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Edward64 12-10-2022 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3386580)
Is the evidence that she is a black, tattooed, lesbian, basketball player so of course she had drugs? For the right that is obviously the take.


Uh no? I don't watch Fox so no idea what the extremist right thinks. As an independent that has voted for both parties ... it's not about race, sexual identity etc. Most times its just stupid, entitled Americans that think they can get past other country's laws.

Google on YT Border Security Canada on all our idiots from "I've got medical marijuana so I can bring it over" to "I've got conceal carry so I can bring my gun over" to "NAFTA allows me to work in Canada without a work permit" etc.

Quote:

What evidence do you or anyone have honest question? I mean they say she had this but I wasn’t there next to her?

There's evidence on the security cam at security Brittney Griner detained: Video shows her going through security at airport in Russia - YouTube

There also her "I did it but didn't mean to" 'Honest mistake': Brittney Griner speaks in Russian court ahead of sentencing | LiveNOW from FOX - YouTube

I get there's always going to be the argument that FSB planted the drugs. That may well be true but there's no evidence that happened, nor was that part of the defense.

Do you believe she was framed and she did not bring the cannabis in her bags?

Let's see what Griner says in the inevitable forthcoming news conferences now that she doesn't need to worry about ramifications. If she says "I was framed", I'll take it back. If she doesn't say that, will you concede that she brought the cannabis in her bag?

Galaril 12-10-2022 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3386584)
Uh no? I don't watch Fox so no idea what the extremist right thinks. As an independent that has voted for both parties ... it's not about race, sexual identity etc. Most times its just stupid, entitled Americans that think they can get past other country's laws.

Google on YT Border Security Canada on all our idiots from "I've got medical marijuana so I can bring it over" to "I've got conceal carry so I can bring my gun over" to "NAFTA allows me to work in Canada without a work permit" etc.



There's evidence on the security cam at security Brittney Griner detained: Video shows her going through security at airport in Russia - YouTube

There also her "I did it but didn't mean to" 'Honest mistake': Brittney Griner speaks in Russian court ahead of sentencing | LiveNOW from FOX - YouTube

I get there's always going to be the argument that FSB planted the drugs. That may well be true but there's no evidence that happened, nor was that part of the defense.

Do you believe she was framed and she did not bring the cannabis in her bags?

Let's see what Griner says in the inevitable forthcoming news conferences now that she doesn't need to worry about ramifications. If she says "I was framed", I'll take it back. If she doesn't say that, will you concede that she brought the cannabis in her bag?


Ok so that was what I needed the video footage and I missed she pleaded guilty. Also my “right” comment was not directed at you as I remembered you are an independent.

sterlingice 12-10-2022 11:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3386583)
If the argument is the Griner/Bout trade was a loser for the US according to the prisoner exchange version of the Jimmy Johnson trade value chart, I think there is a certain amount of common ground there and arguements can be made why it should or should not have been made. However, if we are arguing that this trade is lopsided and then arguing that the Reed trade was and potential Whelan(with the provision you stated above) or Fogel trades for Bout would have been winners or at the least fairer value for the US, then no there is no way to have common ground in that case.


I have this funny image in my head of a TV with a split screen with Biden and Putin in their literal war rooms, surrounded by generals. Then Adam Silver comes on the air with the little NBA draft chime and says "For the first pick of the prisoner exchange draft, the country of Russia selects..." Then you have Mel Kiper and George Stephanopoulos debating the relative merits of the person. Silver: "We have a trade to announce. The country of Russia sends Britney Griner to the USA for Viktor Bout". Stephen A. Smith jumps in and is just incredulous.

SI

Edward64 12-10-2022 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3386583)
It has been discussed as while not an apples to apples comparison, we have allowed the "Merchant of Death" to go potentially get back to selling illegal guns that will kill Americans for just Britney Griner while not acknowledging that we also allowed 5,000 Taliban prisoners to go back to doing what they do that will kill Americans for well nothing. There is so much more but you get my gist.


Specific to the 5,000. I've seen it used in Dem talking point as a whatabout. No problem with whatabouts (but not the excessive one-after-another) as they are good to make sure we consider both sides. However, IMO the comparison with Griner is not great. That swap, at that time, was a pretty good trade and for good intentions. It didn't turn out well, but we (including majority of GOP & Dems) were looking for excuses to get out of the country and try for a Taliban-Afghan peace talk ... one last time.

Trump admin. agreed to release of 5,000 Taliban prisoners | verifythis.com
Quote:

“Up to five thousand (5,000) prisoners of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan which is not recognized by the United States as a state and is known as the Taliban and up to one thousand (1,000) prisoners of the other side will be released by March 10, 2020,” the agreement said.
:
The release of prisoners paved the way for the beginning of peace talks between the Taliban and the Afghan government. The two sides first met on Sept. 12, 2020, in Doha, Qatar, and met sporadically in the following months, but talks never made substantial progress, according to the Congressional Research Service.

Sweed 12-10-2022 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3386580)
What evidence do you or anyone have honest question? I mean they say she had this but I wasn’t there next to her? Is the evidence that she is a black, tattooed, lesbian, basketball player so of course she had drugs? For the right that is obviously the take.


She admitted it?

Quote:

Brittney stressed that she committed the crime out of carelessness, getting ready to board a plane to Russia in a hurry, not intending to break Russian law," said Griner's attorney, Maria Blagovolina, a partner at Rybalkin, Gortsunyan, Dyakin and Partners law firm.

I'll admit I haven't followed the case closely and have only followed some of the major network's coverage. IE I don't read the bloggers, twitter, or any other social media. To my recollection nobody, not her, her partner, or anyone else has denied the cannabis was there, have they?

Honestly the "I wasn't there" argument sounds like something a former President and his supporters would say when confronted with facts. This type of denial from the right is why I have gone from voting independent to voting straight (D).


Surely she was treated the way she was because of politics. Deportation should have been the result and we all move on. I can only hope all athletes and entertainers took note and will no longer perform there.

Edit: Sorry, was writing this when Edward posted his answer and you replied.

Brian Swartz 12-10-2022 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sweed
Surely she was treated the way she was because of politics. Deportation should have been the result and we all move on. I can only hope all athletes and entertainers took note and will no longer perform there.


From what I've been able to read, a prison term of a few years is typical for this in Russia. Deportation is not considered sufficient by their legal system. It's almost certainly political that she got a longer sentence, but a slap on the wrist was never on the table really.

Brian Swartz 12-10-2022 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan
However this has not played out in a vacuum and it has not been something that has been discussed as a matter of policy as you have here. It has been a personal discussion against Britney Griner IMO. It has been discussed as Griner somehow deserves her fate while Whelan, Reed and Marc Fogel do not because the Russians legal system was legit in her case and bogus in the others. It has been discussed that exchanging Bout for a WNBA player is ridiculous while at the same time arguing that the director of global security and investigations for an international automotive parts manufacturer based in Michigan who was in Russia for a wedding should have been the person exchanged for Bout. It has been discussed as while not an apples to apples comparison, we have allowed the "Merchant of Death" to go potentially get back to selling illegal guns that will kill Americans for just Britney Griner while not acknowledging that we also allowed 5,000 Taliban prisoners to go back to doing what they do that will kill Americans for well nothing. There is so much more but you get my gist.


I appreciate this post. Thank you.

At the same time, I am also appalled. Who is it that has been saying these things? I didn't even bring up Whelan/Reed/Fogel and I don't know of anyone on these forums who made the 'deserving their fate' comparison. Or derided releasing a WNBA player. If Griner is guilty of the accused crime - she may have said she was for legal reasons/minimizing sentence etc. so I don't know - that has to matter, and whether these others are guilty of what they are accused of has to matter also, as well as the fact that Bout is indirectly responsible for the deaths of how many thousands of people, but ... this is not at all the conversation that's been brought up. The only way the 5,000 have been brought up on this forum, and not by me, is explicitly as an apples-to-apples comparison.

My main question here is, is this how you view discussions on this forum and how you think others on this forum do it? Is it automatically assumed that anyone who doesn't think the trade is a good idea (or whatever other issue) is carrying water for every dumb thing said in popular culture about it by anyone who might agree with some facet of what they said and not just speaking for themselves? That's certainly not how I go about it. When I read you posting something or whoever else on the forum, I assume you are speaking for yourself and only for yourself in expressing your opinion. I think that's entry-level, fundamental decency in engaging with another human individual and that there's really no way to have productive conversations on pretty much anything without doing that.

If saying 'this was a bad trade' causes someone to be lumped in with what Trump said or McCarthy or whomever else, that's just ... there aren't really words that come to mind to fully express how bad I think that is, but one thing it definitely means is that real discussions can't happen. I.e. I don't think you're 'part of the societal group that disagrees with me on an issue'. You're a person who disagrees with me on an issue. That's it, and that's all, and that's how you deserve to be treated.

miami_fan 12-10-2022 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3386589)
Specific to the 5,000. I've seen it used in Dem talking point as a whatabout. No problem with whatabouts (but not the excessive one-after-another) as they are good to make sure we consider both sides. However, IMO the comparison with Griner is not great. That swap, at that time, was a pretty good trade and for good intentions. It didn't turn out well, but we (including majority of GOP & Dems) were looking for excuses to get out of the country and try for a Taliban-Afghan peace talk ... one last time.

Trump admin. agreed to release of 5,000 Taliban prisoners | verifythis.com


As I said it is not an apples to apples comparison. For me, the comparison is based on the assumption of risk to the US. Worse case scenario with Bout is he will recreate his network and sell guns that will kill Americans. Worse case scenario with Taliban prisoners is they will recreate what they had and that recreation will result in the killing of Americans. My guess is the current administration believes that Bout is not enough of a threat to the US to force Griner to remain in a Russian prison. My guess is the administration of the day believed that the released Taliban prisoners were not enough of a threat to prevent the pursuit of peace in Afghanistan. If Bout goes home and becomes a family man and never involves himself in the illegal gun trade, then this is a pretty good trade and for good intentions. If a terrorist attack happens and we find out that some of those former prisoners were a part of that attack or money changed hands to bring about the prisoner release,then that is not a pretty good trade and/or not for good intentions.

Of course none of this addresses why it seems people(besides Brian) would have been ok if the swap was Whelan for Bout as oppose to Griner for Bout.

miami_fan 12-10-2022 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3386594)
From what I've been able to read, a prison term of a few years is typical for this in Russia. Deportation is not considered sufficient by their legal system. It's almost certainly political that she got a longer sentence, but a slap on the wrist was never on the table really.


https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...nabi-rcna37938

This women actually received a presidential pardon after spending less than a year in prison. Interestingly, the convicted Russian cyber criminal that was associated with her case was released last year which was a year before his time was up.

Russia Fines U.S. Student With Drug Possession Over Medical Marijuana - The Moscow Times

This woman was fined the equivalent of $230.

And then there is this interesting tidbit.

Quote:

Last year, organizers of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia had said that foreign football fans would be allowed to bring medical marijuana and cocaine with prescriptions into the country during the championship.

It seems that anything can be on the table if the system wants it to be.

miami_fan 12-10-2022 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3386599)
I appreciate this post. Thank you.

At the same time, I am also appalled. Who is it that has been saying these things? I didn't even bring up Whelan/Reed/Fogel and I don't know of anyone on these forums who made the 'deserving their fate' comparison. Or derided releasing a WNBA player. If Griner is guilty of the accused crime - she may have said she was for legal reasons/minimizing sentence etc. so I don't know - that has to matter, and whether these others are guilty of what they are accused of has to matter also, as well as the fact that Bout is indirectly responsible for the deaths of how many thousands of people, but ... this is not at all the conversation that's been brought up. The only way the 5,000 have been brought up on this forum, and not be me, is explicity as an apples-to-apples comparison.

My main question here is, is this how you view discussions on this forum and how you think others on this forum do it? Is it automatically assumed that anyone who doesn't think the trade is a good idea (or whatever other issue) is carrying water for every dumb thing said in popular culture about it by anyone who might agree with some facet of what they said and not just speaking for themselves? That's certainly not how I go about it. When I read you posting something or whoever else on the forum, I assume you are speaking for yourself and only for yourself in expressing your opinion. I think that's entry-level, fundamental decency in engaging with another human individual and that there's really no way to have productive conversations on pretty much anything without doing that.

If saying 'this was a bad trade' causes someone to be lumped in with what Trump said or McCarthy or whomever else, that's just ... there aren't really words that come to mind to fully express how bad I think that is, but one thing it definitely means is that real discussions can't happen. I.e. I don't think you're 'part of the societal group that disagrees with me on an issue'. You're a person who disagrees with me on an issue. That's it, and that's all, and that's how you deserve to be treated.


Come on now Brian what are we doing here? I specifically said YOU were the only one who were discussing this from a different POV than what I had seen from anyone else both here and on the wider internet. I specifically acknowledged that if this was THE discussion point as opposed to exclusively YOUR discussion point, WE as in the royal WE would have more common ground. If the overall discussion remained in that realm.

That is not where the overall discussion has been had. THAT is what I was speaking of in that part of my post. The debate has been about Britney Griner and the merits of whether she should be part of any prison release. You know we traded a basketball player for the Merchant of Death or I am uncomfortable with her getting released and Whelan staying or uh aren't there other American prisoner who could have gone etc. As long as that is the overall framework of the discussion here and elsewhere as opposed to what YOU said, no there can not be common ground.

It was not meant to be an attack on you. If that is the way it was taken, I apologize for that. It was meant as an explainer as to why I think there can't be common ground with the discussion going down that path. Here is what I said in my first post about this.

Quote:

If the preference is for BG to remain in a Russian prison for the next nine years so Viktor Bout can remain in a US jail for the next seven years, well okay I guess. Even if that has remained the case, I don't that has any bearing on Whelan. I think it is pretty clear that Whelan is not on the trading block for anything less than a top level Russian spy at the very least.

I have no problem with anyone saying it was a bad trade. I have an issue with the idea that among the people who have been spotlighted as worthy of being traded, Britney Griner should not have been one of them.

PilotMan 12-10-2022 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3386605)
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...nabi-rcna37938

This women actually received a presidential pardon after spending less than a year in prison. Interestingly, the convicted Russian cyber criminal that was associated with her case was released last year which was a year before his time was up.

Russia Fines U.S. Student With Drug Possession Over Medical Marijuana - The Moscow Times

This woman was fined the equivalent of $230.

And then there is this interesting tidbit.



It seems that anything can be on the table if the system wants it to be.


It's whatever serves Russia. Whether it's good will, attention, or something they can gain. They gain by holding a 'spy' and they gain by making a big show out of big USA "western" basketball star. Nobody gives a shit about a random 'student.'

Brian Swartz 12-10-2022 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan
I specifically said YOU were the only one who were discussing this from a different POV than what I had seen from anyone else both here and on the wider internet. I specifically acknowledged that if this was THE discussion point as opposed to exclusively YOUR discussion point, WE as in the royal WE would have more common ground. If the overall discussion remained in that realm.


You did? Where? What I saw was you quoting me talking about the lack of common ground specifically with another poster on this forum, and then saying we don't have that common ground because the discussion hasn't taken place in a vacuum, etc. So ... I guess it's just a big giant misunderstanding?

By the way, I think your characterization of the wider internet is ... really off. Over half the news I've seen on this has been talking about it in the way I did, same framing although often coming to a different conclusion. Lots of talk about how Biden took the deal that was available, not the ones that weren't, the merits or lack thereof of 'hostage diplomacy', and so on. What I consume is pretty mainstream, so it leaves me wondering what you are seeing about it and where are you getting it from?

I didn't take any of this as a personal attack. But I've read the same thread here as you have. Your quote above equates the discussion here on the forum with what you've read on the wider internet, but again ... who here has said those things about Griner? I haven't read anyone on this forum saying 'shouldn't trade for an NBA player' etc. I mean, by my count on this forum there's more people in favor of the trade than against it. So I'm left honestly having no idea what you're talking about. :confused:

miami_fan 12-10-2022 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3386620)
You did? Where? What I saw was you quoting me talking about the lack of common ground specifically with another poster on this forum, and then saying we don't have that common ground because the discussion hasn't taken place in a vacuum, etc. So ... I guess it's just a big giant misunderstanding?

By the way, I think your characterization of the wider internet is ... really off. Over half the news I've seen on this has been talking about it in the way I did, same framing although often coming to a different conclusion. Lots of talk about how Biden took the deal that was available, not the ones that weren't, the merits or lack thereof of 'hostage diplomacy', and so on. What I consume is pretty mainstream, so it leaves me wondering what you are seeing about it and where are you getting it from?

I didn't take any of this as a personal attack. But I've read the same thread here as you have. Your quote above equates the discussion here on the forum with what you've read on the wider internet, but again ... who here has said those things about Griner? I haven't read anyone on this forum saying 'shouldn't trade for an NBA player' etc. I mean, by my count on this forum there's more people in favor of the trade than against it. So I'm left honestly having no idea what you're talking about. :confused:


Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3386349)
A basketball player for an arms dealer, I guess they have equal value in American society.


I was not the only one who read it as a negative as this was the next poster replied with a "fixed that for you" replacing basketball player with American citizen.

Quote:

Originally Posted by henry296 (Post 3386353)
Were other American citizens also released from Russian custoday in exchange for Russian Arms Dealers? While not publicized, I'm sure Griner isn't the only American being held in Russian jail.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3386354)
No mention of others. Paul Whelan has been imprisoned for 3+ years. He's accused of espionage which is more serious vs recreational drugs.

It comes down to how much damage the Russian guy can do now. He's been out of the game for a while, will he resume his activities which (presumably) hurt US interests?

Biden is in a tough spot. Bringing Gringer out without bringing out Whelan (or others) doesn't sit well with me e.g. the LIFO model. But she did get disproportionate sentencing because of Biden's support of Ukraine so there's some justice there.


This reads like why Brittany as opposed to someone else jailed in Russia, no?


Quote:

Originally Posted by Swaggs (Post 3386355)
I've struggled with the Griner situation, too. Glad to see others have mixed feelings about it.

On the one hand, it is horrible that she was detained, it was a questionable violation (vape cartridges with cannabis) and it was probably largely due to her celebrity. On the other hand, it is an exceptionally entitled and dumb move to think you can go through airports or customs with anything cannabis related. And it absolutely seems terrible that her celebrity/wealth put her in the front of the line, when there are other folks being detained.


This is not meant as to cast any aspersions on any of the posters I quoted. They are entitled to their opinions. But I don't think I am being unreasonable to read these comments and have the impression that they think BG had less of a case to be traded than the others detained in Russia. I think she does. That is why your comment stood out because you were the one who questioned the trade no matter which of the candidates would have been selected.

GrantDawg 12-10-2022 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 3386588)
I have this funny image in my head of a TV with a split screen with Biden and Putin in their literal war rooms, surrounded by generals. Then Adam Silver comes on the air with the little NBA draft chime and says "For the first pick of the prisoner exchange draft, the country of Russia selects..." Then you have Mel Kiper and George Stephanopoulos debating the relative merits of the person. Silver: "We have a trade to announce. The country of Russia sends Britney Griner to the USA for Viktor Bout". Stephen A. Smith jumps in and is just incredulous.

SI

I was looking for the like button on that post,

Edward64 12-10-2022 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3386646)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 View Post
No mention of others. Paul Whelan has been imprisoned for 3+ years. He's accused of espionage which is more serious vs recreational drugs.

It comes down to how much damage the Russian guy can do now. He's been out of the game for a while, will he resume his activities which (presumably) hurt US interests?

Biden is in a tough spot. Bringing Gringer out without bringing out Whelan (or others) doesn't sit well with me e.g. the LIFO model. But she did get disproportionate sentencing because of Biden's support of Ukraine so there's some justice there.

This reads like why Brittany as opposed to someone else jailed in Russia, no?


This is specific to above quotes as I was mentioned in and not to the broader conversation (because I don't want to be that guy who jumps in without fully understanding the discussion). Just want to clarify my specific position on the Griner trade.

I can see why one believes that I preferred Paul Whelan to be released first based on my first paragraph. But note that was in response to a question that Henry296 asked if there were any other prisoners. I just answered him and was not meant to imply I preferred Whelan over Griner.

My second and third paragraphs show that I am conflicted. It is primarily because I don't know if Bout would continue his escapades. If he is able to help Putin substantially (beyond just pure propaganda) with his old contacts, the havoc he would cause to the Ukrainians in deaths, prolonging the war etc. would far outweigh a Griner or Whelan release. In other words, if you can tell me for sure that Bout will ramp up again, neither Griner or Whelan or Tom Brady or LeBron James would be worth the trade.

I don't know the answer to that question and hence my internal struggle on whether this trade was worth it (regardless of Griner or Whelan).

Brian Swartz 12-10-2022 10:01 PM

I think for me to type another involved response would just get unproductively devolved into semantics. I'd rather not contribute to another such trainwreck.

I'll summarize thusly:

- Some posts I missed somehow even after re-reading multiple times.
- Others I think could be taken multiple ways, and I think there are some unwarranted conclusions being drawn.
- I still think this issue is being discussed in a very slanted manner, but I don't think there's any useful way I can make clear the how & why without doing more harm than good and further exasperating people.

JPhillips 12-13-2022 06:56 PM

I really think DeSantis going full anti-vax probably kills him in the general election.

Edward64 12-14-2022 11:18 AM

Article on how China dominates rare earth elements and what the US is doing

China Dominates the Rare Earths Market. This U.S. Mine Is Trying to Change That. - POLITICO
Quote:

China could easily decide to restrict access to rare earths again with disastrous consequences. As of today, China accounts for 63 percent of the world’s rare earth mining, 85 percent of rare earth processing, and 92 percent of rare earth magnet production.

Rare earth alloys and magnets that China controls are critical components in missiles, firearms, radars and stealth aircraft.
Quote:

Beijing once blocked Japan’s access to rare earth elements during a 2010 dispute over Tokyo’s detention of a Chinese fishing trawler captain. Then in 2019, China threatened to include certain products using rare earths in Beijing’s technology-export restrictions, a response to the Trump administration’s pressure on telecom giant Huawei.
US company mining in the US. Have to read up on the stock

Quote:

MP Materials wants to be the solution to America’s rare earths challenge. MP’s goal is to restore the full supply chain to the United States, becoming the world’s sole “vertically integrated” rare earth magnetics producer that performs all stages of the process.
Quote:

The Mountain Pass mine, which resumed operations in 2012 after years of dormancy, today supplies around 15 percent of the world’s production of rare earths, a group of 17 minerals used to make the magnets in America’s most advanced commercial and military technology, from electric vehicles to Virginia-class attack submarines.

That 15 percent figure is significant, especially given that just 11 years ago the mine was producing nothing, but still a small fraction of a global market that has for decades been dominated by China.
And will be bringing some/all of the processing back to the US.

Quote:

In November, MP announced that it had begun commissioning assets for the second stage of production, which is currently done primarily in China: separation and purification. The company has also begun building a new manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas, that will convert the refined minerals from Mountain Pass into metals, alloys and magnets.
Good move by Trump & Biden Admin to support

Quote:

the Pentagon has designated millions of dollars to fund rare earths projects in an attempt to move the entire rare earth supply chain to the U.S. Mountain Pass has received some of the funding, along with other companies trying to mine or manufacture rare earths products.
And not worry as much about environmental impacts (right now, at least)

Quote:

The issue is a tricky one for the Biden administration, which has prioritized green energy. Rare earths are key components in electric car batteries. But some climate advocates have opposed increased spending on mining certain metals, including on a proposed lithium mine in Nevada, because of the potential environmental impact.

So far, Biden has continued Trump’s approach to rare earths mining, a rare instance of bipartisan agreement
Apparently earlier versions of this company failed because wasn't profitable enough. Seems like $10M is a small investment to help reduce our reliance on China for these strategic materials. Shoot, give them $1B to expand

Quote:

MP Mine Operations LLC, now MP Materials, was formed in 2017 for a second attempt at reviving the Mountain Pass mine. It acquired the site out of bankruptcy in July of that year. Boosted by millions of dollars of capital — plus a $10 million 2020 investment from the Pentagon — the company is now profitable. In the third quarter of 2022, it beat expectations with a revenue of $124.4 million.

Atocep 12-14-2022 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3386924)
I really think DeSantis going full anti-vax probably kills him in the general election.


It's going to come down to whether dems fear a DeSantis term as much as they feared a 2nd trump term. He'll get GOP turnout.

Lathum 12-14-2022 01:07 PM

I think DeSantis is our next president.

The anti Trump voters will stay home, all republicans will vote him and he will appeal to a lot of independents. Factor in the contrast between a young polished guy and a rapidly aging Biden and I think he wins easily.

JPhillips 12-14-2022 01:09 PM

I think things like the measles outbreak in OH and DeSantis's really vocal anti-vax stance will kill him with the suburban voters he needs to win back. I'm for putting diseases closer to your children is toxic.

Lathum 12-14-2022 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3386960)
I think things like the measles outbreak in OH and DeSantis's really vocal anti-vax stance will kill him with the suburban voters he needs to win back. I'm for putting diseases closer to your children is toxic.


I wouldn't underestimate the number of suburban people who are either anti-vax or vax hesitant. I also think that will be a blip on the radar compared to other issues such as immigration, economy, etc...

JPhillips 12-14-2022 01:24 PM

Immigration doesn't matter much to persuadable voters. The GOP has tried to make several elections about immigration and it never works. It pleases the base, but doesn't change much in the way of voting.

Who knows what the economy will look like in 2024.

The number of people pro-vax, even pro-Covid vax is much much higher than those opposed. Being anti-vax is about as popular as being pro-Social Security cuts.

I think DeSantis is the latest in a long line of popular governors that doesn't play well on the national stage.

Lathum 12-14-2022 01:32 PM

I hope you are right. I just think when you put him side by side with Biden it is a stark contrast that people won't be able to shake.

Brian Swartz 12-14-2022 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips
The number of people pro-vax, even pro-Covid vax is much much higher than those opposed. Being anti-vax is about as popular as being pro-Social Security cuts.


I agree with that, but I also think there's a near-zero chance of most pro-vax people voting for DeSantis anyway on other grounds. How many of the pro-vax people are in the persuadable category is the question, and there's a non-trivial amount of independents who think the government has lied to them about covid/the vaccine.

I also think DeSantis vs. current Biden is another absolutely horrible choice. Please someone stop this from actually being the general election matchup.

GrantDawg 12-14-2022 01:55 PM

I think Biden is likely to lose to almost anybody not named Trump.

bhlloy 12-14-2022 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3386966)
I think Biden is likely to lose to almost anybody not named Trump.


Funny enough I was reading through the thread ready to say the exact same thing.

Put me in the camp that vaccines will be about 30th in the list of things voters care about in a general election, and as posted the people who feel strongly about it the other way aren't voting for DeSantis (or a generic R) in the first place.

JPhillips 12-14-2022 02:40 PM

We just watched an election turn on whether or not the GOP candidate was nuts and being anti-vax, not just for Covid but in general, is a clear indication of crazy for I bet 70% of the population. It's absolutely baffling why he's making such a big deal out of this. Either he's a true believer or someone giving him lots of money is.

miked 12-14-2022 02:46 PM

We also watched an absolutely horrid, unqualified person get nearly 49% of the vote in GA in a statewide election. If that were Desantis he would have gotten 60% of the vote.

Edward64 12-14-2022 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3386966)
I think Biden is likely to lose to almost anybody not named Trump.


My default position.

However, Trump can (arguably) beat any Dem not named Biden.

With Trump seemingly committed, I'm thinking Joe has to run (unless there are some major health, cognitive decline issues). His backroom pitch to the Dem leadership should be "I've beaten him once, I'll beat him again. Who else do you think can do it? Do you really want to risk it?"

But yeah, with a Biden vs DeSantis, I think the age disparity will work against Biden.

flere-imsaho 12-14-2022 11:31 PM

In 2020, the 7 states with a margin under 5% were (closest first) Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, Michigan, Florida.

Whichever candidate can win some good number of those states is the candidate you want.

sterlingice 12-15-2022 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3386959)
I think DeSantis is our next president.

The anti Trump voters will stay home, all republicans will vote him and he will appeal to a lot of independents. Factor in the contrast between a young polished guy and a rapidly aging Biden and I think he wins easily.


This is probably oversimplifying, but I agree with those above who feel like if Trump runs, Biden is a good nominee. If DeSantis runs, he's a bad matchup and the Dems need someone younger.

It feels like it's destined to be Biden vs DeSantis but this time before 2008, it was a lock that it was going to be Giuliani vs Clinton and instead we had Obama over McCain.

SI

Ryche 12-15-2022 10:12 AM

I don't think Trump beats anyone but a really horrible candidate. Put a young veteran up against him and he would get crushed. Just about anyone under 60 beats him in my opinion.

Brian Swartz 12-15-2022 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice
It feels like it's destined to be Biden vs DeSantis but this time before 2008, it was a lock that it was going to be Giuliani vs Clinton and instead we had Obama over McCain.


I can see DeSantis not winning the nomination. Big difference with 2008 of course is that Biden is the sitting president. If the sitting president runs again, they don't lose their party's nomination.

Atocep 12-15-2022 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryche (Post 3387021)
I don't think Trump beats anyone but a really horrible candidate. Put a young veteran up against him and he would get crushed. Just about anyone under 60 beats him in my opinion.


I agree

I think the dems could run just about anyone against Trump and win. Yet at the same time leave it to the dems to find the candidate that would lose to Trump.

PilotMan 12-15-2022 10:49 AM

Kentucky is such a weird state. I have underestimated the extent that people 'feel Libertarian' here. They say KY has an unusually high amount, but it's not really Libertarian. Instead it's a state that loves govt support, has some strong unions, hates the government telling them to do anything at all, and is socially conservative. That's not libertarian at all. But I do think it says how the state has been swayed by the culture wars. It used to be about the unions and dems (when the dems were socially conservative), but it's flipped totally with the culture wars taking center stage in any race.

JonInMiddleGA 12-15-2022 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3387023)
I can see DeSantis not winning the nomination.


I'll agree on that point.

I will say that if he's not the nominee -- barring someone not currently on the horizon -- then Biden wins.

I'm not saying DeSantis would be a lock to win in November, I'm just saying that no other (R) currently in the discussion has any chance of winning in November. (None of them could motivate starving dogs toward fresh meat)

PilotMan 12-15-2022 11:09 AM

Biden shouldn't win, because he shouldn't run.

Lathum 12-15-2022 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3387028)
Biden shouldn't win, because he shouldn't run.


He is going to run.

I think the DeSantis/Trump battle comes down to how many other people get involved. If it is a crowded primary Trump wins it. If guys like Pence, Pompeo, etc...drop out and it is 1-1 Desantis wins.

GrantDawg 12-15-2022 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3387031)
He is going to run.

I think the DeSantis/Trump battle comes down to how many other people get involved. If it is a crowded primary Trump wins it. If guys like Pence, Pompeo, etc...drop out and it is 1-1 Desantis wins.

Is there really any support for Pence, Pompeo or anyone other than Trump or Desantis? Nikki Haley maybe, but she has gone too pro-Trump to really turn to challenge him at this point.

The Religious Right is not returning to Pence, and there aren't enough Neocons left in the GOP for Pompeo. It is going to be Trump or a Trump-lite like Desantis or Abbott.

Brian Swartz 12-15-2022 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan
iden shouldn't win, because he shouldn't run.


100% agree, but he's also made it clear that he's going to run, so it is what it is.

JonInMiddleGA 12-15-2022 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3387025)
I think the dems could run just about anyone against Trump and win.


The phrase I've used in the past 12-24 months is "Trump is the GOP version of Hillary at this point"

edit to clarify: as in, the one person guaranteed to mobilize the opposition all the way to the polls

GrantDawg 12-15-2022 09:32 PM

You are not wrong. He has also burned too many bridges for independents to ever vote for him again.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

PilotMan 12-15-2022 09:52 PM

I just wonder why it took the GOP this long to accept it when they could have tossed him under the bus, and gotten much stronger by this point without him.

Just like with the Impeachment. They had a perfect chance to bury him, run with Pence, and keep the exact same concepts alive. Instead they just couldn't help themselves slathering all over trumps dick.

flere-imsaho 12-15-2022 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 3387095)
The phrase I've used in the past 12-24 months is "Trump is the GOP version of Hillary at this point"


Oh, I like this. I absolutely hadn't thought about it this way, but I think you're right.

Ksyrup 12-15-2022 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3387126)
I just wonder why it took the GOP this long to accept it when they could have tossed him under the bus, and gotten much stronger by this point without him.

Just like with the Impeachment. They had a perfect chance to bury him, run with Pence, and keep the exact same concepts alive. Instead they just couldn't help themselves slathering all over trumps dick.


Because no one was going to be excited about supporting a milquetoast dilweed like Pence - certainly not Trump's base, least of all - and the impeachment for J6 was a problem because of how deep into the events leading up to J6 some prominent GOPers were. If you convict Trump it's fair to ask for a full accounting and then the same questions are asked about likely at least a dozen or more elected officials - all from their party.

GrantDawg 12-15-2022 10:12 PM

The GOP still can't cast him out. The rank and file still love him. They still have the flags flying. Still have the bumper stickers on their trucks. The elites of the party have long wanted to move away from him. They can't because it is still his party.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

Edward64 12-15-2022 10:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3386994)
With Trump seemingly committed, I'm thinking Joe has to run (unless there are some major health, cognitive decline issues). His backroom pitch to the Dem leadership should be "I've beaten him once, I'll beat him again. Who else do you think can do it? Do you really want to risk it?".


I guess the pitch worked

'I don't think we should talk about him while we're eating': Pelosi reacts to Trump run | CNN Politics
Quote:

Pelosi and Schumer say Biden should run for re-election in 2024

Brian Swartz 12-15-2022 10:52 PM

A lot of it is that people still make what I think is a bad mistake; thinking of Trump in ideological terms. A lot of his appeal is 'post-policy'. His attitude of never apologizing for anything, of always being on the attack against the perceived enemies of everything but the kitchen sink, and so on. That's just as terrible an appeal, but it's also not something you just take an establishment politician to pick up and carry - being not-establishment is a big part of Trumpism. Pence et al. can't carry that torch.

Edward64 12-15-2022 10:58 PM

Love it.

(But assume Biden doesn't know how to tweet and this was done by staff)

Biden mocks Trump’s ‘major announcement’ of digital trading cards | The Hill
Quote:

President Biden on Thursday mocked former President Trump for teasing a “major announcement” that turned out to be a new line of digital Trump trading cards.

“I had some MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENTS the last couple of weeks, too…” Biden tweeted from his personal account.

The president listed a consumer price report that showed inflation easing in recent weeks, the signing of legislation to protect same-sex marriage, a prisoner swap that brought home WNBA star Brittney Griner after months of being imprisoned in Russia and falling gas prices as notable achievements for the White House in recent days.

Edward64 12-15-2022 11:31 PM

I like the idea of investing in Africa but have doubts about the seemingly broad based approach. Many African countries are a mess. I'd think it's better to select key countries that we believe are somewhat friendly, and really develop & invest in those.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-63982818
Quote:

US would commit $55bn (£44bn) to Africa over the next three years.

Discussions at the summit have focussed on building on already existing programmes, including:
  • Prosper Africa - a US government initiative "to increase two-way trade" between African nations and the US launched in 2018
  • the Clinton-era Africa Growth and Opportunity Act, Agoa, which provides African apparel manufacturers preferential access to the US market;
  • the Power Africa initiative launched by President Obama to connect millions of African to the grid among others.

But the success of such programmes has been slow to realise. Africa only accounts for just over 1% of US foreign trade, which is dominated by petroleum imports from Nigeria and Angola.

In his address on Wednesday, the US president spoke about a $500m-investment to reduce transport costs at a key West African port in Benin.

He also mentioned $350m that would be spent on boosting the digital economy and said that $15bn-worth of deals had been struck at the US-Africa Business Forum.

Edward64 12-16-2022 08:38 AM

Love it Joe. I assume Blinken came up with the plan.

Biden launches ‘China House’ to counter Beijing’s growing clout - POLITICO
Quote:

The Biden administration on Friday will launch “China House,” the centerpiece of its effort to strengthen its diplomatic heft in its global rivalry with Beijing, according to plans shared with POLITICO.
:
The establishment of China House reflects the sense inside President Joe Biden’s team that the existing U.S. bureaucracy isn’t nimble enough to combat the multitude of challenges from communist-led China — ranging from trade to military power.
:
The State Department plan is somewhat analogous to the CIA’s creation of a China Mission Center as the spy agency expands its focus on the Asian giant. Both entities are designed to be centralized hubs to steer funding, resources and personnel to track China’s expanding global footprint.
Quote:

It will have three main teams: one focused on traditional bilateral affairs; one that deals with strategic communications; and one dubbed a “global” team, which focuses on Chinese activity beyond China.
You've come a long way since 2019 in acknowledging the problem. First step in fixing it.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...-pols-n1001236
Quote:

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden said Wednesday night that China was “not competition” for the U.S., prompting blowback from prominent members of both political parties.

At an event in Iowa City, Biden was explaining why he believes concerns that China could eventually surpass the U.S. as a world superpower and economic force are overstated.

“China is going to eat our lunch? Come on, man,” the former vice president said.

“I mean, you know, they’re not bad folks, folks. But guess what? They’re not competition for us,” he added.


Brian Swartz 12-16-2022 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips
We just watched an election turn on whether or not the GOP candidate was nuts and being anti-vax, not just for Covid but in general, is a clear indication of crazy for I bet 70% of the population. It's absolutely baffling why he's making such a big deal out of this. Either he's a true believer or someone giving him lots of money is.


Fun fact related to this; for whatever reasons that could be debated endlessly, support in general for vaccine requirements is down significantly from 2019. 23% of parents opposed requiring vaccines for measles and other similar, that's now 35%, a 50% increase. Anti-vax sentiment is bordering on becoming a mainstream opinion.

Ksyrup 12-16-2022 10:34 AM

Yes, I think he and others are pushing some sort of revisionist history regarding Covid vaccines and a general sentiment that we should revisit vaccines altogether. We all had them and gave them to our kids without much thought for the past 50-60 years and there's more chatter about whether we need to "do our own research."

The one way this fits in with the general GOP approach is questioning people's faith in government. Whether it's public education, intelligence, or the federal "regime," that's been a constant and this goes right along the same lines. "You can't trust what you've been told."

Radii 12-18-2022 10:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3386961)
I wouldn't underestimate the number of suburban people who are either anti-vax or vax hesitant.


Also the amount of things white people are willing to overlook to vote for fascism.

GrantDawg 12-18-2022 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Radii (Post 3387346)
Also the amount of things white people are willing to overlook to vote for fascism.

"He made the trains run on time."

Ksyrup 12-19-2022 07:55 AM

The NYT story on George Santos, a NY Republican who won a Dem Congressional seat, is wild. Where the hell was the Dem Party - you don't do opposition research to confirm someone's resume? I don't know how many of these potential falsehoods end up being legit, but it kinda would have mattered during the campaign.

Edward64 12-20-2022 06:23 AM

Nice work Congress. Hope it passes

Lawmakers unveil sweeping government funding bill to avert shutdown | CNN Politics
Quote:

Lawmakers early Tuesday unveiled legislative text of a massive full-year government funding bill that Congress hopes to pass to avert a shutdown at the end of the week.

The expectation on Capitol Hill is that a shutdown will be avoided, but congressional leaders have little room for error given the tight timeline they are facing. Government funding is set to expire on Friday at midnight.
Quote:

The massive $1.7 trillion spending bill, known on Capitol Hill as an omnibus, would fund critical government operations across federal agencies for fiscal year 2023. The measure is the product of lengthy negotiations between top congressional Democrats and Republicans.
Working during the holidays.

Quote:

Senate leaders are aiming to take procedural steps to pass the bill by Thursday and then send it to the House, where it is expected to be adopted, and then to President Joe Biden for his signature before the Friday deadline.

Misc notes:

Quote:

The bill also includes $44.9 billion in emergency assistance to Ukraine and NATO allies, the Senate committee detailed in its news release.
Quote:

... include an overhaul of the 1887 Electoral Count Act and the Secure Act 2.0
Quote:

But several key measures were not included in the plan. Legislation to allow cannabis companies to bank their cash reserves – known as the Safe Banking Act – was not included in the final bill, nor were scores of corporate and individual tax breaks, such as an extension of the expanded child tax credit, the sources said.

And maybe only of interest to me. Saw Patrick Leahy's name in the article and wondered how long he's been in Congress ... like 48 years.

Quote:

A member of the Democratic Party, Leahy was first elected in 1974 and is in his eighth term. He is the chair of the Appropriations Committee,

albionmoonlight 12-20-2022 08:01 AM

This seems like . . . legislation how it has historically been done. It's been a while.

I am glad that the Dems saw the leverage that the GOP had and were willing to bend to reality.

When you've got a weak hand, you take what you can get b/c it's better than the alternative. And that's what they did.

flere-imsaho 12-20-2022 09:58 AM

Happy retirement, Senator Leahy.

flere-imsaho 12-20-2022 10:02 AM

More detail here, without being the full 4000 page text of the bill: https://www.appropriations.senate.go...%20FY%2023.pdf

flere-imsaho 12-20-2022 10:13 AM

A little more on the updates to the Electoral Count Act:

Quote:

Legislation to overhaul the Electoral Count Act to clarify that the vice president’s role in counting electoral votes is clerical, and to raise the threshold for the number of senators and representatives needed to object to state-certified electoral ballots.

There's also raises for the Capitol Police and funds for refurbishment of Capitol buildings because I wonder why....

There's also a graduated ban on driftnet usage, which I quite like.

albionmoonlight 12-20-2022 11:43 AM

I’m sure McConnell/Schumer have Cruz-proofed the procedures for getting it done in time. But it will be fun to watch him grandstand and try

Atocep 12-20-2022 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3387511)
The NYT story on George Santos, a NY Republican who won a Dem Congressional seat, is wild. Where the hell was the Dem Party - you don't do opposition research to confirm someone's resume? I don't know how many of these potential falsehoods end up being legit, but it kinda would have mattered during the campaign.


Literally every part of his life seems to have been a lie.

flere-imsaho 12-20-2022 01:07 PM

The extent to which the NY Democratic Party appears to have been asleep at the wheel in this election cycle (and perhaps earlier ones, note AOC's primary victory over a long-time incumbe?) is astonishing.

Ksyrup 12-20-2022 01:48 PM

This endorsement of Santos' opponent by a local paper raises so many questions you would either have to be stupid or oblivious to vote for Santos. Even as a GOPer, he apparently has supported reparations and the Dem's strategy of boosting questionable GOP candidates. And that's not even considering all of the possible questions about where he got his money.

Endorsement: Robert Zimmerman for US Congress (NY3)

Edward64 12-20-2022 02:49 PM

If true, I'd like to se an expulsion. Most recent ones ...

https://history.house.gov/Institutio...ure-Reprimand/
  • 1980 Michael Myers (probably made a lot more money in the Halloween franchise :))
  • 2002 James Traficant

Edward64 12-20-2022 06:53 PM

Nice surprise meeting. There was a reddit report that Zelensky visited the front lines at Bakhut yesterday, met with the troops, gave out medals, and accepted a Ukrainian battle flag. I'm going to guess the US will get it in the meeting.

Biden and Zelensky planning to meet in Washington for Ukrainian president's first foreign trip since war began | CNN Politics
Quote:

President Joe Biden and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky are planning to meet at the White House on Wednesday, according to two sources familiar with the planning underway, in what would be a surprise visit that could change based on security concerns.

The visit, which hasn’t been finalized and has remained tightly held due to security concerns, will coincide with the administration’s intent to send the country a new defense assistance package that will include Patriot missile systems. It would mark Zelensky’s first trip outside Ukraine since the Russian invasion began in February of this year. His potential visit to Washington could also include an address to Congress.
Although not finalized, looks like its for real. Looking forward to what he has to say. Suspect both Dems & GOP will be clapping a lot.

Quote:

Pelosi has been making calls to members urging them to show up to the Capitol on Wednesday over fears the chamber would be empty ahead of the holiday recess, one member said. Pelosi asked for members to be in attendance Wednesday night “for a very special focus on Democracy.”

The expectation from members, per several sources, is Zelensky will address Congress on Wednesday. But the sources caution that this may not be final yet over security concerns.

Edward64 12-20-2022 07:32 PM

Oh great. I'm going to guess that Israeli saboteurs & hackers will be working overtime, and plans are being refreshed for strikes.

Iran nuclear deal is "dead," Biden says in newly surfaced video
Quote:

President Biden said on the sidelines of a Nov. 4 election rally that the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran is “dead,” but stressed the U.S. won’t formally announce it, according to a new video that surfaced on social media late Monday.

Why it matters: It's the strongest confirmation so far that the Biden administration believes there's no path forward for the Iran deal, which leaves key questions about the future of Tehran's nuclear program.
Sure hope the US is supporting the Iranian protestors behind the scenes. But not sure if it'll be welcome or what we can do that would have significant impact.

Edward64 12-21-2022 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3387656)
Nice surprise meeting. There was a reddit report that Zelensky visited the front lines at Bakhut yesterday, met with the troops, gave out medals, and accepted a Ukrainian battle flag. I'm going to guess the US will get it in the meeting.

Although not finalized, looks like its for real. Looking forward to what he has to say. Suspect both Dems & GOP will be clapping a lot.


Welcome! Nice to finally get to meetcha.


Edward64 12-21-2022 05:32 PM

Patriots to Ukraine!

(Sure hopes it performs well and can avoid the counter battery etc)

Good press conference. Some nice banter between the 2.

Bidens answer on why the US hasn’t given more/quickly was a little weak, attributing the alliance as part of the reason. He should’ve had a better answer

Congress is next at 7:30pm.

RainMaker 12-21-2022 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 3387621)
The extent to which the NY Democratic Party appears to have been asleep at the wheel in this election cycle (and perhaps earlier ones, note AOC's primary victory over a long-time incumbe?) is astonishing.


Their job has always been to fight progressives, not Republicans.

Edward64 12-21-2022 07:58 PM

Good speech so far. Looks like vast majority is clapping and standing up. Good they have subtitles though, he was a little difficult for me to understand some words.

Zelenskyy had a tough message calling out Iran & Russia collaborating.

10 points for talks. Fat chance that Russia will accept.

Edward64 12-21-2022 08:06 PM

Nice Ukrainian flag. Looks signed by the soldiers.

Pelosi giving him the US flag seem somewhat diminishing (?) though.

Flasch186 12-21-2022 09:40 PM

I hope MTG stayed seated the whole fuckin time and never cheered anything because nothing screams hypocrisy than her tweets yesterday and today and then standing to clap. She sucks.

Remember when we were on the verge of abandoning NATO and Russia was our friend

I can’t recall why that would be and so would support such shocking behavior convenient to an autocrat? Hmmmmmm could it be……

If trump were in office Russia might have our HIMARS… I kid but it’s not impossible based on Trumps lips on Putin’s ass


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Galaril 12-21-2022 10:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186 (Post 3387825)
I hope MTG stayed seated the whole fuckin time and never cheered anything because nothing screams hypocrisy than her tweets yesterday and today and then standing to clap. She sucks.

Remember when we were on the verge of abandoning NATO and Russia was our friend

I can’t recall why that would be and so would support such shocking behavior convenient to an autocrat? Hmmmmmm could it be……

If trump were in office Russia might have our HIMARS… I kid but it’s not impossible based on Trumps lips on Putin’s ass


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


That is assuming she or any of the far right cultist even showed up. The6 said all R Senators were there be us they have to vote later but only approximately 80 of the House Republicans were there.

Edward64 12-22-2022 02:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3387798)
Patriots to Ukraine!

(Sure hopes it performs well and can avoid the counter battery etc)


A little more on Patriots.

Quote:

“These systems don’t pick up and move around the battlefield,” Hertling said. “You put them in place somewhere that defends your most strategic target, like a city, like Kyiv. If anyone thinks this is going to be a system that is spread across a 500-mile border between Ukraine and Russia, they just don’t know how the system operates.”

Tom Karako, director of the Missile Defense Project at CSIS, told CNN that the Patriot is “not a game-changer” because it is “still only able to defend a relatively small piece of dirt.”
Quote:

“This is not a system that will go after drones or smaller ballistic missiles,” he said. “Can it do that? Absolutely. But when you’re talking about knocking down a $20,000 drone, or a $100,000 ballistic missile that Russia buys, with a $3-5 million rocket, that doesn’t give you much of a return on the investment. What it can do it free up the low and medium systems to go after those kind of targets.”
Also kinda expensive per missile

Quote:

CSIS recently said in a report that the missile rounds for the Patriot come in at roughly $4 million each. Rounds that expensive likely won’t be used to shoot down every missile Russia launches toward Ukraine, Hertling said.

We're going to provide 1 Patriot system and that'll likely be in the Kyiv area. Wonder how well it will perform if Russia decides to send a flood of missiles, drones etc. to Kyiv. Why limit to one, why not provide a bunch that can provide overlapping zones of coverage?

Also, you gotta think its going to be a primary target, so wonder how well it'll do "moving around" and protecting itself. Another piece of military weapon that will be tested in real combat conditions.

My cynical belief is US or NATO troops will be overseeing the Patriot system use inside Ukraine. Hard for me to believe we'll leave the Patriot execution & maintenance to just newly trained Ukrainian forces.

Edward64 12-22-2022 02:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3387661)
Oh great. I'm going to guess that Israeli saboteurs & hackers will be working overtime, and plans are being refreshed for strikes.
.


Fair chance they'll act on Iran somehow.

Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu informs Israeli president he has formed government | CNN
Quote:

Benjamin Netanyahu has officially informed Israeli President Isaac Herzog that he has successfully formed a government, his Likud party said Wednesday.

In what was a last minute announcement, Netanyahu tweeted 10 minutes before the deadline expired, “I have managed.”

Netanyahu, who had already served as prime minister for 15 years until being ousted last year, had until midnight local time (5 p.m. ET) Wednesday to form the government following elections on November 1.

The new Israeli government will likely be the most right-wing in Israeli history, including people appointed to ministerial positions who were once considered to be on the extreme nationalist fringes of Israeli politics.


Atocep 12-22-2022 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3387595)
This seems like . . . legislation how it has historically been done. It's been a while.

I am glad that the Dems saw the leverage that the GOP had and were willing to bend to reality.

When you've got a weak hand, you take what you can get b/c it's better than the alternative. And that's what they did.


I think this was also McConnell deciding to take what they can get before the crazies take control of the house next month. Trying to get any spending bill through this upcoming GOP controlled house would be impossible.

Edward64 12-22-2022 08:17 PM

It's been reported that 86 of 213 GOP attended so about 40%. Toss in another 7 or 8 that attended but seemingly pouted throughout so about 38% seemed publicly friendly to Ukraine. Not great but, if representative, workable/enough for next 2 years.

I can believe weather, last minute unplanned event etc. played a role for some of them (who knows how many).

It would be helpful to also know how many Democrats couldn't make the session. I'm pretty sure it'll be a greater % but I was not able to find any stats.

Zelensky address meets divided House GOP preparing to grab purse strings | The Hill
Quote:

According to the Hill pool, only 86 of 213 House Republicans attended the speech Wednesday evening. More than a third of House members had active letters to vote by proxy on Wednesday, with many worrying about weather disrupting travel just before Christmas.

Edward64 12-27-2022 08:24 AM

Good move Taiwan. I have been reading that Taiwan isn't ready for China (even with her Porcupine strategy) and not taking it seriously enough as evident by her 4 month mandatory service.

Military service for women is voluntary and about 15% (same as US).

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64100577
Quote:

Taiwan will extend mandatory military service from four months to one year, President Tsai Ing-wen has said.

The decision comes amid growing tensions with China, which claims the self-ruled island as its territory.

Speaking at a press conference on Tuesday, President Tsai announced new plans to bolster Taiwan's defence in the event of an attack from Beijing.

"Peace will not drop from the sky... Taiwan is on the frontline of authoritarian expansion," she said.
Looks like it'll be a big election platform for them to vote on.

Quote:

The Taiwanese army has shrunk since the early 1990s when all men over the age of 18 were required to serve in the military for up to three years. Over the next few decades, service was shortened to one year and 10 months before being further reduced to four months. The new rule takes effect in January 2024 - the same month Taiwan will elect its next president.

Brian Swartz 12-27-2022 11:21 AM

I'm thinking just now how many people would be infuriated if we adopted such a requirement in the US.

GrantDawg 12-27-2022 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3388193)
I'm thinking just now how many people would be infuriated if we adopted such a requirement in the US.

Majorly pissed. In some ways it would be good. Instill civic duty and what not. Also, greatly reduce the desire to use the military if your son or daughter is forced to take part. But it would degrade the military, as a volunteer army is much better trained and has better morale than a conscript army. Plus, massive resources are burned in training short-term troops better spent on long-term volunteers.

Edward64 12-27-2022 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3388193)
I'm thinking just now how many people would be infuriated if we adopted such a requirement in the US.


A lot. But price they have to pay.

Taiwan is in a "clear & present danger" situation. They either need to beef up military capabilities or get nukes. I personally don't believe they should depend on the US, I have doubts if we would stand by them in a shooting war.

Edward64 12-28-2022 02:40 PM

I may have to catch a re-run of last night's Tucker.

Quote:

Gabbard — a former Democratic congresswoman from Hawaii and the guest host of “Tucker Carlson Tonight”
Quote:

Gabbard repeatedly called out Santos’ “blatant lies” throughout the interview, frequently cutting him off and redirecting her questions as he tried to deflect by bringing up alleged lies Democratic politicians have told and highlighting issues he had campaigned on. She specifically came down hard on the congressman-elect at one point when he contended that “everybody wants to nit-pick at me” but said he still remained “committed in delivering results for the American people.”

“The results that people are looking for are called into question when you tell blatant lies. Not embellishments. And this is, I think, one of the biggest concerns, congressman-elect, is that you don’t really seem to be taking this seriously,” Gabbard said. “You’ve apologized, you said you’ve made mistakes, but you’ve outright lied. A lie is not an embellishment on a résumé.”

She should take him up on his offer.

Quote:

Santos floundered in defending himself, first saying he agreed with what Gabbard was saying and then adding that “we can debate my résumé” and he could “sit down and explain to you” how he worked with private equity firms — even though he lied in his résumé about working “directly” with several firms.

“We can have this discussion that’s going to go way above the American people’s head,” Santos said. “… I can sit down and if you want to have that discussion, I’d be glad to, Tulsi, to explain that to you and make sure that we settle the score.”

Ksyrup 12-28-2022 02:54 PM

The stuff I'm seeing on Twitter about Santos being partially funded by the cousin of Russian oligarch and then his campaign expenditures that have a ton of expenses priced out at $199.99 is fishy as hell. It sure looks like someone created one or more fake companies to funnel money to him to give to his campaign.

This thread is pretty interesting. Did he make his money as president of Vandelay Industries?


RainMaker 12-28-2022 04:06 PM

Sure seems like the Russians bought themselves another Congressman.

PilotMan 12-28-2022 04:23 PM

Seems like a bit of a money laundering venture.

Ksyrup 12-28-2022 09:36 PM

Assuming these tweets are real, this dude has a full-blown sickness. These tweets aren't a few years apart, they are a few months. He may actually be a more prolific liar than Trump if you consider how little time he's spent in the public eye.


Ksyrup 12-28-2022 10:12 PM

This shit can't be real. Elon is playing a joke getting people outraged and then gonna make some anti-Lib statement about the reactions, right?


Edward64 12-28-2022 10:16 PM

He is a liar but not sure he has really done anything illegal yet. But this investigation is good and hope we get some (preliminary) results quickly.

Federal prosecutors are investigating Rep.-elect George Santos' finances | CNN Politics
Quote:

Federal prosecutors in New York are investigating the finances of Rep.-elect George Santos, a source familiar with the matter told CNN.

The news of the probe, being undertaken by the US attorney’s office in the Eastern District of New York, comes as the Republican has admitted to lying about key parts of his biography. Santos has faced questions over his wealth and loans totaling more than $700,000 he made to his successful 2022 campaign.

Santos told Semafor on Wednesday that he made his money through “capital introduction” and “deal making” for “high net worth individuals.”

Flasch186 12-28-2022 10:44 PM

The Biden Presidency - 2020
 
Deleted to reclaim my energy tonight

Edward64 12-29-2022 08:41 AM

Joe is up to 43.3% approval on 538.

His low was 37.9% back in June. In early November it was 41-42% so he's picked up some. I wonder why there was an uptick - the economy & markets seem to be worsening, likely increased political gridlock etc.

albionmoonlight 12-29-2022 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3388304)
I wonder why there was an uptick - the economy & markets seem to be worsening, likely increased political gridlock etc.


There isn't a mid-term coming up, so the pressure to dislike him from the other side is lessened.

Also, to the extend Presidential approval is a proxy for "how do you feel about the political situation," I think that a lot of Dems and moderate Republicans are happy that election deniers lost in the midterms and ECA reform passed. And GOPers are happy that they got a house of Congress and an activist Supreme Court.

RainMaker 12-29-2022 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3388281)
Assuming these tweets are real, this dude has a full-blown sickness. These tweets aren't a few years apart, they are a few months. He may actually be a more prolific liar than Trump if you consider how little time he's spent in the public eye.




This is one of the weirdest stories I can remember. With people looking into his finances, I have a feeling this will only get weirder.

Still shocked that no one noticed this till now. How did the NY Dems not have someone go through his old tweets?

Swaggs 12-29-2022 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3388343)
This is one of the weirdest stories I can remember. With people looking into his finances, I have a feeling this will only get weirder.

Still shocked that no one noticed this till now. How did the NY Dems not have someone go through his old tweets?


It almost seems like performance art to show how silly the process is for our elections because it is just so blatantly absurd. But, it is also scary to consider that a foreign government may have bankrolled this guy into the US House of Representatives. It's been awhile since I have seen the Manchurian Candidate, but I recall it being far more sophisticated than this clown show.

miami_fan 12-29-2022 09:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3388343)
This is one of the weirdest stories I can remember. With people looking into his finances, I have a feeling this will only get weirder.

Still shocked that no one noticed this till now. How did the NY Dems not have someone go through his old tweets?


They did. They just did not think those tweets needed to be highlighted.

https://dccc.org/wp-content/uploads/...earch-Book.pdf

Atocep 12-29-2022 10:50 PM

Full List of George Santos Claims That Have Now Been Debunked

It's comical at this point.

His 501c3 animal rights group listed here turned out to be a gofundme btw

JPhillips 01-01-2023 06:30 PM

McCarthy has given in on the motion to vacate, which means he'll allow a vote on a motion to fire him, possibly with as few as five members allowed to bring it. This is going to be a disaster when it comes time to pass budget items.

GrantDawg 01-01-2023 08:01 PM

And even with that, he doesn't have enough votes to be speaker. This isn't the only hold outs.


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