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Lathum 07-08-2022 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3371774)
This contradicts what you posted above.



Just checking, is this still an accurate statement from you?


I don't see how it contradicts . I wasn't searching for a specific example, I was more discussing how laws should be made. As far as I can tell the genesis of this law isn't from litigation.

Go ahead and find an example of a 2nd grade teacher teaching kids about anal sex and strap on dildos....you realize these are the things supports think are being taught?

Lathum 07-08-2022 08:51 AM

dola- I do see how you could perceive it that way, I wasn't very clear, my head is a bit swollen today

Edward64 07-08-2022 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3371776)
Do you believe that's the preferred dividing line for FL lawmakers? That all this is to protect that very specific demographic?

I do not. It's a toehold for future legislation.


For DeSantis, it's really for DeSantis to score political points for sure. There are likely other reasons but definitely primarily to score political points in anticipation of him being an alternative to Trump.

Yes, I can see its a toehold for more stuff to come especially if he is going to run for the GOP nomination.

For me and my stance, the word "protect" is too strong. It is more allowing the parents to have those initial discussions with 3rd graders vs public school teachers.

I know not all parents will want to have those discussions. And some will likely do more harm than good. But yeah, I think most caring parents will want to have first crack in setting the stage and letting the 3rd grader know what they believe.

miami_fan 07-08-2022 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3371726)
I'm not sure why you have provided the definition of sex? The FL law says below? Let's use your example of the stork. I don't see the law as stopping teacher from say "yes, I'm going to have a baby with my husband/wife/significant other" and stop there (e.g. no instruction)? If I'm mistaken, quote me a passage in the FL law.


You said.

Quote:

This may have been true for your school, but it certainly wasn't for my school (but mine was a long time ago and overseas anyway). For my kids that went to school here, I don't remember when or ages, but do remember multiple times that parents were informed whenever there would be discussion about sex (and prob other sensitive matters) and were allowed to excuse their kids from those discussions.

I linked the definition to clarify what I meant because I was specifically talking about teachers and kids having those discussions in third grade without parents being informed. Also when you say "stop there", what does that even mean? Where is the instruction? Yes, we can take it the courts to figure out but that means that we are intentionally putting laws on the books to harass our citizens

Quote:

Sure by third grade kids know pronouns. You are saying by teachers teaching kids I/me/they/them/he/she etc. they have been "instructed" on "gender identity"? I don't think so and don't think any court would agree with that as the intent of the law. But hey, someone wants to bring it up, let's get a ruling and get it on the books.

Of course it is because by definition those are gender identifying terms, no?

Quote:

I think what you are really saying to me is "look, this law isn't about instructing on all sexual orientation or gender identity, it is really about instructing on LGBTQ sexual orientation or gender identity", I agree with you. It really is that regardless of the more neutral wording in the law. I'm still okay with leaving those discussions for parents to handle for 3rd graders and below.

No it is beyond that. Because of the neutral wording, it is about instructing on all sexual orientation or gender identity. The problem is no one has said what that actually means which places everyone involved in a vulnerable position.

What discussions do you think teachers are having with the third graders that should be left to the parents? That members of the LGBTQ+ community exist in the world? That Mr. White has a husband? That Mrs. White has a wife?

Again, teachers are not discussing the finer details of sexual intercourse between people of the same gender with their third graders. No one is suggesting teachers should be having that discussion with third graders and I feel like you keep driving to the suggestion that this is what is happening and what the law is trying to prevent. I have given you numerous examples of age appropriate discussions of sexual orientation and gender identity that have been a part of teacher-student interactions forever and will continue to happen without some sudden need for parental consent. The fact those interactions involved LGBTQ+ people should not make them illegal. Why can't Mr. White can't tell his third graders what he and his husband did over the summer without parental consent but Mrs. White can? Why can't Mr. White say that he is married to his husband without parental consent but Mrs. White can? Why can't Mr. White have his husband come in and discuss the meaning of Father's Day or Veteran's Day to him without parental consent but Mrs. White can? How is it that when Mr. White does those things, it is grooming but when Mrs. White does the same things using the exact same words it is not? It was and is fine for Mrs White to go into great depth on all those things but Mr. White is supposed to have a stunted one sentence response and stop right there? And if he does not, he runs the risk of being brought up on disciplinary charges? Yeah no thanks.

Quote:

I'm not sure why you added & highlighted above. I'm really talking about 3rd graders and below. I will concede I haven't quite pinpointed when is the appropriate time for "instruction on sexual orientation or gender identity". I had earlier said middle school which is 11-13 (vs 3rd grader at 8-9) and this seems right to me.

And I am telling you and have given examples that you have already accepted that we are already providing instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to third graders and below. You already said that your issue is with that instruction including the LGBTQ+ community. I see no reason or need to other that community in this way.

Edward64 07-08-2022 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3371779)
dola- I do see how you could perceive it that way, I wasn't very clear, my head is a bit swollen today


Okay, thanks. I thought I was having reading comprehension issues myself and thinking WTF. Appreciate you saying you can see how I read it that way.

Edward64 07-08-2022 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3371778)
I don't see how it contradicts . I wasn't searching for a specific example, I was more discussing how laws should be made. As far as I can tell the genesis of this law isn't from litigation.

Go ahead and find an example of a 2nd grade teacher teaching kids about anal sex and strap on dildos....you realize these are the things supports think are being taught?


I'll ignore the 2nd paragraph since I didn't understand it. I'll wait when you get back to "normal" :)

Lathum 07-08-2022 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3371782)
You said.



I linked the definition to clarify what I meant because I was specifically talking about teachers and kids having those discussions in third grade without parents being informed. Also when you say "stop there", what does that even mean? Where is the instruction? Yes, we can take it the courts to figure out but that means that we are intentionally putting laws on the books to harass our citizens



Of course it is because by definition those are gender identifying terms, no?



No it is beyond that. Because of the neutral wording, it is about instructing on all sexual orientation or gender identity. The problem is no one has said what that actually means which places everyone involved in a vulnerable position.

What discussions do you think teachers are having with the third graders that should be left to the parents? That members of the LGBTQ+ community exist in the world? That Mr. White has a husband? That Mrs. White has a wife?

Again, teachers are not discussing the finer details of sexual intercourse between people of the same gender with their third graders. No one is suggesting teachers should be having that discussion with third graders and I feel like you keep driving to the suggestion that this is what is happening and what the law is trying to prevent. I have given you numerous examples of age appropriate discussions of sexual orientation and gender identity that have been a part of teacher-student interactions forever and will continue to happen without some sudden need for parental consent. The fact those interactions involved LGBTQ+ people should not make them illegal. Why can't Mr. White can't tell his third graders what he and his husband did over the summer without parental consent but Mrs. White can? Why can't Mr. White say that he is married to his husband without parental consent but Mrs. White can? Why can't Mr. White have his husband come in and discuss the meaning of Father's Day or Veteran's Day to him without parental consent but Mrs. White can? How is it that when Mr. White does those things, it is grooming but when Mrs. White does the same things using the exact same words it is not? It was and is fine for Mrs White to go into great depth on all those things but Mr. White is supposed to have a stunted one sentence response and stop right there? And if he does not, he runs the risk of being brought up on disciplinary charges? Yeah no thanks.



And I am telling you and have given examples that you have already accepted that we are already providing instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to third graders and below. You already said that your issue is with that instruction including the LGBTQ+ community. I see no reason or need to other that community in this way.


Bravo sir.....well stated.

Edward64 07-08-2022 09:32 AM

Quote:

What discussions do you think teachers are having with the third graders that should be left to the parents? That members of the LGBTQ+ community exist in the world? That Mr. White has a husband? That Mrs. White has a wife?

Again, teachers are not discussing the finer details of sexual intercourse between people of the same gender with their third graders. No one is suggesting teachers should be having that discussion with third graders and I feel like you keep driving to the suggestion that this is what is happening and what the law is trying to prevent.

This is a fair question and agree that I've not answered it well. I do believe it is a reaction of (real or not) wokeness that DeSantis wants to leverage.

Similar to Lathum who asked where are examples of where these "instructions" occurred and if there is no examples, then the legislation is not needed.

Let me find some examples (I'll try today but definitely by Sat) if they are out there and get back to you.

PilotMan 07-08-2022 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3371781)
For DeSantis, it's really for DeSantis to score political points for sure. There are likely other reasons but definitely primarily to score political points in anticipation of him being an alternative to Trump.

Yes, I can see its a toehold for more stuff to come especially if he is going to run for the GOP nomination.

For me and my stance, the word "protect" is too strong. It is more allowing the parents to have those initial discussions with 3rd graders vs public school teachers.

I know not all parents will want to have those discussions. And some will likely do more harm than good. But yeah, I think most caring parents will want to have first crack in setting the stage and letting the 3rd grader know what they believe.



So one thing here that I have issue with: are we allowing parents to dictate their individual teaching standards to educators, or are we allowing educators (state included) to set baseline educational standards that parents need to accept?

Just like intolerance and (I really hate the term) cancel culture (on both the extreme right and left), you've got people who thing they are really too fucking special and should get their way all the time, and if they don't then you are a horrible, horrible person. I'll take this whole trans blowback on the left when very supportive people take stances like "you can't just have a surgery and call yourself a woman" and demand things like equity in sports. Those people are now (in some circles) persona non grata from those very same people. If gender reassignment surgery is that important to you, then you should understand that participating in sports might not be in your future. If it's the other way around, then you need to make decisions. You can't have everything your way all the time. We all have to give here and there, and no, 'living your best life' doesn't mean you get to do whatever, whenever you want, because there's 7 billion people on the planet. So I'll run this back around here. These parents that demand that they have the final say? They are basically those kids who grew up getting participation trophies, who were told they were really special and could do no wrong. There are plenty of very, very shitty parents out there. We've got a whole lot of people who bitch, and have never tried doing. All they do is complain and whine and demand 'something' be done. They don't really want to try and fix the problem, they just want you to know you are wrong and they are right, and you need to fix it right now.

Comedians are the ones leading the war for free speech, not the extreme right, or the left. Which is funny, because when you've got comedians out there going "whoa, you're far too extreme for me, because you've shouted me down time and time again for speaking words that you don't feel 'serve' you' you know we've jumped the shark.

If those parents were on advisory boards, and worked with the district to come up with those policies and best use curriculums, then fine. But they aren't, they just show up and yell and cry about "sexualization" of kids. They can't even be bothered to get the term right. That's a completely different conversation and complaint I have with the right. They love to take these words and gaslight the shit out of people until that word becomes the thing they want it to. We don't have 3rd graders dressed in skimpy outfits, and paraded around grown older boys and men for their sexual gratification now do we? Fuck no. If there's a hot button word out there, 100% it's the right trying to make that word into the cultural buzzword of the day. Fuck that shit.

cuervo72 07-08-2022 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3371791)
We don't have 3rd graders dressed in skimpy outfits, and paraded around grown older boys and men for their sexual gratification now do we? Fuck no. If there's a hot button word out there, 100% it's the right trying to make that word into the cultural buzzword of the day. Fuck that shit.


I mean, we have whatever that whole Toddlers & Tiaras stuff is...

Also, just generally, a reminder from https://medium.com/@_EthanGrey/the-m...u-936037958bce

Quote:

Here is the Republican message on everything of importance:

They can tell people what to do.
You cannot tell them what to do.

PilotMan 07-08-2022 10:30 AM

Great link. Hits it right on the mark.

miami_fan 07-08-2022 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3371790)
This is a fair question and agree that I've not answered it well. I do believe it is a reaction of (real or not) wokeness that DeSantis wants to leverage.

Similar to Lathum who asked where are examples of where these "instructions" occurred and if there is no examples, then the legislation is not needed.

Let me find some examples (I'll try today but definitely by Sat) if they are out there and get back to you.


I can't figure out a way to say this without coming off like an asshole and I really don't me to impend on your patent on the board. It is not my intention but I understand why you may think that is the case.

Is this what you mean?

WOKENESS | definition in the Cambridge English Dictionary

Quote:

wokeness
noun [ U ]
mainly US informal
us
/ˈwoʊk.nəs/ uk
/ˈwəʊk.nəs/
a state of being aware, especially of social problems such as racism and inequality:
His latest record displays his wokeness.
More examples

Wokeness encompasses the need to search for more knowledge, understanding and truth in order to challenge injustice.
The actor and the politician met in a display of mutual wokeness.
Wokeness has to be about more than just saying the right thing.



Since PM mentioned terms that he absolutely hates, that is mine

Edward64 07-08-2022 10:56 AM

I'll go with the wiki definition. I find wiki provides a lot of more context and many can agree to its definition.

I didn't know about the bolded section in 2nd paragraph.

Absolutely no problems in asking for definitions. I really do believe its important to establish it up front.

Woke - Wikipedia
Quote:

Woke (/ˈwoʊk/ WOHK) is an English adjective meaning "alert to racial prejudice and discrimination" that originated in African-American Vernacular English (AAVE). Beginning in the 2010s, it came to encompass a broader awareness of social inequalities such as sexism, and has also been used as shorthand for American Left ideas involving identity politics and social justice, such as the notion of white privilege and slavery reparations for African Americans.

The phrase stay woke had emerged in AAVE by the 1930s, in some contexts referring to an awareness of the social and political issues affecting African Americans. The phrase was uttered in a recording by Lead Belly and later by Erykah Badu. Following the shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri in 2014, the phrase was popularised by Black Lives Matter (BLM) activists seeking to raise awareness about police shootings of African Americans. After seeing use on Black Twitter, the term woke became an Internet meme and was increasingly used by white people, often to signal their support for BLM, which some commentators have criticised as cultural appropriation. Mainly associated with the millennial generation, the term spread internationally and was added to the Oxford English Dictionary in 2017.

Galaril 07-08-2022 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3371769)
Perhaps if we taught it we would stop churning out generation of intolerant bigots...


BINGO.

CrimsonFox 07-08-2022 02:35 PM

Hoorah. An executive order to provide access to abortion
And taxing the rich

CrimsonFox 07-08-2022 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3371814)
BINGO.


Hold your cards please

Lathum 07-08-2022 03:45 PM

Mortons....oof.

Would be something else to be an employee there today. Especially one who answers the phones.

Atocep 07-08-2022 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3371835)
Mortons....oof.

Would be something else to be an employee there today. Especially one who answers the phones.


Quote:

“Politics, regardless of your side or views, should not trample the freedom at play of the right to congregate and eat dinner”

The statement is from Morton's, but I would like Kavanaugh to point out to us where in the constitution it states he has a right to congregate and eat dinner.

PilotMan 07-09-2022 07:29 AM

RvW decision unintended consequences ftw

Best part is where one cop tells her if she fights it she'll probably get off. Hahaha

Pregnant Texas woman tells cop Roe repeal lets her fetus count for the carpool lane - Raw Story - Celebrating 18 Years of Independent Journalism

PilotMan 07-09-2022 07:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3371837)
The statement is from Morton's, but I would like Kavanaugh to point out to us where in the constitution it states he has a right to congregate and eat dinner.


The constitution does not mention anything about going out for dinner. It's not even a protected human right.

GrantDawg 07-09-2022 07:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3371863)
The constitution does not mention anything about going out for dinner. It's not even a protected human right.

Yes it is. You will pull that piece of Mellow Mushroom pizza out of my cold dead hands. Give me liberty, and supersize the fries!!

Edward64 07-09-2022 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3371865)
Yes it is. You will pull that piece of Mellow Mushroom pizza out of my cold dead hands. Give me liberty, and supersize the fries!!


... and definitely no pineapple

NobodyHere 07-09-2022 08:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3371863)
The constitution does not mention anything about going out for dinner. It's not even a protected human right.


This reasoning is contradicted by the ninth amendment.

PilotMan 07-09-2022 09:44 AM

The 9th amendment mentions going out to dinner?

cuervo72 07-09-2022 10:24 AM

As others have pointed out, if you can harass and protest women walking into a clinic, you can harass and protest a man walking into a steakhouse.

cuervo72 07-09-2022 10:28 AM


albionmoonlight 07-09-2022 10:41 AM

I wonder how much we'd still be hearing about the "Baby Formula Crisis" if the President hadn't taken successful action to solve it. As soon as it stopped being something to criticize him about, the media black holed it.

PilotMan 07-09-2022 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cuervo72 (Post 3371879)
As others have pointed out, if you can harass and protest women walking into a clinic, you can harass and protest a man walking into a steakhouse.


Maybe he should be forced to watch video of cows being raised and then slaughtered before he's allowed to eat his steak?

NobodyHere 07-09-2022 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3371872)
The 9th amendment mentions going out to dinner?


The 9th amendment (to my lay knowledge anyways) says that just because the constitution doesn't explicitly mention a right, you can't read it to say that someone denied that right, which is the reasoning you used in your prior post.

Quote:

Originally Posted by 9th Amendement
The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people.


Correct me if I'm wrong.

PilotMan 07-09-2022 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3371887)
The 9th amendment (to my lay knowledge anyways) says that just because the constitution doesn't explicitly mention a right, you can't read it to say that someone denied that right, which is the reasoning you used in your prior post.



Correct me if I'm wrong.


I mean, that's how I would read it too, but it apparently doesn't apply to abortion, or gay rights to a certain judge. His reasoning being those rights weren't given in the constitution.

NobodyHere 07-09-2022 12:39 PM

Yeah, it is a pretty strange amendment IMO as I have no idea what utility it really has. Not sure if life would be any different without it.

larrymcg421 07-09-2022 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3371899)
Yeah, it is a pretty strange amendment IMO as I have no idea what utility it really has. Not sure if life would be any different without it.


The Federalists needed enough Anti-Federalists on board to ratify the Constitution. Anti-Federalists didn't like the idea of a strong central government and wanted a Bill of Rights to limit that government. The Federalists were worried that if they spelled out some rights, then people in the future would assume those were the only rights we had. The 9th Amendment was added to clarify the purpose of the Bill of Rights.

Edward64 07-10-2022 12:43 PM

This seems unnecessarily confrontational. He may really believe it but could have taken a more indirect tone.

I wonder if Bedingfield misspoke and if she'll try to walk it back some.

Outrage Erupts as White House Calls Abortion Rights Activists ‘Out of Step’
Quote:

The apparent jab was made in a statement to The Washington Post responding to criticism of what many Democrats see as a response that has been too little, too late. White House communications director Kate Bedingfield said: “The president has been showing his deep outrage as an American and executing his bold plan—which is the product of months of hard work—ever since this decision was handed down.”

She went on to say that “Joe Biden’s goal in responding to Dobbs is not to satisfy some activists who have been consistently out of step with the mainstream of the Democratic Party” but “to deliver help to women who are in danger and assemble a broad-based coalition to defend a woman’s right to choose now, just as he assembled such a coalition to win during the 2020 campaign.”

Women’s March Director Rachel O’Leary Carmona told activists she hoped to “push [Biden’s] authority to the limit” regarding abortion rights. By Sunday morning, Carmona had changed her Twitter name to “Out of Touch Activist.”

albionmoonlight 07-10-2022 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3371949)
This seems unnecessarily confrontational. He may really believe it but could have taken a more indirect tone.

I wonder if Bedingfield misspoke and if she'll try to walk it back some.

Outrage Erupts as White House Calls Abortion Rights Activists ‘Out of Step’


The leftists I follow on Twitter have been jumping all over themselves trying to be the most outraged over this.

This is the classic thing that is smart for the administration to believe (he's trying to get re-elected as President of the United States. Not President of Left Wing social media), but silly for them to say out loud (the only people reading/sharing it are the left wing folks who are going to be pissed at it).

RainMaker 07-10-2022 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3371952)
The leftists I follow on Twitter have been jumping all over themselves trying to be the most outraged over this.

This is the classic thing that is smart for the administration to believe (he's trying to get re-elected as President of the United States. Not President of Left Wing social media), but silly for them to say out loud (the only people reading/sharing it are the left wing folks who are going to be pissed at it).


Hiw does opposing abortion help him get elected? Polls show a strong majority of the population wants it to be legal.

We will see how his approach plays out in November and 2024

Edward64 07-10-2022 09:19 PM

Yup Joe. Solve the range anxiety issue (and allow for more tax credit quota) and I'll jump to an EV (from my hybrid).

Charging Logistics a Top Barrier to Electric-Car Adoption: Survey
Quote:

61% of the survey respondents who said they were not entirely sold on buying an electric car said that the logistics of EV charging availability — including when and where to charge the vehicle — would prevent them from buying or leasing an electric car.

The survey was released on Thursday. Respondents said EV range and the cost of buying an electric car could also pose a major barrier. Though, the polled Americans seemed less concerned with being able to fix the car or how it would perform in cold weather.

Increasing charging infrastructure is a top priority for US President Joe Biden. In June, the Biden Administration proposed a $7.5 billion investment in a national network of 500,000 EV charging stations. But, the current number of charging stations in the US is far from ideal. According to the US Department of Energy, there are just over 56,000 public EV charging stations in the country to date.

GrantDawg 07-11-2022 06:53 AM

Wow. That's an ow.

Edward64 07-11-2022 07:09 AM

538 has him at 38.4 aggregate approval right now, lowest he's been.

It's too late for mid-terms but I'm still rooting for him to turn things around. I don't think he should run in 2024 but if Jul 2024 is same as Jul 2022, the Dems (and presumed new nominee) are in deep doo-doo.

PilotMan 07-11-2022 07:37 AM

Under no circumstances should he be renominated. He's far too fucking old.

stevew 07-11-2022 09:16 AM

If they got 51 Senators I’d be all about a retirement.

PilotMan 07-11-2022 09:27 AM

One Small Step for Democracy in a 'Live Free or Die' Town

I find this sort of thing to be terrifying in general after having served on an HOA board and see this sort of thing happen at that level (or try to during my tenure). But it also lays the ground work for others to do something else in small towns across the US for very different reasons. The Netflix Doc Wild, Wild Country was an example with the politicking that came into play in Oregon.

I'd say the most legitimate threat is a group of Sovereign Citizens and wacko preppers and Klansmen set up shot in Idaho, declare total independence and watch what the State or Feds do. For a long, long time, the US has supported separatist movements around the world. What happens when we need to put down our own?

Edward64 07-11-2022 10:40 AM

Talking about Biden and 2024 ...

I'm guessing this is bottom quartile historically of all incumbent Presidents and lack of support within own party.

64 percent of Democrats want someone other than Biden to be 2024 nominee: poll | The Hill
Quote:

Most Democrats surveyed in a poll released early Monday said they would prefer a candidate other than President Biden as the party’s nominee in 2024.

The New York Times/Siena College poll found that 64 percent of Democrats questioned said they would prefer a different candidate. Twenty-six percent of Democrats said they would still support Biden in the next presidential election.

When asked why they would support a new candidate, 33 percent of Democrats cited age as their main reason, 32 percent said job performance, 12 percent said they will prefer someone new and 10 percent said Biden is not progressive enough.

Forty-four percent of all respondents said they would cast their vote for Biden if the 2024 presidential election were held today, while 41 percent of respondents said they would vote for former President Trump if he is a 2024 presidential candidate.

larrymcg421 07-11-2022 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3371969)
Hiw does opposing abortion help him get elected? Polls show a strong majority of the population wants it to be legal.

We will see how his approach plays out in November and 2024


In no way does that statement oppose abortion.

GrantDawg 07-11-2022 01:47 PM

I really always thought he would only serve one term. I was quite upset when suggestions about a year ago suggested he had ever intention of running again. I hope that the number dissuade him, and he doesn't even involve himself in the process of the next presidential elections.

The biggest question has to be who then? I like Harris but I don't think she is popular enough to be a strong candidate. Bernie, Warren, Hillary are just too old. We need a new Obama. Could he grow a beard and just run as Barry?

Edward64 07-11-2022 02:09 PM

Jon Steward? But read that he has said no.

Opinion | If Tucker Runs in 2024, Here’s Who the Democrats Need - POLITICO

Flasch186 07-11-2022 02:11 PM

I think Gavin Newsome has a chance to garner a bunch of hype marketing wise but I’m sure there’s some awful skeletons in the closet


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

albionmoonlight 07-11-2022 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3372037)
We need a new Obama. Could he grow a beard and just run as Barry?


" . . . Most fans contend that the show really jumped the shark around the 20th season when the Obama character came back and ran for another two terms as President, successfully arguing that he had not properly presented his birth certificate during his first two terms, making them invalid and allowing him to run for two additional terms. While some fans enjoyed the creative twist of using Trump's 'birther' gambit against him, most concluded that the writers had simply run out of ideas and probably should have stuck with the original plan to end the series with the J6/Emperor Putin finale that was jettisoned at the last minute when the show got surprisingly renewed."

RainMaker 07-11-2022 02:14 PM

Pritzker, Kelly, or Newsom stand the best shot. Harris would be a disaster which means they'll pick Harris.

Atocep 07-11-2022 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3372042)
Pritzker, Kelly, or Newsom stand the best shot. Harris would be a disaster which means they'll pick Harris.


Agreed

I think Pritzker and Newsom would both be excellent choices to run against Trump or DeSantis

larrymcg421 07-11-2022 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3372037)
I really always thought he would only serve one term. I was quite upset when suggestions about a year ago suggested he had ever intention of running again. I hope that the number dissuade him, and he doesn't even involve himself in the process of the next presidential elections.


Even if Biden always planned to be President for one term, it would be dumb to make that clear and significantly weaken his position.

And the numbers from that poll have to be taken with a grain of salt as that 33% approval number is way out of line with other numbers. Even Rasmussen, which has consistently had the most R-leaning numbers on Biden's approval, has him 4 points higher at 37.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 3372047)
Even if Biden always planned to be President for one term, it would be dumb to make that clear and significantly weaken his position.

And the numbers from that poll have to be taken with a grain of salt as that 33% approval number is way out of line with other numbers. Even Rasmussen, which has consistently had the most R-leaning numbers on Biden's approval, has him 4 points higher at 37.


37% is still really bad too. Especially when you consider there haven't been any real major scandals, just a constant stream of incompetence.

And how old are those other polls? I do feel like things are going to shift more with the recent Supreme Court rulings and mass shootings.

larrymcg421 07-11-2022 03:02 PM

If Harris gets the nomination, it's because she's the incumbent VP, not because "Dems are dumb."

Newsom would be a ridiculously bad candidate. Pritzker has no national profile and is a billionaire. I love Kelly, but he's ideologically the same as Joe, so not sure why some of the anti-Biden faction loves him.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 03:35 PM

The party does have a history of putting its thumbs on the scale during primaries. As well as making it difficult for newcomers to rise through the ranks.

Don't know too much about Newsom's skeletons, but imagine they can't possibly be worse than Trump's. He's also been one of the few Democrats with a spine over the past year. Has good political instincts and isn't 80 years old.

I think Pritzker's lack of a national profile in the party is a big positive. That party has so much stink on it that it desperately needs an outsider. The billionaire thing doesn't matter much when running against another billionaire. He also has great political instincts, has really smart people helping him, and is pretty likable. Also been one of the few Democrats with a spine over the past couple years.

Kelly would be a narrative candidate. Pretty tough not to like him or attack him in any way. I don't think he wants to run and the party doesn't seem interested in elevating him because they are incredibly dumb.

GrantDawg 07-11-2022 04:36 PM

Mark Cuban?

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GrantDawg 07-11-2022 04:48 PM

Who I would really, really love to see: Katie Porter

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Lathum 07-11-2022 04:54 PM

She has said several times she won’t, but Michelle Obama would be fascinating and I would love to see the heads explode if she won. Which I think she would.

sterlingice 07-11-2022 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3372067)
Who I would really, really love to see: Katie Porter

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Needs a few years to build a national profile but she's a potential rising star

SI

RainMaker 07-11-2022 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3372065)
Mark Cuban?


Is he even a Democrat? Kind of seems like a libertarian who sides with Democrats of late because of Trump.

thesloppy 07-11-2022 05:03 PM

I still like Cory Booker

PilotMan 07-11-2022 05:05 PM

Yep, me too. I love out Pete handles himself in the media. Dude is smart and just on it every day.

larrymcg421 07-11-2022 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3372073)
I still like Cory Booker


Same, but he doesn't seem to know how to make it work on a national stage. Also, he wouldn't run against Harris.

Edward64 07-11-2022 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3372068)
She has said several times she won’t, but Michelle Obama would be fascinating and I would love to see the heads explode if she won. Which I think she would.


I think she would win the Dem nomination. Not sure she would win the Presidency though.

If she was serious, position herself as VP in 2024 or maybe ask Joe for a visible cabinet position (HHS, HUD?) in 2022 where she has time to do something.

Edward64 07-11-2022 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3372075)
Yep, me too. I love out Pete handles himself in the media. Dude is smart and just on it every day.


Mayor Pete is definitely a good speaker. But only if we see good results from the Infrastructure/Transportation $ he is managing and so far, I've not read much.

Atocep 07-11-2022 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3372075)
Yep, me too. I love out Pete handles himself in the media. Dude is smart and just on it every day.


I do really like Pete. Dems can't worry about trying to find the perfect candidate. No one they run will have more red flags and issues than Trump. For 2020 I thought having someone that would punch back at Trump was overrated, but I think most dem voters are tired of seeing their representatives roll over.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 08:39 PM

Pete is currently bombing spectacularly as the head of DoT. Although in his defense, he was woefully unqualified for it and should have never been nominated.

I get that he is good in interviews and raising money from big corporations. There's a pretty good role in the party for that which doesn't require being President or being competent at running the country.

PilotMan 07-11-2022 08:42 PM

:rolleyes:

NobodyHere 07-11-2022 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3372097)
Pete is currently bombing spectacularly as the head of DoT. Although in his defense, he was woefully unqualified for it and should have never been nominated.

I get that he is good in interviews and raising money from big corporations. There's a pretty good role in the party for that which doesn't require being President or being competent at running the country.


How is he "bombing spectacularly?"

NobodyHere 07-11-2022 09:15 PM

Dola:

And I'll admit I rolled my eyes when Pete took a month long parental leave quite soon after taking the job and that he only got the job in the first place as a political hand-out.

But how do you rate a Secretary of Transportation?

Atocep 07-11-2022 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3372100)
Dola:

And I'll admit I rolled my eyes when Pete took a month long parental leave quite soon after taking the job and that he only got the job in the first place as a political hand-out.

But how do you rate a Secretary of Transportation?


They mostly oversee distribution of funds to projects that take years to complete so during their term you really can't. Outside that he's continued some of the goals from the Obama administration.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 09:39 PM

Perhaps some of you who have traveled have heard of the numerous flight delays and cancellations taking place. Not to mention the massive increase in costs that have gone with it.

Now none of this is new to the DoT. Consumer groups met with him at the beginning and laid out the issues with the airlines. He has done just about nothing in regards to their complaints. You can read a pretty scathing letter from Consumer Reports.

Then there are supply chains. The Port of Oakland and Port of Los Angeles are still both unmitigated disasters. Although some of their issues are the massive rail delays. Heavy restrictions and antiquated regulations on marijuana testing have contributed to the trucker shortage.

Chao was a complete disaster and it sucks that the new DoT would have to clean up some of the mess. But they aren't. At least Obama put people with vast transportation experience in the role. Pete was woefully unqualified to be a transportation secretary. I don't know how anyone can look at his resume and think otherwise.

Atocep 07-11-2022 09:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3372105)
Perhaps some of you who have traveled have heard of the numerous flight delays and cancellations taking place. Not to mention the massive increase in costs that have gone with it.

Now none of this is new to the DoT. Consumer groups met with him at the beginning and laid out the issues with the airlines. He has done just about nothing in regards to their complaints. You can read a pretty scathing letter from Consumer Reports.

Then there are supply chains. The Port of Oakland and Port of Los Angeles are still both unmitigated disasters. Although some of their issues are the massive rail delays. Heavy restrictions and antiquated regulations on marijuana testing have contributed to the trucker shortage.

Chao was a complete disaster and it sucks that the new DoT would have to clean up some of the mess. But they aren't. At least Obama put people with vast transportation experience in the role. Pete was woefully unqualified to be a transportation secretary. I don't know how anyone can look at his resume and think otherwise.



You've consistently blamed the supply chain issues on businesses making a decision. As recently as April you said:

Quote:

Most supply chain shortage stories end up being a company making a conscious decision. Businesses that staff at the absolute bare bones so they can squeeze every shred of profit out of it that get burnt when something goes wrong.

For instance, Kelloggs gets mentioned a lot. This is a company that is coming off one of its most profitable years. They have bought back billions in shares the past decade. They've also been constantly laying off workers and had a factory shutdown over a labor dispute.

Now it's their business and their choice. Obviously, those decisions are working out well for them. But when some flavors of Pop-Tarts are out of stock, it's on them.

Now it's because of Pete?

RainMaker 07-11-2022 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3372106)
You've consistently blamed the supply chain issues on businesses making a decision. As recently as April you said:

Now it's because of Pete?


It is on businesses who made short-sighted decisions. It's also the responsibility of certain government officials to protect citizens from those short-sighted decisions by punishing the culprits.

If your car is stolen, that's on the person who stole it. But if the cop says "nothing we can do about it", they aren't helping or doing their job.

Atocep 07-11-2022 10:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3372107)
It is on businesses who made short-sighted decisions. It's also the responsibility of certain government officials to protect citizens from those short-sighted decisions by punishing the culprits.

If your car is stolen, that's on the person who stole it. But if the cop says "nothing we can do about it", they aren't helping or doing their job.


Does Kelloggs have an obligation to make sure pop tarts are on shelves? If it's your product and there's a shortage because you wanted cheaper supply chains that turned out to be unreliable I don't see where it's the government's business to punish the company. Unlike a stolen car, a crime hasn't been committed.

I'm sure PilotMan can provide more insight than anyone else here, but my understanding of the flight issues is we had a wave retirements (forced and optional) and layoffs during the pandemic that's created a pilot and staff shortage with carriers. I guess we could fine carriers for failing to uphold their end of the flights, but that's unlikely to ease the issue any time soon. You can't simply can't create new pilots instantly.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3372108)
I don't see where it's the government's business to punish the company. Unlike a stolen car, a crime hasn't been committed.


Lets put aside the fact we fund the majority of their infrastructure. We just gave them $50 billion in taxpayer funds to pay those employees that there is now a shortage of. So I do think it is our business.

And what the airlines are doing does straddle what is and isn't a crime. Violating the CARES Act for one. Taking money for flights you know you don't have the staff to operate borders on fraud. Especially when you make it difficult to get a cash refund and try to placate with travel vouchers that expire.

RainMaker 07-11-2022 11:02 PM

Also since people are rushing to defend Mayor Pete of all people, can someone explain what made him qualified to run the Department of Transportation? What in his background do you like? Do you feel there was no one else more qualified for the role?

GrantDawg 07-12-2022 04:35 AM

He likes trains.

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NobodyHere 07-12-2022 07:44 AM

Note to Jill Biden, do not compare latinos to tacos.

PilotMan 07-12-2022 07:55 AM

Because they aren't all tasty with hot sauce?

Edward64 07-12-2022 08:17 AM

I wouldn't categorize it as insulting ... just weird.

Quote:

“Raul helped build this organization with the understanding that the diversity of this community — as distinct as the bodegas of the Bronx, as beautiful as the blossoms of Miami, and as unique as the breakfast tacos here in San Antonio — is your strength,” Biden said.

Edward64 07-12-2022 11:28 AM

Yup, do the mea culpa quickly.

I think First Ladies have their own speech writer(s)?

Quote:

Jill Biden apologized Tuesday for saying Latinos are “as unique” as San Antonio breakfast tacos during a speech to the nation’s largest Hispanic civil rights and advocacy organization.

“The first lady apologizes that her words conveyed anything but pure admiration and love for the Latino community,” tweeted Jill Biden’s spokesperson, Michael LaRosa.

Atocep 07-12-2022 11:35 AM

I obsessively miss San Antonio breakfast tacos

flere-imsaho 07-12-2022 01:13 PM

Based on the last two presidential elections, Democrats should look to nominate someone who can win, in November, a majority of the following states: New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Florida.

GrantDawg 07-12-2022 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 3372138)
Based on the last two presidential elections, Democrats should look to nominate someone who can win, in November, a majority of the following states: New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Florida.

Absolutely this, but who is that person? It is one of the reasons I question Newsome. Will a California Governor really play in purple states?

larrymcg421 07-12-2022 03:17 PM

No incumbent VP in the primary era has been denied their party's nomination and only Quaye has been denied it when they ran at a later date. It's going to be Harris if she runs.

Thomkal 07-12-2022 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3372108)
Does Kelloggs have an obligation to make sure pop tarts are on shelves? If it's your product and there's a shortage because you wanted cheaper supply chains that turned out to be unreliable I don't see where it's the government's business to punish the company. Unlike a stolen car, a crime hasn't been committed.

I'm sure PilotMan can provide more insight than anyone else here, but my understanding of the flight issues is we had a wave retirements (forced and optional) and layoffs during the pandemic that's created a pilot and staff shortage with carriers. I guess we could fine carriers for failing to uphold their end of the flights, but that's unlikely to ease the issue any time soon. You can't simply can't create new pilots instantly.



I will march on Kellogg's HQ if Pop Tarts are not available! :)

Atocep 07-12-2022 03:28 PM

Now fox News is complaining that gas prices are falling too fast.

They've so been silent on the fact that Biden added more jobs in the first 6 months of this year than Trump did in any full year of his presidency.

GrantDawg 07-12-2022 05:33 PM

President Biden gets Mexico to agree on $1.5 billion dollars on smart border security. How much did Trump get Mexico to pay for his wall again?
https://twitter.com/AndrewJBates46/s...RR6RzigWQ&s=19

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Edward64 07-12-2022 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3372168)
President Biden gets Mexico to agree on $1.5 billion dollars on smart border security. How much did Trump get Mexico to pay for his wall again?
https://twitter.com/AndrewJBates46/s...RR6RzigWQ&s=19

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He didn't have to. He strong armed Mexico to stop many illegals before they crossed the wall. And with the Remain in Mexico policy, limiting asylums etc. Mexico knew if they didn't stop the illegals, they would remain in Mexico for a long time.

Trump’s Best Means for Stopping Migrants Is Mexico’s Government - WSJ
Quote:

Three years after President Trump vowed to build a wall on the U.S. border with Mexico to stop illegal immigrants, a much more effective obstacle has emerged: Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
:
“Trump has built his wall, and Mexico is paying for it,” former Foreign Minister Jorge Castañeda said. “It’s a human wall, and it’s in Mexico: It’s the National Guard, which is much more effective and cheaper than a wall.”
Quote:

Mexican officials say Mr. López Obrador feels he has no choice. Last year, Mr. Trump threatened to impose escalating tariffs on Mexico’s exports to the U.S. unless the country did more to stop migrants from reaching the U.S. Such a move would have devastated the Mexican economy, which relies heavily on manufactured exports to the U.S.

After an emergency meeting in June with U.S. officials in Washington, Mexico quickly complied with U.S. demands. Since then, Mexico has dispatched some 25,000 National Guard troops to detain migrants on the Guatemala border as well as its border with the U.S. That is about a third of the force Mr. López Obrador originally formed to combat violent drug traffickers who control swaths of Mexico’s territory.
Quote:

As a result of the clampdown, Mexico’s detentions of Central American migrants was 35% higher last year through November compared with the same period of the previous year. Conversely, the number of migrants reaching the U.S. plummeted, U.S. officials say. Detentions of migrants on the U.S. southwest border fell from 130,000 in May—the highest monthly number in 13 years—to 32,800 in December.

Mexico has also agreed to other U.S. demands. It has already accepted allowing nearly 60,000 asylum seekers, mostly from Central American countries, to await their U.S. court hearings in dangerous Mexican border cities.

Edward64 07-12-2022 06:42 PM

Anyone know if the Secret Service is planning to testify to rebut (?) Hutchinson's story?

I googled and didn't see anything out there. I'd be disappointed if the commission doesn't try to force the testimony.

I'm guessing there is some Executive Privilege that would shield the SS but I'd think there is someway to apply pressure.

GrantDawg 07-13-2022 07:17 AM

Here is an interesting outlier name. Rapheal Warnock.

flere-imsaho 07-13-2022 08:06 AM

So, basically, Trump outsourced our own inhumanity towards brown migrants to a country that will treat them even worse, and did so with a threat that would not only have devastated the economy of an important ally, but also disrupted (further) critical supply chains feeding industry in his own country.

Yep, sounds like the kind of short-sighted, retributive, and pointlessly macho kind of policy we have grown to expect from the TrumpGOP.

GrantDawg 07-13-2022 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 3372146)
No incumbent VP in the primary era has been denied their party's nomination and only Quaye has been denied it when they ran at a later date. It's going to be Harris if she runs.

I miss this earlier. In today's political climate, I wouldn't use history as a definitive determiner. I don't think Harris will have the support in the party that many other VP's would. She is not exactly fitting the adage that "the most poplar person on the team is the back-up quarterback." As bad as people have criticized Biden, no one is really clamoring for Harris to take over. And was really bad at running a campaign.

Edward64 07-13-2022 12:58 PM

Yup, definitely ask (or threaten) for more heavy crude to be pumped.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/13/polit...rip/index.html
Quote:

As President Joe Biden arrived here on Wednesday, he is doing something he has never done on a foreign trip: Embracing one of his predecessor's legacy achievements.

While much of his foreign travel in his first 18 months in office has focused on reversing the foreign policy of former President Donald Trump and shoring up battered alliances, Biden on his first trip to the Middle East will embrace the Trump-era Abraham Accords that normalized relations between Israel and several Arab countries and pursue an expansion of growing Arab-Israeli security and economic ties.

And nice first step I guess on the long road to normalization between Israel & SA.
Quote:

People familiar with the matter said Saudi Arabia is expected to announce this week that it will allow all commercial flights to and from Israel to use its airspace and allow Israel's Muslim minority to take charter flights directly to Saudi Arabia to participate in the Hajj, the annual pilgrimage to Mecca. Biden will also fly directly to Saudi Arabia from Israel, a moment that he called a "small symbol of the budding relations" between the two countries.

Senior Biden administration officials said full Saudi-Israel normalization remains out of reach, though covert coordination between the two countries has expanded.

dubb93 07-13-2022 02:04 PM

So the 10 year abortion story is actually true? Looks like police in Columbus, Ohio made an arrest. The Indy Star also just published an article (behind pay walls of course.)

Ksyrup 07-13-2022 02:16 PM

I understand the need for verification these days, but given we're talking about a 10 year old rape victim, I think we could have held off on the numerous statements and op-eds questioning whether this was true, or worse, outright stating it was fabricated as an abortion sob story in the wake of the Dobbs case, with no facts other than suspicion of a convenient narrative.

stevew 07-13-2022 02:46 PM

Ohio man charged in rape of 10-year-old that led to Indiana abortion

No paywalls on mobile I think

cuervo72 07-13-2022 02:59 PM

Why would we necessarily doubt it would happen sooner or later though? What are we doubting, that there are 10-year-olds who get raped or that there are 10-year-olds who have reached menarche and are ovulating?

Lathum 07-13-2022 03:38 PM

The right is gonna have a field day with his last name. She would never need an abortion if the dirty brown illegal wasn’t in the country.

Ksyrup 07-13-2022 04:23 PM

Yes, that's going to be a very easy pivot point.

sterlingice 07-13-2022 04:43 PM

As if on cue, the top story on Fox News:

Man arrested in rape of Ohio 10-year-old cited by Biden is illegal immigrant, ICE source says

SI


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