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JPhillips 10-02-2021 04:19 PM

My guess is the final bill comes in closer to 2, but there's a deal to be had if ManSinema want one.

Edward64 10-02-2021 04:21 PM

I'm glad Biden is optimistic. The real question is what will the Progressive give up?

Progressives rallied behind Biden's agenda. Now he’s gotta sell them on a compromise. - POLITICO
Quote:

After strongly signaling to progressives this week to hold the line on their demands for a massive climate and social spending bill, President Joe Biden took a trip to the Hill on Friday to deliver another message: prepare to eat half the loaf.

In remarks to House members, Biden warned progressives that they would likely have to accept a reconciliation bill with a price tag between $1.9 trillion and $2.3 trillion — well below the $3.5 trillion they’d initially priced for. To sell the deal, Biden argued that even at that reduced level, the party would still be making “historic” investments.

The early indication is that Biden will get some leeway from progressives in large part because he backed their demands around the sequencing of his two major bills. The president disappointed moderates when he downplayed the need to hold a vote this Thursday on an infrastructure bill that they have championed.

Instead, he stressed that he wanted to get both bills ready to go first before voting on any individual one.

“It doesn't matter whether it's six minutes, six days or six weeks — we're going to get it done,” Biden told reporters during the Capitol visit.

JPhillips 10-02-2021 04:23 PM

Progressives have been signaling they are willing to negotiate for days. Voting for the BIF in the Sente shows they aren't the ones holding a deal up.

ISiddiqui 10-02-2021 05:53 PM

Yeah, as far as I can tell people have been asking Manchin and Sinema what they would accept and they haven't responded with anything.

Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk

JPhillips 10-02-2021 06:35 PM

Sounds like Manchin is negotiating now, but Sinema went back to AZ for a high-dollar fundraiser and released a letter blaming progressives for holding up Biden's agenda.

I have no idea what she wants.

GrantDawg 10-02-2021 08:29 PM

Attention.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

Edward64 10-05-2021 05:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3347000)
Attention.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk


As in being stalked in a restroom.

Edward64 10-05-2021 05:11 AM

Another Biden statement on the range. Have to assume he's gotten these nos from Manchin & Sinema.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/04/polit...age/index.html
Quote:

President Joe Biden said in a virtual meeting with a group of House progressives on Monday that the top line of the social safety net package needs to come down to somewhere between $1.9 trillion and $2.2 trillion, according to two sources familiar with the call.

Biden told the group, according to one of the sources, that was the range he felt Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema would accept but did not specify further within that range.

Lathum 10-05-2021 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3347000)
Attention.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk


They were of course clutching their pearls about this on Fox News yesterday and the expert guest actually said “ in America we don’t hunt down our elected officials” without so much as a hint of irony.

GrantDawg 10-05-2021 06:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3347157)
As in being stalked in a restroom.

Sometimes you get what you want and you wish you hadn't.

molson 10-06-2021 11:30 AM

I love the trillion dollar coin thing even though it sounds like the prologue of a Tom Clancy novel where bad shit will immediately go down.

larrymcg421 10-06-2021 11:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3347232)
I love the trillion dollar coin thing even though it sounds like the prologue of a Tom Clancy novel where bad shit will immediately go down.


Or a new Keifer Sutherland show called "Fed Up", where he must track down who stole the trillion dollar coin.

albionmoonlight 10-06-2021 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3347232)
I love the trillion dollar coin thing even though it sounds like the prologue of a Tom Clancy novel where bad shit will immediately go down.



RainMaker 10-06-2021 11:51 AM

Just hold a vote. If Sinema and Manchin and anyone else want to blow things up, that's fine. Stop giving cover to people for unpopular votes.

larrymcg421 10-06-2021 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3347235)


My tv show idea would definitely be Keifer, but if it's a movie, then this has got to be Nic Cage.

It would be Jake Peralta's favorite movie ever.

albionmoonlight 10-06-2021 01:07 PM

I'm thinking Don Cheadle. He could hit the humor, but it wouldn't become a slapstick farce.

Edward64 10-06-2021 06:06 PM

Alright, a little breathing room on debt ceiling. Now let's get that $1.2+$3.5 done.

538 has Biden approval at 44%. Plenty of time to recover but the deal needs to get done somehow.

Atocep 10-06-2021 06:12 PM

So is anyone else following what's going on with the Idaho Lt Governor?

BYU 14 10-06-2021 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3347278)
So is anyone else following what's going on with the Idaho Lt Governor?


Yes, apparently her babysitter fell asleep and she broke into the adult room and signed executive orders.......Seriously, she is a piece of work and another thing to thank Trump for as Bat shit crazy in public office is now chic.

albionmoonlight 10-06-2021 06:53 PM

It’s just a game to them.

sterlingice 10-06-2021 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3347278)
So is anyone else following what's going on with the Idaho Lt Governor?


Yeah, I was reading about it today. Let me know if I got this right:
Idaho Lt. Gov. battles Governor again on COVID executive orders | Boise State Public Radio

Idaho governor Brad Little is out of state doing a conservative governor border stunt and photo-op in Texas (you know, what with Idaho sharing that US-Mexico border)

The state’s Lieutenant Governor is Janice McGeachin, far right nut job, who has already declared she’s running for governor next year.
While he’s out of the state, she does this:
Today, as Acting Governor, I fixed Gov. Little’s Executive Order on "vaccine passports" to make sure that K-12 schools and universities cannot require vaccinations OR require mandatory testing. I will continue to fight for your individual Liberty! #idpol pic.twitter.com/Jz87jfZaWc
— Janice McGeachin (@JaniceMcGeachin) October 5, 2021
His response:
I will be rescinding and reversing any actions taken by the Lt. Governor when I return. pic.twitter.com/iBuQqX1R5i
— Brad Little (@GovernorLittle) October 5, 2021
Not only did the little authoritarian try to do the stupid no-testing or vaccines, but she apparently also tried to deploy the Idaho national guard to the border.
"The Associated Press reported Major General Michael Marshak rebuffed McGeachin’s request, reminding her the guard was not a law enforcement agency."
So she’s trying to take the Governor’s job via election or, attempting to, by loophole. Meanwhile, looking over her shoulder:
In a statement, Idaho House Speaker Scott Bedke called McGeachin’s actions, "overreach that does not represent Idaho and Idahoans." Bedke, who announced he’s running for Lt. Governor in 2022, said GOP leadership is working through a return to session to deny recent vaccination mandates from the Biden administration. His statement endorsed draft legislation this week from the interim Joint Committee on Federalism which would make it illegal for state, county or local authorities to cooperate with a federal vaccine requirement. "What comes next will be determined soon by the Legislative Branch and not be left to the Lt. Governor to dictate," Bedke wrote in a statement email Tuesday.
SI

molson 10-06-2021 08:23 PM

She does this every time he leaves town.

This is why many Idaho Democrats register Republican to vote for people like Little and Butch Otter in closed Republican primaries rather than vote in their own primaries.

The more moderate Idaho Republicans tend to win state-wide elections by landslides, but, you just don't know anymore....

ISiddiqui 10-07-2021 01:18 PM

Quote:

Who would you want to see star in a movie about a bumbling Treasury employee who accidentally loses The Coin on the way to depositing it at the Fed and needs to find it before anyone realizes it’s missing?— poorly hidden account (@poorlyhidden) October 5, 2021

Sounds kind of like something that Greg from Succession would do.

Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk

albionmoonlight 10-07-2021 02:13 PM

As I understand it

Debt limit coming up

Dems want GOP to vote with them to raise it

GOP says no (normal for out-of-power party)

Dems say OK, we will all vote for it

GOP says, no you have to do it through reconciliation (which would be more cumbersome for Dems). GOP filibusters debt limit bill.

Dems stand firm and say we will own this, but we want it at 50 votes for a regular bill. We aren't doing reconciliation.

McConnell realizes that the three endgames for his position are (1) default; (2) weaken filibuster by making carve out; (3) GOP cave at last minute.

McConnell realizes that all three of those suck, so he folds his 2/7 offsuit pre-flop and tells the Dems that they still have to vote for it, but they can do it at 50

Now some GOP members are forcing a filibuster, so McConnell is scrambling to get 10 GOP Senators to help break the filibuster.

If the GOP radicals feel the need to pressure Mitch McConnell for being too bipartisan, then they really aren't reading the room.

Swaggs 10-07-2021 02:46 PM

I don't particularly care if a handful of senators are nostalgic and want to preserve the filibuster out of a sense of tradition or whatever, but the "it's a slippery slope" argument and being afraid of what happens the next time they are the minority party just seems silly and ignorant for the Democrats.

Does anyone actually believe that a Mitch McConnell (who now seems like one of the more principled among Republican senators due to how far out of whack everything else has gotten) led majority would not carve out exceptions for the filibuster if the Democrats start using it on stupid stuff like setting the debt limit (and note I'm not calling being responsible with the debt stupid, but the debt limit is all about what has already been spent rather than future spending)? If the Democrats haven't learned the playbook from the way the Supreme Court has played out over the past few years, they really don't belong in the same arena as McConnell.

NobodyHere 10-08-2021 08:49 PM

Not sure if this anecdote belongs in this thread or another but oh well:

My coworker was asked "Why do you have life insurance?"

His response was "Because I can't afford health insurance"

:eek:

Edward64 10-09-2021 05:37 AM

There's been a lot of Taiwan-China-US in the news.

Nationalism is strong in China. HK, the Spratleys etc. and now somewhat threatening display of power (e.g. military flights). I'm sure they are feeling defensive and reacting to the US. But I wouldn't put an invasion beyond Xi and I wouldn't trust US to protect Taiwan other than selling weaponry and leading global condemnation.

If I was Xi, I'd play the long game and get a bunch of China sympathizers into Taiwanese politics & military (bribe, cajole etc. whatever). I don't see Taiwan remaining independent into next century with China's emergence (and they are so damn close). It'll happen militarily or politically one day.

I've never visited Taiwan but do remember a Zimmern (or was it Bourdain) episode on "stinky tofu" and thinking I have to try it. May have to visit soon.

sterlingice 10-09-2021 09:21 AM

I'd very much like to visit Taiwan in the next few years - CPBL helped get me through some of the early days of the pandemic. A Chinese takeover seems inevitable and I'd like to go see the country before that.

SI

Edward64 10-11-2021 05:42 PM

IMO Politico is prematurely alarmist. Biden's got a lot of issues with infighting, the 1.2+3.5 bills in limbo, and economy/covid/inflation are somewhat intertwined. And he pretty much owns all of these.

But assume we get some of the 1.2+3.5 and we learn to live with covid (e.g. acceptable level of increased deaths), I have faith his polls will rebound.

Because if they don't, God help us with Trump waiting in the wings.

‘The president’s decline is alarming’: Biden trapped in coronavirus malaise - POLITICO
Quote:

In a focus group last week, Pennsylvania Democrats one after another articulated the issue vexing top White House aides, party operatives in Virginia and voters in Georgia: Why isn’t President Joe Biden’s diminished job rating rebounding?

All nine participants from Tuesday’s session gave Biden C- grades or lower. And their answers circled back to a similar point: The pandemic and the many ways it continues to hinder normal life is souring their views of Biden.
:
Nearly nine months into office, Biden and his team contend that the ravages of the pandemic are starting to recede due to his actions. They point to polling showing strong support for his legislative agenda, anchored by physical infrastructure and social and climate spending packages. They note how rare it’s been for Democratic lawmakers to break ranks, even during this current, difficult period.

But Biden’s standing with Americans has plummeted, with his average approval rating plunging by nearly 15 points since late June. He's seen a drop among Democrats and even more with Republicans, but the decline has been particularly steep among independent voters. In the same time period, the president has scrambled to salvage his domestic initiatives amid infighting among Democrats over their size and sequencing. He has presided over a chaotic and deadly withdrawal from Afghanistan and faced criticism for his response to the inhumane treatment of Haitian migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border.

But it’s the pandemic that looms over it all, making it all the more difficult for the White House to turn back the slide.

JPhillips 10-11-2021 07:32 PM

Politico knows better than to use a single poll, but that's what helps sell the narrative. The CBS poll this weekend has Biden at 50/50.

Brian Swartz 10-11-2021 07:36 PM

It's not necessary to use one poll to sell the narrative. 538 has Biden down as well:

June 1 - 53.7
July 1 - 52.0
August 1 - 51.5
September 1 - 46.7
October 1 - 45.0
Today - 44.6

One can debate why it's happened and how much of it's permanent, but this is a real thing that has occurred.

I do think it's super-premature to worry about Trump in 2024 though. Biden's numbers are still better Trump's were, and that's before you take into account the dive that happened in January. It's just barely late enough to start to begin being concerned about the midterms.

Lathum 10-11-2021 08:27 PM

It really is amazing considering it is the right that is keeping us in this pandemic. Amazing there are independents who cant see that.

Edward64 10-11-2021 08:33 PM

Some people see and think in black and white.

Others see and think black, white and grey. Might be (lean) lighter or darker grey, but still grey.

JPhillips 10-11-2021 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3347721)
It's not necessary to use one poll to sell the narrative. 538 has Biden down as well:

June 1 - 53.7
July 1 - 52.0
August 1 - 51.5
September 1 - 46.7
October 1 - 45.0
Today - 44.6

One can debate why it's happened and how much of it's permanent, but this is a real thing that has occurred.

I do think it's super-premature to worry about Trump in 2024 though. Biden's numbers are still better Trump's were, and that's before you take into account the dive that happened in January. It's just barely late enough to start to begin being concerned about the midterms.


It's down, but it's only down 15 if you look at the single worst poll. A couple of recent polls show a bit of a recovery, but if we are still dealing with COVID next year it will be a bloodbath.

thesloppy 10-11-2021 11:48 PM

I think it's still worth discussing that polls were practically proven worthless in the past couple years, but we've gone back to taking them at face value.

Brian Swartz 10-12-2021 12:11 AM

I would call that a pretty severe over-reaction. Polls are definitely less trustworthy than they used to be, but they are nowhere near useless. They're still right far more often than they are wrong.

Edit: It's definitely worth remembering, and a good point to bring up, that they are less 'the way things are' and more 'our best indicator' these days. But I'd still say they are way, way more reliable than 'this must be what people think, how could they think anything else', or any other method I'm aware of to judge the public's views on most matters.

Re: the independents, it's always been the case that people blame people in charge for national conditions. Sometimes that's justified, and sometimes it isn't, but as a nation there's a long tradition of blaming & rewarding politicians for results/situations, not reasoned assessments of their actions or inactions.

Edward64 10-12-2021 06:25 AM

If you're going to sell out your country, at least do it for big $. I wonder what goes through the head of husband-wife when they do this. In this case, don't think it was for some communist/socialist ideal but just spending money.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/10/polit...ion/index.html
Quote:

After retrieving the SD card, the undercover agent sent Toebbe a $20,000 cryptocurrency payment and Toebbe responded with the description key for the card, according to the complaint. The FBI said it "opened the provided SD card and provided the contents" to a US Navy subject matter expert, who confirmed it had classified information.

Edward64 10-12-2021 10:25 AM

Story is a little short on details. If this was on purpose with ill intent, absolutely fire and prosecute them. They were just fired so wonder if this was incompetence, mistake etc. I do want the additional details.

Two Georgia workers fired after being accused of shredding voting applications | Fox News
Quote:

The two unidentified employees are accused of shredding batches of applications the county received instead of properly processing them, according to a release from Fulton County Registration and Elections Director Richard Barron.

The allegations come just three weeks before Fulton County residents are set to vote in municipal elections, with all of the shredded applications being received in the last two weeks.

The two workers were reported by fellow employees Friday and were terminated later that day.

miami_fan 10-12-2021 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3347771)
If you're going to sell out your country, at least do it for big $. I wonder what goes through the head of husband-wife when they do this. In this case, don't think it was for some communist/socialist ideal but just spending money.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/10/polit...ion/index.html


This feels like the couple was desperate for $20,000. Maybe a $20,000 gambling debt that needed to be paid pronto or else! This is especially strange as it is being reported that the couple made the first move.

GrantDawg 10-12-2021 11:08 AM

Hmmm...strange how these two workers did something so dumb in a very easy to catch manner just as the state is trying to find ways to take over the election apparatus of the most democratic and minority populated County. That is not suspicious at all.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk

Flasch186 10-12-2021 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3347721)
It's not necessary to use one poll to sell the narrative. 538 has Biden down as well:

June 1 - 53.7
July 1 - 52.0
August 1 - 51.5
September 1 - 46.7
October 1 - 45.0
Today - 44.6

One can debate why it's happened and how much of it's permanent, but this is a real thing that has occurred.

I do think it's super-premature to worry about Trump in 2024 though. Biden's numbers are still better Trump's were, and that's before you take into account the dive that happened in January. It's just barely late enough to start to begin being concerned about the midterms.


As we know and you've pointed out repeatedly in many different threads polls don't reflect the reality on the ground of what's going on.

sterlingice 10-12-2021 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3347793)
Hmmm...strange how these two workers did something so dumb in a very easy to catch manner just as the state is trying to find ways to take over the election apparatus of the most democratic and minority populated County. That is not suspicious at all.

Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk



Especially since they're unidentified and no other county. If I didn't know any better, in a county that leans heavily blue, this seems like a great opportunity to both shred a bunch of Democratic ballots /and/ help the GOP elections apparatus of the state take over.

SI

sterlingice 10-12-2021 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186 (Post 3347798)
As we know and you've pointed out repeatedly in many different threads polls don't reflect the reality on the ground of what's going on.


I dunno - it seems like it's a reasonable snapshot of what's going on right now within some error bars. But there are so many variables in play between now and Election Day that it's not going to be a great predictor of those outcomes.

SI

Lathum 10-12-2021 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 3347799)
Especially since they're unidentified and no other county. If I didn't know any better, in a county that leans heavily blue, this seems like a great opportunity to both shred a bunch of Democratic ballots /and/ help the GOP elections apparatus of the state take over.

SI


I find it amazing that this article is on FOX News and they don't mention until the very last line they don't know what voters were affected, but I am sure their readers with read all the way until the end and not draw any conclusions from just the headline.

PilotMan 10-12-2021 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3347792)
This feels like the couple was desperate for $20,000. Maybe a $20,000 gambling debt that needed to be paid pronto or else! This is especially strange as it is being reported that the couple made the first move.


It was 20k per file. 5 million total for all.

Edward64 10-12-2021 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3347831)
It was 20k per file. 5 million total for all.


Okay, sorry didn't see that in the link. But that would tempt many to be a Benedict Arnold.

JPhillips 10-14-2021 05:24 PM

Bring on that sweet sweet nullification crisis!

Quote:

Texas told a federal appeals court Thursday that it was free to pass its law banning abortion after six weeks because states can reach their own conclusions about whether the procedure is constitutional.

“The Supreme Court’s interpretations of the Constitution are not the Constitution itself — they are, after all, called opinions," lawyers for the state said. "The federal and state political branches have every prerogative to adopt interpretations of the Constitution that differ from the Supreme Court’s, and they have every prerogative to enact laws that deprive the judiciary of opportunities to consider pre-enforcement challenges to their statutes.

RainMaker 10-14-2021 05:46 PM

"they are, after all, called opinions"

You should be required to list the law school you attended when writing shit like that. Let everyone point and laugh at them.

RainMaker 10-14-2021 05:48 PM

Also, fuck paying federal taxes, those were just "opinions" by the court that I had to pay them.

Does this mean states can ban guns now? Maybe the state has a different interpretation of the constitution.

molson 10-15-2021 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3347980)
Bring on that sweet sweet nullification crisis!


This is exactly the kind of thing that legislators in my state pay outside counsel $300/hour to argue because the $50/hour state attorneys won't. Then the outside counsel lose the case and the state agency gets threatened with defunding, out of spite. And in fact, lots of far-right business people run for state legislature just so they can funnel this type of legal work through the far-right attorneys they're connected to, even though they know they won't win.

Boy does it make them mad when they're told their position is unconstitutional and won't be pursued by state attorneys. They're not used to hearing that from private attorneys who will argue anything for the right price. There is an idea, obviously not subscribed to everywhere, that state attorneys should be held to a higher ethical standard because they're not simply working for a client for political interests, but for the state as a whole. Of course even when they spend 6X on private counsel on a losing case, it's still taxpayer money, they just have a wider net to cast to find willing counsel. The idea that regular-old salaried state attorneys make these kind of arguments is disturbing.

Ksyrup 10-15-2021 09:40 AM

Every day, I become more convinced that I'll still be alive when this country ends up in a true crisis that spurs either a civil war or an organized effort by a number of states to change the Constitution or secede.

Brian Swartz 10-15-2021 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch1986
As we know and you've pointed out repeatedly in many different threads polls don't reflect the reality on the ground of what's going on.


Where have I said this? More importantly, what other evidence do we have that's better to show Biden's support over the stated period?

Edward64 10-16-2021 06:59 AM

The 1.2 + another 3.5 never did sit well with me and appreciate Biden's willingness to negotiate. The devil is in the details and assume there is a whiteboard in a smoke filled backroom somewhere where Biden/Pelosi is negotiating with the moderates and progressives. Love to see what is being considered to be cut (e.g. I read free community college and expansion of medicare to dental/vision but who knows) and what the increased taxes are.

Rooting for this (and the debt ceiling) to get done before EOY and for the market to resume without this uncertainty.

Quote:

President Biden publicly acknowledged on Friday that the final spending bill will be less than $3.5 trillion.

“To be honest with you, we’re probably not going to get $3.5 trillion this year. We’re going to get something less than that. But I’m going to negotiate, I’m going to get it done,” he said in Hartford, Conn.

JPhillips 10-16-2021 10:53 AM

Dems are so bad at this. The single best thing they can do politically is to expand dental/vision care to Medicare and have it kick in before June 2022. Then they should spend a bunch of the campaign saying over and over, we gave you the freedom to see a dentist and everyone in the GOP voted against it.

But instead, it will kick in in 2028 or get cut altogether.

NobodyHere 10-16-2021 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3348107)
Dems are so bad at this. The single best thing they can do politically is to expand dental/vision care to Medicare and have it kick in before June 2022. Then they should spend a bunch of the campaign saying over and over, we gave you the freedom to see a dentist and everyone in the GOP voted against it.

But instead, it will kick in in 2028 or get cut altogether.


I'd swap that out with allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices. Isn't that insanely popular?

JPhillips 10-16-2021 11:20 AM

Yes, but I don't think users will notice as much as they will being able to go to the dentist or optometrist or hearing specialist. With Medicare D, a lot of drug costs are hidden from consumers. We should still negotiate pricing, I personally like the idea of something like the average OECD price, but I expect Sinema and her big influx of Phrma cash has already killed that anyway.

RainMaker 10-16-2021 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3348107)
Dems are so bad at this. The single best thing they can do politically is to expand dental/vision care to Medicare and have it kick in before June 2022. Then they should spend a bunch of the campaign saying over and over, we gave you the freedom to see a dentist and everyone in the GOP voted against it.

But instead, it will kick in in 2028 or get cut altogether.


They hate being in power. I guarantee most can't wait to be the minority party again and go back to having zero pressure and the fundraising carrot back in front.

PilotMan 10-17-2021 07:17 AM

Mandatory service for all...VA benefits for life... universal healthcare.. boom.

RainMaker 10-20-2021 12:33 PM

Having all these Senators fawning over Rahm Emanuel today, a man who tried to cover up a murder, is pretty nauseating. Couldn't find anyone else for this job?

Edward64 10-20-2021 03:44 PM

It will be wonderful if Dems can come to agreement by Fri.

‘Got to get everybody in the tent’: Dems power toward narrowed deal - POLITICO
Quote:

Senior House Democrats on Wednesday emerged from a closed-door meeting with their members, their first since Oct. 1, optimistic they could secure an agreement on Biden’s mammoth $2 trillion social spending package — perhaps by the end of the week.

Many final decisions remain in limbo, and Democrats have already begun a fresh round of bargaining as they attempt to preserve priorities that Biden on Tuesday suggested could be stripped from the bill. Still, many Democrats appear to be coming to terms with the more narrow bill, prioritizing the goal to get something across the finish line.
:
Speaker Nancy Pelosi told reporters that it is “very possible” they would reach an agreement this week.

RainMaker 10-20-2021 04:22 PM

Sinema has her demands. Doesn't really touch on any of the big issues, just a list of things lobbyists want. Might be easier to negotiate directly with them and cut the middleman out of the equation.

I know it's not new that politicians are bought and paid for. But I can't remember seeing one who didn't put a little effort into hiding it. I mean her big demand is that we don't close a loophole in the system that allows a huge tax break for private equity and hedge funds.



RainMaker 10-20-2021 04:24 PM

And she didn't say this to her constituents or other members of the Senate. She only spoke about this to donors.

If the DoJ weren't complete and utter hacks, they'd be investigating her campaign finances with a fine tooth comb.

Edward64 10-20-2021 05:21 PM

Oh yeah, we're still in Syria. Not sure what or if there is really a strategic goal. Assad has survived.

Quote:

A drone attack targeted US troops at the US base at At-Tanf in Syria, close to the border with Jordan, on Wednesday, according to a US defense official.

The initial assessment is that there were no injuries as a result of the attack, but the battle damage assessment is ongoing.

The US maintains approximately 900 troops in Syria, largely split between the At-Tanf base and the country's eastern oil fields.

The base sits within a 20-square-mile deconfliction zone near the Syrian border with Jordan, which was established by Russia and the US-led coalition to prevent the two sides from coming into accidental contact. The area has seen heavy fighting in recent years between US forces and ISIS, which has held a foothold in the area.

There was no immediate claim of responsibility for the attack. However, Iranian-backed Shia militias in the region, have frequently targeted US troops in Syria and Iraq.

GrantDawg 10-21-2021 04:54 PM

Manchin and Sanders had a meeting today to try to negotiate a final package, but in the end Manchin said he was fine if nothing got passed. It looks like Manchin is through with negotiations.

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RainMaker 10-22-2021 01:40 PM

Manchin never wanted a deal and never took any of it seriously. The package would hurt his family's wealth and that's what his priority is. Just too cowardly to admit it and save everyone the time.

Edward64 10-22-2021 02:35 PM

It may be a political flub but glad he said it. Although this may make China more aggressive against Taiwan, I'm all for it. Time to stand up to the bully in Asia.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/21/polit...all/index.html
Quote:

President Joe Biden said Thursday the US was committed to coming to Taiwan's defense if it comes under attack from China -- a stance that seems in opposition to America's stated policy of "strategic ambiguity."

Asked twice during CNN's town hall whether the US would protect Taiwan if China attacked, Biden said it would.

"Yes, we have a commitment to do that," he said.

Biden has made similar statements in the past, only to have the White House say longstanding US policy had not changed toward the island. The US provides Taiwan defensive weapons, but has remained intentionally ambiguous on whether it would intervene militarily in the event of a Chinese attack.

Under the "One China" Policy, the US acknowledges China's claim of sovereignty over Taiwan. In recent weeks, Beijing has sent dozens of warplanes near into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ), and Chinese President Xi Jinping has said that "reunification" between China and Taiwan was inevitable.

A White House official attempted to clarify Biden's comments on Taiwan after the town hall, saying the President was "not announcing any change in our policy and there is no change in our policy" in his remarks about China and Taiwan.

"The U.S. defense relationship with Taiwan is guided by the Taiwan Relations Act. We will uphold our commitment under the Act, we will continue to support Taiwan's self-defense, and we will continue to oppose any unilateral changes to the status quo," the official said.

JPhillips 10-24-2021 10:52 AM

The FL GOP has a plan to create their own OSHA so they don't have to follow federal regulations.

JPhillips 10-24-2021 11:31 AM

dola

And DeSantis said that FL is looking to recruit any cop that quits over a vaccine mandate.

I'm now pro-wall. At the FL border.

Brian Swartz 10-26-2021 08:40 PM

Biden & Congress need to hurry up and do whatever they are going to do. Polling is now reflecting the way it was going during the ACA passage; divided, no real consensus.

CNN poll from a couple week ago; 25% think their family would be better off if the second package is passed. 71% want some form of it passed, but less than half want the full package. Democratic control of Congress is down to break-even in terms of it being a positive for the country. Etc.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2021/images/1...re.economy.pdf

NobodyHere 10-27-2021 07:26 PM

Should government employees be able to get a two month vacation despite working less for than a year?

Democrats say yes!

Ksyrup 10-27-2021 07:53 PM

My former employer gave up to 12 weeks parental leave plus 2 weeks bonding, I think? I don't remember the specifics, I had kids at the wrong time. I had my kids on a Tuesday and Wednesday and was back to work the following Monday. The 27 year old guy I hired 5 years ago has had 3 kids and taken all of that time off each time. He was expecting baby 2 when I left.

The policy is understandable, but in terms of practicality for work, if your position is unnecessary (either without you there or because others have picked up your slack), I'd be concerned that you're showing your bosses that you are not needed.

All of that to say, government's got to compete in the workforce too. But it's a bad look for someone in his position, obviously.

GrantDawg 10-27-2021 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3348817)
Should government employees be able to get a two month vacation despite working less for than a year?

Democrats say yes!

Everyone should say yes. Paid paternity leave should be commonplace.It is in every other nation, but of course it could "never work" in the wealthiest nation on earth.

cuervo72 10-27-2021 10:22 PM

It's not as if Buttigieg wasn't working somewhere else before he had this gig.

Swaggs 10-28-2021 11:52 AM

I know this has probably always happened, but someone please tell me that there will be some sort of legal consequences for this:Burr's Brother-in-Law Called Stock Broker, One Minute After Getting Off Phone With Senator ProPublica

Quote:

After Sen. Richard Burr of North Carolina dumped more than $1.6 million in stocks in February 2020 a week before the coronavirus market crash, he called his brother-in-law, according to a new Securities and Exchange Commission filing.

They talked for 50 seconds.

Burr, according to the SEC, had material nonpublic information regarding the incoming economic impact of coronavirus.

The very next minute, Burr’s brother-in-law, Gerald Fauth, called his broker.

albionmoonlight 10-28-2021 12:10 PM

I like the detail that he dumped his stock before calling his B-I-L.

Always gotta look out for #1 first.

Danny 10-28-2021 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3348817)
Should government employees be able to get a two month vacation despite working less for than a year?

Democrats say yes!


Have you been at home all day taking care of a newborn? Vacation is laughable, it's way harder than actually going to work, especially if you have a dragon baby

Danny 10-28-2021 01:02 PM

Our country's attitude towards parenthood for fathers needs to change. Both in expectation to take pressure off mothers and in understanding to give willing fathers the chance to do so.

albionmoonlight 10-28-2021 01:04 PM

I agree. People who think that maternity/paternity leave is "vacation" are doing it wrong.

RainMaker 10-28-2021 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3348817)
Should government employees be able to get a two month vacation despite working less for than a year?

Democrats say yes!


The parental leave debate has really shown who had some shitty childhoods.

RainMaker 10-28-2021 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3348868)
Our country's attitude towards parenthood for fathers needs to change. Both in expectation to take pressure off mothers and in understanding to give willing fathers the chance to do so.


It's bizarre looking at the rest of the world doing this and thinking it's wrong. Those countries have a more educated populace and less crime. They live longer and are healthier.

I don't think it's about "parenthood" or whatever. It's really just pushback from big companies that don't want to give up any profits. And they're good enough at propaganda to convince some dumb people to shill for them. Just like how unemployment benefits were the reason for people not working.

bhlloy 10-28-2021 02:28 PM

No no no guys… the woman stays at home with the baby and cooks dinner and cleans. The man goes to work, makes the money and then comes home and puts his feet up in front of the TV with a beer.

If we are going to critique a talking point we should at least try to get their perspective on gender roles correct, geez.

Danny 10-28-2021 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3348874)
It's bizarre looking at the rest of the world doing this and thinking it's wrong. Those countries have a more educated populace and less crime. They live longer and are healthier.

I don't think it's about "parenthood" or whatever. It's really just pushback from big companies that don't want to give up any profits. And they're good enough at propaganda to convince some dumb people to shill for them. Just like how unemployment benefits were the reason for people not working.


It's not just that. It's still pretty engrained to our culture that the mother is the primary care giver and this results in lessened expectations for fathers and also less understanding when they do share equally (or more) in the care giving.

RainMaker 10-28-2021 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3348877)
It's not just that. It's still pretty engrained to our culture that the mother is the primary care giver and this results in lessened expectations for fathers and also less understanding when they do share equally (or more) in the care giving.


Agree. But I do think the push against family leave has much more to do with protecting big business interests and they are using the culture war stuff as propoganda.

Flasch186 10-28-2021 03:19 PM

Isn’t everything?


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GrantDawg 10-28-2021 03:25 PM

Speaking of which, the frame work of the renegotiated package have removed family leave, Medicare drug negotiation power, and the Child Tax Credit is just one more year. There are still some greatly needed programs remaining that people are really going to feel and benefit from. It needs to be passed now.

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sterlingice 10-28-2021 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3348867)
Have you been at home all day taking care of a newborn? Vacation is laughable, it's way harder than actually going to work, especially if you have a dragon baby


I took 2 months of FMLA after my wife took 3 months and there were so many odd things about it.

1) Hardly any guys do this. It's almost expected that the woman does this. But not only is it expected that the guy doesn't do this but it's also expected that the woman definitely should. Besides the laughably dated gender roles that set the expectation that I wouldn't do it, it was surprising how many people wanted to weigh in and make sure my wife was /definitely/ going to do it. For the record, my wife makes more than I do - if anyone should be staying at home, it should be me. I mean, I get pregnancy and recovery time, of course, but for the child bonding and child rearing part. It's just ridiculous.

1A) I also noticed a corollary to this. There's an expectation you'd only do this for one kid. When I told people I was going to take FMLA - they were like "oh, it's your first" like that explained it all. Wait, what? I even got this a little bit when we were in that undecided time between having one and deciding we didn't want a second. Like do second kids and beyond sleep better or not want to eat like every 5 minutes? So not only are we perpetuating stupid thoughts about genders but also birth order.

2) FMLA is, well, it's ridiculous. Yay, in theory, we can't be fired for taking FMLA. However, with more than half the country being bullshit "at will" states, they could fire me for that and just say it was for something else. Hell, even if you wanted to do it "with cause", they could easily shuffle me away from my main projects or not assign me any new work and then nail me for low performance and then fire me. Fortunately, my boss was pretty cool about this and I didn't have any issues, but I'm sure others are less so. Never mind that we've seen just how people viewed presentee-ism and vacation, at least, pre-pandemic (and still some now). Like, you can see with some people that if you're not there 24x7x365, you deserve to be fired, even if vacation IS PART OF YOUR BENEFITS.

3) Speaking of vacation and benefits, our workplaces dealt differently with how the mom and dad could do stretch out vacation - never mind that we both work at similar places with similar leave structure so this applies at both places. Both my wife and I work where we have vacation time and extended illness leave. The extended leave is fully paid short/long term disability and what happens to "banked" vacation days if don't take all your allotment in a year (we can each roll over a certain amount but any above that get dumped in here - no saving like a year's vacation time until retirement). At both places, to retain benefits, we had to have worked or had a vacation day for at least 1 day in the calendar month. So, for me, this meant my FMLA started like a day or two into November and I went back a couple of days before New Year. That way, I worked at least one day in November and one day in December to keep my benefits. I could have also had used vacation days at the start of that so, for instance, if I had started my FMLA for the last week of October but had a week and a half of vacation, it would count as "working" in November. I just didn't have that much vacation as I had only started working there a couple of years ago and I burned it all in the first couple of weeks of FMLA. I also got to use 3 days of extended illness leave for the three days she was in the hospital. I guess it's better than nothing.

3A) However, her, by virtue of being the mom, could do some thing where she could tap into vacation and extended illness leave that entire pregnancy recovery time (6 weeks or 8 weeks, I think, depending on if it was a c-section or not). Above and beyond that, she could even do this thing where they split those days in half so she'd get half pay for the day but would mean the effective benefit time doubled. So if you had 3 weeks of vacation, you could stretch it out to six weeks for the purposes of benefits. But only the mom, not the dad. The dad got the 3 days in the hospital and that's it.

4) Factoring into all this is "Dads faking incompetence". I was told a couple of times "just pretend like you don't know how to do it and she'll have to do all of it". What kind of selfish sick fuck thinks like that? I mean, like I get, say, pretending (or not caring enough) to understand some hobby that she cares about and you don't - but, dude, childrearing? Not only that but like the first year of child care is a particular fresh hell. You can choose to either grow together (or at least counterbalance the lack of time you lost together) or you can be wholly selfish but I can't think that's great long term for your relationship. That's not to say that in high stress, we don't have times we just go into self-preservation mode in the short term, but
go into self-preservation mode. I mean, we all do some of that some of the time when we're at our limit - but I'm talking about consciously choosing to do that. I think you're sewing some really bad long term seeds there. Then again, the two guys who I remember giving me this "advice" also seem to see their wife as the mother of their kids first and not as their spouse. I don't get it, but, I mean, what works for me isn't the only way to family.

5) And that brings us back to the initial post. When I got back, I had a couple of people give me the whole "how was your vacation" schtick and the tired death glare I gave them shut most of them up. One, who I know knows better - he's probably the most active dad of anyone on our team (scouts, sports, etc) - decided to needle me further and I just stared point blank back at him and said something to the effect of "Believe it or not, it's actually more difficult than dealing with you assholes every day".

SI

Lathum 10-28-2021 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3348867)
Have you been at home all day taking care of a newborn? Vacation is laughable, it's way harder than actually going to work, especially if you have a dragon baby


cosign...

I took 3 months FMLA when my daughter was born, we set it up so my FMLA overlapped only slightly with my wifes maternity leave so we could keep my daughter out of daycare for as long as possible. Once my wife went back to work it was hell. Up at night, also taking care of a 2 1/2 year old, and the best part, my daughter refused a bottle so she would scream her face off in hunger and I would have to drive her to my wifes work in the city 2X a day so she could sit in the car and nurse her.

Right, very relaxing vacation.

BYU 14 10-28-2021 04:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3348867)
Have you been at home all day taking care of a newborn? Vacation is laughable, it's way harder than actually going to work, especially if you have a dragon baby


Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3348883)
cosign...

I took 3 months FMLA when my daughter was born, we set it up so my FMLA overlapped only slightly with my wifes maternity leave so we could keep my daughter out of daycare for as long as possible. Once my wife went back to work it was hell. Up at night, also taking care of a 2 1/2 year old, and the best part, my daughter refused a bottle so she would scream her face off in hunger and I would have to drive her to my wifes work in the city 2X a day so she could sit in the car and nurse her.

Right, very relaxing vacation.


Hell, we have watched our toddler/newborn grandkids for a couple of days at a time and it is exhausting LOL. I don't know where the hell I got the energy as a Dad

JPhillips 10-29-2021 03:07 PM



SCOTUS is going after Chevron deference. This could be the most monumental change in government this country has ever seen.

GrantDawg 10-30-2021 02:06 PM

Looks like both the infrastructure and the reconciliation plans are getting a vote in the House on Tuesday. House progressives have signed off on the plan.

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JPhillips 10-30-2021 02:09 PM

If it doesn't get somewhere on Tuesday, I'm pretty sure Manchin and Sinema will bail after the election. They may still screw things up, but if nothing is passed before the election results, I expect both bills will die.

JPhillips 11-01-2021 02:23 PM

I was a couple of days too late. It sure looks like Manchin just killed not only the BBB, but the infrastructure bill as well. I'm not sure he ever wanted either bill to pass as he was just about to get the infrastructure bill vote tomorrow that he's claimed to have wanted all along.

RainMaker 11-01-2021 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3349210)
I was a couple of days too late. It sure looks like Manchin just killed not only the BBB, but the infrastructure bill as well. I'm not sure he ever wanted either bill to pass as he was just about to get the infrastructure bill vote tomorrow that he's claimed to have wanted all along.


I think there are a lot of Dems happy this didn't pass. Lot of Dems have donors they need to appease and this vote was a tough one.

Swaggs 11-01-2021 02:59 PM

This feels like a good lesson for all the folks who wish we had more than 2 parties. It feels like the Democrats are composed of about three parties right now and they can't get a thing accomplished.

I've supported Biden all along and would obviously vote for him again, but I'd have a tough time saying I approve of the job he is doing.

NobodyHere 11-01-2021 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3349210)
I was a couple of days too late. It sure looks like Manchin just killed not only the BBB, but the infrastructure bill as well. I'm not sure he ever wanted either bill to pass as he was just about to get the infrastructure bill vote tomorrow that he's claimed to have wanted all along.


What did Manchin do? I thought it was the progressive wing refusing to vote on infrastructure w/o the BBB.

RainMaker 11-01-2021 03:04 PM

This isn't a party issue. We legalized bribes to politicians. 1 party or 50 parties, it ends the same if you can buy politicians.

JPhillips 11-01-2021 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3349213)
What did Manchin do? I thought it was the progressive wing refusing to vote on infrastructure w/o the BBB.


Go back to the original infrastructure negotiations. It was always the plan to pass both, that way both moderates and progressives got some of what they wanted. It was even a big deal when the GOP pretended not to know that was the plan. It's always been the case that neither bill will pass without the other.

RainMaker 11-01-2021 03:48 PM

The infrastructure bill was mostly a corporate handout. So progressives told moderates you can have that if we get the social spending bill.

No reason for progressives to pass a corporate welfare bill if they get nothing in return.

JPhillips 11-01-2021 03:57 PM

Priyapal and the White House are still saying things will pass, so maybe this isn't as dead as it seems from the outside.

Ksyrup 11-01-2021 04:18 PM

This whole situation has the feel of football NLI day when one of your commits is actually working behind the scenes to recruit guys to a rival and then flips at 8am on signing day.


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