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The Jackal 05-16-2009 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024180)
Can you explain to me why you distrust PF more than just about anyone in the game (based on your Day 3 vote) at this point, given his Day 2 vote - the fact it was on a wolf, the timing of it, and the final point that it stands out even more for someone with so few posts overall?


Early vote on a known villager day 1, check. Putting EF in the lead when the wolves knew PB hadn't even switched to EF yet, check. And then it was merely those two things combined with the tone of some of his few posts that struck me oddly.

I had my vote on him all day because I felt he was a better option than PB or Telle, but obviously no one agreed.

Autumn 05-16-2009 08:45 AM

Well, here's my morning check-in, and I see nothing much going on. I'll probably be back after night deadline or perhaps briefly on Sunday.

I think I've made clear who my suspects are, in case something happens to me. My trust list in order of trust is

Barkeep
Abe
Dubb
Poli
PackerFan
MartinD

Lathum 05-16-2009 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Autumn (Post 2024071)
The list was of people who voted for PB on day 2, so obviously you do belong on it.

I specifically did not include you in my "more suspect" list because of your day 1 vote. What are you so upset about?


how I am upset?

I mearly said I don't belong on your list. It's not like I was PBing you.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2024221)
how I am upset?

I mearly said I don't belong on your list. It's not like I was PBing you.


Good stuff, Lathum :lol:

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Jackal (Post 2024198)
Early vote on a known villager day 1, check. Putting EF in the lead when the wolves knew PB hadn't even switched to EF yet, check. And then it was merely those two things combined with the tone of some of his few posts that struck me oddly.

I had my vote on him all day because I felt he was a better option than PB or Telle, but obviously no one agreed.


OK, so how do you significantly differentiate between PF and MartinD?

Early vote on a known villager Day 1 - check
Putting EF in the lead when the wolves knew PB hadn't even switch to EF yet - check
Tone of posts - not sure, but neither of those guys have many posts

Yet you are after PF and not MartinD. I see these guys as nearly equal on my trust/distrust lists but you seem to have a big gap between them. Why? Can you clarify on the "tone of posts" which seems like it must be the difference?

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Autumn (Post 2024203)
Well, here's my morning check-in, and I see nothing much going on. I'll probably be back after night deadline or perhaps briefly on Sunday.

I think I've made clear who my suspects are, in case something happens to me. My trust list in order of trust is

Barkeep
Abe
Dubb
Poli
PackerFan
MartinD


Can you build your case for Poli as trusted?

Lathum 05-16-2009 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024229)
Can you build your case for Poli as trusted?


and why I'm not?

I thik my day 1 vote on EF was pretty telling.

The Jackal 05-16-2009 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024228)
OK, so how do you significantly differentiate between PF and MartinD?

Early vote on a known villager Day 1 - check
Putting EF in the lead when the wolves knew PB hadn't even switch to EF yet - check
Tone of posts - not sure, but neither of those guys have many posts

Yet you are after PF and not MartinD. I see these guys as nearly equal on my trust/distrust lists but you seem to have a big gap between them. Why? Can you clarify on the "tone of posts" which seems like it must be the difference?


I need to go back and look at Martin's voting then if it's that similar - I don't even recall him posting, whereas I got bad feelings about some of PF's posts. I'll go back and find them sometime this weekend. So I imagine they're about equal on my distrust scale.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 12:25 PM

Can you highlight posts by PF that concerned you?

My trust at this point is very heavily regulated by voting records, since we've had meaningful votes on the first two days and at this point can do pretty complete analysis on them.

The Jackal 05-16-2009 12:26 PM

Yes, like I said I'll go back and find em when I have a bit of time to spare. No rush, right?

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 12:27 PM

Dola (think I can slip that in over weekend),

I'll definitely listen to people's "vibe" if/when they link the posts that created the vibe so I can try to interpret it as well. But it is going to be a fairly tough sell to convince me to vote for someone with a "good" voting record versus a "bad" voting record. I understand the whole "wolves know who the wolves/villagers are" and manage accordingly, but they had one of their own on the chopping block each of the first two days and that person was probably salvageable both times around if they dug in.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 12:28 PM

Damn, not even on weekends (dola)!

No rush - I'm out most of the afternoon to help run my kid's birthday party.

Barkeep49 05-16-2009 02:30 PM

What is our next deadline?

Danny 05-16-2009 02:58 PM

Sunday at 10 eastern.

Danny 05-16-2009 06:28 PM

I have all night orders. It seems everyone doesn't like the delayed weekend deadline. Is everyone alright if I run the deadline tonight or should I wait?

Poli 05-16-2009 06:29 PM

I speak for everyone: Run it.

Danny 05-16-2009 06:33 PM

Alright, assuming there are no protests I will run everything in the next few hours.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 06:46 PM

I would love to see it processed earlier. Unless I'm dying; then let me know so I can blurt out every random thought over the next hour or two.

Danny 05-16-2009 06:52 PM

Alright, I will process it in about 30 minutes, maybe sooner.

Poli 05-16-2009 06:59 PM

What he said.

Danny 05-16-2009 07:12 PM

After a crazy night of nightmares and fantasies, everyone wakes up. As we are getting ready to start out day, Autumn yells out that he could use something to eat. Everyone then looks around for Chef Rum, but he is nowhere to be found. As panic begins to ensue, Chief Rum drops from the ceiling to try and body slam me. As I quickly move out of the way, Chief Rum falls on the floor next to Barkeep’s sleeping bag and lets out a girly scream at the sight of a dead body. Barkeep is dead!



















Barkeep was the Cool Guy!

The Cool Guy- You are one cool guy! This means some look up to you and some are jealous and want you out of the way. Half the players in the game subconsciously look up to you. Anytime one of those players makes a vote to oust you from the group, their vote will be nullified. The other half of the players subconsciously are jealous of you. Anytime one of those players votes to oust you from the group, their vote will be doubled. Each night you will study the group and learn of one player who is jealous of you and one who looks up to you. Being that these feelings are subconscious, the players themselves will not know about them or their effect on voting for you. However, once they vote to remove you from the group, it means their love/hate of you has turned to indifference and their effect on voting for you will not happen again.

During the night, Lathum was criticized and does not feel confident enough to vote today. He was so hurt he did not notice who insulted him. Lathum can still post in the thread.

*Like always, all of the added stuff in the write up is not related to actual game play.

Danny 05-16-2009 07:18 PM

Day 4 Deadline is Monday at 8pm eastern time. Hopefully running the deadline tonight will pick up the steam going towards Monday.

Poli 05-16-2009 07:23 PM

They took barkeep? That's odd.

Poli 05-16-2009 07:24 PM

Although barkeep apparently was one cool guy, I don't know how his role was helpful to us.

Danny 05-16-2009 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poli (Post 2024554)
Although barkeep apparently was one cool guy, I don't know how his role was helpful to us.


Yeah, his role was a risk/reward vanilla villager basically. If he was able to nullify people who hated him by getting them to vote and then even unvote him, it would of been helpful to avoid a lynch, but for the most part, it was fancy vanilla villager type role.

Danny 05-16-2009 07:33 PM

Plus if he was the leading vote getter and this ability saved him, he would have ended up being cleared. So, this could have served as a self scan of sorts too.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 07:46 PM

About the only case I could have made for BK being a lynch was that he was the most trusted person by Autumn. I have no idea why that would have been the case but I did not want to press that until today.

Abe - I do not see anything within BK's role description that would have suggested any association with you. Can you say now why in the world you would have felt so confident about BK, to the point where you suggested "lynch me instead of him"?

Lathum 05-16-2009 08:01 PM

My guess is I was silenced because the wolves were a little freaked out by the way I voted the other day.

I am wondering right now about Autumn, one because I'm not on his list and two because the person he trusted most is dead now, it's almost like some kind of move on his part. Put out a trust list then kill someone on it to make it look like he is a villager with a good read,

Poli 05-16-2009 08:07 PM

The lynch me instead of him definitely concerned/confused me.

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024562)
About the only case I could have made for BK being a lynch was that he was the most trusted person by Autumn. I have no idea why that would have been the case but I did not want to press that until today.

Abe - I do not see anything within BK's role description that would have suggested any association with you. Can you say now why in the world you would have felt so confident about BK, to the point where you suggested "lynch me instead of him"?


No, the GM Told me I was already on the line with my first comment, I cannot expand on it.

Poli 05-16-2009 08:09 PM

Hmm.

Anyway, I don't understand "silencing" Lathum, either.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Abe Sargent (Post 2024574)
No, the GM Told me I was already on the line with my first comment, I cannot expand on it.


The problem is that I don't see a role that would dovetail with this role that you would suggest. Nor do I see where it would have been a problem where you read BK's initial post and said "hmm, that sounds at least in the same realm as my role - I can believe that". So the fact that you are now clamming up, and that your voting hasn't exactly been good, makes it pretty hard for me to trust you no matter what Autumn may be suggesting with his list. Especially since BK did not vouch you back.

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 09:11 PM

Okay, it has been clarified by the GM that I can say it is due to my role, and that's as far as I can go.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 09:39 PM

OK, so let me see if I can push the boundaries a little bit here - why do you think that BK was not willing to cross-vouch you back on Day 1 or at any other point in the first three days?

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024622)
OK, so let me see if I can push the boundaries a little bit here - why do you think that BK was not willing to cross-vouch you back on Day 1 or at any other point in the first three days?


Ask yourself this question, "Why SHOULD he be able to?"

I can think of a lot more ways that I would know and BK wouldn't, than we both know.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024562)
About the only case I could have made for BK being a lynch was that he was the most trusted person by Autumn. I have no idea why that would have been the case but I did not want to press that until today.


Quick thought on this - I was overlooking something really obvious when I typed this. Abe's vouch for BK, as well as asking for us to vote him out before BK, suggested that they might somehow be lovers so the wolves were probably hunting for a 2:1 here. That probably makes the most sense for the kill. Any kind of trust was probably just a bonus for them, right up until the point that they only killed one person.

That said, this theory only works if Abe is a villager. If Abe = wolf then it almost has to be a "trust/no BG likely to block" play.

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 09:55 PM

BTW, if I were a wolf trying to get way out in front, and I mean WAY out with my comments, I would be a better voter. I'd want to have some value to the village so that they would not want to vote me out.

Besides, have you ever known me, even one time, to go out in front like this as a wolf? Nope. I am not comfortable in the spotlight as a wolf, never have been. Especially not in a game with 21 players, and it would be easy to hide in the shadows. That's bad strategy, as can be seen with all of the attention to come my way.

I tried to create a Circle of Trust, and now that one is dead. I can do no more, I can say no more.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Abe Sargent (Post 2024629)
Ask yourself this question, "Why SHOULD he be able to?"

I can think of a lot more ways that I would know and BK wouldn't, than we both know.


So, taking another direction - was your trust predicated by his first post describing his role or was the trust already there before that point? I can quote the post in question if you need me to do so.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 09:59 PM

Also, why did you think it would be better to have you die before BK, given that his death did not have any negative impact on you?

I'm asking the questions because you are in the thread on a Saturday night (what, no date?) and because I'm hoping that you can widen the boundaries of communication that seem to be in place by responding to direct questions.

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 10:20 PM

I already told you, it had to do with my role. I cannot tell more.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 10:24 PM

Lerriuqs, don't be afraid to chime in at any point.

hoopsguy 05-16-2009 10:25 PM

Abe, does post #1940 answer post #1938, #1939, or both?

Abe Sargent 05-16-2009 10:55 PM

Both, Mr Specific

lerriuqs 05-16-2009 11:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024654)
Lerriuqs, don't be afraid to chime in at any point.


Sorry guys, I'm having enough trouble keeping up with the many, many posts...

I've been having trouble really figuring out what's going on. I'm not used to games this big. Hence, I watch...I'll try to get more in here soon.

The one thing I really don't get is how any of my votes is all that suspicious - Day 1, I voted for Pass early and didn't come back till after the deadline, I couldn't switch if I had wanted to. Day 2, I voted PB as much to keep the race close to allow for vote changes. I didn't see any reason to switch at the end. Some said it looked bad for those of us who didn't, but if those that did switch hadn't, it wouldn't have. So I don't really get that logic. There was no real reason to vote for one over the other until the fact that he was a wolf came out. Day 3, I tried to bring a third choice close cause I didn't like the first two and then wasn't back for the deadline to consider any changes.

I don't think there's much of anything to go that would raise any suspicion. I'm a villager. I have no idea who the wolves are and haven't had enough time to really delve into any of my suspicions. As such I don't really want to voice them quite yet.

Abe Sargent 05-17-2009 12:29 AM

Don;t worrry, I'm having trouble too

Poli 05-17-2009 06:18 AM

Apparently not as much as the rest of us.

dubb93 05-17-2009 10:47 AM

I think there needs to be discussion on the wolves choice to criticize Lathum today. Would they criticize one of their own again after what happened to EF? I would lean towards no, but I have to wonder what type of villager role would have required Lathum to vote for PB on day 2 to activate(I believe this is the gist of what he was trying to say. I'm still highly confused by Lathum's actions on day 2.)

Lathum 05-17-2009 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dubb93 (Post 2024816)
I think there needs to be discussion on the wolves choice to criticize Lathum today. Would they criticize one of their own again after what happened to EF? I would lean towards no, but I have to wonder what type of villager role would have required Lathum to vote for PB on day 2 to activate(I believe this is the gist of what he was trying to say. I'm still highly confused by Lathum's actions on day 2.)


I think they are worried my role has some sort of added bonus when it comes to the vote.

hoopsguy 05-17-2009 12:53 PM

Lathum, why would they think that? What could have emerged over the first three days to suggest a bonus on vote, given that we have not seen it reflected in the voting totals and did not see BK's role writeup until the end of Night 3?

Lathum 05-17-2009 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2024861)
Lathum, why would they think that? What could have emerged over the first three days to suggest a bonus on vote, given that we have not seen it reflected in the voting totals and did not see BK's role writeup until the end of Night 3?


I dunno, just trying to figure out why they would vote me.

I think they may be freaked out about the way I voted the other day and have claimed because of that I triggered a mechanic for my role.

Maybe they are worried about that mechanic?


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