The question to inoculate teachers as part of Phase 1a is brought to the forefront because of a GA community that did inoculate teachers, was reported on, and now has lost it vaccine pipeline until Jul 27 (no idea how Jul 27 was determined).

Even though my wife is a teacher, I agree with this move. There is no easy answers but GA and all other states (well, if not all, most of them) have agreed that teachers are in Phase 1b. And studies have shown that schools are not as badly impacted with infections as one (including me) would have assumed.

Ga. community pays price after moving teachers ahead in vaccination line

Good news on another vaccine coming online soon with Novavax at 89% efficacy.

Fight brewing between UK and EU with AstraZeneca and who gets what, how many and by when. We think the US is messed up ...

EU publishes AstraZeneca contract amid coronavirus vaccine row | Euronews

Nice graphic that shows vaccinations per 100,000. Seems like UK at 11,700 of 100,000 is getting much more done than rest of EU (not sure if because supply is greater or they are just doing a better job "jabbing").

COVID-19 vaccine: Which country in Europe has immunised the most people? | Euronews

I didn't find a consolidated per 100,000 for the US but found by state. Seems the majority of states are between 6-8,000 per 100,000 which is better than EU.

CDC COVID Data Tracker

I am missing something here.


If I am reading this correctly, the first bolded part suggests that some of those people turned down the opportunity to get the vaccine but everyone who wanted the vaccine got it. Then, the second bolded part suggests that no seniors who want the vaccine have not been able to get it due to the teachers getting it instead. Who in the county was being hurt by vaccinating the teachers? Is the plan for all counties to wait for all people in Phase 1a(including those who are skeptical and are waiting) to get their vaccines until they move to the next phase? Are the counties supposed to give up what they have to other counties until the state says the Phase 1a folks are done? Or it just as simple as the state being pissed that the county went rogue?

I read that and it sounded as if all Phase 1a that wanted vaccinations had been done (this needs to be confirmed).

But yeah, if a county truly had excess supply left over, return it to the "bank" who will then distribute the excess to other counties not as fortunate (e.g. including mine).

And yes, I am sure state was also PO that a county went rogue. If one goes rogue on this rule, I can easily see other counties going rogue with other things also.

Some more good news (but not really for western countries but others). I'm sure western countries will favor the other vaccines with better efficacy than J&J's 66-85% range.

My guess is J&J will have more success in developing nations along with the Chinese vaccine. Still not a bad thing if the US can somehow help with manufacturing, distribution & cost.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/29/healt...lts/index.html

Ok. Well then, it is political decision and not a triage issue as the governor's office has says. Not a big deal as we all acknowledge the political nature of all of this.

I am curious about how the redistribution of the vaccines is working. From what I understand, the vaccine has a 30 day shelf life. If I have possession of the vaccine and I am "done" vaccinating everyone who wants one in the current phase, when do I make the decision that those who don't want it at this point in time are SOL and send my excess to another county? At the 20 day mark? 25 day mark? I am sure there are people who were dead set against getting the vaccine on January 1st who have decided they want to be vaccinated today. Why would I give away "their" vaccine? Also do I send my excess supply of vaccines on say day 25 to a county that might let it expire before they use it?

Yes, I am treating the vaccine is the same way we treat traditional government resources. I don't see why the local counties would look at it any other way. The quicker they get the people in their county vaccinated the quicker their county get back to normalcy right?

Many places have moved on to the next phase. I assuming if I have no more people in this phase I can open it up to the next group. If people from earlier phases change their mind, they can get in line with the next group.

I don't see it as solely a political decision or triage. I think both is true and "triage" is applicable here (e.g. for entire state)


Assuming they are done with everyone that wants Phase 1a, that county made a decision at a point in time to vaccinate into Phase 1b. I contend, at that point, they tell whoever is coordinating it GA state wide "hey, we've vaccinated all that wants to be vaccinate. We have 1,000 vials left, let us keep 100 in reserve in case there are late stragglers but here's your 900 back to redistribute to other counties".


I see it differently. I may be wrong but assume there was an agreement ahead of time to follow state rules and state rules say we are currently in Phase 1a for X populations. It wasn't "here's 10,000 vials county, do as you wish".

This may be true for other states. I may be wrong but apparently not in that county in question and definitely not in my county just yet. I have honestly not read anything that says GA has moved to Phase 1b.

Minnesota has given a first dose to 10+% of its population (counting only folks 16 years of age or older). Considering this should be the slowest part of the rollout, that doesn't seem too bad.

I am sure you were just throwing numbers out there, but if we use those numbers than there is a problem with the distribution plan. There is no way they should have 1,000 vials left if 100 vials in reserve is enough to deal with late stragglers.

Beyond that, those stragglers still have priority to get the vaccine while the county is in phase 1A. Even if they come in on the last day of Phase 1A, they should still have access to the vaccine and not have that access given away to someone in another county. If the vaccine is going to be redistributed, it needs to be publicize that X number of days after a shipment of vaccine arrives, we are sending it to another county because after 30 days it is no good to anyone.

If you are asking me, I would prefer the vaccine go to the people in that phase in other counties. Having the vaccine expired is unconscionable. I just don't know too many local governments who are voluntarily sacrificing such a valuable resource to another county in that way when they have a local need. This is not like sandbags. A compromise could be to allow Phase 1A residents from other counties to come in and get vaccinated. But again the reality of local government is about taking care of its residents first all the time.

I get why the state would be upset with the county. I just don't know how not giving the county the vaccine for 6 months for other residents benefits anyone.

My mom got her first shot yesterday in KY. She's considered in group 1B. I will be in 1C, which should be rolling out in the next couple weeks. It was a pretty smooth process all in all.

This I agree with. Seems childishly punitive.

Replace those officials, put a watchdog over them etc. Many over avenues to take before not giving them anymore till Jul which is ridiculous.

Caught only a bit of the Coronavirus press briefing today.

The 2 sign language interpreters for Psaki and the task force seem to be having great fun with animatic facial expressions.

Stupid question (I think) to our medical professionals here. Is there a reason why these vaccines can't be produced in like an epi-pen where anyone can inject themselves?

Probably too late now to change manufacturing and ramp up epi-pen "syringes" but theoretically, could this have been done with early enough planning? e.g. for next time, money won't be a problem.

Generally speaking you don't want people injecting themselves if it can be helped. Not to mention the temperature at which these must be stored at would probably preclude an easy Epipen-like production. Not a medical professional but married to one.

Because people are stupid.

Not trying to be snarky, that is just a fact. People drank aquarium cleaner because they thought it would help prevent Covid. There is a section of the population that would double their dosage thinking it would help, or give it to their 8 year old, or ingest it, etc...

Okay, I can see the argument about not wanting people to inject themselves or misuse it, and of course, the storage requirements.

A little more on the EU-AstraZeneca fight. Interesting read. Basically EU was late in approving/signing contracts so AstraZeneca is doing like first-in-first-out. But says EU could possibly "force" AstraZeneca to supply EU first which will cause many problems if other countries follow suit (e.g. in their own best self-interest).

Article is making it sound that AZ is right. But any members here have an opinion here?

The EU-AstraZeneca vaccine fight, explained - Vox

Vox link also has a table for # of people vaccinated per 100.

Israel, UAE, Serbia, UK, Iceland, US. Israel is far ahead; UAE and Serbia and UK are pretty decent. Iceland and US are neck to neck.

Okay, I get Israel, UAE (money), UK, US. But wonder what Serbia and Iceland did right to get on the list.

How did you guys know it was in Phase 1B?

Did you check a website daily? Dr. told her? Local newspaper?

And did all counties in KY move lock step with each other e.g. the counties went into Phase 1B together?

She had heard it on the news, but the state also lets you sign up for text and email notifications and they will let you know when you can sign up too.

Pretty sure the whole state is in unison since the vaccination sites are laid out by region.

Serbia and Iceland haven't vaccinated more per 100 than those others in total, their current 7-day daily average per 100 is just higher. It looks like they both started vaccinating later and are now at a strong pace. (Though they are doing something right - they're just still well behind the U.S. and U.K. in total dosages per 100).

I posted in the other thread that I might have gotten exposed while visiting my uncle at his acute care center. Just got the results back, and yep, I have it.

C'mon, guys. Can you really compare the vaccination plan of a country like Iceland with the plan in the USA as a country? That's not just apples and oranges, that's like comparing a blueberry to a pumpkin. I mean, roughly, Iceland has a population the size of a city like Cleveland or New Orleans, spread around the outside borders on an island the size of a state like Ohio or Louisiana. Still, Iceland has a very high GPD per capita, on par with the USA's, which would assume they have the resources financially, yet working with a very different kind of nationwide health care situation, and completely other logistic challenges: like how to get those vaccines imported onto the island.

I think you can compare how different countries are doing relative to their population size. The logistics of every country are important, certainly, but it's also on each country to have or not have a medical system/plan that is appropriate to those concerns.

MIJB#19, Anything to share about the Netherlands COVID riots?

I didn't even know it happened until I saw this article linked from another article (talking about GME, of all things):
https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/...are-a-bad-omen

SI

Ugh. Sorry cartman. I hope you are asymptomatic.

Not really... It feels like a waste of time to give these obtuse ignorant brainless juvenile people the attention they're provokingly seeking.
Anyway, previous weekend a 9 PM curfew was enforced. It appears to have drawn out bored 14-25 year-olds wannabees looking for drama. And then what happened is the kind of stupidity that ensues after the Phillies claim to have done something noteworthy, but the only way people outside their own homeland will take note is after the moronic part of the crowd burns down their own hometown.

I took the test yesterday morning, and started having symptoms last night, which would have been right at 5 days since exposure. So far it is light fever and body aches. When I woke up this morning and got the results, I wasn't surprised.

Sorry to hear.

What's the next steps for you? Spoke with doc and have some sort of treatment plan or wait and see if it gets worse?

I got my first dose of Pfizer earlier this week. Sore arm, but that's common for me on shots. Other than that nothing really.

I wish cartman well too, but I also can't help but notice his forum tag is "Death Herald"

Just sayin

Take care, cartman.

I too have a sore arm from a vaccine, but it was the shingles vaccine.

Good task force update today. They seem to be holding them M-W-F at 11am ET. Having 3 updates a week update forces everyone to be more diligent & accountable since they know there will be questions/challenges. Sorely missing from previous admin.

1) Easy to use test kits. Only 100,000 per month right now but supposedly ramp up into millions per month by end of year. Don't think it'll help too much in the near future

2) Some statistics on "equity". Apparently, there are many more blacks/hispanics ending up in hospitals/fatality rates than whites/asians. Task force said data is incomplete right now (e.g. race is not being reported for many yet).

The task force is going to try make this more equitable somehow. They didn't speculate as to why there was this discrepancy but I think assumption is less easy access to healthcare.

3) Current plan to inoculate everyone by end of summer does not factor in the 2 new vaccines. The 2 new ones still need to be approved, data reviewed etc. Not sure if the 2 new ones can significantly impact current timeline.

4) They say because production & distribution of Moderna/Pfizer is more predictable now. This means providers should be giving everyone first shots (not holding out to 2nd shots) because when the time comes for the 2nd shots, there will be more available.

TBH, this sounds less than convincing to me. But I do agree with get everyone the first shot even if 2nd shot is not forthcoming due to supply chain issues.

5) Even though 2 new vaccines seem to have lower efficacy, Fauci stressed that both seem to prevent serious hospitalizations. So definitely still worth getting.

The updates & questions are specific to vaccines, variants, supply etc. but there's not been any discussions on therapies (that I've heard). I would like to know if there are more therapies coming on line, what changes to treatment is recommended etc.

I follow a couple of people on Twitter who are in VA and there's a storyline going which is fascinating. I'm probably only seeing one side of it, but the basic gist is - teachers are getting vaccinated in certain counties as part of this early "first responders" group, but they are currently virtual and the teachers union is refusing to agree to go back until kids are vaccinated and the county rate is 0%. So the question is, why the fresh f*ck are you jumping to the head of the line when you aren't actually taking any greater risks than the rest of the general working population?

My personal take, and this doesn't necessarily have anything to do with teachers specifically, is that were spending to much time and effort trying to get shots to the right people rather than getting shots to people. Once you've run out of people in a a phase in an area willing to get a shot then they should immediately get it to people in the next phase. IMO, it's more important to get shots to as many as possible in this scenario than waste time shipping vaccines around (and risk losing them) trying to find eligible people willing to get the shot.

I find the debates over who is more worthy of vaccines exhausting. It really doesn't matter. If we can get them all out to whoever wants them in 4-5 months or whatever, let's try to skip as much of the time, resources, and expenses associated with ranking people as possible and maybe shave a few weeks off of the total time for deployment.

Maybe the most efficient category to separate people would have been age. That's it. Get the vaccine out to as many pharmacies as possible, rather then adding the layer of funneling them through specific employers and other groups, and then everybody who is X years old gets first dibs for this particular time period, then we move on to the next age group.

I've come around to thinking age+ would work. Set the age wherever and then add other groups, responders, teachers, etc., if needed. The key is making it easy to use all of the vaccine. Now that NY has gone to 65+ and others, there is more demand than supply.

I know what thread you put this in, but you could have attached these few words to sentences to posts in so many other threads and it would be appropriate. But alas, that is what we do.

It would be great if they could come up with models which determined application to which group(s) would most dampen the spread and ultimately deaths. But, as we have no real numbers or tracking or anything like that, just give it to anyone.

(I mean, sure -- old people are the most at risk. At the same time, protecting those who have already lived the most seems almost like giving stimulus relief to those with the most money. Callous, but do you save whatever time a 95yo has left, or a 50yo? It would also make some sense to me to vaccinate younger people -- say, college students -- than someone like me who works from home and never bothers to go out just because the younger people might interact (i.e. spread) with others more.)

It feels like if they studied this, it would turn out like the studies on how best to load an airplane - nothing is really much better than anything else, even though logically you'd think certain ways would be better than others.

Well....

MythBusters Episode 222: Airplane Boarding

:D

Exacfly. Four of the 6 were within a minute of each other, and the one that people always say should logically be the best way (back to front) was the slowest..

Ageism.

I think there is a valid argument about what the goal is though right... to protect people or to get this to a place where we stop the spread and gain some kind of herd immunity against it?

Because if the former of course 96 year old grannie should get it first... but she’s pretty much the worst bet for the latter. Chances are she lives at home or in a home and sees 3-5 people a week. So now she’s safe, but we’ve just inoculated a person who wasn’t going to spread it anyway. Where as maybe you look at that 23 barista who hasn’t stopped working since March, if she’s truly a candidate for covid you could be doing a lot of going by giving her a 90+ percent chance of never catching it at all.

I think that’s a conversation we can have without talking about death squads or ageism. I also wonder how the J&J vaccine with lower prevent but pretty much guaranteed mild illness at worst changes this conversation - logically you’d think that would be the one to give older at risk groups, but by then they will all have had it anyway.

This is purely anecdotal, but here's the scenario with me and my uncle. (real life, not the song)

I heard from my cousin this morning, and my uncle is no longer showing any symptoms. He never was hospitalized, or even had to go on a ventilator. I was really worried about him, being as frail as he currently is, getting hammered by the virus. As for me, my fever broke yesterday, which is about 5 days ahead of schedule.

He did get the first of the two vaccine shots about 10 days before I visited. Maybe that provided enough of a boost to knock down the effect of the virus for him, and weakened what was passed on to me.

Approx 32M vaccinations now in the US. No pattern of deaths that I've read other than the 23 in Norway?

Adverse long-term effects is still (of course) TBD.

I like the latest news of Feds shipping directly to the pharmacies. It looks as if vaccine production isn't the problem now/soon but really the "last mile". It's frakking ridiculous that my county doesn't have a better system of notifying people other than manually checking the website everyday. A simple sign-up for email/text notification when the next phase is up would be so simple.

Stunning to me how quickly the GOP has gone anti-vax

Back to regularly scheduled non-political Coronavirus news.

Watched the task force briefing today. It was pretty boring but Fauci basically said there is evidence that teachers/schools are not that bad for infections. I personally find that hard to believe but found below article (other articles are similar).

In wife's county, school is back to in person. Some kids can ask for remote but majority are back. So I guess Fauci is somewhat reassuring.

(From The Atlantic)

The other thing Fauci said was while UK has good data about just 1 shot (get everyone 1 shot first before worrying about the 2nd shot), the US will still follow the science and press for 2 shots. The obvious question that wasn't asked is why doesn't US ask to look at UK data (or try replicate it in the US) and confirm that 1 shot first approach is good.

The task force is kinda bypassing this issue by saying "yes, do the 1 shot for everyone, don't worry about 2nd shot because supply is ramping up and you'll get it in time". It's the supply is ramping up and you'll get it in time that I personally don't feel confident in.

I had a long response eaten up by these links going all wonky and I didn't want this thread to end up like the Random Thoughts thread so I'll retry the Cliffs Notes version (ok, my Cliffs Notes so it's still long) and there are hxxp links so I don't have to retype this a third time in increasingly poorer quality

That was from this article in October:
hxxps://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/10/schools-arent-superspreaders/616669/

It's been superseded (sort of) but this one:
hxxps://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/01/just-open-schools-already/617849/
(Of course, they also have a story from this past week about how the point is moot because we're out of teachers due to COVID)

But that article:
1) Uses a couple of interview contract tracing studies (in the US it's abysmal, maybe better elsewhere - but still problematic, below)
1) Debunks 2 older studies - but that's not a positive, that's just negating a negative
3) Talks mechanistically about spreading being weaker in kids due to ACE receptors (now we're getting somewhere, but it's still unknown)
4) Falls back on "why doesn't someone think of the children" tropes about why school is important - we'll get to that at the end here

It's still stunning to me that we're pretending schools aren't major spreaders.

Schools are super spreaders for every other disease, to a greater or lesser degree. Even if COVID is, mechanistically, less likely to spread in kids, it's not 0. Those studies, again, have only shown small sample size or relied on inadequate contact tracing in the US. Notice how that study from October was from the US and now The Atlantic has an article about how we're out of teachers. We've seen that it's really hard to nail down where you were exposed to COVID unless you only do exactly 1 "risky" activity a week. But if you went into work for 5 days, got a haircut, went into the grocery store, and dined in a restaurant all in one week and got COVID, there's no way to tell where you got it in this country - it's just too endemic.

Are they less of spreaders than a similarly sized church? Probably, because, again, mechanistically, kids are /less/ spreadable. But, let's be honest, we shouldn't have churches open right now either except perhaps outdoors and in much smaller sizes.

And, finally, we get back around to the weighing school vs not school. There's never any good numbers as to how safe/unsafe schools are. It's just "they're not as bad as we thought" and then fall back on other reasons. And those reasons are real problems, real societal failings: suicide, meal programs, inequity, school funding, and losing education (though there's not a lot of concrete proof on that one and there's some the other direction that a new learning environment can be positive, though not across the board). But it's so hard to weigh them when the answers of "how safe is it" is "safe-ish" without anything else behind that.

And they line up 4 bulleted points to make schools "safe"-ish - things like making kids wear masks (which we can't even get adults to do) and talking quietly (hah) or increase vaccination (which has nothing to do with kids since they can't even get them) and better scientific information (which is so nebulous, never mind how many deaf ears good scientific information is falling on).

SI

Don't disagree. I find it hard to understand Fauci/task force saying it was okay to open schools up even if not everyone has been vaccinated, not where there's a lot of infections etc. There has to be a nuance-or-something I'm missing.

But Psaki did seem to walk that back later in her briefing saying CDC would agree its not a formal recommendation yet.

I don't think they are fully coordinated here. No surprise but I expect they will have a definite official line soon.

Another victim of the covids:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rep...67-sources-say

Flu season is pretty mellow this year, likely due to the coronavirus restrictions. One good side effect of all these precautions most of us are taking.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/09/healt...ess/index.html

I suspect there are probably some flu coded as COVID but it's not a substantial number. I always thought the whole "twindemic" idea was a stupid theory. The precautions that part of society was taking was going to stunt the growth of the non-dominant virus. And the the dominant virus was always going to be COVID, considering flu was non-existent this summer and fall but COVID was running wild.

SI

I had my first ever flu jab just yesterday - an article I read made sense in that with the massive drop in flu this season (95% here) it’s possible that there will be a greater susceptibility next winter as people will not have recent antibodies, plus it makes working out which flu variant will become dominant very difficult, further increasing risk if the vaccine is developed to counter a non-dominant version of the virus.

No-one knows what next winter will look like with Covid, and maybe anti-Covid measures will again keep a lid on flu, but for the sake of £13 I figured let’s get some base protection that may stand in good stead in the winter.

Next year could, indeed, be interesting. But I have no idea what to expect of next year with COVID, much less anything else. Crystal ball is still too hazy.

SI

I got my flu-shot back in October. I normally catch something even with the shot but like to think it lessens the severity.

My guess is we'll get Covid booster shots for the next couple years as it mutates.

That's my expectation as well

SI

So my semi-random thought of the day... once everyone has had access to vaccines won't the easiest way to overcome the barriers of people being somewhat anti-Vaxx or just being somewhat lazy & go from 60-90% taking the vaccine be governments/major sports leagues(/including NCAA football) saying you can have full crowds as long as people can provide proof they got vaccinated?

Sports leagues led the way in showcasing how massive this was by shutting down. If they require vaccines to enter, sure people will try to fake vaccine cards, but it will incentivize a lot people to get them.

I could see the NBA doing this, maybe. But MLB? Who is desperate for every fan.. dollar than they can get and with no long term planning whatsoever?

SI

I could see a lot of state governments requiring it if the leagues don't, though that probably doesn't help in SEC country.

NY state admitting that it was fudging the hell out of its numbers.

Very uncool.

I can't wait for DeSantis or Kemp to use Cuomo as an example of the evil Democrats when they're doing the exact same thing but still lying about it

SI

What were they reporting incorrectly? Haven't found anything about it.

Cuomo aide admits they hid nursing home data from feds

The numbers were there in the excess death numbers with the CDC, just not the official COVID numbers.

Meanwhile, here in the Upstate of SC, the main hospital system up here is closing 4 vaccination sites to "consolidate and streamline." They're now sending 4 counties to 1 spot. The real reason is because they either haven't received or have received far fewer doses than ordered for the last week.

My wife runs a moderate sized physician practice and were told to get everything in order months ago to administer vaccines. Currently, they're still waiting on approval from the state and she said they don't expect to ever receive doses, nor do any other practices in the state. They basically spent 10k on equipment they'll never get to use.

Also, there's a large PPE shortage going on and is getting much worse.

Was just able to sign up to get vaccinated through Rite aid next Thursday. Looks like I got lucky and signed up before all the spots filled

Thanks for the link. Wonder how many more stories like that are out there at all levels of government.

Most all symptoms are now gone. What is lingering is still lack of smell and taste, and I get tired really easily. I've also now started experiencing "COVID fingers". The skin on the tips of my fingers is peeling off. It isn't painful, just strange.

Glad you're feeling better, cartman.

but do you have an anal probe?

A lot of good COVID news lately. I'm starting to feel pretty optimistic about our spring and summer travel plans.

54.6 million dosages given in the U.S. so far. 12% of the population has received at least one dose. Lots of deals in place for hundreds of millions more to be distributed in 2021. It's really looking like anyone who wants one will be able to get one by April or May.

We've gone from a 7-day average of new daily cases of 255k on January 11 to 87k as of yesterday. 65% drop in a little over a month. And the 7-day average of daily deaths went from 3,429 on 1/26 to 2,481 as of yesterday. 28% down in three weeks.

My state has had an even bigger drop, from a peak of 1,654 new cases a day per the 7-day average to 260 now.

Maybe there's some seasonal/reduced human mobility factors there, but I'm convinced there's a partial herd immunity dynamic where most of the people who haven't taken precautious have already gotten it and have some immunity by now, and millions of those who have taken precautions and remain vulnerable are being vaccinated every week. There's just not as much opportunity to spread.

I saw that Alaska has dropped it's requirement of a negative COVID test to enter the state. It's kind of a tricky requirement because even if you're willing to play ball, there was no guarantee you were going to get your result back in time for it to qualify within their parameters of when it had to be administered. This news came after it started looking like all of the cruise ship companies are probably going to skip another Alaska season. Which I think makes Alaska a premiere go-to destination for 2021 - we might get up there twice.

4.5 weeks check-in.

Communications is definitely better and Biden definitely gets the credit. Also believe supply is doing better now. Supply was inevitably going to ramp up anyway though but I'll give him the "incremental" credit.

Not convinced the inoculations are going significantly better (or at least not yet). CDC says 73M doses and 58M with at least one jab.

Approx 1.5M to 2M jabs a day. Using 2M, that means 7 days of supply not distributed. Assuming supply is coming in on a regular basis now, is this 7 day lag good? Why haven't near or all been used already?

Biden claims this is a war and I agree with that. He has also supposedly mobilized military, retirees, leveraging stadiums etc. to help with inoculations etc. It may be happening but haven't seen much in MSM. And the inability to make appts even if you are in the current Phase indicates there is still a problem.

I want to see inoculation centers open 24x7 (okay, maybe 18x7). I want to see pics of long lines of cars/people getting inoculated in stadiums or field hospitals. I want to see 73M doses distributed with 68M inoculated ... and I still want media to be reporting on the week-to-week supply that Moderna, Pfizer etc. says will be planned for production (I know those damn reports exist somewhere).

Seems all of these are doable in a war time mindset. The sense of urgency is being reported by Psaki, Biden, Fauci etc. but I've not personally seen/read much results of this urgency in practice.

Outside of the politics, the one thing I keep coming back to is the timeline on when we move on to the next phase and the next group to be inoculated. from what I have seen, a third of whatever demographic you look at is either skeptical or refuse to get the vaccine. For example, Florida is still in Phase 1 of its plan. That phase include people over 65, healthcare workers and people deemed high risk. Using rough numbers, Florida has vaccinated about 43% of people in that group with at least the first shot. Now, there are still a large number of people in that group who are still waiting to get appointment. However, we are getting to a point those who are not vaccinated, are not vaccinated by choice rather than opportunity.

If I have a vaccine specifically ready for Random Person in Phase 1 and Random Person in Phase 1 does not want the vaccine, what happens to the vaccine? The rules say I can't give the vaccine to anyone else in any of the other phases, many places don't have waiting lists for the current phase and there is an expiration date on the vaccine. I think the reason some of the numbers are a bit stagnate (again outside of politics) is we seem to be waiting for everyone in Phase 1 to be vaccinated when we know that will not be the case at this point. I don't know when we need to move on to the next phase, but that time has to be coming sooner rather than later.

Ask and ye shall receive.

Pretty amazing the scene at the @LiacourasCenter right now. Hundreds lined up in the sleet and freezing rain to get their vaccine at the #BlackDoctorsCovid19Consortium 24-hour vaccine-a-thon. @NBCPhiladelphia pic.twitter.com/ESpLOw45QC

— Danny Freeman (@DannyEFreeman) February 19, 2021

Thanks. Wonder if that is one of the exceptions vs rule? Not happening in GA that I know of but admittedly MSM is easily distracted.

I wonder if indoor stadiums are the way to go. Folks can sit spaced apart. Basic facilities are available etc. It may disadvantage those without means to get to the stadium but it would relieve the other centers that they would go to.

GA had an example of this where a county went "rogue" and gave leftovers to non-current Phase in that county. In that case, that county should have given the not-wanted shots to other counties or back to the overall-bank.


I think it's relatively easy to tell when to move to next phase by state

1) Est no. of people in current Phase
2) Track # of shots given
3) Est no. of weeks/days
4) Once # of shots is within 85-90% or close of #3 go ahead an move to next Phase

I get (1) can't be entirely accurate but approx counts can be found by pulling from different sources.

This information should made available so everyone knows how things are progressing and can guestimate. Easy enough to create a dashboard tracking this or similar metrics.

Well I guess this is good news.

Pfizer: COVID vaccine doesn't need to be stored at freezing temps anymore

Now this is a great plan. It is perfectly understandable that Biden does not "give/donate" US shots to other countries while we still need them, but giving money to other countries to buy shots is the right thing to do.

$4B is nice but should be more IMO. And he should be asking other western and rich-oil countries to chip in.

[url="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/19/covid-19-live-updates.html"]

That is a first come first serve operation. I can't say I have seen those in FL. Everything locally has been based on appointments only.

The relative ease of moving all depends on the state. I just think people would like to know that their turn is coming soon. It would be unfair for me to cast all of the other states in a bad light given the BS we are dealing with here. I would look more toward 60-70% of a population of a phase being completely vaccinated (both shots) before going to the next phase for the reasons I explained before.

I respectfully disagree. If it was either or, I'd get more first shots out to most everyone before worrying about second shots.

I know Fauci doesn't support the science as its not been done in the US but UK scientists are good enough for me.

Good. We're already 27 trillion dollars in the hole. What's another 4 billion?

I was thinking maybe $40B. Call it interest free 20-year loan.

A drop in the bucket vs paying off $50K each of student loans.

China's perfectly content to buy up international favors on the cheap doing this:

China’s 'vaccine diplomacy'Â*fills void in developing world

SI

Israeli data suggests a 90% decrease in Infection for BionTech/Pfizer. Considering Moderna has looked similar in pretty much all benchmarks i vote the big countries pay both of them whatever the fuck they want to sweeten the deal for them to grant licenses to other manufacturers and pay those whatever the hell they need to get up and running asap and then blanket less developed countries with the cooling facilities needed to get it done as well. (especially since Biontech also now figures that it can be stored up to 2 weeks at -15 degrees celcius, so basically a good medical fridge rather than specialised freezers).
There's a window now to at least reduce this sucker to a sort of negligible oddity now and do it globally, before more variants emerge and you have to globally reset things to a degree.

That makes a lot of sense.
This started out as the "Wuhan" virus, but the past weeks the talk over here was about the severity of the spread of the "British variant", "Brazilian variant" and "South African variant". We can't all emigrate to Australia and New Zealand and perceive to be safe there.

Fauci, honestly once everyone in the US gets the 2 shots (let's say by Sep), I may continue wearing masks for a couple more months ... but I'm not planning on wearing a mask after. Maybe on a plane, travel to another country not yet done with inoculations, or enclosed stadium but that's about it.

I think the reason that they are saying you should wear a mask afterwards is because there isn't enough research whether vaccinated people can pass on the virus to others. And until there is a herd immunity they want to keep those who haven't yet been vaccinated as safe as possible. And he's not convinced it will happen by September.

As he said: "If you combine getting most of the people in the country vaccinated with getting the level of virus in the community very, very low, then I believe you’re going to be able to say, for the most part, we don’t necessarily have to wear masks"

It won't happen, but I'd love to see people take responsibility and wear a mask when they feel cold or flu symptoms. That could make a real difference in respiratory disease transmission.

Haven't seen this reported elsewhere so hope this is true.

https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden...a3c7b5eda0faba

I've seen some people say we'll hit herd immunity by the end of April. Maybe that's optimistic but with all these doses coming, it seems like numbers will be drastically down soon.

My guess is mask mandates drop when the virus levels have lowered enough. Maybe I'm too hopeful but I believe by the end of Summer life will be somewhat back to normal.

Also, there are plenty other viruses that the same mask stops spreading. Quite honestly i can't see myself not wearing one on, say, public transport in the future. One of them things you never consider, but now that i am aware i can't just go back to acting like an inconsiderate doofus.

Barring bad weather or a Covid issue, I'll be traveling this weekend to see Caitlin's opening weekend of college softball. First time I will have left the state or slept in a bed other than my own for almost exactly a year. I almost forgot what it was like to prepare for a trip.

On a related note, I rescheduled 2 of our 3 vacations from last year (we canceled the Alaska cruise and put the money toward a covered deck addition to the house). Next real vacation will be in August, 2 years and 1 week since our last vacation. Unless you count sitting in your own house for about 50 weekends a year a vacation...

I'm confused though why it is ok for vaccinated people to not quarantine if exposed. Wouldn't that be how you get it to then pass it without wearing your mask?

Those things seem to be in conflict.

But you do have to still wear your mask. Basically the vaccine quarantine procedures are the same as quarantine procedures for someone who has already gotten Covid 19.

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FWIW I do get a flu-shot every year but I do come down with something every year. Pretty sure the flu-shot helps (e.g. reduces duration, severity etc.).

This past year, got my flu-shot and have had a couple episodes of dry cough etc. but nothing with mucus. Just one data point to add to the reduced flu season but do think the extra diligence of masks, hand washing, limiting outside exposure and working from home etc. has helped.

But all-in-all, would trade the inconvenience of a flu for the freedom to run out and do things, and be carefree.