying the 14th ammendment states we cannot default on our debts so the debt ceiling isn't necessary and is actually unconstitutional itself. Between the 14th ammendment and the constitutional requirements of the presidency it doesn't make sense that we fight this battle at all.

Atocep 05-17-2023 01:24 PM

Dola

The right is arguing that the 14th ammendment is outdated and doesn't apply to today's debts while at the same time arguing that the 2nd ammendment applies today the same way it did in the 1700s. I'm sure the Supreme Court would see it the same way with no fucks given to the hypocrisy.

Brian Swartz 05-18-2023 08:21 AM

I know you weren't saying default, I just didn't bother quoting the other person in the thread who did say that.

Edward64 05-18-2023 08:51 AM

It would be an interesting experiment (?) to see how a default would play out. But yeah, what idiot would purposely want a default.

albionmoonlight 05-18-2023 08:54 AM

It would be a horrible experiment to see how a default would play out.

Edward64 05-18-2023 09:02 AM

This is true too. I'd use globally catastrophic.

GrantDawg 05-18-2023 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3401839)
It would be an interesting experiment (?) to see how a default would play out. But yeah, what idiot would purposely want a default.

I get what you are saying. There's a "morbid curiosity."

albionmoonlight 05-18-2023 09:22 AM

FWIW, I was considering how Biden might be thinking about this.

He was willing to take the heat of withdrawing from Afghanistan that neither Obama nor Trump was willing to take. He seems able to do what he considers to be the right thing at some political cost.

So I wonder if the thinking might go like this--pretty much cave to the GOP to get an extension past the 2024 election (which isn't quite as bad as it seems b/c it is mostly stuff that would be on the table in September anyway).

Then, if he gets re-elected, pre-emptively declare the 14th Amendment renders the debt ceiling unconstitutional and let those chips fall where they may.

He'd take a political hit for that, but he's not running for reelection at that point, and it's hard to imagine that the GOP would get much milage running in 2028 against a Dem with the message of "4 years ago, another person got rid of the debt ceiling"

Edward64 05-18-2023 10:38 AM

Not sure I support below idea. But I've not thought of it before and it's kinda appealing.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/26/how-...ebt-limit.html
Quote:

It’s rare in the current partisan era to find enough politicians to secure a majority, much less a two-thirds supermajority. That means that the McConnell plan would likely default to debt-ceiling increases unless the president’s proposal was so absurd that it unified 67% of federal lawmakers.

A representative for McConnell declined to comment for this story.

The idea has legs. Sen. Joe Manchin, the powerful conservative West Virginia Democrat, said Tuesday that he would support such reform to the debt ceiling procedure.

It should be set up so “the president has the right to make that decision, we have the right to override it if we think he went too far,” he said.

Edward64 05-18-2023 11:00 AM

Okay, is it about time for a 2024 Election thread?

DeSantis vs Trump should be very entertaining.

Ron DeSantis expected to enter 2024 presidential race next week | CNN Politics
Quote:

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is expected to enter the 2024 presidential race next week, two Republicans familiar with the matter tell CNN.

DeSantis will file paperwork next week with the Federal Election Commission declaring his candidacy, one Republican said, with a formal announcement expected the following week in his hometown of Dunedin, Florida.

Brian Swartz 05-18-2023 11:28 AM

Entertaining isn't the word I'd use, but I suppose a dedicated place for speculating early is reasonable since we're starting to get more candidates in.

miami_fan 05-18-2023 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3398612)
I think the bigger question is how was he able to take pictures of the TS stuff. Seems like a big miss if electronics are not secured while handling TS stuff?

And the really, really big question is how come all this stuff was floating out there for months without some sort of reaction. I get US didn't know about it but why not (so this doesn't happen again).


According to this report, he just kept getting the benefit of the doubt.

Accused Pentagon leaker was warned repeatedly about his mishandling of classified documents, prosecutors say | CNN Politics

Quote:

he first memorandum discussed an incident in September 2022 in which Teixeira was observed taking notes on classified intelligence and then putting those notes in his pocket. Though some of the report is redacted, it concludes by saying that Teixeira was instructed to “no longer take notes in any form on classified intelligence information.”

A month later, Teixeira’s supervisors were “made aware that … Teixeira was potentially ignoring a cease-and-desist order on deep diving into intelligence,” a second report states. Teixeira had attended a classified briefing and was asking “very specific questions” about the information provided, the report said, and he was again told to stop and “focus on his job.”

In a third incident report, a superior in Teixeira’s unit stated she observed him looking at intelligence “that was not related to his primary duty.” Teixeira was not reprimanded, the report indicated, but his superiors were notified of the observation.

If this reporting turns out to be true, it looks like he received at maximum two letters of counseling for the three incidents. A letter of counseling is basically the lowest level of formal discipline. Think of a soccer ref making a mental note that a player has made multiple fouls and the next foul will result in a yellow card. I think Rainmaker worked intel so maybe he can give his opinion. I contacted a few current and former military colleagues and asked what they thought the punishment would be if someone did the first one alone. The consensus which I agree with was an Article 15(think court-martial without the court) and more than likely a reduction in rank. The combo of all three incidents may result in possible jail time being added.

The idea that his superiors just told him to cease and desist but still were sending him to classified briefings is insulting. They also need to be named and face jail time.

Atocep 05-18-2023 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3401856)
According to this report, he just kept getting the benefit of the doubt.

Accused Pentagon leaker was warned repeatedly about his mishandling of classified documents, prosecutors say | CNN Politics



If this reporting turns out to be true, it looks like he received at maximum two letters of counseling for the three incidents. A letter of counseling is basically the lowest level of formal discipline. Think of a soccer ref making a mental note that a player has made multiple fouls and the next foul will result in a yellow card. I think Rainmaker worked intel so maybe he can give his opinion. I contacted a few current and former military colleagues and asked what they thought the punishment would be if someone did the first one alone. The consensus which I agree with was an Article 15(think court-martial without the court) and more than likely a reduction in rank. The combo of all three incidents may result in possible jail time being added.

The idea that his superiors just told him to cease and desist but still were sending him to classified briefings is insulting. They also need to be named and face jail time.


The first would have been an investigation and likely loss of clearance, or at the very least a suspension of clearance where I was stationed and worked (at a NSA site). A field or company grade article 15 would be a given. it would really come down to the command, but I'd say most likely a field grade which is the more severe of the two.

If he somehow survived the first with his clearance then the 2nd would 100% be another article 15, suspension of clearance, and separation from service (he would be kicked out).

This is pretty unfathomable to me. As I mentioned above, I worked at a NSA site for a few years but I also worked at a non-NSA military job handling classified materials on a daily basis so I've seen both a more civilian based environment for handling classified materials along with a 100% military environment. Both places took these things incredibly seriously. I can't even imagine standing in front of our commander or 1SG trying to explain this happening once.

Lathum 05-18-2023 12:03 PM

DeSantis will get trounced by Trump. The shit he is doing in Florida is fucking draconian to the point even Trump will use it against him. People went nuts on the DeSantis train after his landslide win but that had way more to do with his opponent. Look what just happened in Jacksonville. DeSantis IMO has peaked, or maybe has a shot at a senate seat but that is it. Zero chance at the presidency.

JPhillips 05-18-2023 12:51 PM

I get his problem in terms of timing, he's soon done as Governor and the two GOP Senators are young in terms of the Senate. In that sense, it probably is close to now or never, but he's risking his future going after Trump, IMO. He's shown no willingness to really go at Trump nor an ability to defend Trump's attacks. Add to that his personal quirks, I mean look at him laugh, and I think there's a very high likelihood that Trump will end his ambitions the same way he did Little Marco.

RainMaker 05-18-2023 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3401859)
The first would have been an investigation and likely loss of clearance, or at the very least a suspension of clearance where I was stationed and worked (at a NSA site). A field or company grade article 15 would be a given. it would really come down to the command, but I'd say most likely a field grade which is the more severe of the two.

If he somehow survived the first with his clearance then the 2nd would 100% be another article 15, suspension of clearance, and separation from service (he would be kicked out).

This is pretty unfathomable to me. As I mentioned above, I worked at a NSA site for a few years but I also worked at a non-NSA military job handling classified materials on a daily basis so I've seen both a more civilian based environment for handling classified materials along with a 100% military environment. Both places took these things incredibly seriously. I can't even imagine standing in front of our commander or 1SG trying to explain this happening once.


Wasn't he Air Force? They were always the weirdest and had a certain target demo they propped up (white Christian nationalists). Guessing that's why he got more leeway than anyone else would.

Most of the military folks I came across in Bahrain were cool but the Air Force people were really fucking weird and acted like they were in a cult.

sterlingice 05-18-2023 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3401840)
It would be a horrible experiment to see how a default would play out.



Arguably the biggest strength the US has, even more than its military, is being the reserve currency of the world. Middle East wars have been started over keeping this the case and Russia and China are trying to unravel some of it now because of how the sanctions are hitting the former and to give strength to the latter. It will eventually not be the case. The Euro kindof gained some traction but some of that got walked back during their defaults (Greece, Spain, etc). I suspect a US default would hasten people moving away from the dollar. I don't mean like it would happen the next day. It would just significantly accelerate a change that's already taking place.



SI

RainMaker 05-18-2023 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3401840)
It would be a horrible experiment to see how a default would play out.


It would, but it might be wake up call to be cognizant of who you vote for. At some point the debt ceiling has to stop being used as an extortion attempt. You have to say "no, we aren't giving in to these insane demands and if we default, it's on you".

This isn't a tiny demographic. Over half the country voted for these people. Fuck around and find out.

flere-imsaho 05-19-2023 09:58 AM

Here's who owns U.S. debt:



The "Fed and gov't accounts" section is mostly social security trusts.

So, as a thought exercise, imagine the government decides to default on tranches of debt. Which of those groups are you OK with defaulting on, and imagine the knock-on effects.

Like, maybe you're OK with defaulting on foreign debt. Fine. But now lots of other countries start to plunge into default. Congrats, you've kicked off a global recession.

Or maybe you hate insurance companies. Fine, a whole bunch go bankrupt, then a lot of claims don't get paid out, then a lot of people and other companies go bankrupt. Congrats, you've caused a recession.

And so on and so on.

albionmoonlight 05-19-2023 10:14 AM

Not the point, I know, but I wonder who "other" is.

Edward64 05-19-2023 10:55 AM

Not the same article as the graphic but below hints at the "other". Individuals, estates, businesses etc.

Quote:

The remainder of the total federal debt is spread among mostly private, domestic investors, including 6 percent owned through mutual funds, such as money-market funds. Another 3 percent is owned by state and local governments. The remaining 17 percent is spread among banks and other depository institutions (2 percent), owners of U.S. savings bonds (1 percent), private pension funds (3 percent), state and local pension funds (1 percent), and insurance companies (2 percent), with the remaining 9 percent held by various “individuals, Government-sponsored enterprises, brokers and dealers, bank personal trusts and estates, corporate and non-corporate businesses, and other investors,” according to the Treasury.
China & Japan are the countries that own the most.

Quote:

Between 2000 and 2022, Japan grew from owning $534 billion to just over $1 trillion, while China’s ownership grew from $101 billion to $855 billion.

Edward64 05-20-2023 09:02 AM

Good to see Britney Gringer standing up for the national anthem this year.

It would have been interesting to see the back-and-forth arguments, recriminations etc. If she hadn't, it'd only up tensions which I don't think we needed, so good for her in compromising.

https://sports.yahoo.com/brittney-gr...032531066.html
Quote:

“Having been put in a literal cage, too small for her frame, stripped of her essential American freedoms and deprived of even her most basic rights during a sham trial and unjust sentencing, Brittney, supported by many other players, will make a statement this WNBA season by standing tall for those uniquely American freedoms — the most important of which being the absolute and inviolable and constitutionally protected freedom to stand, sit, kneel, praise, protest, and otherwise make your voice heard," she wrote.

“In their acceptance and celebration of one another’s liberty to choose different ways to express themselves, WNBA athletes are celebrating what it means to be a patriot. They are transforming the sadistic stunt of BG’s detention, intended by [Russian president Vladimir] Putin to serve as a racial and political wedge, into a reminder of the vibrancy, the diversity, and the strength of everything that America’s adversaries hoped to defeat. Not least, every single one of them is standing in unmistakable solidarity with Brittney — even if they happen to be making their stand by taking a knee.”

Edward64 05-20-2023 10:48 AM

Wondering whatever happened to arms merchant Viktor Blout?

Other than for telling Trump to "seek refuge" in Russia, he's been busy painting. So on the surface, doesn't seem to have been a bad trade.

Viktor Blout is showing his artwork in Moscow | Fortune'


miami_fan 05-20-2023 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3401987)
Good to see Britney Gringer standing up for the national anthem this year.

It would have been interesting to see the back-and-forth arguments, recriminations etc. If she hadn't, it'd only up tensions which I don't think we needed, so good for her in compromising.

Brittney Griner makes emotional return to WNBA as Mercury open season vs. Sparks


IMO It is the most interesting if there is no back and forth arguments, recriminations, if there are no tension built up or if the discussions are limited to just her standing for the anthem especially when you read her reasons for why she is actually standing now.

Edward64 05-21-2023 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3402007)
IMO It is the most interesting if there is no back and forth arguments, recriminations, if there are no tension built up or if the discussions are limited to just her standing for the anthem especially when you read her reasons for why she is actually standing now.


I'm sure we see things differently, but little doubt to me that if she wasn't "rescued" by the US government, she would be continuing with her not standing, staying in locker room silent protest.

The press release is carefully worded and is like a "sorry but not really sorry" or more accurately "not really sorry but have to say something". But good enough.

It's been a while now and I've not read anything about her publicly denying the MJ. I'm assuming this means she really wasn't framed by the Russians.

BYU 14 05-21-2023 10:11 AM

I am pretty sure she had the vape cartridge and knew she had it, but to your point, Griner has always come across to me as a very sincere person, so I don't think she has a hidden message. I think she is very appreciative and this is her way to express that.

Obviously it would be a complete PR nightmare had see gone back to not standing, but I still take her at her word.

miami_fan 05-21-2023 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3402023)
I'm sure we see things differently, but little doubt to me that if she wasn't "rescued" by the US government, she would be continuing with her not standing, staying in locker room silent protest.

The press release is carefully worded and is like a "sorry but not really sorry" or more accurately "not really sorry but have to say something". But good enough.


I agree with the first part and the press release being good enough is the point for me. It is obvious to anyone who reads that statement that she has not changed her position from when she was kneeling to now that she is standing. In fact she has doubled down on her position. If she can hold the same exact position including supporting those that choose not to stand for the anthem, but stands for the anthem herself, that tells me that the value of standing for the anthem is not nearly as important as people were making it out to be. So what exactly was everyone mad about?

The other thing that is interesting is now that I know the reason BG is standing for the anthem, I would like to know why the other players are standing for the anthem to see if their reasons are as thoughtful and nuanced as her, whether I agree with them or not. I would hate to think everyone else is doing it just to not cause any waves or follow along like sheep.

Thomkal 05-22-2023 11:36 AM

So a verified blue check account on Twitter, Bloomberg Feed, posted that an explosion occurred at the Pentagon this morning, complete with picture. This is FALSE and apparantly likely was created by AI:


https://twitter.com/AndyBCampbell/st...54574644887558

PilotMan 05-22-2023 11:58 AM

Sportsdigs had that 2 weeks ago.

Thomkal 05-22-2023 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3402102)
Sportsdigs had that 2 weeks ago.



Sportsdigs was always ahead of its time :)

albionmoonlight 05-22-2023 12:08 PM

https://www.washingtonpost.com/clima...n-deal-states/

Quiet competency was one of the things I missed during Trump.

Atocep 05-22-2023 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3402105)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/clima...n-deal-states/

Quiet competency was one of the things I missed during Trump.


No one knows more about the Colorado River than Donald Trump.

albionmoonlight 05-22-2023 12:53 PM

He would have given nonsensical soundbites about water. And then the whole thing would have been derailed because three different grifters in his orbit were using the negotiations to try to score huge government payouts. And then the MAGA line would have been to blame it all on California liberals, which everyone would have bought hook line and sinker.

Lathum 05-22-2023 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3402112)
He would have given nonsensical soundbites about water. And then the whole thing would have been derailed because three different grifters in his orbit were using the negotiations to try to score huge government payouts. And then the MAGA line would have been to blame it all on California liberals, which everyone would have bought hook line and sinker.


This is so depressingly accurate.

Edward64 05-22-2023 03:45 PM

I know zip about Tim Scott but glad he's getting some serious $ for his campaign. Have to read more about his policies.

Currently still at "anyone but Trump" phase.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/22/larr...-campaign.html
Quote:

Billionaire Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison is getting ready to spend millions to support Sen. Tim Scott’s run for president.

A Republican strategist and fundraiser close to Ellison said the tech executive is likely to significantly boost his donations to a pro-Scott super PAC he had given $30 million in the 2022 cycle.

Scott, a South Carolina Republican, has also received accolades recently from Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

RainMaker 05-22-2023 04:00 PM

Found something they can cut from the budget. Also some work for the DOJ if they can be bothered.



Thomkal 05-22-2023 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3402128)
I know zip about Tim Scott but glad he's getting some serious $ for his campaign. Have to read more about his policies.

Currently still at "anyone but Trump" phase.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/22/larr...-campaign.html



Well until he can admit America is a racist country I can't take him seriously.

RainMaker 05-22-2023 07:11 PM

Seems like if the goal is to beat Trump, Republicans should get behind one candidate. Every person like Scott who enters the race just makes it easier for Trump. It almost makes me wonder if the people putting money behind these candidates are Trump supporters. The whole "Third Way" group is basically setup to elect Trump.

Anyway, I don't know a ton about Scott outside of the fact it's always funny to me that both Senators from South Carolina are deeply in the closet. Like what are the odds?

CrimsonFox 05-22-2023 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3402147)
Seems like if the goal is to beat Trump, Republicans should get behind one candidate. Every person like Scott who enters the race just makes it easier for Trump. It almost makes me wonder if the people putting money behind these candidates are Trump supporters. The whole "Third Way" group is basically setup to elect Trump.

Anyway, I don't know a ton about Scott outside of the fact it's always funny to me that both Senators from South Carolina are deeply in the closet. Like what are the odds?


or why can't like a ton of people enter the race and actually have a platform

CrimsonFox 05-22-2023 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3402128)
I know zip about Tim Scott but glad he's getting some serious $ for his campaign. Have to read more about his policies.

Currently still at "anyone but Trump" phase.


so he's running a "Hillary" campaign then?

RainMaker 05-22-2023 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox (Post 3402150)
or why can't like a ton of people enter the race and actually have a platform


They can. But I think Republicans are in the Trump or no-Trump camp. If the no-Trump camp is split between 6 candidates, they'll never beat him. This is sort of what happened in 2016.

Scott entering the race is mostly nothing. Makes me think he's just looking for some national attention to angle for that VP spot. He's more or less Black Mike Pence. Or it's some money laundering operation because there is no one sane who thinks he stands a chance against Trump in a primary.

CrimsonFox 05-22-2023 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3402153)
They can. But I think Republicans are in the Trump or no-Trump camp. If the no-Trump camp is split between 6 candidates, they'll never beat him. This is sort of what happened in 2016.

Scott entering the race is mostly nothing. Makes me think he's just looking for some national attention to angle for that VP spot. He's more or less Black Mike Pence. Or it's some money laundering operation because there is no one sane who thinks he stands a chance against Trump in a primary.


i guess my question is rhetorical....because there really is no answer other than people are dumb coorupt stupid ignorant greedy horrible ....stares blankly...

NobodyHere 05-22-2023 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3402153)
They can. But I think Republicans are in the Trump or no-Trump camp. If the no-Trump camp is split between 6 candidates, they'll never beat him. This is sort of what happened in 2016.

Scott entering the race is mostly nothing. Makes me think he's just looking for some national attention to angle for that VP spot. He's more or less Black Mike Pence. Or it's some money laundering operation because there is no one sane who thinks he stands a chance against Trump in a primary.


There is truth to this. There were a lot of people against Trump but they couldn't coalesce around any particular candidate. It's almost if the Republican anti-trumpers need their own primary before the general Republican primary.

I think Scott is mostly trying to get his name in the news in order to build some national gravitas in anticipation of a 2028 run. Or maybe he'll catch a lucky break such as Trump getting a criminal conviction.

Lathum 05-22-2023 09:04 PM

Maybe it is the algorithm but I am really seeing a lot of variations from GOP accounts on Twitter, actual accounts, not dopes like Charile Kirk, all claiming some version of "if we default it is Joe Bidens fault." I am 100% sure the plan is default and blame it on him. This is the same "stolen /election" playbook they used by saying for months leading up to the election if Trump loses it is because of fraud, then when it happened the idea was already seeded, watered, and grown.

JonInMiddleGA 05-22-2023 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3402163)
It's almost if the Republican anti-trumpers need their own primary before the general Republican primary.


That already exists. It's called the Demonrat Primary.

Hell, I'm ready to be all-in on DeSantis and hope Trump steps aside/stands down but it doesn't take much to figure out what the worse than useless sacks of shit under the "never Trump" banner are. They're fucking (D)s.

The only meaningful difference in the bulk of them versus actual Ds is the willingness to publicly declare moral, intellectual, and economical bankruptcy, interested in nothing so much as destroying a once great nation as quickly & thorougly as possible.

And for as little regard as I have for Ds -- I still rate the party below Al-Qaida -- at least they're willing to just admit who & what they are, if not in words than by deed and association. That's more than can be said for that pack of rabble.

MJ4H 05-22-2023 09:21 PM

what the hell

Flasch186 05-22-2023 09:28 PM

There he is


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Brian Swartz 05-23-2023 06:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox
i guess my question is rhetorical....because there really is no answer other than people are dumb coorupt stupid ignorant greedy horrible ....stares blankly...


Eh, I would just say that it's tough to expect the average person to make these kinds of calls and thread the needle between being principled and being practical. That's assuming they are conscientious and well-informed, which of course isn't going to be the case for most anyway.

It's not all that different from how Democrats coalesced around Biden when it looked like Bernie might win the nomination, or how a lot of Democrats don't want Biden to run again but at the same time won't accept the y current alternatives such as RFK Jr. I just think at a certain point you either accept the front-runner/presumptive nominee or you don't, but also we're really early in the process and it's way too soon to require that kind of narrowing.

One point I would differ on in 2016; I don't think the problem was that the anti-Trump republicans wouldn't support a single candidate. I think it was that the majority of republicans wanted Trump. As hilarious as it is to hear Jon calling life-long, dedicated Republicans like John Kasich Democrats, the voters told their party leadership they didn't like what they were selling and liked Trump better. If that's still the case, they'll nominate him again regardless of who the other candidates are.

MJ4H 05-23-2023 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3402176)
Eh, I would just say that it's tough to expect the average person to make these kinds of calls and thread the needle between being principled and being practical. That's assuming they are conscientious and well-informed, which of course isn't going to be the case for most anyway.

It's not all that different from how Democrats coalesced around Biden when it looked like Bernie might win the nomination, or how a lot of Democrats don't want Biden to run again but at the same time won't accept the y current alternatives such as RFK Jr. I just think at a certain point you either accept the front-runner/presumptive nominee or you don't, but also we're really early in the process and it's way too soon to require that kind of narrowing.

One point I would differ on in 2016; I don't think the problem was that the anti-Trump republicans wouldn't support a single candidate. I think it was that the majority of republicans wanted Trump. As hilarious as it is to hear Jon calling life-long, dedicated Republicans like John Kasich Democrats, the voters told their party leadership they didn't like what they were selling and liked Trump better. If that's still the case, they'll nominate him again regardless of who the other candidates are.


Are we pretending RFK Jr. is a viable "alternative?" I don't think saying democrats won't accept him as an alternative is a valid point anymore than it would be to call your kid a picky eater and then citing his refusal to eat his own excrement as your example.

albionmoonlight 05-23-2023 08:39 AM

Yeah, RFK Jr. isn't serious.

It is understood that if your incumbent president wants to run for reelection, you don't oppose that. You'll always get your cranks who try. But all the serious candidates are going to wait four years. (Or jump in if Biden has a health scare and decides not to run again).

Brian Swartz 05-23-2023 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MJ4H
Are we pretending RFK Jr. is a viable "alternative?" I don't think saying democrats won't accept him as an alternative is a valid point anymore than it would be to call your kid a picky eater and then citing his refusal to eat his own excrement as your example.


Ok, but that's really kind of the point, isn't it? I agree with albion that the incumbent running again is expected, but about half of Democrats say they don't want him to. So if you're going to say that, then you have to say who would be a reasonable alternative.

You can say the same thing about alternatives to Trump in 2016 or this year, none of them are acceptable and so on. I mean, I don't see it that way and I'm sure you likely don't, but I think it's also obvious that at least in '16 that is the way a lot of republican primary voters saw it. And if you want to throw out the RFK example be my guest, but the Sanders-Biden situation I think is fairly squarely on point.

MJ4H 05-23-2023 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3402195)
Ok, but that's really kind of the point, isn't it? I agree with albion that the incumbent running again is expected, but about half of Democrats say they don't want him to. So if you're going to say that, then you have to say who would be a reasonable alternative.

You can say the same thing about alternatives to Trump in 2016 or this year, none of them are acceptable and so on. I mean, I don't see it that way and I'm sure you likely don't, but I think it's also obvious that at least in '16 that is the way a lot of republican primary voters saw it. And if you want to throw out the RFK example be my guest, but the Sanders-Biden situation I think is fairly squarely on point.


My only point here is RFK Jr. is not a serious alternative. He's a literal joke.


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