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-   -   POTUS 2016 General Election Discussion Thread (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=91538)

SirFozzie 10-19-2016 11:40 PM

Something I wonder may be getting lost in that one-two footgun (the "will not accept"/"Nasty Woman" double shot)..

He said that he didn't apologize to Melania because he's done nothing wrong (re sex comments and assault accusers). Doesn't that kinda blow away even how vague his apology was from before?

nol 10-19-2016 11:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124631)
Precisely.


Yep.



sabotai 10-20-2016 12:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sabotai (Post 3124498)
Not watching because I can't stand to listen to it, but I am following a live transcript of it.

Did Trump really say the sentence: "It's happened bigly." ?

EDIT: And followed it up with "We'll speed up the process bigly."?


It turns out "bigly" is actually a word...

Merriam-Webster on Twitter: "Yes, "bigly" is in the dictionary. #GOPDebate https://t.co/OCf3CRs7Bp"

SirFozzie 10-20-2016 12:08 AM

read big league, he kinda slurs it so it comes out bigly.

mckerney 10-20-2016 12:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nol (Post 3124637)
Yep.




But his base loved it!

mckerney 10-20-2016 12:23 AM




He didn't even manage 75% in the Drudge poll.

mckerney 10-20-2016 12:25 AM


SirFozzie 10-20-2016 12:25 AM

He was losing the BREITBART poll last time I looked. (yes, Online self-polls with no selection break are stupid.. but still :D)

SackAttack 10-20-2016 12:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 3124594)
He didnt say anything about liberal


What was it Bush the Second said? "If you're not with us, you're against us"?

That's the Republican worldview in a nutshell. No such thing as "moderate." Anything to the left of "conservative" is "liberal."

RainMaker 10-20-2016 12:52 AM

He's running a campaign that is built for the primary. Tossing red meat to your supporters is fine and all but he can't win an election with just that base.

College educated Republicans are also not going for him as strongly as his economic policies are very far left.

RainMaker 10-20-2016 01:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack (Post 3124646)
What was it Bush the Second said? "If you're not with us, you're against us"?

That's the Republican worldview in a nutshell. No such thing as "moderate." Anything to the left of "conservative" is "liberal."


Trump isn't even a conservative though. He's probably the most liberal candidate on economic issues the GOP has nominated in half a century. He's been a long time supporter of nationalized health care. He differs greatly from conservatives on foreign policy and defense.

I don't think people are voting for him because he's a Republican. They are voting for him because of the cult of personality. Trump is a New York liberal that cherry picked a couple issues to frame himself as a Republican.

stevew 10-20-2016 02:56 AM

I wonder if the "Nasty Woman" thing is a setup for some piece of audio that Trump might be sitting on? Something like the Casey Kasum hot mic or the Chris Berman talking about smuggling Codeine across the US border from Canada. But like way worse? I doubt Trump has anything but you never know.

Marc Vaughan 10-20-2016 04:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sabotai (Post 3124575)
"We can't take 4 more years of Barrack Obama and that's what you get with her."

Well Trump just sold me on Clinton.

All things considered, I think Obama's done a pretty good job as President (though I certainly don't agree with everything he's done), so if the 1st term of Clinton will be fairly close to a 3rd Obama term, sign me up.


That was exactly my thought when he said that - Obama has a really high approval rating at the moment, so comparing Clinton to him was a huge own goal for all apart from his hardcore supporters (whom he already has in the bag) ... then again I think he may realize he's lost and be preparing for his future as a televised rabble rouser milking money from his followers in the vein of many other successful "conservative" heads ..

Thomkal 10-20-2016 07:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3124660)
I wonder if the "Nasty Woman" thing is a setup for some piece of audio that Trump might be sitting on? Something like the Casey Kasum hot mic or the Chris Berman talking about smuggling Codeine across the US border from Canada. But like way worse? I doubt Trump has anything but you never know.


I think they are saving something they think is really horrible for these last few days. Will the majority of Americans think so too? I expect every day pretty much there will be some new story or revelation. Good thing we have early voting in many states.

Ben E Lou 10-20-2016 07:30 AM

Eh, I think the "nasty woman" thing was just Trump being Trump. She got in a minor dig; he escalated it. That's just what he does.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 07:40 AM

So I think this probably the best Trump has done in the debates. He appealed to most Republicans with his Supreme Court and Abortion answers. But then it started going badly for him. Culminating in the accepting the results of the election answer (even when the moderator tried to give him an out on it), the "more respect for woman" answer. which is just laughable given the Access Hollywood tape, and the nasty woman comment. Those will hurt him with voters.

Hillary started out ok on abortion and Supreme Court. I think it was smart to not say she would nominate liberal judges. And that Congress needed to confirm Garland. After that she missed a couple chances to really stab Trump where it hurt-such as the "I respect women" line, and repeated too many things from her previous debates, though she did add new stuff like undocumented workers building Trump Tower. I like that she didn't "freak out" on anything, staying calm and looking Presidential for most of the debate. I don't think there should be any questions about her stamina after this, but I'm sure Rudy and others will try.

Trump lost his sniffles, and I don't think he will have anything to say about the mics this time. But knowing Trump, he will blame something other than himself for what he said during it.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124669)
Eh, I think the "nasty woman" thing was just Trump being Trump. She got in a minor dig; he escalated it. That's just what he does.


But does it make him look more Presidential?

digamma 10-20-2016 08:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124669)
Eh, I think the "nasty woman" thing was just Trump being Trump. She got in a minor dig; he escalated it. That's just what he does.


Agree. Plus, the Trump team hasn't done much with debate sound bites to cut quick ads. Instead they've put out really dramatic militaristic pieces.

Ben E Lou 10-20-2016 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3124670)
So I think this probably the best Trump has done in the debates. He appealed to most Republicans with his Supreme Court and Abortion answers. But then it started going badly for him. Culminating in the accepting the results of the election answer (even when the moderator tried to give him an out on it), the "more respect for woman" answer. which is just laughable given the Access Hollywood tape, and the nasty woman comment. Those will hurt him with voters.

Hillary started out ok on abortion and Supreme Court. I think it was smart to not say she would nominate liberal judges. And that Congress needed to confirm Garland. After that she missed a couple chances to really stab Trump where it hurt-such as the "I respect women" line, and repeated too many things from her previous debates, though she did add new stuff like undocumented workers building Trump Tower. I like that she didn't "freak out" on anything, staying calm and looking Presidential for most of the debate. I don't think there should be any questions about her stamina after this, but I'm sure Rudy and others will try.

Trump lost his sniffles, and I don't think he will have anything to say about the mics this time. But knowing Trump, he will blame something other than himself for what he said during it.

Like I said during the debate, I thought he did well in reassuring waffling conservatives during that first 30 minutes. Both spoke well to their expecting voters bases during that time, but given that he has more to gain with his "expected base" than she does, I think the winner of that time (in terms of votes) was Trump.

However, there were so many bad moments for him during the last 60 that will dominate the news, galvanize the left, and hurt him with some on the right, that I think that overall he will lose a little ground, and he couldn't afford that. Even Fox News is headlining with his refusal to say that he accept the results. (I didn't check it myself yet, but I also saw some chatter on Twitter that Fox News pundits' "heads were exploding" over that.)

tarcone 10-20-2016 08:21 AM

I do find it intersting that Trump is getting hammered on his treatment of women, yet HRC accepts millions of dollars from countries that abuse women and give them no rights. Yet this is just ignored.
Why is that?

HRC is the "pro-gay, pro-womens rights" candidate. Not one of you had decried the fact she is under the influence of countries that are vehemently against those two groups.

Cant wait for the spin.

Easy Mac 10-20-2016 08:34 AM

The obvious response is she's not under their influence, but I feel that wouldn't be accepted as a response, so there's generally no point in trying to refute it.

Ben E Lou 10-20-2016 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3124675)
I do find it intersting that Trump is getting hammered on his treatment of women, yet HRC accepts millions of dollars from countries that abuse women and give them no rights. Yet this is just ignored.
Why is that?

HRC is the "pro-gay, pro-womens rights" candidate. Not one of you had decried the fact she is under the influence of countries that are vehemently against those two groups.

Cant wait for the spin.

This speaks to Trump's biggest issue: the outlandish stuff that comes out of his own mouth. He did address that, and I thought he made a good point there. To be fair, both parties have remained in bed with, say, Saudi Arabia and their human rights abuses. However, as a political "outsider," he gets to claim the moral high ground in that area, and his "return the money" comment was really good. If he makes that point, sticks to it, and doesn't create other negative headlines that drown out the discussion of it, it might gain some traction.

But he continually creates situations for himself that drown out virtually all talk about real issues. And again, this isn't just "the liberal media." I just checked: Fox News, Drudge, and the Blaze all have the refusal to say he'd accept the results as one of their top three stories. It's #1 on The Blaze and Fox, #3 on Drudge. Drudge does have the "return the money" comment as #2.

JPhillips 10-20-2016 09:02 AM

Trump doesn't have the discipline to hold on to something and wait for the right time to spring it. If he had anything truly hurtful to Clinton he would have released it as soon as possible.

Kodos 10-20-2016 09:20 AM

"High fastballs. She can't hit them, can't lay off them."

jbergey22 10-20-2016 09:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3124675)
I do find it intersting that Trump is getting hammered on his treatment of women, yet HRC accepts millions of dollars from countries that abuse women and give them no rights. Yet this is just ignored.
Why is that?

HRC is the "pro-gay, pro-womens rights" candidate. Not one of you had decried the fact she is under the influence of countries that are vehemently against those two groups.

Cant wait for the spin.


A lot of the undecided's and Indys probably dont even know or think about this. In a nutshell this is why Trumps campaign has been so stupidly ran. He has 30-35 percent loyal followers as Hillary has her 35-40 loyal supporters. That leaves about 25-35 percent of the people that could swing either way. Trump has turned these people against him(numerous issues) and this is what will cost him the election.

Trump has spent more time sucking up to his already loyal supporters than trying to reach the 15-20 percent of the undecided's that are going to decide the election. As others have said his outlandish bold statements worked fine in the primaries but is not gaining him any points at this point.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mckerney (Post 3124643)



He didn't even manage 75% in the Drudge poll.


Well no surprise he would tweet the Drudge Poll. You notice though (at least in the parts I saw) he didn't bring up polling at all during the debate, which was pretty telling for him. Clinton didn't either to her credit, which would have made her look like she was rubbing his nose in it. Made it seem that the outcome was still very much in doubt in order to get out the vote.

albionmoonlight 10-20-2016 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3124675)
Cant (sic) wait for the spin.


The spin:

Clinton isn't a great candidate.

Trump is a worse candidate.

The Democrats aren't perfect. But their platform accords much more with my values than the GOP platform.

So I support Clinton, and I support the Democrats.

It really is that simple.

Honolulu_Blue 10-20-2016 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3124714)
The spin:

Clinton isn't a great candidate.

Trump is a worse candidate.

The Democrats aren't perfect. But their platform accords much more with my values than the GOP platform.

So I support Clinton, and I support the Democrats.

It really is that simple.


+1

Kodos 10-20-2016 11:48 AM

+2

At worst, Hillary will be a thoroughly average President.

Butter 10-20-2016 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3124714)
The spin:

Clinton isn't a great candidate.

Trump is a worse candidate.

The Democrats aren't perfect. But their platform accords much more with my values than the GOP platform.

So I support Clinton, and I support the Democrats.

It really is that simple.


+3

No candidate is perfect, but I'll take the one who has spent decades in service of women's and children's issues over the one who literally has sexually assaulted women.

Trump Twitter Auto-Post 10-20-2016 12:20 PM

If elected POTUS - I will stop RADICAL ISLAMIC TERRORISM in this country! In order to do this, we need to #DrainTheSwamp!pic.twitter.com/hfrRusrTy0
 
If elected POTUS - I will stop RADICAL ISLAMIC TERRORISM in this country! In order to do this, we need to #DrainTheSwamp! pic.twitter.com/hfrRusrTy0


More...

panerd 10-20-2016 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trump Twitter Auto-Post (Post 3124728)
If elected POTUS - I will stop RADICAL ISLAMIC TERRORISM in this country! In order to do this, we need to #DrainTheSwamp! pic.twitter.com/hfrRusrTy0


More...


Tarcone is that you?

mckerney 10-20-2016 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trump Twitter Auto-Post (Post 3124728)
If elected POTUS - I will stop RADICAL ISLAMIC TERRORISM in this country! In order to do this, we need to #DrainTheSwamp! pic.twitter.com/hfrRusrTy0


More...


Yet he still hasn't used the words RADICAL CHRISTIAN TERRORISM about the bomb plot the FBI stopped in Kansas. How can he fight domestic terrorism if he won't even call it what it is?

mckerney 10-20-2016 12:56 PM

Donald Trump: 'I will totally accept' election results 'if i win'


lighthousekeeper 10-20-2016 01:05 PM

Headline: Man Refuses to Predict Future, Nation Loses Its Collective Shit

Trump's refusal to predict how he'll react to an unknown future is one of the most common sense things he has said all election cycle. Who knows, maybe Hillary-backed thugs will fire bomb polling stations in Leawood, Sugar Land, Rumson, and Castle Pines. You never know with complete certainty how the future will unfold.

digamma 10-20-2016 01:06 PM

I can't believe he's also not getting more praise for using the term "nasty woman" rather than bitch. He showed a remarkable amount of restraint. Truly a character defining moment.

BishopMVP 10-20-2016 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sabotai (Post 3124640)


"In a swelling, blustering manner: haughtily, pompously" Actually seems to fit really well!
Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3124612)
The statement was since 08-09. And that was when ISIS started and started kicking ass.

As soon as ISIS dies, some other group will step up. Its the Middle East after all.

So Obama/HRC are at fault for not recognizing that ISIS specifically was the group to target, but if they're defeated another group will take their place? Will Obama/HRC then be at fault for the new terror acronym du jour then, seeing as they "created a power vacuum" if they finish off ISIS? It's almost like you're setting up to blame them regardless of the tactics they choose or outcomes we see (since presumably liberal democracies that respect human rights and avoid sectarian conflict aren't on the table in the next decade.)

larrymcg421 10-20-2016 01:26 PM

No longer running for President...


AENeuman 10-20-2016 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3124675)
I do find it intersting that Trump is getting hammered on his treatment of women, yet HRC accepts millions of dollars from countries that abuse women and give them no rights. Yet this is just ignored.
Why is that?

HRC is the "pro-gay, pro-womens rights" candidate. Not one of you had decried the fact she is under the influence of countries that are vehemently against those two groups.

Cant wait for the spin.


Well what do expect from a foundation the was established in a country where they kill babies?

Jas_lov 10-20-2016 01:51 PM

The "if I lose it's rigged, if I win it's not" is the argument of a child. It's such a losing argument with most voters.

cartman 10-20-2016 02:00 PM

Jiminy Freaking Christmas. The Trump-bots are out in force claiming that Hillary spilled vital state secrets when she said it takes 4 minutes from an order to launch nukes to their actual launching. That has been common knowledge since at least the Cuban Missile Crisis, if not before.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mckerney (Post 3124734)


Too bad he couldn't have said it that way last night, instead of having his team stay up late, trying to find a way out of what he said.

Trump Twitter Auto-Post 10-20-2016 02:40 PM

Want access to Crooked Hillary? Don't forget - it's going to cost you!#DrainTheSwamp #PayToPlaypic.twitter.com/qjMBZkEnK9
 
Want access to Crooked Hillary? Don't forget - it's going to cost you! #DrainTheSwamp #PayToPlay pic.twitter.com/qjMBZkEnK9


More...

larrymcg421 10-20-2016 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3124762)
Too bad he couldn't have said it that way last night, instead of having his team stay up late, trying to find a way out of what he said.


Huh? That statement is just as bad as what he said last night.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 3124768)
Huh? That statement is just as bad as what he said last night.


See what Trump has done to me :) They had to know his rigged election comments would come up, so what he said today (well apart from accepting if he wins) was what he should have said last night, not "keep you guessing"

ISiddiqui 10-20-2016 03:04 PM

Saying "well apart from accepting if he wins" is the entire point of what he said.

So what you are saying is that what he should have said last night is that I will accept the election results... which is something Trump won't actually do.

tarcone 10-20-2016 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BishopMVP (Post 3124746)
"In a swelling, blustering manner: haughtily, pompously" Actually seems to fit really well!
So Obama/HRC are at fault for not recognizing that ISIS specifically was the group to target, but if they're defeated another group will take their place? Will Obama/HRC then be at fault for the new terror acronym du jour then, seeing as they "created a power vacuum" if they finish off ISIS? It's almost like you're setting up to blame them regardless of the tactics they choose or outcomes we see (since presumably liberal democracies that respect human rights and avoid sectarian conflict aren't on the table in the next decade.)


I didnt blame Obama or HRC. In fact, I said Bush never should have taken Hussein out. That caused the vacuum that was filled by ISIS. But, yes, since 08-09 they have been the problem in the Middle East. Or at least the most aggressive problem. So, yes, HRC and Obama do share the blame in their inefficient handling of the problem. Would any leader have done better? Who knows, but those in charge catch their share.

larrymcg421 10-20-2016 03:36 PM

Trump is at 18 cents on PredictIt. That seems to be about the floor right now, and I guess it's "the polls are wrong" money. I think the .84 for Hillary is a good buy.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3124775)
Saying "well apart from accepting if he wins" is the entire point of what he said.

So what you are saying is that what he should have said last night is that I will accept the election results... which is something Trump won't actually do.


I don't disagree with you, but I think if he had just said of course I will accept the results, once I've looked into any cases of voter fraud, I don't think many of us would have had a problem with it. When/if Hillary wins, I don't think she will really care if he accepts the results or not if he doesn't fight against them (lawsuit). But given Trump's history with lawsuits (i think someone used a figure of around 3,000), I doubt will we be so lucky.

Trump Twitter Auto-Post 10-20-2016 04:10 PM

'Trump won the third debate' https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2016/10/19/trump-won-tonights-debate/?utm_term=.db187b0862de*?
 
'Trump won the third debate' https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2016/10/19/trump-won-tonights-debate/?utm_term=.db187b0862de …


More...

digamma 10-20-2016 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trump Twitter Auto-Post (Post 3124767)
Want access to Crooked Hillary? Don't forget - it's going to cost you! #DrainTheSwamp #PayToPlay pic.twitter.com/qjMBZkEnK9


More...


Guys, FYI, this is not spam. We thought it would be funny to build an auto feed of Trump's tweets and are tweaking how to do that best. You don't need to report the post.

Thomkal 10-20-2016 04:16 PM

I wondered... :)

Ben E Lou 10-20-2016 04:26 PM

I *tried* to get them to post in this thread. I'll see if they become more annoying or entertaining. I moved the most recent one, but moving forward, I'l probably just leave them as their own threads.

cartman 10-20-2016 04:39 PM

#TrumpBookReport might be my new favorite hashtag of all time. It started from a comment someone made about Trump's foreign policy answers during the debate sounding like a high school kid's book report, when they didn't read the book.

"John 3:16 - Worst deal of all time. Total disaster. We need better salvation deals. Gave up his only begotten son. Sad!" #TrumpBookReport

Man in Yellow Hat? Total loser. Couldn't even control a monkey. By the way, that monkey? Illegal immigrant. Bad hombre. #TrumpBookReport

Les Miserables, of course they are miserable, the inner city is a mess folks, believe me. People stealing bread everywhere. #TrumpBookReport

Don Quixote? Great book. Bigly. Fight windmills, focus on coal energy. I don't like Sancho, though. Bad hombre. Deport! #TrumpBookReport

Achilles. What a failure. Weak heels. Only I can take Troy. And I do not have weak heels. My heels are so good. Believe me. #TrumpBookReport

Lolita? In six years, I'll be dating her. #TrumpBookReport

Sauron. I know him. Good guy. The best. Just trying to build things. Has his home destroyed by immigrants. Sad. #TrumpBookReport

JonInMiddleGA 10-20-2016 05:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124798)
I *tried* to get them to post in this thread. I'll see if they become more annoying or entertaining. I moved the most recent one, but moving forward, I'l probably just leave them as their own threads.


If anybody else did it, it'd be considered spamming the board. But hey, it's your toy so play with it as you see fit I guess.

Pretty lame though.

JPhillips 10-20-2016 05:06 PM

King Hamlet was low energy. No stamina. Sad. King Claudius will make Denmark great again.

CrescentMoonie 10-20-2016 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124798)
I *tried* to get them to post in this thread. I'll see if they become more annoying or entertaining. I moved the most recent one, but moving forward, I'l probably just leave them as their own threads.


Is there a way to block them from showing up?

digamma 10-20-2016 05:25 PM

Add Trump Twitter Auto-Post to Your Ignore List

CrescentMoonie 10-20-2016 05:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by digamma (Post 3124807)
Add Trump Twitter Auto-Post to Your Ignore List


They still show up.

ISiddiqui 10-20-2016 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cartman (Post 3124800)
#TrumpBookReport might be my new favorite hashtag of all time. It started from a comment someone made about Trump's foreign policy answers during the debate sounding like a high school kid's book report, when they didn't read the book.

"John 3:16 - Worst deal of all time. Total disaster. We need better salvation deals. Gave up his only begotten son. Sad!" #TrumpBookReport

Man in Yellow Hat? Total loser. Couldn't even control a monkey. By the way, that monkey? Illegal immigrant. Bad hombre. #TrumpBookReport

Les Miserables, of course they are miserable, the inner city is a mess folks, believe me. People stealing bread everywhere. #TrumpBookReport

Don Quixote? Great book. Bigly. Fight windmills, focus on coal energy. I don't like Sancho, though. Bad hombre. Deport! #TrumpBookReport

Achilles. What a failure. Weak heels. Only I can take Troy. And I do not have weak heels. My heels are so good. Believe me. #TrumpBookReport

Lolita? In six years, I'll be dating her. #TrumpBookReport

Sauron. I know him. Good guy. The best. Just trying to build things. Has his home destroyed by immigrants. Sad. #TrumpBookReport


It's fantastic... here are some of mine:












Mizzou B-ball fan 10-20-2016 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3124798)
I *tried* to get them to post in this thread. I'll see if they become more annoying or entertaining. I moved the most recent one, but moving forward, I'l probably just leave them as their own threads.


It's pretty ridiculous.

PilotMan 10-20-2016 06:18 PM

Can't be worse than having to put up with Jon's shit all these years.

lungs 10-20-2016 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3124822)
Can't be worse than having to put up with Jon's shit all these years.


Eh, I'll give the guy credit. I may find his views repugnant but he is pretty damn good at stepping back and analyzing polls and trends and such stuff without said repugnant views clouding his analysis.

I probably disagree with him 99.9% of the time but I enjoy reading his stuff on a pretty wide variety of topics.

cuervo72 10-20-2016 07:14 PM

Red badge of courage? He didn't even shoot anybody! No gun! Made travesty of the 2nd amend. Weak!

Drake 10-20-2016 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lungs (Post 3124825)
Eh, I'll give the guy credit. I may find his views repugnant but he is pretty damn good at stepping back and analyzing polls and trends and such stuff without said repugnant views clouding his analysis.

I probably disagree with him 99.9% of the time but I enjoy reading his stuff on a pretty wide variety of topics.


Ditto this. I disagree with Jon on a ton of political points, but I always value his insights and input.

sabotai 10-20-2016 08:28 PM

A 93-page list of Donald Trump's charitable contributions from the last five years - The Washington Post

Page 9. May 13th, 2015. A $10,000 donation to Project Veritas (James O'Keefe), one month before he entered the Republican Primary.

Butter 10-20-2016 09:15 PM

Towards bottom of page 1, Clinton Foundation.

SirFozzie 10-20-2016 10:32 PM

Trump gets basically booed off stage at the Al Smith dinner tonight, then Clinton spends the next little bit Chaos Dunking him and all his folks.

Trump Jokes Strike Sour Tone at Al Smith Dinner - Bloomberg Politics

SirFozzie 10-21-2016 12:03 AM

Dola: About 24 hours from the last debate, Weird Al hits perfectly.

BAD HOMBRES, NASTY WOMEN (ft. "Weird Al" Yankovic)- Songify 2016! - YouTube

larrymcg421 10-21-2016 02:30 AM

One of the more interesting house districts is NH-01. (I did remote organizing for the 2014 race there). Obama beat Romney by 1 in 2012.

2006 - Carol Shea-Porter beat incumbent Jeb Bradley in the Dem wave.
2008 - Shea-Porter held on to that seat against Frank Guinta.
2010 - Guinta beat her in the GOP wave.
2012 - Shea-Porter beat Guinta to win the seat back.
2014 - Guinta beat her to win the seat back.
2016 - Shea-Porter and Guinta are facing off for the 5th consecutive election. He narrowly won his primary after some ethics difficulties. RCP has it listed as Lean Dem. My guess is she wins again, but probably loses it back in 2018, probably to someone other than Guinta.

Marc Vaughan 10-21-2016 04:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lungs (Post 3124825)
I probably disagree with him 99.9% of the time but I enjoy reading his stuff on a pretty wide variety of topics.


That's pretty much how I view Jon's posts - I like reading the 'other side' of debates and trying to understand their perspective so I'm pleased he's active here, even if I tend to disagree heavily with his stance I appreciate having access to it :)

Flasch186 10-21-2016 08:17 AM

Ditto

Flasch186 10-21-2016 08:18 AM

I also think the feed is stupid.

Drake 10-21-2016 09:48 AM

The number of people on my Facebook feed who interpreted last night's Al Smith dinner as finally taking the gloves off and socking it to their opponent for realz just reinforces how stupid our electorate is.

JPhillips 10-21-2016 09:59 AM

File this in the things you shouldn't say file:

Quote:

“Great quote from Hitler in the video,”

Kansas State Rep. on Hitler/Planned Parenthood

Easy Mac 10-21-2016 10:01 AM

I feel like America just wants politics to be real versions of the Hamilton Debate Battles.

Hot Take: The internet has destroyed America and may be the single most destructive thing humanity has ever created.

bob 10-21-2016 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy Mac (Post 3124908)
Hot Take: The internet has destroyed America and may be the single most destructive thing humanity has ever created.


I've felt this way for a while.

Drake 10-21-2016 10:20 AM

I just said the same thing to my son this week. And I wonder if it's elitist of me that I've begun to think that the democratization of communication is a bad thing.

jeff061 10-21-2016 10:26 AM

Either you adhere to the will of the people or you don't. Controlling communication would be "you don't". That's an indictment on Democracy and humanity, not the internet.

I've long said eventually we will need a dictator to keep the country on rails, if we get to that point hopefully it's not one in the mold of Trump.

PilotMan 10-21-2016 11:42 AM

Jeff are you implying that the communication as it stands now is "controlled" and "not the will?" And our collective voices are being muted by government shills?

Or is that you feel like the current vein of communication IS the will, which to me, seems to be much more accurate? If only in the vein that you have enough communication out there that certainly comes from "the people (as opposed to the government)" that is should be construed as of the people. So that, of the people, is far worse, because it allows so much dissent and festering of opposing views that it hardens until open conflict is achieved.

jeff061 10-21-2016 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3124928)
Jeff are you implying that the communication as it stands now is "controlled" and "not the will?" And our collective voices are being muted by government shills?

Or is that you feel like the current vein of communication IS the will, which to me, seems to be much more accurate? If only in the vein that you have enough communication out there that certainly comes from "the people (as opposed to the government)" that is should be construed as of the people. So that, of the people, is far worse, because it allows so much dissent and festering of opposing views that it hardens until open conflict is achieved.


I was responding to the previous few posts that seemed to imply the internet is a threat to mankind.

The internet enables and empowers citizens. If enabling and empowering citizens leads to poor leaders and policies being put in place, the issue is with Democracy(and humanity) and not the internet.

In short, I agree with your latter statement and was commenting on the idea of needing to control communication in order to ensure survival of our society as it exists today. Once you start controlling communication in order to have more control over the leaders and policies being put in place, you are no longer a Democracy. Even if it is for the better.

Atocep 10-21-2016 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lighthousekeeper (Post 3124951)
Amen. *now back to Angry Birds Pop*


But seriously, Snowden revelations inform us that while the Internet may empower citizens, it empowers governments even more.


I strongly disagree. There's a reason that when big shit goes down in other countries one of the first things they try to do is shut down the Internet.

It does empower governments, but the power citizens gain from being able to communicate as freely as the Internet allows dwarfs it.

PilotMan 10-21-2016 01:41 PM

It's an exceptionally slippery slope. If it empowers your own it also empowers enemies which creates the need for more control by the government for your protection....or is it?

That's the rub.

Subby 10-21-2016 01:55 PM



mckerney 10-21-2016 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SirFozzie (Post 3124868)
Trump gets basically booed off stage at the Al Smith dinner tonight, then Clinton spends the next little bit Chaos Dunking him and all his folks.

Trump Jokes Strike Sour Tone at Al Smith Dinner - Bloomberg Politics



AlexB 10-21-2016 03:14 PM

Trump may come across as a buffoon, but this is a good line:

“The media is even more biased against me than ever before,” Trump said. “You want the proof? Michelle Obama gives a speech and everyone loves it. It’s fantastic. They think she’s absolutely great. My wife, Melania, gives the exact same speech! And people get on her case! And I don’t get it! I don’t know why!”

mckerney 10-21-2016 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexB (Post 3124984)
Trump may come across as a buffoon, but this is a good line:

“The media is even more biased against me than ever before,” Trump said. “You want the proof? Michelle Obama gives a speech and everyone loves it. It’s fantastic. They think she’s absolutely great. My wife, Melania, gives the exact same speech! And people get on her case! And I don’t get it! I don’t know why!”


I thought the, "pardon me," joke was funny too, it was the second half where he veered off into old conspiracy theories and saying Hillary hated Catholics where he went off the rails.

AlexB 10-21-2016 03:32 PM

I thought the latter well worked rather than proper funny, but I otherwise agree :)

larrymcg421 10-21-2016 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mckerney (Post 3124986)
I thought the, "pardon me," joke was funny too, it was the second half where he veered off into old conspiracy theories and saying Hillary hated Catholics where he went off the rails.


Yeah, he had several good jokes. Where he lost it was when he started doing attacks that had no punchline. "You're corrupt, haha." "You hate Catholics, haha."

Easy Mac 10-21-2016 10:18 PM

Personal anecdote:

My wife voted absentee today. In her house vote, she voted for a candidate who literally fucked over her profession last session. He had promised her state board that he would vote in their favor on a bill, then voted the opposite way at the actual vote. They lost 52-51. His office then refused to meet with them or then answer the phone. My wife is also now the state board's VP for her profession.

When I asked why she voted for him, she said because what was she going to do, vote for a Democrat? She said she couldn't do it with a clear conscience because of abortion and the like. We're Catholic, but obviously I have a different view on prioritizing my vote.

In other words, I think a lot of people underestimate just how important the "religious" component factors into a large percentage of the vote. My wife quite literally hates the candidate she voted for, and he directly fucked her profession and harmed her career, but even that isn't enough to lose her vote if the opponent isn't 100% lined up with her religious views.

BTW, I'm fairly certain she voted Trump, even though she agrees he's a complete loon and buffoon... but again, she was never voting Hillary, but was completely turned off by her abortion answer the other night. After that, not voting because she hated Trump was just as bad to her as voting for Hillary.

SackAttack 10-21-2016 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy Mac (Post 3125029)
Personal anecdote:

My wife voted absentee today. In her house vote, she voted for a candidate who literally fucked over her profession last session. He had promised her state board that he would vote in their favor on a bill, then voted the opposite way at the actual vote. They lost 52-51. His office then refused to meet with them or then answer the phone. My wife is also now the state board's VP for her profession.

When I asked why she voted for him, she said because what was she going to do, vote for a Democrat? She said she couldn't do it with a clear conscience because of abortion and the like. We're Catholic, but obviously I have a different view on prioritizing my vote.

In other words, I think a lot of people underestimate just how important the "religious" component factors into a large percentage of the vote. My wife quite literally hates the candidate she voted for, and he directly fucked her profession and harmed her career, but even that isn't enough to lose her vote if the opponent isn't 100% lined up with her religious views.

BTW, I'm fairly certain she voted Trump, even though she agrees he's a complete loon and buffoon... but again, she was never voting Hillary, but was completely turned off by her abortion answer the other night. After that, not voting because she hated Trump was just as bad to her as voting for Hillary.


See, here's why I'd want to smack people like that upside the head (and it has nothing to do with the validity of pro-choice versus that of pro-life):

There are a super-finite number of people in this country who are actually in a position to do anything meaningful regarding abortion.

The House of Representatives are not those people. Even if Republicans got 291 House members to agree to a Constitutional amendment overturning Roe, they'd need 67 senators to do the same.

And THEN they'd need 37 or 38 state legislatures - both houses - to do the same.

The House neither nominates nor approves judicial candidates, so there isn't even THAT veneer to cling to on the issue of abortion. Literally the extent of their say in the matter is federal funding, and federal law already prohibits spending federal dollars on abortion.

So at that level, it amounts to little more than voting to fuck you and yours over on the other 99% of issues for the sake of "voting my conscience" on the one issue your Congresscritter isn't actually poised to have any meaningful influence over.

Which just blows my mind.

Buccaneer 10-22-2016 12:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack (Post 3125039)
See, here's why I'd want to smack people like that upside the head (and it has nothing to do with the validity of pro-choice versus that of pro-life):

There are a super-finite number of people in this country who are actually in a position to do anything meaningful regarding abortion.

The House of Representatives are not those people. Even if Republicans got 291 House members to agree to a Constitutional amendment overturning Roe, they'd need 67 senators to do the same.

And THEN they'd need 37 or 38 state legislatures - both houses - to do the same.

The House neither nominates nor approves judicial candidates, so there isn't even THAT veneer to cling to on the issue of abortion. Literally the extent of their say in the matter is federal funding, and federal law already prohibits spending federal dollars on abortion.

So at that level, it amounts to little more than voting to fuck you and yours over on the other 99% of issues for the sake of "voting my conscience" on the one issue your Congresscritter isn't actually poised to have any meaningful influence over.

Which just blows my mind.


It does not matter whether the civil government can affect change, if one believes in the sanctity of life and that of the unborn child (and you believe it is paramount moral issue), then you should vote against* such immorality. It is the attitude of the heart that is the deciding factor for single-issue voters (which there are many).

* that does not assume a vote for an opposer.

SackAttack 10-22-2016 02:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buccaneer (Post 3125044)
It does not matter whether the civil government can affect change, if one believes in the sanctity of life and that of the unborn child (and you believe it is paramount moral issue), then you should vote against* such immorality. It is the attitude of the heart that is the deciding factor for single-issue voters (which there are many).

* that does not assume a vote for an opposer.


Okay, but here's where you start running into problems:

Picture a politician. This politician may, or may not, be religious. To which faith our imaginary politician adheres is irrelevant, but given the demographics of this country, it's a safe bet that this politician belongs to a Christian sect.

Our politician is running for the House; the House, as we've discussed, has a minimal impact on the existence of and performance of abortions in this country, beyond the sort of grandstanding designed to get re-elected.

Let's be generous and say our politician is fervently pro-life. Like, this isn't just a cynical red-meat-for-the-base issue. At the same time, our politician ran on "we're spending too much" and "it's not Washington's money" and wants to reduce taxes, cut foreign aid and reduce the footprint of the welfare state (cut food stamps, energy assistance, housing assistance, etc). (This is not, by the way, much in the way of caricature.)

Our pro-life Congressperson is fighting the good fight against abortion in the name of Jeremiah 1:5. At the same time, Matthew 25:40 tells the faithful what God's reaction is going to be to those who spurned the helpless - say, by cutting food stamps to justify tax cuts.

Perhaps our Congressperson is Muslim. Surah 5:32 would inform our Congressperson that "whoever kills a soul unless for a soul or for corruption [done] in the land - it is as if he had slain mankind entirely. And whoever saves one - it is as if he had saved mankind entirely."

That $32 billion we spend in foreign aid yearly - pennies on the dollar relative to our national budget - saves lives around the world. Between Matthew 25:40 and Surah 5:32, can you *really* make the honest argument that a vote cast for someone who abhors abortion, but cannot prevent it, is a more moral vote than that cast for a pro-choice candidate (who is likewise powerless to make abortion more readily available) who also supports continued foreign aid and anti-poverty programs?

It seems to me that somebody who casts a vote based on morality is probably better off casting that vote on the basis of the morality which their intended candidate can actually promote.

Then, too, we might have a conversation about how people who seek abortions do so most often for economic reasons, and that a candidate who addresses those causes, even as he or she may be "pro-choice," and even if the reason he or she tackles poverty has nothing to do with abortion, is better placed to help fulfill the desires of the voter who prioritizes the life of the fetus above any other single issue.

And if I were really feeling cynical, I might further point out that somebody who claims to value life highly enough to make it their overriding electoral issue, but votes for candidates who don't sustain that priority beyond gestation is like the hypocrites alluded to in Matthew 6:5 - they're not interested in doing the hard work of "what comes next." They want to stand on the street corners and be seen "protecting the sanctity of life."

Izulde 10-22-2016 03:08 AM

Couple of things in response, Sack:

1) I think for a lot of voters who are single-issue (perhaps even the majority), they view the narrative on the other issues differently than they do abortion.

2) You may be underestimating how critical their issue is to single-issue voters. As an example, if I were a single issue voter on my gun issue stances, I would be voting almost exclusively Republican - despite the fact that if you took my political stances overall, I'd be left of center. (Interestingly enough, I realized the other day that while I'm considered a progressive, that's only so because on my three primary issues of education, environment, and certain branches of economics, I fall completely in the progressive camp).

SackAttack 10-22-2016 06:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Izulde (Post 3125062)
Couple of things in response, Sack:

1) I think for a lot of voters who are single-issue (perhaps even the majority), they view the narrative on the other issues differently than they do abortion.


Maybe, but I'm not sure how much that matters.

Quote:

2) You may be underestimating how critical their issue is to single-issue voters. As an example, if I were a single issue voter on my gun issue stances, I would be voting almost exclusively Republican - despite the fact that if you took my political stances overall, I'd be left of center. (Interestingly enough, I realized the other day that while I'm considered a progressive, that's only so because on my three primary issues of education, environment, and certain branches of economics, I fall completely in the progressive camp).

The thing is, I'm not underestimating how critical it is to them. I'm saying that - particularly in the case of abortion - that single issue is a complex one, and voting reflexively Republican because "abortions are bad mmkay" means supporting people who are ALSO frequently opposed to other things which might be part of the solution.

Barack Obama said in 2008 that abortions should be "safe, legal, and rare." You know how you get the "rare" part of the equation? You address the issues that lead women to seek abortions. Some abortion bans have been tossed because they don't make exceptions for rape and incest, for example.

But then there's the socioeconomic question - something like 70% of all women who have their pregnancies terminated have an income below 200% of the federal poverty line.

So the question becomes: why? Is it because they look at their income status, see a baby on the way, and terminate it because they can't afford to miss work, either before or after the birth? The cost of actually birthing the child? The cost of raising that child, including things like child care costs because they're less likely to have a post-birth support structure?

Or is it because contraceptives are expensive, and when politicians go after the funding for places like Planned Parenthood, it reduces low-income access to contraceptives?

Is it somewhere in the middle?

There are layers of complexity to the issue that go beyond "in the womb I knew ye" but single-issue pro-life voters don't consider that.

The way I look at it is, "pro-choice" means the woman has the right to choose life. For those of us who are pro-choice AND would actively prefer the woman choose life, the way to accomplish those goals is to make it easier for her to do so.

Blanket abortion bans without a thought for what comes next doesn't solve society's problems. It enhances them. When people like Donald Trump rail against the "inner cities" and how awful crime is there, the issue isn't some inherent character flaw that creates "thugs." It's poverty.

And when you blithely pursue abstinence-only education in schools because teaching teens how to be safe and, critically, not-pregnant, is immoral and an affront to God, you wind up with increased pregnancy rates because the education you've given the kids has had exactly the effect anybody could have predicted: they don't know jack shit. More babies in poverty-stricken areas means more crime in the long run.

Fix poverty, and you fix a whole wealth of problems. Voting for someone because they want to ban abortion is voting for someone who says they revere life but doesn't actually want to do anything to show that reverence.

"By their fruit shall you know them."

flere-imsaho 10-22-2016 07:38 AM

It's one thing to have strong religious views. It's quite another thing entirely to feel that your religious views should trump the strongly held beliefs on personal liberty held by literally 100M+ Americans.

GrantDawg 10-22-2016 10:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack (Post 3125064)
"By their fruit shall you know them."


Such a good post, Sack. I have been banging my head on this for 3 decades. Pro-life people really vote against their own interest in a multitude of other areas in the name of that one issue.

cuervo72 10-22-2016 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack (Post 3125064)
Barack Obama said in 2008 that abortions should be "safe, legal, and rare." You know how you get the "rare" part of the equation? You address the issues that lead women to seek abortions. Some abortion bans have been tossed because they don't make exceptions for rape and incest, for example.


Or exceptions for cases like these:

https://thinkprogress.org/woman-abor...p-108b90382228

Interview With a Woman Who Recently Had an Abortion at 32 Weeks

SirFozzie 10-22-2016 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy Mac (Post 3125029)
Personal anecdote:

My wife voted absentee today. In her house vote, she voted for a candidate who literally fucked over her profession last session. He had promised her state board that he would vote in their favor on a bill, then voted the opposite way at the actual vote. They lost 52-51. His office then refused to meet with them or then answer the phone. My wife is also now the state board's VP for her profession.

When I asked why she voted for him, she said because what was she going to do, vote for a Democrat? She said she couldn't do it with a clear conscience because of abortion and the like. We're Catholic, but obviously I have a different view on prioritizing my vote.

In other words, I think a lot of people underestimate just how important the "religious" component factors into a large percentage of the vote. My wife quite literally hates the candidate she voted for, and he directly fucked her profession and harmed her career, but even that isn't enough to lose her vote if the opponent isn't 100% lined up with her religious views.

BTW, I'm fairly certain she voted Trump, even though she agrees he's a complete loon and buffoon... but again, she was never voting Hillary, but was completely turned off by her abortion answer the other night. After that, not voting because she hated Trump was just as bad to her as voting for Hillary.


Even some christian groups says Clinton would be better than Trump on this, and provide backup for what they say:

Hillary Clinton Is the Best Choice for Voters Against Abortion

Edward64 10-22-2016 12:33 PM

Agree or disagree, Trump is sounding presidential in his policy speech.

Suspect his polls will creep up and the spread will tighten. HRC needs to bait (or find another negative surprise) and get a Trump reaction a couple more times to keep his negatives front and center.


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