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-   -   COVID-19 - Wuhan Coronavirus (a non-political thread, see pg. 36 #1778) (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=96561)

Ksyrup 07-18-2020 06:03 PM

Can someone explain the reason for a Covid surcharge? Or more precisely, calling out a specific charge on a bill beyond the price?

Here's a crazy idea - just raise your effin' prices!

Why piss people off by saying "This service/food costs X, and in addition to tax and tip, you owe us Y more because Covid has hurt our business." Covid has hurt everyone! Just charge what you need to stay in business and if it's more than people want to pay, they will go elsewhere.

This is one of those things where I feel like business owners are going out of their way to chase off customers.

JPhillips 07-18-2020 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3291981)
Welcome to 'how to be a moron with clipboard', population me. The other quote I previously attributed to you, you didn't even say - it was from a completely different forum on a completely different topic and I have no idea how I inserted it here.

So what I was talking about is the NYT map.


lol That's okay.

As for the map, it should be free access. The Times has a lot of COVID coverage available for free.

Edward64 07-18-2020 07:57 PM

I guess we have enough data to conclude the coronavirus is not as infectious (I think) but is much deadlier than the flu.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 vs. the Flu | Johns Hopkins Medicine
Quote:

COVID-19: There have been approximately 590,608 deaths reported worldwide. In the U.S, 138,360 people have died of COVID-19, as of July 17, 2020.*
:
:
In the U.S., from Oct. 1, 2019 – Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that 24,000 to 62,000 people died from the flu. (The CDC does not know the exact number because the flu is not a reportable disease in most parts of the U.S.)

But flu leads in infections.
Quote:

COVID-19: The first cases appeared in China in late 2019 and the first confirmed case in the United States appeared in January 2020.

Approximately 13,832,242 cases have been confirmed worldwide. There have been 3,576,430 cases in the U.S. as of July 17, 2020.*
:
:
In the U.S., for Oct. 1, 2019 – Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that there were 39 million to 56 million cases of flu. (The CDC does not know the exact number because the flu is not a reportable disease in most parts of the U.S.)

Drake 07-18-2020 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3291994)
Can someone explain the reason for a Covid surcharge? Or more precisely, calling out a specific charge on a bill beyond the price?

Here's a crazy idea - just raise your effin' prices!

Why piss people off by saying "This service/food costs X, and in addition to tax and tip, you owe us Y more because Covid has hurt our business." Covid has hurt everyone! Just charge what you need to stay in business and if it's more than people want to pay, they will go elsewhere.

This is one of those things where I feel like business owners are going out of their way to chase off customers.


The Fight Club solution to this problem is to subtract the COVID surcharge from your tip so that you accomplish:

1. Making the employee subconsciously hostile toward their employer (or more hostile, depending on how they feel about working through a pandemic in the first place), and
2. If you depress tip income enough, then the employer has to pay actual minimum wage instead of $2 and change per hour, thus negatively impacting their bottom line.

I'm not saying it's a good solution, but Tyler Durden would approve.

NobodyHere 07-18-2020 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3291994)
Can someone explain the reason for a Covid surcharge? Or more precisely, calling out a specific charge on a bill beyond the price?

Here's a crazy idea - just raise your effin' prices!

Why piss people off by saying "This service/food costs X, and in addition to tax and tip, you owe us Y more because Covid has hurt our business." Covid has hurt everyone! Just charge what you need to stay in business and if it's more than people want to pay, they will go elsewhere.

This is one of those things where I feel like business owners are going out of their way to chase off customers.


My guess is that a Covid surcharge sounds less permanent.

NobodyHere 07-18-2020 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3291940)
It looks great.

No reviews yet, let me/us know how it works out after a week of wearing.


I probably need to learn how to take care of leather (or faux or whatever it is) as I generally just leave it in my car so I never forget it.

Edward64 07-18-2020 09:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whomario (Post 3291985)
As an aside: Why is the political thread properly designated, but the unpolitical still dubbed with the made up designation ? I mean, i got used to it but struck me as ironic ;)


That political thread is really not about the coronavirus. Its just to give many in this forum yet another thread to endlessly, repetitively wail among themselves about Trump. Admittedly Trump deserves much of the complaints but another one? So ironically, that thread is misnamed and should be called "yet another Trump bashing thread superficially related to the coronavirus".

This thread is called the Wuhan coronavirus because that's actually what NYT called it (see post #1) when I first created it. I don't think anyone would have called NYT "racist" then. I guess it can be renamed now to be "politically correct" but there's a sense of satisfaction in reminding & placing blame on this world wide calamity where it belongs.

JPhillips 07-18-2020 10:07 PM

It's hard out there for a pimp.

Edward64 07-18-2020 10:23 PM

I don't have good context (maybe someone from UK can help out) but apparently there is mask-wearing issue there too. Don't get the big deal in wearing masks (now that we have plenty of them).

How masks became a fault line in Britain’s culture war - POLITICO
Quote:

Some believe forcing people to wear face coverings by law is an overreach of state power and people should be free to make their own choices. Others argue the need to protect people is the more pertinent libertarian view.

“You can present this in terms of an ideological tension within conservatism, and that definitely exists,” said Jeremy Black, emeritus professor of history and an expert on conservatism. But, he said, there was also a “sheer bloody-mindedness” at being told what to do.

Masks appear to have sparked more outrage in Britain and the U.S. than around continental Europe, where nations told to wear them have quietly gotten on with it or quietly ignored the rules, without such ferocious debate. Black put that down to “a different tradition of political action and independence” in those countries. “In Britain, the adversarial notion of politics is one that may well make the British ungovernable,” he said. “It reflects a different form of political culture.”

Vegas Vic 07-19-2020 03:34 AM

This Sacramento woman was extremely "pissed off" about the mandatory mask requirement in California (pun intended).

Woman Urinates On Floor After Refusing To Leave Verizon Store For Not Wearing Mask


whomario 07-19-2020 04:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292013)
I guess we have enough data to conclude the coronavirus is not as infectious (I think) but is much deadlier than the flu.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 vs. the Flu | Johns Hopkins Medicine


But flu leads in infections.


No ;)

Flu "leads in infections" because nobody tries to avoid it and essentially nothing is done to curb it's spread. (Plus summer v winter shaping behaviour and thus spread. As bad as SarsCov2 spread, it would have been much worse had it hit in October). If everybody behaved the same and everything was business as usual SarsCov2 is judged to be much more infectious by every scientist and medical professional you'll ask this question.
It's like saying a bottom feeder team scoring more points against a group of amateurs is better offensively than one scoring less against the sports best defense. Data without context is useless.

If everybody behaved like today during flu season and certain measures stayed in place, there would hardly be a flu season to speak of. And there actually is a seasonal effect and this still accelerates. Winter could be hell, especially if 'stationary' mass events indoors make a comeback and also if Entertainment and socialising moves back largely indoors.

Edward64 07-19-2020 06:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whomario (Post 3292041)
No ;)

Flu "leads in infections" because nobody tries to avoid it and essentially nothing is done to curb it's spread. (Plus summer v winter shaping behaviour and thus spread. As bad as SarsCov2 spread, it would have been much worse had it hit in October). If everybody behaved the same and everything was business as usual SarsCov2 is judged to be much more infectious by every scientist and medical professional you'll ask this question.
It's like saying a bottom feeder team scoring more points against a group of amateurs is better offensively than one scoring less against the sports best defense. Data without context is useless.

If everybody behaved like today during flu season and certain measures stayed in place, there would hardly be a flu season to speak of. And there actually is a seasonal effect and this still accelerates. Winter could be hell, especially if 'stationary' mass events indoors make a comeback and also if Entertainment and socialising moves back largely indoors.


Okay, I get this.

Do you know what is the latest thinking in coronavirus vs flu r0?

Edward64 07-19-2020 06:32 AM

There is apparently a lot of people (40,000+) stuck out at sea like cruise, merchant ship crews that were scheduled to be rotated out but now can't (or company won't).

There's obviously a lot that I'm not aware of ...

I get being stuck during the initial 2-3 months of confusion but you would think all crew members now had a chance to be tested, ships decontaminated etc. and, at the very least, crews rotated out for fresh crews that need to make some money.

Captain Stubing & Julie, we forgot about you.

I think if I was young and single I'd still have lots of fun being quarantined on a cruise ship but I feel for the others in less luxurious accommodations, food & limited entertainment.

JPhillips 07-19-2020 08:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whomario (Post 3292041)
No ;)

Flu "leads in infections" because nobody tries to avoid it and essentially nothing is done to curb it's spread. (Plus summer v winter shaping behaviour and thus spread. As bad as SarsCov2 spread, it would have been much worse had it hit in October). If everybody behaved the same and everything was business as usual SarsCov2 is judged to be much more infectious by every scientist and medical professional you'll ask this question.
It's like saying a bottom feeder team scoring more points against a group of amateurs is better offensively than one scoring less against the sports best defense. Data without context is useless.

If everybody behaved like today during flu season and certain measures stayed in place, there would hardly be a flu season to speak of. And there actually is a seasonal effect and this still accelerates. Winter could be hell, especially if 'stationary' mass events indoors make a comeback and also if Entertainment and socialising moves back largely indoors.


They are comparing estimated cases to confirmed cases. That's no way to go through life.

whomario 07-19-2020 09:01 AM

Yeah, that as well of course. Same as flu deaths being the total of all excess deaths which in Winter can have more reasons than just flu.

But first and foremost it is just not a fair comparison given the actual playing field.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292045)
Okay, I get this.

Do you know what is the latest thinking in coronavirus vs flu r0?


I don't think R0 as such is a usefull number and can't actually be pinpointed as such. It is thought that actual working R for average influenza virus cocktail (not 1 Virus) in normal 'western' conditions as far as behaviour, living/working situations and climate/weather is roughly between 1.3-1.5 as an average.

Now with SarsCov2 there is a super short window of it even 'meeting' normal behaviour, a few weeks in china and maybe a few more in Italy/Spain/New York etc. And even then behaviour had already subtly altered. And during that brief window, no one kept track or had Surveilance up (as we do for flu via a variety of sampling techniques and data from doctors visits etc). So it is near impossible to pinpoint, but best guess remains 3 or higher (germany estimated at 3 at it's highest and behaviour was already altered then) with the absolute R0 in Wuhan (before anybody knew it existed, so zero change in behaviour from anybody) estimated as high as 5.7.

What we do know is that Flu season in some countries ended super sudden (Germany routinely has it in season until the end of march, this year went from still 50% of peak to almost zero in a week) and in the southern hemisphere it has not taken hold early on. Again the peaks differ between countries (f.e. around Years End for the US, likely due to significant early travel from south to north hemisphere) but South Africa or Australia have had it almost nonexistant in the first stage:

https://globalnews.ca/news/6999217/c...n-flu-rsv/amp/

Quote:

The year-to-year difference is even more stark in Australia. Last year was an unusually bad year for flu in that country. In May 2019, there were 30,567 confirmed cases recorded by the national health department. In May 2020, there were just 171 so far, with just only days left in the month.

(Confirmed cases is a snapshot, there is hardly any flu testing compared to what is done with Covid19. But testing is done representatively, so comparable year to year)

And again, i am no expert at all. Only interested in it, stumbling on lots at work (have to regularly check a ton of websites in scientific fields) and know a few people that have to stay in the loop due to their vocations.

whomario 07-19-2020 09:26 AM

And one worry on everybodys mind is what happens if regulations are relaxed to the point when flu becomes a factor:

What happens when flu meets Covid-19? | Society | The Guardian

Edward64 07-19-2020 10:18 AM

Oh great, another term to learn "co-infection"

Brian Swartz 07-19-2020 04:12 PM

I do need to say this; I was dead, stinking, no-holds-barred, 100% wrong on how much risk people would be willing to take pre-vaccine. Restaurants are booming even at 50% capacity. Ones that were seeing stagnant/declining business pre-virus scare are now seeing 20% growth consistently year-over-year.

I thought people would be a lot more skittish. I was way off the mark.

Edward64 07-19-2020 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3292082)
I do need to say this; I was dead, stinking, no-holds-barred, 100% wrong on how much risk people would be willing to take pre-vaccine. Restaurants are booming even at 50% capacity. Ones that were seeing stagnant/declining business pre-virus scare are now seeing 20% growth consistently year-over-year.

I thought people would be a lot more skittish. I was way off the mark.


TBH, whenever I've gone to pickup the restaurants don't look that busy and don't see that many eating in (not even close 50%).

I was skittish but I've been told the risk to catch it via food is low.

PilotMan 07-19-2020 05:28 PM

So the boy and I went flying this morning. A very big deal. It's his first flight since he got his private pilot's license, and the very first time that the two of us flew together, just him and I. We went up to Urbana, Ohio, they have a little airport cafe, the good ol' $100 Hamburger, except in this case, it's the $350 breakfast and pie.

Pulled up, parked the plane, kind of busy outside, but it's hot, head in. I swear to god, that it was business as usual in there. There was a sign outside that said, sit 6ft apart outside, but inside it was basically full. No masks anywhere on workers. No tables blocked off. Every table used. Even more surprising, most of the people in there were older, or elderly. It was like a Sunday morning, post church crowd, and nobody really seemed to mind. Things in Cincy at least look like places are trying to make an effort, and restaurants here are all doing the same thing, some better than others, but this was otherworldly.

Ksyrup 07-19-2020 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292084)
TBH, whenever I've gone to pickup the restaurants don't look that busy and don't see that many eating in (not even close 50%).

I was skittish but I've been told the risk to catch it via food is low.


It's not catching it via food that is the issue, it's being indoors with other people for a prolonged period of time, some of it (necessarily) without your mask on.

This is a similar misunderstanding about masks - you're not wearing it to save yourself. That's a lesser, secondary benefit.

I've been somewhat surprised by what looks to be semi-full parking lots, but the only time I've gone in is if they require it for carry-out (as opposed to curbside). Eating in a restaurant just isn't that important for me to chance it. Carry-out works just fine. If things get better and in a few months when temps are in the 60s/70s, I'll likely be good to sit outside at a restaurant.Otherwise, I'm staying away.

Edward64 07-19-2020 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292087)
It's not catching it via food that is the issue, it's being indoors with other people for a prolonged period of time, some of it (necessarily) without your mask on.


Yeah, I get this but it wasn't that long ago that we were wondering if you can catch it from restaurant food. The consensus now is relatively low risk.

Edward64 07-19-2020 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3292086)
So the boy and I went flying this morning. A very big deal. It's his first flight since he got his private pilot's license, and the very first time that the two of us flew together, just him and I. We went up to Urbana, Ohio, they have a little airport cafe, the good ol' $100 Hamburger, except in this case, it's the $350 breakfast and pie.

Pulled up, parked the plane, kind of busy outside, but it's hot, head in. I swear to god, that it was business as usual in there. There was a sign outside that said, sit 6ft apart outside, but inside it was basically full. No masks anywhere on workers. No tables blocked off. Every table used. Even more surprising, most of the people in there were older, or elderly. It was like a Sunday morning, post church crowd, and nobody really seemed to mind. Things in Cincy at least look like places are trying to make an effort, and restaurants here are all doing the same thing, some better than others, but this was otherworldly.


Congrats on your son's milestone.

Do you own a prop (I assume) or just rent one?

PilotMan 07-19-2020 06:49 PM

Rented. Plane ownership is not in the budget at all.

cougarfreak 07-19-2020 08:12 PM

I’m just wrapping up a 12 day Disney trip. I know I’m weird, but we had this one planned for awhile. It was our twentieth anniversary. I have to say I’m pleasantly surprised at how Disney has done it. Masks everywhere. Sanitizer everywhere. Cleaning workers are all over. Wiping rides, hand rails etc. no tables open within 6 feet of each other. Plexiglass shields in ride lines, buses, boats. Today they implemented you can’t eat and walk (for like food stands) So if you move, you mask.


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Lathum 07-19-2020 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cougarfreak (Post 3292095)
I’m just wrapping up a 12 day Disney trip. I know I’m weird, but we had this one planned for awhile. It was our twentieth anniversary. I have to say I’m pleasantly surprised at how Disney has done it. Masks everywhere. Sanitizer everywhere. Cleaning workers are all over. Wiping rides, hand rails etc. no tables open within 6 feet of each other. Plexiglass shields in ride lines, buses, boats. Today they implemented you can’t eat and walk (for like food stands) So if you move, you mask.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Were lines really short?

Butter 07-19-2020 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cougarfreak (Post 3292095)
I’m just wrapping up a 12 day Disney trip. I know I’m weird, but we had this one planned for awhile. It was our twentieth anniversary. I have to say I’m pleasantly surprised at how Disney has done it. Masks everywhere. Sanitizer everywhere. Cleaning workers are all over. Wiping rides, hand rails etc. no tables open within 6 feet of each other. Plexiglass shields in ride lines, buses, boats. Today they implemented you can’t eat and walk (for like food stands) So if you move, you mask.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Where did you stay? How full was it? Did you have to move from your originally booked hotel?

Edward64 07-19-2020 08:44 PM

How did they do the parades?

cuervo72 07-19-2020 08:55 PM

Hey, we just drove through Urbana about an hour ago.

cuervo72 07-19-2020 09:01 PM

Also, I still don’t understand people who don’t know how to wear masks. We were at a church function where they were mandatory; at least three people had them down under their nose. One was one of those round masks like you wear if you are sanding something. It had to be more uncomfortable to wear that under your nose. I just don’t get it.

(Damned mouth-breathers.)

cougarfreak 07-19-2020 09:23 PM

COVID-19 - Wuhan Coronavirus (a non-political thread, see pg. 36 #1778)
 
We split stayed. Contemporary, Kidani, and Copper Creek.

No parades. Or fireworks. Every now and then a float with princesses or the characters will appear and drive down one of the streets.

Very very few people in the parks. You have to have a reservation to GET in the parks too. No fast passes. One park a day. But I think outside of the new Minnie/Mickey train ride in holllywood nothing was over 20 minutes.

Rise if the resistance was still a virtual que.


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Butter 07-19-2020 10:10 PM

Why in God's name would ANYONE be in Urbana, let alone two FOFC forum members? Urbana sucks

PilotMan 07-19-2020 10:17 PM

We really just went there for the pie.

Warhammer 07-19-2020 10:40 PM

They actually had some good restaurants there, small mom and pop places, but good. I used to have to drive that way for work.

cuervo72 07-20-2020 07:50 AM

Ok, technically drove by on I-70 on our way back from Purdue.

Atocep 07-20-2020 11:31 AM

Oxford Phase 1/2 results are in and look very promising.

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/oxford...ry?id=71875583

https://marlin-prod.literatumonline....3620316044.pdf

Edward64 07-20-2020 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3292131)
Oxford Phase 1/2 results are in and look very promising.


Yeah but AstraZeneca is down 4%. Weird.

miami_fan 07-21-2020 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bob (Post 3290611)
Atlanta Public Schools announced the 9 week online thing. Fulton has only delayed start until the 17th.


Georgia’s largest school district won’t have in-person start

Ksyrup 07-21-2020 12:39 PM


albionmoonlight 07-21-2020 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292134)
Yeah but AstraZeneca is down 4%. Weird.


I think that vaccine news has been so promising that the market has already priced in good news for the major players.

molson 07-21-2020 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3292275)
I think that vaccine news has been so promising that the market has already priced in good news for the major players.


Plus they're starting to bet on a vaccine "winner" (who will be first, and who will be most profitable), rather than just one being found. Everyone but the winner is probably a little over-priced.

Alan T 07-21-2020 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292273)


The University where I work is doing the same, including any faculty or staff going on campus.

PilotMan 07-21-2020 05:49 PM

You know, if we just stop trying to test, everyone will have chlamydia and soon we'll have herd immunity and we can go on about our business.

tarcone 07-21-2020 06:06 PM

SLU and Washington U in St Louis looking for 3000 people to test a vaccine. They are looking for higher risk people.

I may volunteer. Going to call tomorrow and see how I can get involved.

GrantDawg 07-21-2020 07:54 PM

My son's school is testing everyone as the come to campus, and will keep them in quarantine for 48 hours till the tests come back. If they test positive, they will be put in special housing to quarantine.

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JPhillips 07-21-2020 08:22 PM

We might do that, but if the testing isn't continuous it's more for show than anything else. A campus can't be locked down like the NBA bubble.

GrantDawg 07-21-2020 08:54 PM

Yeah, they are testing weekly. They are using the Harvard-MIT test.

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Glengoyne 07-22-2020 12:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cuervo72 (Post 3292103)
Also, I still don’t understand people who don’t know how to wear masks. We were at a church function where they were mandatory; at least three people had them down under their nose. One was one of those round masks like you wear if you are sanding something. It had to be more uncomfortable to wear that under your nose. I just don’t get it.

(Damned mouth-breathers.)


This is pretty much the behavior that is keeping me away from church. In CA masks are required in public, but it wasn't enforced at church. A lot of folks take them off once they sit down. Many more kept them under their noses. I showed up one Sunday as a volunteer, but won't be back until this is over.

It just isn't worth the risk, nor the aggravation I feel.

And if they really were mouth breathers, they wouldn't need to pop their noses out.

PilotMan 07-22-2020 06:57 AM

Shit, Kroger supposedly has a mask policy, but they are just fine with employees wearing then wrong. Gonna say something like 40% of all mask wearers had them on wrong. It's really hard in Kentucky apparently.

Edward64 07-22-2020 08:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3292328)
Shit, Kroger supposedly has a mask policy, but they are just fine with employees wearing then wrong. Gonna say something like 40% of all mask wearers had them on wrong. It's really hard in Kentucky apparently.


The Kroger & Publix employees have been great with masks. Its the fast food ones that are suspect IMO.

Ksyrup 07-22-2020 09:47 AM

Yeah, I haven't seen much of a problem at my KY Kroger. And since the mask mandate, I'm hardly seeing anyone without a mask in any stores. Now, they aren't always wearing them right, but I've seen very few people without one on in some form. Just more proof that a mask mandate can work to push people who wouldn't ordinarily wear one to do it because when push come to shove, they really aren't invested enough in the anti-mask thing to challenge the policy.

Edward64 07-22-2020 12:49 PM

Good news & some forward looking planning. And supposedly free.

https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/...17e1cd7c736cfa
Quote:

Other results: A Covid-19 vaccine candidate being developed by US pharmaceutical company Pfizer and German biotechnology company BioNTech was shown to elicit "robust" antibody and T cell immune responses in an early phase one/two study, the companies announced in a press release on Monday. That data has not yet been published in a peer-reviewed medical journal

How a vaccine would be distributed in the US: The US Department of Health and Human Services and the Department of Defense announced an agreement today with Pfizer Inc. for “large-scale production and nationwide delivery of 100 million doses of a Covid-19 vaccine in the United States" after it is successfully developed and approved. If the vaccine is successful and receives EUA or licensure, nationwide delivery would begin in the fourth quarter of 2020. The doses would be delivered to locations at the US government’s direction and it would be available to American people at no cost, a released said.

miked 07-22-2020 02:19 PM

So it won't go to the Northeast or West Coast.

PilotMan 07-22-2020 02:30 PM

Honestly, did anyone think that it wouldn't be given out freely, or that it wouldn't be the government's job to obtain and disseminate it? That was certainly my expectation.

sterlingice 07-22-2020 02:31 PM

And maybe a week or two before Election Day?

SI

sterlingice 07-22-2020 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3292377)
Honestly, did anyone think that it wouldn't be given out freely, or that it wouldn't be the government's job to obtain and disseminate it? That was certainly my expectation.


You mean like PPE production and distribu...

SI

GrantDawg 07-22-2020 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3292377)
Honestly, did anyone think that it wouldn't be given out freely, or that it wouldn't be the government's job to obtain and disseminate it? That was certainly my expectation.

I always thought it should, but I also know the Republicans fought hard to make sure the companies could charge for them even after the government gave them huge grants to create them.

Edward64 07-22-2020 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3292377)
Honestly, did anyone think that it wouldn't be given out freely, or that it wouldn't be the government's job to obtain and disseminate it? That was certainly my expectation.


There was a time early on when I wasn't sure if testing or hospital/ventilators were going to be 100% paid or had to do the co-pay or meet the max deductible etc.

I guess it makes sense now as it would be political suicide otherwise.

Brian Swartz 07-22-2020 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan
Honestly, did anyone think that it wouldn't be given out freely, or that it wouldn't be the government's job to obtain and disseminate it? That was certainly my expectation.


Yes, quite a few people think that. I've never assumed it would be free; likely subsidized at some level so that most people can afford it, but not necessarily free. I think it's a complex situation with the kind of critical cooperation between researchers, producers, and government, and the outcome isn't self-evident to me.

PilotMan 07-22-2020 04:52 PM

If it's not free then you're placing a dividing line between who is rich enough to be insulated from a virus that doesn't care about SES, and those who aren't GOOD enough to get it.

stevew 07-22-2020 05:10 PM

I saw that they were going to federally hand out the vaccine. Any other administration I wouldn’t have thought twice. But these thugs in charge will definitely choke out certain areas because they are motherfuckers.

Brian Swartz 07-22-2020 06:12 PM

I don't know what SES is, and I think anything more I would say here would be overly political for this thread.

Alan T 07-22-2020 07:19 PM

I believe he was meaning the virus doesn’t care about SocioEconomical Status SES so a virus to prevent it shouldn’t take that into consideration either in its distribution or it will fail to do its job completely


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JPhillips 07-22-2020 08:49 PM

It's going to be a clusterfuck. I've heard, free or at an affordable cost, and the admin is relying on insurance companies to pay for most Americans. That will work fine, but it means uninsured people are going to have to go through some sort of screening process.

And you can be certain they'll fuck things up with regards to undocumented folks.

PilotMan 07-22-2020 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 3292432)
I believe he was meaning the virus doesn’t care about SocioEconomical Status SES so a virus to prevent it shouldn’t take that into consideration either in its distribution or it will fail to do its job completely


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bingo

panerd 07-22-2020 09:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3292456)
It's going to be a clusterfuck. I've heard, free or at an affordable cost, and the admin is relying on insurance companies to pay for most Americans. That will work fine, but it means uninsured people are going to have to go through some sort of screening process.

And you can be certain they'll fuck things up with regards to undocumented folks.


I thought everyone was required to have insurance now?

JPhillips 07-22-2020 10:34 PM

Trump and the GOP ended the mandate. Certainly most people have insurance, but I've seen anywhere from 25-35 million people without insurance. That's just those under Medicare eligible age, too.

thesloppy 07-22-2020 10:49 PM

I am going to guess that the vast majority of the ~20MM unemployed are uninsured (I sure am, yay!). UI benefits are too much to qualify for Medicaid (even without the bonus) and cobra rollover costs average $600/mth for an individual and $1500/mth for a family, which is a high price to most unemployed people.

Edward64 07-23-2020 12:41 AM

Checking worldometers, we are now above 1K+ in deaths and 70K+ new cases. I believe it was way under 1K in past 2-3 weeks and so the deaths has finally caught up with increased infections.

The stats are bad but hopeful the deaths won't get as bad as before when it hit 2K+. Rooting for Pfizer, Oxford, Moderna etc.

RendeR 07-23-2020 01:02 AM

While NY, NJ and Connecticut seem to have things under control for the time being, NY has issued a 14 day quarantine for anyone coming from 31 of the other 49 states.

Its almost impossible to enforce, but the fact that 31 states are in such a clusterfuck that ours needs to set a quarantine for them and their visitors is kinda frightening.

NobodyHere 07-23-2020 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3292472)
Trump and the GOP ended the mandate. Certainly most people have insurance, but I've seen anywhere from 25-35 million people without insurance. That's just those under Medicare eligible age, too.


Yeah, Trump has saved me several years worth of fines.

Edward64 07-23-2020 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3292489)
Yeah, Trump has saved me several years worth of fines.


Is that a good thing?

NobodyHere 07-23-2020 07:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292491)
Is that a good thing?


Well I don't like paying fines, so yes.

Lathum 07-23-2020 07:22 AM

Hope you never need an appendectomy.

JPhillips 07-23-2020 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3292474)
I am going to guess that the vast majority of the ~20MM unemployed are uninsured (I sure am, yay!). UI benefits are too much to qualify for Medicaid (even without the bonus) and cobra rollover costs average $600/mth for an individual and $1500/mth for a family, which is a high price to most unemployed people.


Good point. The 25-35 million number was from before the pandemic.

I have no doubt that a different admin could distribute a vaccine and it would go pretty smoothly. There will always be some problems, but vaccine distribution isn't a new problem.

This admin, though, I can almost guarantee won't do the proper planning and preparation, and will use distribution as a way to reward allies and punish opposition. It's going to be a clusterfuck.

Lathum 07-23-2020 07:53 AM

Probably distribute it on November 3rd outside voting booths to those wearing MAGA hats.

Alan T 07-23-2020 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RendeR (Post 3292481)
While NY, NJ and Connecticut seem to have things under control for the time being, NY has issued a 14 day quarantine for anyone coming from 31 of the other 49 states.

Its almost impossible to enforce, but the fact that 31 states are in such a clusterfuck that ours needs to set a quarantine for them and their visitors is kinda frightening.


I do not know if it is still in effect, but Massachusetts has the same from anywhere not Like five states or so. As you say though entirely unenforceable and ends up being a “pretty please” that everyone ignores because heaven forbid anyone be inconvenienced.

sterlingice 07-23-2020 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3292499)
Probably distribute it on November 3rd outside voting booths to those wearing MAGA hats.


Nah, they'll give it to everyone. Those not in the chosen group will just be the "control group" getting the placebo. And who says that the administration doesn't believe in science?!?

SI

sterlingice 07-23-2020 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3292477)
Checking worldometers, we are now above 1K+ in deaths and 70K+ new cases. I believe it was way under 1K in past 2-3 weeks and so the deaths has finally caught up with increased infections.

The stats are bad but hopeful the deaths won't get as bad as before when it hit 2K+. Rooting for Pfizer, Oxford, Moderna etc.


It's almost as if those of us worried a couple of weeks ago that "the deaths are coming" are (once again) not chicken littles but looking at previous trends and making realistic case guesses.

SI

Brian Swartz 07-23-2020 09:31 AM

I honestly don't get the concern over what will happen under the vaccine with the current administration, since the only way that's likely to happen is if they win reelection. First half of 2021 is still the optimistic vaccine timeline unless I've missed a massive development somewhere.

Edward64 07-23-2020 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3292514)
I honestly don't get the concern over what will happen under the vaccine with the current administration, since the only way that's likely to happen is if they win reelection. First half of 2021 is still the optimistic vaccine timeline unless I've missed a massive development somewhere.


Timetable is all over the place.

Note that even though the vaccine isn't "proven" yet, there's been enough positives where company/countries willing to take a bet and start producing now/soon.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/04/astr...s-vaccine.html
Quote:

Pharmaceutical company AstraZeneca is aiming to produce 2 billion doses of a coronavirus vaccine, including 400 million for the U.S. and U.K. and 1 billion for those in low- and middle-income countries.

It plans to start distributing the vaccine to the U.S. and U.K. in September or October, with the balance of deliveries likely to be made by early 2021, according to AstraZeneca CEO Pascal Soriot, on a call with journalists Thursday.

JPhillips 07-23-2020 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3292514)
I honestly don't get the concern over what will happen under the vaccine with the current administration, since the only way that's likely to happen is if they win reelection. First half of 2021 is still the optimistic vaccine timeline unless I've missed a massive development somewhere.


Given a new admin doesn’t start until mid-January means Trump is going to play a big role in the early distribution.

miami_fan 07-23-2020 04:42 PM

I'm watching the local school board meeting at length for the very first time. Not gonna lie, not really impressed with the group as a whole.

EDIT:Specified the type of board.

Qwikshot 07-23-2020 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3292560)
Given a new admin doesn’t start until mid-January means Trump is going to play a big role in the early distribution.


Could you imagine if he withholds it to Blue states out of spite? I could see it.

Alan T 07-23-2020 05:13 PM

With the AP report that came out showing he gave minuscule amounts of Ppe to the hardest hit states comparatively due to them being blue states, I am actually surprised that people aren’t considering we will have a repeat. It is a huge concern of mine right now since my wife is high risk.


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Ksyrup 07-24-2020 06:30 AM

This is not meant as a political post, more of a "who the hell can we trust for information?" rant. I posted an article in the political thread about Kemp's backdating tests to show GA was in a decline to support reopening the state. Other states have done some similar monkeying with the numbers, most notably Florida. But on the flipside, the reporting of numbers is hardly as smooth as they are presented on TV or in articles, which is understandable. There are a lot of moving pieces and coordinating all of this information is not an easy job, I'm sure.

All of which is to say, I found this article below about the way deaths are being reported and am once again trying to figure out how the hell to parse any of this with just an objective truth about what's going on. It turns out that deaths reported each day are not just new deaths since the day before. That makes sense given lag time and periodic review of information, etc., but that bit of context is completely missing from any reports I read. The article points out instances where articles are touting the single largest one-day number of "new deaths in a 24-hour period" in states like AZ and FL, only to see that dozens of those deaths (or in some cases almost all of them) did not occur in the previous 24 hours, but days or weeks earlier and have only now been reported due to review of death certificates.

These deaths happened, of course - although I suppose here is where some will interject the whole "hoax" or "overblown" thing about which deaths should actually count as Covid-related. But what I'm getting at is the narrative of things getting worse, that there's some pattern to trace to state reopenings, or protests, or Memorial Day, or July 4th celebrations... if you look at the Florida chart in this article, actual deaths in mid-July went down despite the "reported deaths" number skyrocketing. That context deserves to be known.

So where the hell are we supposed to get objective information without having to parse the raw data ourselves? I'm also expecting someone to explain how this article is misleading because, well, it's from the media so apparently it has to be biased/shoddy/false as they all are. Just freaking frustrated by it all...

The Big Surge In Coronavirus Deaths Is A Media-Fed Myth

Lathum 07-24-2020 07:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292649)
This is not meant as a political post, more of a "who the hell can we trust for information?" rant. I posted an article in the political thread about Kemp's backdating tests to show GA was in a decline to support reopening the state. Other states have done some similar monkeying with the numbers, most notably Florida. But on the flipside, the reporting of numbers is hardly as smooth as they are presented on TV or in articles, which is understandable. There are a lot of moving pieces and coordinating all of this information is not an easy job, I'm sure.

All of which is to say, I found this article below about the way deaths are being reported and am once again trying to figure out how the hell to parse any of this with just an objective truth about what's going on. It turns out that deaths reported each day are not just new deaths since the day before. That makes sense given lag time and periodic review of information, etc., but that bit of context is completely missing from any reports I read. The article points out instances where articles are touting the single largest one-day number of "new deaths in a 24-hour period" in states like AZ and FL, only to see that dozens of those deaths (or in some cases almost all of them) did not occur in the previous 24 hours, but days or weeks earlier and have only now been reported due to review of death certificates.

These deaths happened, of course - although I suppose here is where some will interject the whole "hoax" or "overblown" thing about which deaths should actually count as Covid-related. But what I'm getting at is the narrative of things getting worse, that there's some pattern to trace to state reopenings, or protests, or Memorial Day, or July 4th celebrations... if you look at the Florida chart in this article, actual deaths in mid-July went down despite the "reported deaths" number skyrocketing. That context deserves to be known.

So where the hell are we supposed to get objective information without having to parse the raw data ourselves? I'm also expecting someone to explain how this article is misleading because, well, it's from the media so apparently it has to be biased/shoddy/false as they all are. Just freaking frustrated by it all...

The Big Surge In Coronavirus Deaths Is A Media-Fed Myth


Tired of the "hoax" shit because of the claim deaths are being reported as covid that weren't. That is inevitable going to happen, but even if half the deaths are incorrectly reported thats 70K dead which is unacceptable.

Qwikshot 07-24-2020 07:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292649)
This is not meant as a political post, more of a "who the hell can we trust for information?" rant. I posted an article in the political thread about Kemp's backdating tests to show GA was in a decline to support reopening the state. Other states have done some similar monkeying with the numbers, most notably Florida. But on the flipside, the reporting of numbers is hardly as smooth as they are presented on TV or in articles, which is understandable. There are a lot of moving pieces and coordinating all of this information is not an easy job, I'm sure.

All of which is to say, I found this article below about the way deaths are being reported and am once again trying to figure out how the hell to parse any of this with just an objective truth about what's going on. It turns out that deaths reported each day are not just new deaths since the day before. That makes sense given lag time and periodic review of information, etc., but that bit of context is completely missing from any reports I read. The article points out instances where articles are touting the single largest one-day number of "new deaths in a 24-hour period" in states like AZ and FL, only to see that dozens of those deaths (or in some cases almost all of them) did not occur in the previous 24 hours, but days or weeks earlier and have only now been reported due to review of death certificates.

These deaths happened, of course - although I suppose here is where some will interject the whole "hoax" or "overblown" thing about which deaths should actually count as Covid-related. But what I'm getting at is the narrative of things getting worse, that there's some pattern to trace to state reopenings, or protests, or Memorial Day, or July 4th celebrations... if you look at the Florida chart in this article, actual deaths in mid-July went down despite the "reported deaths" number skyrocketing. That context deserves to be known.

So where the hell are we supposed to get objective information without having to parse the raw data ourselves? I'm also expecting someone to explain how this article is misleading because, well, it's from the media so apparently it has to be biased/shoddy/false as they all are. Just freaking frustrated by it all...

The Big Surge In Coronavirus Deaths Is A Media-Fed Myth


I figured it was a bullshit article once I saw the other articles of it's "agenda" (i.e. complaining about cancel culture, railing about Portland, and how to get rid of BLM murals).

JPhillips 07-24-2020 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292649)
This is not meant as a political post, more of a "who the hell can we trust for information?" rant. I posted an article in the political thread about Kemp's backdating tests to show GA was in a decline to support reopening the state. Other states have done some similar monkeying with the numbers, most notably Florida. But on the flipside, the reporting of numbers is hardly as smooth as they are presented on TV or in articles, which is understandable. There are a lot of moving pieces and coordinating all of this information is not an easy job, I'm sure.

All of which is to say, I found this article below about the way deaths are being reported and am once again trying to figure out how the hell to parse any of this with just an objective truth about what's going on. It turns out that deaths reported each day are not just new deaths since the day before. That makes sense given lag time and periodic review of information, etc., but that bit of context is completely missing from any reports I read. The article points out instances where articles are touting the single largest one-day number of "new deaths in a 24-hour period" in states like AZ and FL, only to see that dozens of those deaths (or in some cases almost all of them) did not occur in the previous 24 hours, but days or weeks earlier and have only now been reported due to review of death certificates.

These deaths happened, of course - although I suppose here is where some will interject the whole "hoax" or "overblown" thing about which deaths should actually count as Covid-related. But what I'm getting at is the narrative of things getting worse, that there's some pattern to trace to state reopenings, or protests, or Memorial Day, or July 4th celebrations... if you look at the Florida chart in this article, actual deaths in mid-July went down despite the "reported deaths" number skyrocketing. That context deserves to be known.

So where the hell are we supposed to get objective information without having to parse the raw data ourselves? I'm also expecting someone to explain how this article is misleading because, well, it's from the media so apparently it has to be biased/shoddy/false as they all are. Just freaking frustrated by it all...

The Big Surge In Coronavirus Deaths Is A Media-Fed Myth


Look at the note on the bottom of their chart.

The argument is that death counts aren't accurate because there's a lag between deaths and the reporting of those deaths. If that's true, you can't then also say that recent death numbers are accurate and proof of a declining number of deaths. What will those death numbers look like in a couple of weeks when all the reporting is in?

Qwikshot 07-24-2020 08:49 AM

Kinda amazing how badly the US Administration has been played.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/23/ameri...ntl/index.html

Warhammer 07-24-2020 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3292675)
Kinda amazing how badly the US Administration has been played.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/23/ameri...ntl/index.html


Simple way for the US to play it, do you want to accept Chinese help the way they helped the nations of Africa?

Qwikshot 07-24-2020 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer (Post 3292677)
Simple way for the US to play it, do you want to accept Chinese help the way they helped the nations of Africa?


To minimize this as non-political. I'm sure the "leaders" of those nations have no problem taking the money while the people of those nations are exploited. The difference is that China's influence and controlling of resources will either force the US to put money into Latin America or face a lot of undue China influence on those who cross into our border.

NobodyHere 07-24-2020 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3292675)
Kinda amazing how badly the US Administration has been played.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/23/ameri...ntl/index.html


I think it's the people of the Latin America that are getting played here.

Ksyrup 07-24-2020 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3292654)
Tired of the "hoax" shit because of the claim deaths are being reported as covid that weren't. That is inevitable going to happen, but even if half the deaths are incorrectly reported thats 70K dead which is unacceptable.


No I think you're missing the point. It's not that the total death numbers aren't accurate, it's the timing of when they occurred and how the media is using recently categorized Covid deaths to show that the trend in deaths is rising on a daily basis when that's not accurate. The fact is that in some cases, 100 of 150 "new deaths reported in a 24 hour period" are actually not new deaths from the past day. Which, if reported with the proper context, kinda puts a dent in the overall narrative about certain states.

I believe the numbers are overall accurate (or if anything, undercooked), and I believe certain states are a problem, but the death numbers that seem to demonstrate a linear progression and cause-and-effect between actions and supporting case/hospitalization numbers doesn't support the narrative. Yet, anyway. But that's not how it's being portrayed

Ksyrup 07-24-2020 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3292668)
Look at the note on the bottom of their chart.

The argument is that death counts aren't accurate because there's a lag between deaths and the reporting of those deaths. If that's true, you can't then also say that recent death numbers are accurate and proof of a declining number of deaths. What will those death numbers look like in a couple of weeks when all the reporting is in?


Death count as portrayed as being a new deaths in the past day. I didn't take from this that they were arguing against particular deaths being attributed to Covid, although that's certainly out there as an argument from certain people. This is about timing of deaths as supporting the media narrative that deaths are at their highest per-day numbers since this began. Which is clearly how it's being reported - "X state has smashed it's 1-day record for deaths 4 times in the past week," etc. That's not true - or, at best, the numbers are far less than being reported.

Edward64 07-24-2020 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3292682)
I think it's the people of the Latin America that are getting played here.


Regardless of motives (and we know its tied to thinking long-term economic opportunities & political ties), it is the humanitarian thing to do so kudos to China.

LATAM is getting played but it's a win-win (albeit probably not equal win-win) as LATAM gets to save more lives, re-open earlier than they would have been able to etc.

We we are talking about trillions for our stimulus bill what's another $2-4B. It would be smart for US to offer or coordinate something similar for the friendly/neutral countries in LATAM, Africa and most importantly in Asia (including India).

Most countries in Asia see China as a threat. The US should be leveraging that mis-trust and (re)build and (re)strengthen relations for the friend & neutral countries.

Very interested in who Biden will pick for Secretary of State.

ISiddiqui 07-24-2020 09:52 AM

Of course literally 2.5 weeks ago, Issue Insights was using declining daily confirmed COVID 19 deaths as a reason for why COVID 19 was coming to an end.

Is The Pandemic Coming To An End At Last? – Issues & Insights

Ksyrup 07-24-2020 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3292690)
Of course literally 2.5 weeks ago, Issue Insights was using declining daily confirmed COVID 19 deaths as a reason for why COVID 19 was coming to an end.

Is The Pandemic Coming To An End At Last? – Issues & Insights


Never heard of I&I before I ran across this article, but that's why I said this wasn't intended as a political post. I'm looking for information and no one is providing anything honest or objective.

JPhillips 07-24-2020 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292688)
Death count as portrayed as being a new deaths in the past day. I didn't take from this that they were arguing against particular deaths being attributed to Covid, although that's certainly out there as an argument from certain people. This is about timing of deaths as supporting the media narrative that deaths are at their highest per-day numbers since this began. Which is clearly how it's being reported - "X state has smashed it's 1-day record for deaths 4 times in the past week," etc. That's not true - or, at best, the numbers are far less than being reported.


No, we don't yet know the number of deaths, say, for yesterday, but that doesn't mean they are far less than being reported. There's a discussion, perhaps, on how daily death reports are actually an accumulation of days due to a lag in receiving the information, but that doesn't mean that death counts are actually far lower than is being reported.

What I expect happens, just based on timelines we've seen previously, is that death counts will first be undercounted, then be roughly equal for a while, then be overcounted as the deaths subside, but reporting still lags. In a practical sense it's hard to see how it could work perfectly given the realities of having to record and report.

miami_fan 07-24-2020 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3292691)
Never heard of I&I before I ran across this article, but that's why I said this wasn't intended as a political post. I'm looking for information and no one is providing anything honest or objective.


I commented on this a while back. Here is where the distrust of “the news”, “science”, and “facts” come back to bite us.


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