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-   -   The Trump Presidency – 2016 (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=92014)

PilotMan 03-11-2020 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer (Post 3268047)
The main thing Trump has been hanging his hat on is how the economy has been going. If we go into a recession, he can't hang hit hat on that, and he is worried about getting re-elected.



Once again, I just don't get how the president gets to take complete responsibility for the economy good or bad. There's clearly many other factors at play that they don't have any control over. Sure, take credit for the hard things you've pushed and the result of that, but it goes back to 2009. The R's skewered Obama for the deficit, which was the direct result of the continuation of the economic direction that Bush II started, and those numbers were as a result of decisions that had been made by multiple predecessors, yet somehow he took the brunt of it resulting in the 2010 elections and Tea Party bullshit. I guess I'm in the minority. trump being able to drive an economy straight, that was handed to him straight, and all he's done is goose the gas pedal isn't exactly earth shattering. Him failing to react in an acceptable way to a crisis is completely his responsibility, but the economy finally taking a long expected dump as a result of said crisis, really doesn't come to him, unless, like said, the choices he made by stepping on the pedal directly or indirectly hurt the countries ability to handle said crisis. He would get full ownership of that.

I know that isn't how it's played out for the masses, and it's big in scope and understanding, but fuck all for those people who would rather have that emotional soundbite on something to get worked up over, than try and understand the actual mechanism of function.

Edward64 03-11-2020 03:57 PM

DOW is in Bear. S&P and Nasdaq are about 1% away. Not sure what the measure is for the record books. Need that shallow recession next to get the cycle (e.g. bull market) started all over again.

Edward64 03-11-2020 04:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer (Post 3268047)
The main thing Trump has been hanging his hat on is how the economy has been going. If we go into a recession, he can't hang hit hat on that, and he is worried about getting re-elected.


He'll blame it on the unexpected coronavirus. I do think he has an out here.

His vulnerability is how well (or not) his response is to the pandemic and the impact to the economy. It has started off poorly but he still has time to do a save (or obfuscate) by November.

PilotMan 03-11-2020 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268073)
He'll blame it on the unexpected coronavirus. I do think he has an out here.

His vulnerability is how well (or not) his response is to the pandemic and the impact to the economy. It has started off poorly but he still has time to do a save (or obfuscate) by November.



I'm pretty sure he's handled it perfectly so far.

Edward64 03-11-2020 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268069)
DOW is in Bear. S&P and Nasdaq are about 1% away. Not sure what the measure is for the record books. Need that shallow recession next to get the cycle (e.g. bull market) started all over again.


Dow futures currently down 1000+ after Trump's speech.

Disney, hospitality, airlines must really suck right now.

JPhillips 03-11-2020 11:14 PM



The beginning of what the President's speech could have been. It's really good and would have calmed the nation.

QuikSand 03-11-2020 11:20 PM

alas, we didn't elect a functioning adult

JPhillips 03-11-2020 11:22 PM

As if there wasn't enough shit hitting the fan, Iran has attacked and killed Americans and a Brit in Iraq.

RainMaker 03-12-2020 12:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268206)
As if there wasn't enough shit hitting the fan, Iran has attacked and killed Americans and a Brit in Iraq.


I had to look this up. Didn't see it mentioned on the news at all. Weird.

Edward64 03-12-2020 06:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268192)
Dow futures currently down 1000+ after Trump's speech.

Disney, hospitality, airlines must really suck right now.


Europe major indexes all down 5%+. Dow down 1,231 or 5.22%. Just saw Boeing down 18% yesterday, wow. Disney down about 30% since Dec, I would have thought more by now.

Surprisingly the China stock market is not doing near as bad which I attribute to their government-enabled-pseudo-stock-market.

Edward64 03-12-2020 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268206)
As if there wasn't enough shit hitting the fan, Iran has attacked and killed Americans and a Brit in Iraq.


And we retaliated.

Good way for Iran to distract their population from the coronavirus I guess.

PilotMan 03-12-2020 07:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268227)
Europe major indexes all down 5%+. Dow down 1,231 or 5.22%. Just saw Boeing down 18% yesterday, wow. Disney down about 30% since Dec, I would have thought more by now.

Surprisingly the China stock market is not doing near as bad which I attribute to their government-enabled-pseudo-stock-market.



The company is off about 50% since November.

Galaril 03-12-2020 08:36 AM

Wow stock halted again. Not good.

Edward64 03-12-2020 08:53 AM

Smart of Biden assuming he can pull it off. But not sure what he can say without sounding too self-serving. I suggest he doesn't "attack" Trump and the lackluster response right now

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/mee...trump-n1156456
Quote:

And at 1:00 p.m. ET, Democrat Joe Biden gets a contrast moment with President Trump, when he delivers remarks on the coronavirus from Delaware.

As NBC’s Mike Memoli points out, the Biden camp didn’t plan on Trump addressing the nation last night — before Biden’s previously scheduled speech.

“The Biden campaign didn't plan on @realDonaldTrump speaking on eve of @JoeBiden's coronavirus speech tomorrow when they scheduled it. But it ends up playing into what they had set up as a "presidential moment" and clear contrast.”

The question is whether Biden can deliver that presidential moment and clear contrast.

Galaril 03-12-2020 08:55 AM

Holy shit market is down 2100 (9%)

spleen1015 03-12-2020 08:58 AM

If I'm Biden, I give the speech as if I'm POTUS. I don't mention Trump, reference Trump, reference Republicans, take shots at anyone, any country, etc.

I just give folks a strong unifying message.

Galaril 03-12-2020 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spleen1015 (Post 3268242)
If I'm Biden, I give the speech as if I'm POTUS. I don't mention Trump, reference Trump, reference Republicans, take shots at anyone, any country, etc.

I just give folks a strong unifying message.


Yes agree.

cartman 03-12-2020 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3268239)
Holy shit market is down 2100 (9%)


That might have to be considered a loss for Trump

JPhillips 03-12-2020 10:00 AM

Apparently stopping some travel isn't seen as an effective startegy for containment.

BYU 14 03-12-2020 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3268239)
Holy shit market is down 2100 (9%)


Not even going to look at my 401 K, standing the course until it bottoms and then pumping in more money and hope for a good rebound.

Edward64 03-12-2020 10:18 AM

This is a good move, I'm all for a short delay of 2-3 months.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/how-...ax-filing.html
Quote:

The Treasury is recommending the Trump administration push back the April 15 tax deadline amid concerns over coronavirus, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told reporters on Wednesday.

“We are going to recommend to the president that we allow a delay,” he said after speaking on Capitol Hill. He appeared before the House Appropriations Committee on Wednesday, where he suggested pushing back the deadline.

“That will have the impact of putting over $200 billion back into the economy and that will create a very big stimulus,” Mnuchin said.

The delay would be “for virtually all Americans, not the super-rich, that’s our recommendation,” he said.

JPhillips 03-12-2020 10:23 AM



The guy on the right, next to Trump.

cartman 03-12-2020 10:27 AM

Quote:

“That will have the impact of putting over $200 billion back into the economy and that will create a very big stimulus,” Mnuchin said.

Umm, no? It is just a delay, it will still have to be paid.

PilotMan 03-12-2020 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cartman (Post 3268267)
Umm, no? It is just a delay, it will still have to be paid.



The money's already paid for most. The vast majority of people I'd say are planning for a refund or to have no taxes paid at all.

JPhillips 03-12-2020 10:40 AM

The tax delay is a givaway to the rich people/businesses who pay as late as possible. It won't do much of anything for the economy.

Edward64 03-12-2020 10:57 AM

Trump speaking now. Trying to preempt Biden my guess.

If Biden can pull this off, it'll be a great (and remembered) differentiator.

Galaril 03-12-2020 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268269)
The tax delay is a givaway to the rich people/businesses who pay as late as possible. It won't do much of anything for the economy.


yeah this would suck as I am counting on a big refund in the next month.

cartman 03-12-2020 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3268279)
yeah this would suck as I am counting on a big refund in the next month.


From what I can gather refunds will still be processed as normal. It is just that if you have to pay anything extra, Apr. 15th won't be the deadline to pay.

Galaril 03-12-2020 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cartman (Post 3268281)
From what I can gather refunds will still be processed as normal. It is just that if you have to pay anything extra, Apr. 15th won't be the deadline to pay.


Hope so.

spleen1015 03-12-2020 11:07 AM

I'm curious. Why haven't you filed and gotten your refund already? We got ours about 3 weeks ago.

cartman 03-12-2020 11:10 AM

It wouldn't make sense for them to withhold refunds if they are talking about extending the deadline to file as a 'stimulus'. But then again, we are talking about this clusterfuck of an administration.

NobodyHere 03-12-2020 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spleen1015 (Post 3268286)
I'm curious. Why haven't you filed and gotten your refund already? We got ours about 3 weeks ago.


I'm lazy.

Also, who offers the most inexpensive tax software/website? I moved to a new state last year and withdrew some mutual funds. I'm afraid of how much it'll cost me to file.

ISiddiqui 03-12-2020 11:19 AM

I know for my tax refund, it's because my wife hasn't actually sat down and done the work to calculate everything from her home business. Which I gently reminded her she has like a month to do. I have entered everything involving W2s into TurboTax like a month+ ago.

Ben E Lou 03-12-2020 11:29 AM

We owe like 700 bucks. It has been sitting in the software since early February, ready to go. I was just waiting until the last minute to use their money for as long as possible. So if they extend it, I might get to earn an extra 2 or 3 bucks off of it. Suck it, big gubmint!

stevew 03-12-2020 11:30 AM

My shit is being held because (I’m assuming) of some idiot in accounting who didn’t submit my wife’s 2nd W2 on time to the IRS. I knew this was going to be a clusterfuck when I saw she had 2 separate ones(payroll company switched mid year).

I work all of the driving gig stuff, so I’ve been hoping for this money so I can ride out the next month or two. Hoping for some clarity within the next several days. Normally St Patrick’s day would be a $5-700 day but I’m really not feeling good about working right now.

stevew 03-12-2020 11:57 AM

I’m just going to make a bold guess that it’ll be announced that Trump has tested positive on Friday evening.

Fidatelo 03-12-2020 11:59 AM

We owe 15k because we fucked up in calculating our RRSP contribution amount when my wife changed jobs this year and her pension commuted. I also changed jobs, going out on my own as a consultant this fall with what appeared to be a minimum 18+ month gig. However the company contracting me got purchased in early February and the new CEO turfed all contractors. Now I'm looking for a new gig just as the world collapses. Oh and we are in the midst of building a cottage.


Needless to say I haven't slept very well the past couple weeks.

Flasch186 03-12-2020 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3268302)
I’m just going to make a bold guess that it’ll be announced that Trump has tested positive on Friday evening.


There's no doubt he'll have it. There's no doubt they'll never tell us.

QuikSand 03-12-2020 12:41 PM



You don't think this man has taken every possible precaution?

AlexB 03-12-2020 12:48 PM

This made me chuckle

Thank God we have Trump to do what the scientists won’t, build that coronavirus wall

Thomkal 03-12-2020 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3268302)
I’m just going to make a bold guess that it’ll be announced that Trump has tested positive on Friday evening.



Yep just like every other announcent that would make them look bad so the regular media won't report on it until Monday. By now I would think they would know better. But like Flasch said doubtful he'll ever tell us unless to get his base praying for him.

spleen1015 03-12-2020 01:15 PM

Hell, the only way we find out that he has it is if it kills him. That way he can't prevent anyone from talking.

NobodyHere 03-12-2020 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spleen1015 (Post 3268323)
Hell, the only way we find out that he has it is if it kills him. That way he can't prevent anyone from talking.


Have you ever seen the movie "Dave"?

sabotai 03-12-2020 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3268329)
Have you ever seen the movie "Dave"?


Alec Baldwin just shows up in the White House on Monday and never breaks character.

NobodyHere 03-12-2020 01:52 PM

I think Alec Baldwin as Trump would have a better chance at winning the 2020 election than Pence.

The GOP can dump him afterwards.

rjolley 03-12-2020 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fidatelo (Post 3268303)
We owe 15k because we fucked up in calculating our RRSP contribution amount when my wife changed jobs this year and her pension commuted. I also changed jobs, going out on my own as a consultant this fall with what appeared to be a minimum 18+ month gig. However the company contracting me got purchased in early February and the new CEO turfed all contractors. Now I'm looking for a new gig just as the world collapses. Oh and we are in the midst of building a cottage.


Needless to say I haven't slept very well the past couple weeks.


Hate to hear that. Hope the search goes well. What field are you in?

Scoobz0202 03-12-2020 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3268289)
Also, who offers the most inexpensive tax software/website?





I have a simple return. I did freetaxusa and creditkarma. I plug mine into two separate ones just to make sure they both spit out the same numbers to kind of audit myself. Credit Karma I think does free federal AND state but I got an error towards the submission part so I did freetaxusa that is free federal and $13 for state. I make middle class money, though, so I am not sure if the higher earners have to pay.

kingfc22 03-12-2020 03:12 PM

Let’s just keep pumping money into the economy instead of directing as much funds as possible into healthcare. You know seeing how this is a healthcare crisis.

Edward64 03-12-2020 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3268302)
I’m just going to make a bold guess that it’ll be announced that Trump has tested positive on Friday evening.


That would be ironic. I'll be sure to tell my Trump extremist colleague "must have been God's will".

CU Tiger 03-12-2020 04:16 PM

I owe like $17k..plus a penalty for owing too much.
New payroll/benefits company and I apparently didnt click a button right to hear them tell it...oh well shit happens.

But I will enjoy sitting on this a while.


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