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-   -   The Obama Presidency - 2008 & 2012 (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=69042)

sterlingice 08-31-2011 08:31 PM

Good news, for once, for those of us against monopolies:

Justice Department Files Antitrust Lawsuit to Block AT&T’s Acquisition of T-Mobile

Oops:

Leaked AT&T Letter Demolishes Case For T-Mobile Merger - Lawyer Accidentally Decimates AT&T's #1 Talking Point | DSLReports.com, ISP Information

Yeah, it turns out when you circulate memos saying it'll cost only 1/10th as much to build a network just like T-Mobile's which makes it looks like you're just buying them to kill competition and you'll drastically reduce investment... oops.

SI

DaddyTorgo 08-31-2011 10:56 PM

Good!

SteveMax58 09-01-2011 07:50 AM

Yeah, $39B can get you a lot of wireless network coverage no matter where you are trying to cover.

Edward64 09-01-2011 11:29 PM

I don't know what the real story is but it makes Obama look stupid.

Handling of jobs speech timing blurs White House message - CNN.com
Quote:

Washington (CNN) -- The White House and House Speaker John Boehner's office announced Thursday they reached agreement for President Barack Obama to address a joint session of Congress on September 8, resolving a dispute that temporarily overshadowed the focus of the planned speech -- job creation and economic growth.

In simultaneous statements, Boehner's spokesman said Obama had been invited to give his speech at 7 p.m. ET next Thursday and the White House said the invitation was accepted.

The agreement concluded an unusual spat over the usually non-controversial act of scheduling a presidential speech to Congress. The situation left Obama and the White House struggling to focus attention on the jobs package he will present rather than a backroom showdown that some labeled as childish and nonsense.

On Wednesday night, the White House agreed to move Obama's address back one day -- from September 7 to September 8 -- after Republican complaints and follow-up consultations with Boehner.


DaddyTorgo 09-01-2011 11:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 2521718)
I don't know what the real story is but it makes Obama look stupid.

Handling of jobs speech timing blurs White House message - CNN.com


Seriously. What a fucking wimpy wanker.

Edward64 09-01-2011 11:43 PM

Great news on no hostile deaths. Lets not extend a training mission. I think we can pull out now.

BBC News - Iraq: US troops' first fatality-free month since 2003
Quote:

The AFP news agency quoted US Major Angela Funaro as saying: "August was the first month with no hostile deaths and no non-combat deaths, which includes accidents or illness.

"However, there were two other months on record - December 2009 and 0ctober 2010 - when the United States Forces-Iraq had no hostile deaths, but at least one non-combat-related death."

All US troops still in Iraq must pull out by the end of the year, under the terms of a 2008 security pact.

However, Iraqi politicians announced in early August that they would begin talks with Washington over a military training mission to last beyond 2011.


sterlingice 09-02-2011 05:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2521719)
Seriously. What a fucking wimpy wanker.


Yeah- this sort of stuff really does make him look like
A) Nothing is ever fully thought out ("What? That date is bad for you guys?")
B) He'll never stick to his guns on anything ("Whatever you want, John"
C) He wanted to challenge them ("Yeah, we'll stick it to them and steal the thunder of their debate") and they just gave up ("We can't win. They're too powerful")

SI

panerd 09-02-2011 06:18 AM

I thought the Republican debate was scheduled that night a long time ago? At our middle school the teachers learn not to schedule events in conflict with other events (ie Band concert on the same night as Choir trip) I would think the White House and their trillion dollar budget would be capible of something similar. I personally could care less if Obama spoke the same night but I think it's probably choice A but I definitely wouldn't rule out choice C. The resident libs think Obama is always getting picked on, IMO I think it is part of their strategy. (He really can't do much about jobs and nobody really cares what he has to say so why not make this yet another partisan issue that overshadows the event)

stevew 09-02-2011 07:39 AM

I wish he would forgo running for reelection.

Mizzou B-ball fan 09-02-2011 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 2521824)
I wish he would forgo running for reelection.


I saw last night that no sitting president has ever won reelection with an unemployment of 9% or higher.

Yesterday, the White House predicted that unemployment would stay above 9% through the end of next year.

I think your argument has some merit actually. I think the Dems would stand a better chance with a new candidate who doesn't have the economic baggage that Obama has, especially given the Republican field they're up against.

JPhillips 09-02-2011 08:19 AM

In the real world there's no Dem that stands a better shot at winning than Obama. A challenger would piss of the African-American community and would have to explain why they either didn't support or didn't challenge every decision Obama made.

I think Obama's in a lot of trouble, but there's no knight in shining armor out there to save Dems. They'll sink or swim with Obama.

RainMaker 09-02-2011 08:36 AM

The only think Obama has going for him right now is that the Republican field is horrible. I guess "Hope" and "Change" can be "Do you really want to vote for Michelle Bachmann?"

RainMaker 09-02-2011 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2521840)
In the real world there's no Dem that stands a better shot at winning than Obama. A challenger would piss of the African-American community and would have to explain why they either didn't support or didn't challenge every decision Obama made.

Hilary would be interesting. Obama I guess was smart to put her as SoS to avoid her running against him.

JPhillips 09-02-2011 08:42 AM

If Hillary challenged, and she won't, she'd have even more problems than someone outside of the admin.

Mustang 09-02-2011 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 2521777)
IMO I think it is part of their strategy.


This. "Oh woe is me, I'd save the world but the big bad Republicans are being mean to me"

I stay out of political discussions like the plague, but I just absolutely hate this guy. There are no leadership qualities with him, just politics 24/7. I wish both sides would have different people run in 2012, but unfortunately that isn't going to happen.

PilotMan 09-02-2011 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2521848)
The only think Obama has going for him right now is that the Republican field is horrible. I guess "Hope" and "Change" can be "Do you really want to vote for Michelle Bachmann?"


The Republican field is a disaster. It will be interesting to see who comes out of that mess. There are only a couple of people there who could make it interesting and the rest will send the majority back to the Dem side. Because they are too far gone to be electable by the masses. Obama won with strong independent support. I think that electorate is still within his grasp. It's how GWB won reelection.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2521850)
Hilary would be interesting. Obama I guess was smart to put her as SoS to avoid her running against him.


Hilary saw first hand how things are running in the US politically. I don't think she has any intention of ever doing that again. I think it's part of the reason that she is stepping down as SoS. A job that was perfect for her personality.

PilotMan 09-02-2011 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mustang (Post 2521862)
This. "Oh woe is me, I'd save the world but the big bad Republicans are being mean to me"

I stay out of political discussions like the plague, but I just absolutely hate this guy. There are no leadership qualities with him, just politics 24/7. I wish both sides would have different people run in 2012, but unfortunately that isn't going to happen.



I see it more of the Republicans playing every card they have in the deck to weaken him as much as possible before 2012. Simply politics, and you are right. He should have dictated what was going to happen instead of caving. This doesn't send a very good message at all. In fact, what a terrible waste of time. As far as the Republicans go, does he need an appointment for the end urinal too? How small of an issue does it really need to be to fuck with it and take time away from representing the needs of the people?

panerd 09-02-2011 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 2521864)
I see it more of the Republicans playing every card they have in the deck to weaken him as much as possible before 2012. Simply politics, and you are right. He should have dictated what was going to happen instead of caving. This doesn't send a very good message at all. In fact, what a terrible waste of time. As far as the Republicans go, does he need an appointment for the end urinal too? How small of an issue does it really need to be to fuck with it and take time away from representing the needs of the people?


Well actually I am thinking the problem was that Bachman, Paul, and Santorum kind of have to be at his address don't they? Not sure what the official rule is for this sort of thing.

miked 09-02-2011 09:12 AM

Not really, those jokers could care less what he has to say, other than a race to see who can run to the cameras to criticize it first. The reason is that it would be televised and take away from the debate to see who can find a different way to say the same thing to the tea party.

sterlingice 09-02-2011 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 2521863)
The Republican field is a disaster. It will be interesting to see who comes out of that mess. There are only a couple of people there who could make it interesting and the rest will send the majority back to the Dem side. Because they are too far gone to be electable by the masses. Obama won with strong independent support. I think that electorate is still within his grasp. It's how GWB won reelection.


How does it end up being anyone but Mitt Romney or Rick Perry, tho? Vanilla GOP candidates, for the most part.

SI

RainMaker 09-02-2011 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 2521876)
How does it end up being anyone but Mitt Romney or Rick Perry, tho? Vanilla GOP candidates, for the most part.


I think Romney is really the only threat to him. He has the business chops and is an outsider. Perry will get destroyed once people learn more about him. He's anything but vanilla.

If I was a betting man I'd take Romney in the primary. But I still see a chance that the tea party faithful just batter him over the next year and either make him vulnerable in the general election or leave behind a lethargic base that didn't get what they wanted. The Tea Party's energy was what won them seats in 2010, do we really think they'll come out in force for Mitt Romney?

PilotMan 09-02-2011 09:58 AM

I think Romney is out. I think that he has already maximized his popularity and that he is known out there enough that people have already made up their minds about him. He has no upside left. And what upside he has isn't enough to win the whole thing, but his base is large enough that whoever he backs could win easily.

As for Perry, I don't know enough about him. So it seems that he has a lot to gain at this point in the race.

Personally, I'd like to see Huntsman do more, but I think that his message is far enough away from the base that they will just exclude him as much as possible.

If it is someone like Bachman or Palin, I don't see how Obama could lose. Paul is interesting, but I don't think that he is really a viable candidate. Kind of like Perot was in 92 and 96.

albionmoonlight 09-02-2011 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2521878)
If I was a betting man I'd take Romney in the primary. But I still see a chance that the tea party faithful just batter him over the next year and either make him vulnerable in the general election or leave behind a lethargic base that didn't get what they wanted. The Tea Party's energy was what won them seats in 2010, do we really think they'll come out in force for Mitt Romney?


Palin seems like the wild-card here, too. For all of their "insurgency," Bachmann and Perry are ultimately career politicians who understand that they will fight like hell to get the nomination but, if they do not, then they will fall in behind Romney, and encourage their supporters to do likewise. That's how you live to fight another day in the party.

Palin? Who knows. If she enters the race (and, FWIW, I don't think that she will), I don't see her losing gracefully. She takes things very, very personally. And seems both desperate to be accepted by the GOP establishment, but also wants to remain an outsider for life. That's a dangerous and unstable combination. I think that the general "don't destroy members of your own party" rule for primary campaigns goes out of the window with her. I could really see her doing significant damage to Romney among the base in a sort of scorched-earth-take-my-ball-and-go-home tantrum once she starts to feel the pressure of the primary season.

Obama-hate will certainly get a lot of the base to the polls, no matter who the GOP candidate is. But in an election that, at this point, seems like it will be razors-edge close, a take-no-prisoners primary could cost the GOP the 1 or 2 percentage points that mean the difference between victory and defeat.

All of which is, I think, just an academic exercise (and a bit of wishful thinking) on my part b/c I think that she's not going to run and instead enjoy a role as King-maker-in-Chief for this primary.

Swaggs 09-02-2011 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 2521867)
Well actually I am thinking the problem was that Bachman, Paul, and Santorum kind of have to be at his address don't they? Not sure what the official rule is for this sort of thing.


Santorum lost his re-election bid in 2008. He has not been a member of congress in quite some time.

sterlingice 09-02-2011 10:57 AM

A crap sandwich of a day for Obama

Job growth grinds to halt, fuels recession fear - Yahoo! News
Horrible jobs report (again)

Obama halts controversial EPA regulation - Yahoo! News
He steps in and squashes a strong EPA regulation

Regulator to sue major banks over mortgages - Yahoo! News
This one I only note for the "media is all liberal and lefty" squad. While the statement: "These payouts would reduce earnings and weaken capital levels, perhaps harming the ability of banks to lend money and provide much-needed life to a stalled housing market and weakened economy" is true, it doesn't really follow with the rest of the article and just seems to be part of the general "piling on" about the economy. So, even in an article about the government suing fraudulent banks, it comes back to "Oh noes! We shouldn't do that because it might hurt the economy".

SI

JediKooter 09-02-2011 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 2521913)

Obama halts controversial EPA regulation - Yahoo! News
He steps in and squashes a strong EPA regulation



I think this one is a chess move. He's trying to take away the Republicans "anti-business" tag they give him.

sterlingice 09-02-2011 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 2521919)
I think this one is a chess move. He's trying to take away the Republicans "anti-business" tag they give him.


I just don't think it makes a difference. Are GOP voters going to suddenly think Obama is pro-business?

SI

JediKooter 09-02-2011 11:12 AM

They never will. Obama isn't going to ever lose any or gain any GOP voters. However, the undecided/independent voters...

JPhillips 09-02-2011 11:30 AM

Quote:

Obama overruled the Environmental Protection Agency and directed administrator Lisa Jackson to withdraw the proposed regulation to reduce concentrations of smog's main ingredient, in part because of the importance of reducing regulatory burdens and uncertainty for businesses at a time of rampant uncertainty about an unsteady economy.

I doubt there's a single business in America that isn't hiring that now will because this "uncertainty" has been removed. The whole uncertainty argument is largely bullshit IMO.

stevew 09-02-2011 11:33 AM

Hmmm, we may as well pass on the cost of this regulation onto the customers anyways, just in case it ever happens.

Time to figure out 5,000 more jobs we can eliminate.

JPhillips 09-02-2011 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 2521880)
I think Romney is out. I think that he has already maximized his popularity and that he is known out there enough that people have already made up their minds about him. He has no upside left. And what upside he has isn't enough to win the whole thing, but his base is large enough that whoever he backs could win easily.

As for Perry, I don't know enough about him. So it seems that he has a lot to gain at this point in the race.

Personally, I'd like to see Huntsman do more, but I think that his message is far enough away from the base that they will just exclude him as much as possible.

If it is someone like Bachman or Palin, I don't see how Obama could lose. Paul is interesting, but I don't think that he is really a viable candidate. Kind of like Perot was in 92 and 96.


I think Romney's in a lot of trouble. Perry has pulled out with a big lead and the early primary schedule favors a strong conservative. I still don't think a Mormon can win in the South and the GOP nominee is going to have to be strong in the South or the party will split.

Mizzou B-ball fan 09-02-2011 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2521939)
I doubt there's a single business in America that isn't hiring that now will because this "uncertainty" has been removed. The whole uncertainty argument is largely bullshit IMO.


Somewhere, a lobbyist is receiving a bonus check from his CEO.

RainMaker 09-02-2011 12:14 PM

It's kind of sad how much the "companies won't hire because of such and such" gets used these days in political discourse. This was the main article on CNBC right now.

Why Won't Companies Hire? Washington Is In the Way - CNBC

Can you imagine a business booming with demand and saying "well we'd like to hire people fulfill these orders, but we just don't know what's happening in Washington".

Businesses hire when there is demand. There is no demand so there is no hiring. You can argue that maybe the government is behind the lack of demand, but to say businesses base their hiring practices on some bullshit political discourse in Washington is laughable.

Edward64 09-02-2011 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2521943)
I think Romney's in a lot of trouble. Perry has pulled out with a big lead and the early primary schedule favors a strong conservative. I still don't think a Mormon can win in the South and the GOP nominee is going to have to be strong in the South or the party will split.

For me, Romney and Huntsman are the GOP candidates that I can support. Romney because he has been a successful business man and Huntsman primarily because he seems more moderate than any other GOP candidate.

Anyone remember the West Wing TV series ... does Perry remind you of the GOP candidate they had in the last couple years?

Edward64 09-02-2011 01:51 PM

All looking bad. Anyone have any good economic news?

Job market stalls in August: Hello Recession? - The Curious Capitalist - TIME.com
Quote:

Zippo. Nadda. Goose egg. The big fat one. That's how many jobs the economy added in August. And that is really bad news.
:
:
The one bright spot was the unemployment rate, which remained unchanged in August at 9.1%. But still that's a very high rate, and the rest of the report offered little hope that the economy is headed anywhere but down. Even in industries like healthcare and manufacturing, which had been the few standouts in this recovery, hiring was slow. Temporary hiring, which is usually a early indicator of future full-time job growth, was up only 5,000 jobs. Information Technology, which is supposed to the real strength for our economy, lost jobs, even after you adjust for Verizon, where workers were on strike. Retailing, which had been strong earlier in the year, lost jobs as well.

There were some other numbers that stood out as bad as well. The number of workers who have stopped looking for a job jumped by 200,000 to 2.6 million. The total number of unemployed stayed at 14 million. The unemployment rate of African Americans - nearly 16.7%. The number of unemployed teen African Americans - 46.5%. Ouch. Over two years after the recession ended these are really hard numbers to take. One more interesting number: While the household survey did find that more individuals, not company payrolls, which is what came in at zero, said they had jobs, the number of people who reported they have two jobs rose by 186,000. That means whatever hiring is going on is probably not in high paying jobs. What's more, Steve Blitz, senior economist at ITG Investment Research, said the number of people taking on a second job in another sign of the stress that households are facing and in the economy. "It's difficult to walk away from these numbers without the conclusion that the economy is simply grinding to a halt," says Blitz.

Brookings' Burtless said all this means that we are very close to a double dip recession. He says it won't take much of a shock to send the economy back into a slide. In fact, we may already be sliding. The problem is the economy is based on confidence, which is what we don't have right now. And if everyone thinks we are headed back into a recession. Then that's how they will act.

JPhillips 09-02-2011 01:51 PM

Huntsman's tax plan is bat shit crazy. I liked a lot of what he had to say until that came out.

Edward64 09-02-2011 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2521978)
Huntsman's tax plan is bat shit crazy. I liked a lot of what he had to say until that came out.


I couldn't find alot of details to his tax plan? Devil is in the details but below sounds good to me.

Wall Street Journal loves Huntsman jobs plan – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs
Quote:

Will praise from the Wall Street Journal boost Republican presidential candidate Jon Huntsman's bid for the White House?

In an editorial published late Thursday night, the newspaper, which is influential among fiscal conservatives, touted the former Utah governor and former U.S. ambassador to China's jobs plan.
:
:
Huntsman introduced a plan to dramatically scale back the scope of the federal government and simplify the tax code, in part by including eliminating deductions and credits. He said his proposals would encourage small business growth and induce American corporations to expand their work forces in the U.S. instead of overseas. The plan also laid out a path forward on energy independence and free trade.

Huntsman offers tax, trade plan to create jobs - politics - Decision 2012 - msnbc.com
Quote:

let's talk about your jobs plan. you unveiled it yesterday. and essentially your strategy if creating jobs is to cut taxes, cut corporate taxes significantly and hope companies will hire. my question to you is, at this very moment, corporations are sitting on trillions of cash on their balance sheets and they're still not hiring. why will your plan work?

>> my plan is to do what i've done as governor of a state that worked. i've been there and i've done that. i've been through tax reform before. and i've seen it improve the economic conditions. people -- the reason we have a broken tax code in part is because it's full of loopholes and deductions and corporate welfare . it's perpetuated by the people who can afford the lawyers and lobby i. it is keep it going. this order to be competitive to the rest of the 21st century , in order to compete with china and i said i can't, in order to get the jobs this country so desperately need, we've got to clean out the code, we have to wipe it clean, we have to lower the rate, we have to broaden the base both on the individual income side and on the corporate side. there aren't a lot of corporations paying the 35% rate, so let's get real about that, clean out the corporate welfare and leave the tax code a lot more competitive.

JPhillips 09-02-2011 08:47 PM

Here's a description form the National Review.
Quote:

Huntsman would eviscerate all deductions and credits in the tax code — including the mortgage-interest deduction — “in favor of three drastically lower rates of 8, 14, and 23 percent.” (For good measure, he’d “scale back” other homeowner subsidies, too.)

And he would get rid of capital gains and dividends taxes.

I'm all for reducing the gap between marginal and effective tax rates, but taking all the generated revenue and using it to lower rates instead of lower the deficit is crazy. His rates and the elimination of capital gains and dividends taxes would shift the taxation burden toward the middle class.

His plan is basically, rich pay a lot less, middle class pays more, and the debt is still on target to explode.

RainMaker 09-02-2011 10:08 PM

Yeah, I like how they keep trying to get rid of capital gains and dividend tax. Because making income with those methods is better than making income actually doing something. Income is income, it should all be taxed the same.

Marc Vaughan 09-03-2011 04:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2521957)
Businesses hire when there is demand. There is no demand so there is no hiring. You can argue that maybe the government is behind the lack of demand, but to say businesses base their hiring practices on some bullshit political discourse in Washington is laughable.


Part of the problem is companies have cost cut to the bone in many cases - which lowered demand across the entire economy, now the cost cutting maximised profit ... but the limitations built in are that less people are working and until more people are hired demand isn't there.

IF companies hired demand would go up as more people had money - but its a chicken and egg situation, no company will hire without demand because if they do so alone they could be less losing profitability .. it needs a surge across the board in hiring.

I fully expect what will happen is a tax break being given (to these hugely profitable corporations who already pay very little tax ;) ) which is centered around hiring workers .... this will encourage some hiring but be very cost inefficient for the government.

What I 'think' should be done is investment in infrastructure by the US government, if they improved the roads, rail network, bridges etc. - then it'd put a lot of people in the construction industry back to work and that would stimulate the economy and thus corporations into hiring. It'd also be more cost effective as something like 75% of money invested into infrastructure ('general average' - your milage can vary) tends to end up coming back to a government via. taxes, increased revenue etc. .... just my tuppence worth.

Edward64 09-03-2011 05:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marc Vaughan (Post 2522345)
What I 'think' should be done is investment in infrastructure by the US government, if they improved the roads, rail network, bridges etc. - then it'd put a lot of people in the construction industry back to work and that would stimulate the economy and thus corporations into hiring. It'd also be more cost effective as something like 75% of money invested into infrastructure ('general average' - your milage can vary) tends to end up coming back to a government via. taxes, increased revenue etc. .... just my tuppence worth.

Infrastructure is good but it seems limited to a segment of the population. If something could be done to give relief to the homeowners/mortgage situation (I don't claim to know the right solution), it would be better imo.

Marc Vaughan 09-03-2011 06:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 2522349)
Infrastructure is good but it seems limited to a segment of the population. If something could be done to give relief to the homeowners/mortgage situation (I don't claim to know the right solution), it would be better imo.


The best help for house prices would be a stimulated economy which is truly thriving, that comes from infrastructure imho - artificially stimulating the economy (ie. tax breaks on housing, cars or whatever) only works until that artificial stimulus is removed ... improving infrastructure improves the competitiveness, efficiency and profitability of the country as a whole.

Edward64 09-03-2011 06:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marc Vaughan (Post 2522352)
The best help for house prices would be a stimulated economy which is truly thriving, that comes from infrastructure imho - artificially stimulating the economy (ie. tax breaks on housing, cars or whatever) only works until that artificial stimulus is removed ... improving infrastructure improves the competitiveness, efficiency and profitability of the country as a whole.

I don't see it as specifically home prices, its more the large segment of the population that is underwater/foreclosures and banks holding those mortgages/pending foreclosures ... so its more debt relief. Even if home prices were to rise modestly it won't rise fast enough, a large portion will still be weighed down.

A solution I've read (but don't know how good of an idea or the mechanics/logistics) is to grant some sort of debt forgiveness but the "delta" will be recaptured in any future home sales/profit.

Mizzou B-ball fan 09-03-2011 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 2522354)
I don't see it as specifically home prices, its more the large segment of the population that is underwater/foreclosures and banks holding those mortgages/pending foreclosures ... so its more debt relief. Even if home prices were to rise modestly it won't rise fast enough, a large portion will still be weighed down.

A solution I've read (but don't know how good of an idea or the mechanics/logistics) is to grant some sort of debt forgiveness but the "delta" will be recaptured in any future home sales/profit.


In my case, I'd just love to see the ability to refinance my underwater loan. I'm running around 6.5% on my loan right now. Giving me a more current rate would free up about 15K a year by doing nothing but adjusting the rate. I still owe the same amount. You can be dang sure I'm going to be putting that 15K back into the economy much quicker than Bank of America will.

sterlingice 09-03-2011 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marc Vaughan (Post 2522345)
IF companies hired demand would go up as more people had money - but its a chicken and egg situation, no company will hire without demand because if they do so alone they could be less losing profitability .. it needs a surge across the board in hiring.


I heard a lot of nonsense like "you know if (pick a profitable company) wouldn't lay off so many people, there would be more people to buy. I heard examples like "if IBM wouldn't lay off people, then they would have more people to buy computers". Yeah, but so long as, say, JP Morgan Chase doesn't lay off all of their people, they are paying the cost to have customers to IBM.

The problem is that every company is saying the same thing "As long as there are some customers out there, I have to do what I can to maximize profit" so everyone is cutting off everyone else's base just to maximize their own short term cash and profit.

It will be sad and funny (in a gallows humor sort of way) when everyone looks back at the time period from 2000-2030 and wonders how everyone could be so short sighted. But if you set up a system which encourages purely maximizing profits, you have everyone right now running around saying "Well, what else should a company do?"

Quote:

I fully expect what will happen is a tax break being given (to these hugely profitable corporations who already pay very little tax ;) ) which is centered around hiring workers .... this will encourage some hiring but be very cost inefficient for the government.

No kidding. Do you think a $5000 tax credit is going to make some company hire someone at more than $40K a year (arguably a "real job")?

Quote:

What I 'think' should be done is investment in infrastructure by the US government, if they improved the roads, rail network, bridges etc. - then it'd put a lot of people in the construction industry back to work and that would stimulate the economy and thus corporations into hiring. It'd also be more cost effective as something like 75% of money invested into infrastructure ('general average' - your milage can vary) tends to end up coming back to a government via. taxes, increased revenue etc. .... just my tuppence worth.

I've always been a fan of this. The two big projects that really need to be done are modern electric grid and, yes, high speed rail. Those cost a lot of money but if you designate "buy American" provisions like a lot of the stimulus, they generate some of those "real jobs" in other sectors like engineering and railroad and electronic manufacturing and not just construction.

SI

JPhillips 09-03-2011 10:35 AM

There's an endless number of projects, but that doesn't matter if there's no will to put people to work. The government could repair roads/bridges, upgrade the power network, repair schools, paint tar roofs, clean parks, clean storm damage, research/build clean energy, tear down abandoned housing, etc.

Money can be borrowed at negative real rates. Projects need doing. People need work. This shouldn't be hard.

JonInMiddleGA 09-03-2011 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2522410)
Projects need doing. People need work. This shouldn't be hard.


You willing to terminate unemployment benefits to recipients if they turn down jobs offered on these (hypothetical) projects? And that these jobs be proactively offered to them, not just made available in case they happen to decide to seek them?

(Sidebar, simply asking the question)

lungs 09-03-2011 11:04 AM

For as bad as unemployment is, when I turned half of my staff over this year I had ZERO citizens of the United States apply for the jobs.

Then again, I don't think unemployment is terrible in my area. Construction (not housing) has picked up some.

JPhillips 09-03-2011 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2522412)
You willing to terminate unemployment benefits to recipients if they turn down jobs offered on these (hypothetical) projects? And that these jobs be proactively offered to them, not just made available in case they happen to decide to seek them?

(Sidebar, simply asking the question)


Assuming there were jobs available for everyone on unemployment and that tracking all of that would actually save money, sure. I'd prefer people being productive rather than non-productive.

Galaxy 09-03-2011 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Marc Vaughan (Post 2522352)
The best help for house prices would be a stimulated economy which is truly thriving, that comes from infrastructure imho - artificially stimulating the economy (ie. tax breaks on housing, cars or whatever) only works until that artificial stimulus is removed ... improving infrastructure improves the competitiveness, efficiency and profitability of the country as a whole.


The concern with massive infrastructure spending is that spending is kept in checked. No inflated costs.


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