Front Office Football Central

Front Office Football Central (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//index.php)
-   FOFC Archive (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//forumdisplay.php?f=27)
-   -   Alright boyz - 2004 Presidential Election Thread (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=31385)

Ksyrup 11-02-2004 11:31 PM

The deal with ohio is that there are somewhere around 200K provisional ballots, and if the numbers stay like they are, or obviously if they get close, the provisionals will have to be reviewed and then, if allowed, counted. Bush is behind in the other states that would give him an alternate path to victory, so it may come down to Ohio, and only Ohio, deciding the election.

easymacfu 11-02-2004 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingfc22
Let me preface this by saying that I don't believe by any stretch that it is over already, but I would have loved to see the look on Carville's face when he talked about this.


He didn't seem too upset. He basically said that he agreed the Dems needed a good ass whooping to rethink things.

That being said, looking at the numbers in Ohio, I don't see how Kerry makes up anything, there are a few counties with not too many precints reporting where Bus his waxing him.

Code:

COUNTY          STATUS          CANDIDATE          COUNTY VOTE          VOTE %          PRECINCTS
Adams
Updated: 12:25 a.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        7,480        64%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        4,189        36%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        35        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        31        0%
Allen
Updated: 10:19 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        31,629        67%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        15,822        33%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        130        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        62        0%
Ashland
Updated: 11:09 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        8,821        64%        40% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        4,738        35%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        73        1%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        41        0%
Ashtabula
Updated: 11:01 p.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        23,545        53%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        20,621        47%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        158        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        141        0%
Athens
Updated: 11:35 p.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        11,394        64%        71% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        6,238        35%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        64        1%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        62        0%

COUNTY        STATUS        CANDIDATE        COUNTY VOTE        VOTE %        PRECINCTS
Auglaize
Updated: 11:54 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        14,278        74%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        4,917        26%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        56        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        44        0%
Belmont
Updated: 12:10 a.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        12,226        53%        72% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        10,828        47%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        60        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        48        0%
Brown
Updated: 11:55 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        12,480        64%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        7,058        36%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        52        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        51        0%
Butler
Updated: 12:17 a.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        106,735        66%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        54,185        34%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        396        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        274        0%
Carroll
Updated: 10:35 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        7,531        54%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        6,190        45%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        75        1%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        58        0%

COUNTY        STATUS        CANDIDATE        COUNTY VOTE        VOTE %        PRECINCTS
Champaign
Updated: 11:22 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        11,432        63%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        6,752        37%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        43        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        41        0%
Clark
Updated: 12:00 a.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        33,389        52%        97% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        31,228        48%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        181        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        138        0%
Clermont
Updated: 11:03 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        20,490        71%        27% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        8,535        29%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        49        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        34        0%
Clinton
Updated: 9:50 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        5,664        69%        63% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        2,583        31%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        16        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        9        0%
Columbiana
Updated: 11:24 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        25,212        52%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        22,884        48%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        148        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        126        0%

COUNTY        STATUS        CANDIDATE        COUNTY VOTE        VOTE %        PRECINCTS
Coshocton
Updated: 10:37 p.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        2,172        51%        28% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        2,056        49%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        11        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        8        0%
Crawford
Updated: 11:50 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        13,667        64%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        7,626        36%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        72        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        68        0%
Cuyahoga
Updated: 12:03 a.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        282,406        63%        67% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        163,732        37%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        1,160        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        1,113        0%
Darke
Updated: 11:42 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        17,869        70%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        7,663        30%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        79        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        76        0%
Defiance
Updated: 10:02 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        2,344        60%        24% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        1,537        40%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        13        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        5        0%

COUNTY        STATUS        CANDIDATE        COUNTY VOTE        VOTE %        PRECINCTS
Delaware
Updated: 12:24 a.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        47,882        66%        94% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        24,639        34%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        152        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        80        0%
Erie
Updated: 11:58 p.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        20,652        53%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        18,019        47%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        48        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        17        0%
Fairfield
Updated: 11:49 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        34,212        62%        81% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        19,640        36%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        708        1%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        523        1%
Fayette
Updated: 10:31 p.m. ET
               
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        7,221        63%        100% of precincts reporting
       
Democratic        Kerry
        4,244        37%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        28        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        18        0%
Franklin
Updated: 11:35 p.m. ET
               
Democratic        Kerry
        244,527        53%        91% of precincts reporting
       
Republican        Bush
(Incumbent)
        215,259        47%
       
Non-Partisan        Badnarik
        1,406        0%
       
Non-Partisan        Peroutka
        991        0%


GoldenEagle 11-02-2004 11:33 PM

The popular vote is real close but early returns in California show it is alot closer than many expected. I think Bush will take the popular vote.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:33 PM

Bush has to take Ohio AND New Mexico (both currently leaning his way) to win.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup
The deal with ohio is that there are somewhere around 200K provisional ballots, and if the numbers stay like they are, or obviously if they get close, the provisionals will have to be reviewed and then, if allowed, counted. Bush is behind in the other states that would give him an alternate path to victory, so it may come down to Ohio, and only Ohio, deciding the election.


Exactly, I couldn't remember how many provisionals they said were handed out or if they were included in current totals or not...

CraigSca 11-02-2004 11:36 PM

I'm a Bush suppoprter, but my worst case scenario is, no matter who wins, a long drawn out court battle. No matter who wins, I hope the other bows out and says the best man won - for the country's sake.

GoldenEagle 11-02-2004 11:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chubby
Bush has to take Ohio AND New Mexico (both currently leaning his way) to win.


Bush should take Nevada. I do no think he will lose there.I aslo think he will take New Mexico. However, it looks like Ohio will decide the election. Last count I heard there was 800,000 uncounted for in Ohio with Bush holding +180,000.

RendeR 11-02-2004 11:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CraigSca
I'm a Bush suppoprter, but my worst case scenario is, no matter who wins, a long drawn out court battle. No matter who wins, I hope the other bows out and says the best man won - for the country's sake.



*cackles* you put the words "best man" and "wins" in the same sentence......



*CACKLES*


Sorry, but the very idea that either of these two nether-regions of a diseased yak is the best man for anything is hilarious.


I apologize for this interruption of our national corruption, we now return you to your regular 4 year frustration....

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle
Bush should take Nevada. I do no think he will lose there.I aslo think he will take New Mexico. However, it looks like Ohio will decide the election. Last count I heard there was 800,000 uncounted for in Ohio with Bush holding +180,000.


well currently bush is down in nevada and up in new mexico.

there's also the provisional ballots in ohio too...

GoldenEagle 11-02-2004 11:41 PM

Fox news just called Ohio for Bush!

easymacfu 11-02-2004 11:41 PM

If Ohio's number stay similar to they are now through the night and Bush's percent hold true through all the precincts, even with 200K provisional ballots Kerry would need around 130-150K of those, or over 65% to have a chance. There are still precincts open where Bush has a good lead, that overall almost cancel any gains Kerry will make through the night.

Kerry gets Oregon.

CNN has it 246-195 for Bush. 97 votes left.

CraigSca 11-02-2004 11:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RendeR
*cackles* you put the words "best man" and "wins" in the same sentence......



*CACKLES*


Sorry, but the very idea that either of these two nether-regions of a diseased yak is the best man for anything is hilarious.


I apologize for this interruption of our national corruption, we now return you to your regular 4 year frustration....


EVERYTHING is relative, Render. :D

GoldenEagle 11-02-2004 11:43 PM

He is down by 5,000 in Nevada, the slimest of margins. If Fox News is right, this thing is all but over.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle
Fox news just called Ohio for Bush!


would you expect anything different? if it gets called by anyone else than maybe.

TroyF 11-02-2004 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chubby
Bush has to take Ohio AND New Mexico (both currently leaning his way) to win.



No, he doesn't. He takes Ohio and Alaska, he gets to 269. That's a tie, that's decided by the House. The Republicans hold the house.

Fox News just called Ohio.

Provisional ballots and court cases aside, this election is now over.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TroyF
No, he doesn't. He takes Ohio and Alaska, he gets to 269. That's a tie, that's decided by the House. The Republicans hold the house.

Fox News just called Ohio.

Provisional ballots and court cases aside, this election is now over.


again, when someone else calls ohio then it's over.

Ksyrup 11-02-2004 11:46 PM

I have a feeling the Dems will not let Ohio go so easily.

Funny, because Fox News has actually been pretty cautious is calling states until the last hour or so. Now they've decided to scoop everyone and essentially give Bush the election.

kingfc22 11-02-2004 11:48 PM

I can't believe that Fox was the first to call Ohio because they were the last to call Florida. CBS has been the network that has called everything early and I doubt they'd call Ohio anytime tonight since Rather is an obviously anti-Bush.

Dutch 11-02-2004 11:48 PM

Yeah, FoxNews was the only station that was sticking to the agreement of letting the AP call the states until now. Because this is the big one. If it's true and the lawyers in fact have run out of free cigarettes to give to returning voters in Cleveland....then Bush has basically won!

easymacfu 11-02-2004 11:48 PM

My guess is Kerry gains 15-20K in Ohio by the time the normal counting is done tonight.

kingfc22 11-02-2004 11:49 PM

dola

Ksyrup beat me to it.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:51 PM

MSNBC is saying both parties are saying it's going to be razor thin close

TroyF 11-02-2004 11:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup
I have a feeling the Dems will not let Ohio go so easily.

Funny, because Fox News has actually been pretty cautious is calling states until the last hour or so. Now they've decided to scoop everyone and essentially give Bush the election.



They won't, but even if they have 200,000 provisional ballots undecided, they'd have to assume Kerry would take 135,000+ of those. Possible, sure, but it's not likely.

It looks like Bush is going to get Ohio, New Mexico and Alaska.

Still haven't got 100% of Ohio in, but it's looking like it's going to be difficult to get this.

Chubby 11-02-2004 11:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TroyF
They won't, but even if they have 200,000 provisional ballots undecided, they'd have to assume Kerry would take 135,000+ of those. Possible, sure, but it's not likely.

It looks like Bush is going to get Ohio, New Mexico and Alaska.

Still haven't got 100% of Ohio in, but it's looking like it's going to be difficult to get this.


Alaska is Bush's no problem.


Remember that the provisionals are from where all the lines are, in the heavy dem areas (cleveland) as far as I know. He's pulling near 2/3 in the county...

CraigSca 11-02-2004 11:58 PM

90% of Cuyahoga in, Bush still up by 100K

easymacfu 11-02-2004 11:59 PM

Over says Brokaw

CraigSca 11-02-2004 11:59 PM

CNN roundtable pretty much giving it to Bush at this point...

kingfc22 11-02-2004 11:59 PM

NBC just gave Ohio. It's OVA!!!

Chubby 11-03-2004 12:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CraigSca
90% of Cuyahoga in, Bush still up by 100K


so say it stays at 100k (even tho it has been going down)

with 200k he only needs 50.000001% of the provisionals to take the state.



Ohio has been given to Bush by MSNBC so it's time to go to sleep but with the numbers continually dropping who knows...

VPI97 11-03-2004 12:00 AM

Done and done

GoldenEagle 11-03-2004 12:01 AM

CNN calls AK for Bush.

easymacfu 11-03-2004 12:02 AM

Bush gets Alaska... Kerry needs a sweep. And that split vote in Maine or something. Come on Bush/Edwards ticket.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 11-03-2004 12:04 AM

FOX NEWS:

BUSH 269
KERRY 211

God is Great God Is Great.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 11-03-2004 12:05 AM

Dola: Bush Edwards ? Dear God what would the campaign slogan be.

Dutch 11-03-2004 12:06 AM

Somewhere Hillary Clinton is smiling.

easymacfu 11-03-2004 12:08 AM

We have 20 year old daughters?

SirFozzie 11-03-2004 12:08 AM

Congrats to Bush. He's not the guy I backed, but I offer him the same prayer I would offer Kerry.

"After a time of great division, may you have the wisdom and greatness of spirit to bring our nation together and to preside honestly, ably, and to the best of your ability."

TroyF 11-03-2004 12:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chubby
so say it stays at 100k (even tho it has been going down)

with 200k he only needs 50.000001% of the provisionals to take the state.



Ohio has been given to Bush by MSNBC so it's time to go to sleep but with the numbers continually dropping who knows...



Here is the problem Chubby. . .

There might be 200k provisional ballots, but that doesn't mean they all get counted. They have to all be looked at and looked over. What's more, is the margain is about 120,000 with 89% in. If that doesn't close, that means Kerry needs 60+% of them to get the win.

It's bleak. No other way to look at it.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 11-03-2004 12:09 AM

Now Let's get on to healing a nation divided.

Ksyrup 11-03-2004 12:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
Dola: Bush Edwards ? Dear God what would the campaign slogan be.

No chance. In addition to Bush winning, the Reps have taken a number of Senate seats and would have control over both the House (who would pick President) and Senate (who would pick VP). If it's a tie, it's still over.

CraigSca 11-03-2004 12:14 AM

Bush has now taken the lead in Iowa, with 89% of the precincts reporting...

sterlingice 11-03-2004 12:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
Now Let's get on to healing a nation divided.


That worked so well 4 years ago...

SI

sovereignstar 11-03-2004 12:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
Now Let's get on to healing a nation divided.


It's a darn shame. We could have started healing a divided world as well.

MrBug708 11-03-2004 12:17 AM

Does this mean George won't be baseball Commish?

kingfc22 11-03-2004 12:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sovereignstar
It's a darn shame. We could have started healing a divided world as well.


*chuckles*:rolleyes:

Dutch 11-03-2004 12:20 AM

France, Germany, and Russia just breathed a sigh of relief. ("Whew, looks like we don't have to get off our asses after all!")

Trust me, they are very content with the result. They get to keep bashing America and they get to leave America to do the dirty work of fighting the bad guys by ourselves.

kingfc22 11-03-2004 12:23 AM

Boy if New Mexico stays as it is right now and Bush wins it. Gov. Richardson should get a pie in the face. He came on Fox earlier and all but guaranteed that NM would go to Kerry. Oops.

easymacfu 11-03-2004 12:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch
France, Germany, and Russia just breathed a sigh of relief. ("Whew, looks like we don't have to get off our asses after all!")

Trust me, they are very content with the result. They get to keep bashing America and they get to leave America to do the dirty work of fighting the bad guys by ourselves.

We're fighting Bin Laden? Thats right, we quit that for a war people could see.

Its funny, but if Bush stayed on task, there would have been no doubt that he cruises this election. Whever told him Iraq was a good idea deserves to be fired.

Dutch 11-03-2004 12:31 AM

I know what you are saying, but if we spent 3 years searching the mountains of Afghanistan for Bin Laden (who could very well be in Bangladesh for all we know) and we let Saddam Hussein keep the status quo, I can promise you Kerry would have had an argument for that too.

I'm sure you can agree that Kerry has to be disagreeable with any choice Bush made.

Ksyrup 11-03-2004 12:32 AM

It's deja vu all over again...Kery campaign disputes Ohio call.

Now, I just saw the Ohio Elections Supervisor say that his best estimate is that there are 150K provisionals. Combined with what's left of the regular votes, I'm fine with waiting until 100% report, but I don't see Kerry coming up with what they need to overcome the lead.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:09 PM.

Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.