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The Jackal 05-15-2009 02:14 AM

Nice.

The Jackal 05-15-2009 03:30 AM

Well, I didn't make it. Hopefully alive when I wake up.

Alan T 05-15-2009 04:36 AM

Hmm. still no Danny. I think the wolves ate him.

Alan T 05-15-2009 04:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2022869)

I would argue that MartinD's vote today looks very good, so he is not on my radar the same way he appears to be for you.


MartinD is not on my radar really. His vote today looks good to me. I was commenting solely on your day 1 list (which you yourself said did not factor day 2 in it at all). based on day 1 alone, I really did not like that group of votes. On day 2, Martin somewhat redeemed himself, Telle made herself look worse by continue to try to push the focus away from Eaglefan (as one of the Lathum or PB camp).

As I'm sure everyone is aware by now, I obviously look at more than just who places what votes where when I make "gut" decisions, and I know everyone really despises it. But for me it is just as important to see who argued what, when and why as it is the votes themselves. Day 1 during the middle of the day, it just really felt obvious to me that some movement was occurring to save -someone-. I mistakenly read that as an attempt to save ntn on day 1 when I voted, but corrected that with my day 2 vote.

I also want to note that on day 1, Eaglefan was not necessarily in a huge amount of danger closer to the deadline once the PurdueBrad run was made because he had his vote in a location that could be moved if he needed to, plus he was waiting around at the deadline (as I commented that evening clearly) not really participating, but appearing as ready to move his vote if need be. So as I commented earlier in the morning of day 2, that a few people felt better to me then they did on day 1 (such as Lathum and Dubb) based on that vote there.

Alan T 05-15-2009 04:50 AM

Since I am talking to myself, I will continue to do so :)

Colors below are based on my belief, so read into it what you will. Dark Blue I trust, Light blue I feel decently about, Red is known wolf, pink I distrust.

Day 1

1 - Passacaglia - Lerriuqs (253)
1 - dubb - saldana (304)
5 - EagleFan - hoopsguy (328), Lathum (396), dubb (416), Chief Rum (605), NTNDeacon (707)
3 - PurdueBrad - The Jackal (329), Telle (575), Martin D (595)
1 - PackerFanatic - claphasma (335)
7- ntndeacon - PackerFanatic (374), Barkeep (420), Abe (425), Pass (532), Alan T (699), PurdueBrad (711), EagleFan (713)
2 - Telle - Autumn (604), Poli (668)


Day 2
7 - PurdueBrad - Lathum (790), hoopsguy (822), Telle (1020), Abe (1045), The Jackal (1050), Lerriuqs (1137), Chief Rum (1166)
9 - EagleFan - Alan T (951), Autumn (969), DaddyTorgo (971), dubb (1014), MartinD (1112), PackerFanatic (1123), Passacaglia (1157), PurdueBrad, Poli
1 - hoopsguy - saldana (1194)
2 - Telle - claphamsa (1285), Barkeep (1291)

Alan T 05-15-2009 04:53 AM

So other thoughts in my head.. at some point on day 2, I also wonder if it had to be figured that at some point Eaglefan was going to be a lost cause (if not today, then tomorrow or the next day), and thus later in the day fellow wolves should either vote for him or try not to save him. The other thing I am wondering is with that frame of mind if some of the wolves on day 2 chose to not actively try to save EF, but didn't defend him either, and instead stayed to the side.

Danny 05-15-2009 04:57 AM

Sorry about that, I had to sleep after the day deadline.

I'm here now, will begin processing night results soon.

Danny 05-15-2009 05:01 AM

You guys posted a lot while I was asleep :). If there were any in thread questions for me, please repost them as I may have missed them while catching up.

Alan T 05-15-2009 05:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 2023020)
You guys posted a lot while I was asleep :). If there were any in thread questions for me, please repost them as I may have missed them while catching up.



Yeah.. my only question is... what happened in the night phase :)

Danny 05-15-2009 05:15 AM

Almost done sending out PM's :), it will be up in one minute

Danny 05-15-2009 05:20 AM

As you all begin to wake up from a night full of peace from knowing you got rid of a Needie, you begin to smell something foul coming from a bed in the corner.

All of you gather around and one of you quickly flips the covers off and all of you see a dead AlanT. He has been mangled and covered in whip cream. Lord only knows what was done to him.

AlanT was the Arbitrator

The Arbitrator –You are exceptional at playing the middle man and working two sides to come to a common conclusion. Your vote decides any ties that take place during the course of the game. You also have the ability as a one time action to add one vote to your total. A PM must be sent to that you intend to use this action.

Day 3 begins, deadline at 8pm eastern.

Danny 05-15-2009 05:22 AM

Sorry Alan :(

Alan T 05-15-2009 05:23 AM

Yeah that was no shocker.

Good luck villagers! At least my return to WW was mostly a success - I felt I played well, and no on blew up and called me names (well at least to an extreme) :)

hoopsguy 05-15-2009 05:44 AM

Sorry to see you go, Alan. You were one (of two) people that I thought probably warranted a guard last night. Nice work on the EF play yesterday, given that you had no inside info.

hoopsguy 05-15-2009 05:53 AM

A couple of thoughts:
1.) I have no new information to bring to the table at this time and will wait for awhile to see what others may have up their sleeve. No quick vote this AM for me.
2.) I'm not sure if I'll have access to the site from work, but should be home in plenty of time to post this afternoon if blocked during the day.

Poli 05-15-2009 06:06 AM

I have nothing new to report, though it's a bummer to see Alan gone.

I'm working near home today, though I don't know if that means I'll be home relatively early or not.

claphamsa 05-15-2009 06:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 2023028)
Yeah that was no shocker.

Good luck villagers! At least my return to WW was mostly a success - I felt I played well, and no on blew up and called me names (well at least to an extreme) :)

you SCUK!

saldana 05-15-2009 06:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopsguy (Post 2022301)
OK, so are you attacking this with the idea that EF and I are both wolves? I'm not quite sure what I'm supposed to be defending here but if that is the case take a look at the votes from yesterday. I think that would be a pretty tough case to make given me leaving him in danger all day and never moving my vote when pretty much everyone else flipped around multiple times.


i am apparently incorrect...my attack on you was based on the premise that EF wasnt a wolf, which we now know to be incorrect. I was theorizing he was the villager and you were the wolf, which now appears highly unlikely...you were just using some fuzzy logic, imo, which is very much not like you, and rang some bells for me.

PurdueBrad 05-15-2009 06:27 AM

Well there goes one of my trusted players and a semi-defender.

I got nothing except that at least I was consistently awful with my voting between days 1 and 2 I guess.

Passacaglia 05-15-2009 06:28 AM

Yeah, that sucks that we lost Alan -- I was going to vote for him. :p

PurdueBrad 05-15-2009 06:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saldana (Post 2023044)
you were just using some fuzzy logic, imo, which is very much not like you, and rang some bells for me.


Now that my trying not to vote for people that are my nemesises/nemesi/how about enemies, has been destroyed, I think this is the third or fourth person to say something to this effect to Hoops this game (I was one, when I discussed tunnel-vision and I'm a little surprised, unless I missed it, that he never floated any other possible theories yesterday than PB is bad [but I need to look back to be sure my memory is correct]). I don't know if I would lynch him on this but it is something to keep an eye on I guess.

Passacaglia 05-15-2009 06:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2022847)
why? because i voted PB before i went to bed and then unvoted him in the morning? that's stupid


You were part of a 5-0 score for PB. Sure, you unvoted him, which is more than what clap did, but it's definitely something that needs to be looked at. Were you online at deadline? If you were, and kept your vote on EF, that's obviously big ups for you.

PurdueBrad 05-15-2009 06:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 2023051)
You were part of a 5-0 score for PB. Sure, you unvoted him, which is more than what clap did, but it's definitely something that needs to be looked at. Were you online at deadline? If you were, and kept your vote on EF, that's obviously big ups for you.


I have no read on him, but Clap did unvote me too (unless I'm missing the point).

claphamsa 05-15-2009 06:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 2023051)
You were part of a 5-0 score for PB. Sure, you unvoted him, which is more than what clap did, but it's definitely something that needs to be looked at. Were you online at deadline? If you were, and kept your vote on EF, that's obviously big ups for you.

I unvoted him!

get your facts strait!

PurdueBrad 05-15-2009 07:29 AM

After going back through the thread, my trust list remains, in order:

Trust (Most to least): Poli, Lathum, Autumn

Needs looked at (tied): Saldana, Martin D

Distrusts (Most to least): Telle, Hoopsguy, Abe, The Jackal

PurdueBrad 05-15-2009 07:35 AM

Poli- listened to me on back-to-back days despite me being bad and him good last game. He put that aside and seems to follow logic rather than getting caught up.

Lathum- His role, despite being independent, seems harmless to us now. He never truly pushed for me and even said EF is a solid candidate.

Autumn- Same as Poli, minus some of the fun, dramatic Poli moves.

Saldana/Martin D- vote-based. I didn't love Martin D's day 1 reason but it was day 1. Saldana's late move off of EF to Hoops may be bad (but is voting for Hoops ever bad?)

The Jackal- ALL vote based (but you have to believe I'm good).

Abe- Pinged me somehow yesterday and I can't remember when and the possibly unfortunate voting away from a wolf back-to-back days.

Hoops- I've said it already but I'm not seeing his willingness to look at a lot of different angles, several people have said that his logic seems 'off' this game or he's pushing the village some, the early votes that don't move feels very non-Hoopsian, and Hoops is always on the opposite team as me.

Telle- I've laid it out and I guess it is more vibe than anything but voting record on me twice helps for my peace of mind and that Alan T, known good, also felt the same way.

Abe Sargent 05-15-2009 07:47 AM

I don't like night killing or lynching someone who is back from a long hiatus or a new player until the mid game. That sucks.

PackerFanatic 05-15-2009 08:03 AM

Ugh - 8 pages of posts to read. That's what I get for re-formatting my computer last night.

Although I do see we got a wolf last night, huzzah!

Now to get down to the nitty gritty of today...

Danny 05-15-2009 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic (Post 2023092)
Ugh - 8 pages of posts to read. That's what I get for re-formatting my computer last night.

Although I do see we got a wolf last night, huzzah!

Now to get down to the nitty gritty of today...


Yeah, you guys have been posting up a storm! Hopefully that means everyone is really into the game and enjoying themselves :)

Alan T 05-15-2009 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 2023098)
Yeah, you guys have been posting up a storm! Hopefully that means everyone is really into the game and enjoying themselves :)



I am!! oh wait...

claphamsa 05-15-2009 08:35 AM

and now it just shuts down!

claphamsa 05-15-2009 08:36 AM

I figure a good place to start is people called out by Alan, who we know was good.

vote telle

Telle 05-15-2009 08:38 AM

Oh goodie! I get to be first!

Telle 05-15-2009 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by claphamsa (Post 2023137)
I figure a good place to start is people called out by Alan, who we know was good.

vote telle


You know, your vote on me yesterday was pretty much a hit and run. And I don't believe you ever explained why you'd rather go that route than voting for one of the lead contenders. And today you're not offering up anything other than "Well Alan said to do it".

Autumn 05-15-2009 08:44 AM

The Jackal and Telle are tops on my suspect list based on voting record. Telle has obviously been tossed around a lot for various vibe reasons as well. My job voting on my vibes has been horrible, so I'm wary of going there, but I think those are two good suspects. Frankly, I think a large clump of the people who voted PB yesterday must be Needies, so I'm looking at a group of those.

I'll follow with Telle, just so we have a contender for the day. I'm willing to slip to other of my suspects who anyone has a good case for though.

VOTE TELLE

Passacaglia 05-15-2009 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by claphamsa (Post 2023053)
I unvoted him!

get your facts strait!


Sorry clap, it was early morning. I meant to say that DT put in a vote on EF, which is better than what you did. Now hopefully my facts are as strait as Magellan.

Telle 05-15-2009 08:48 AM

You know, the main case against me seems to be that both days I thought that PurdueBrad was a better lynch candidate than EagleFan. Has anybody noticed that I'm FAR from being the only one to have thought this way?

Others that voted for PB both days: Latham, hoopsguy, Chief Rum

Unless you all have something more against me, I suggest you don't tunnel-vision yourselves so much that you ignore others that the exact same case could be made against.

Autumn 05-15-2009 08:48 AM

My distrust list is, in order of most suspect to least:

Telle
TheJackal
Lerriuqs
Hoopsguy

Autumn 05-15-2009 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 2023148)
You know, the main case against me seems to be that both days I thought that PurdueBrad was a better lynch candidate than EagleFan. Has anybody noticed that I'm FAR from being the only one to have thought this way?

Others that voted for PB both days: Latham, hoopsguy, Chief Rum

Unless you all have something more against me, I suggest you don't tunnel-vision yourselves so much that you ignore others that the exact same case could be made against.


Actually my notes have Chief voting EAgleFan Day 1. As well as Hoopsguy. And Lathum voted Eagle Fan as well.

LOL, I'll take your argument then.

Telle 05-15-2009 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Autumn (Post 2023150)
My distrust list is, in order of most suspect to least:

Telle
TheJackal
Lerriuqs
Hoopsguy


You've made your case against me. Care to share what you have on the others?

Telle 05-15-2009 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Autumn (Post 2023152)
Actually my notes have Chief voting EAgleFan Day 1. As well as Hoopsguy. And Lathum voted Eagle Fan as well.

LOL, I'll take your argument then.


Oh shit.. I was looking in the wrong column in my notes. NEVERMIND!!

Telle 05-15-2009 08:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 2023155)
Oh shit.. I was looking in the wrong column in my notes. NEVERMIND!!


Although my logic DOES work for The Jackal. So that's something I guess.

PackerFanatic 05-15-2009 08:53 AM

I am not sure I like the push towards Telle so quickly with a group of other candidates (Lathum, PB, and Hoops) that might be better to look into today after the events of yesterday. Although I suppose the fact that Alan was pushing for Telle needs to be considered, so I can see that too.

Autumn 05-15-2009 08:54 AM

I don't have time to drag out all the details, but my case against that case is entirely vote-based. I'm focusing on those who voted PB yesterday, and those are the most suspect to me based on Day one votes and circumstance.

Autumn 05-15-2009 08:55 AM

I certainly don't want to see a one horse race, PF. But we need to start with one. Let's see some others. Unlike AlanT, I can't vote twice ;-)

Telle 05-15-2009 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic (Post 2023159)
I am not sure I like the push towards Telle so quickly with a group of other candidates (Lathum, PB, and Hoops) that might be better to look into today after the events of yesterday. Although I suppose the fact that Alan was pushing for Telle needs to be considered, so I can see that too.


Lots of people are pushing for me (without much reason, from my point of view). Most of them are probably misguided villagers like Alan was. Doesn't mean much. And it's not like he was the seer or something with some secret info on me. He just had a theory, like everyone else.

Lathum 05-15-2009 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 2023148)

Others that voted for PB both days: Latham, hoopsguy, Chief Rum

.


umm, what?

Passacaglia 05-15-2009 08:58 AM

I'm going to throw out a placeholder for PB right now. I'll look back and try to get a better handle at some point, but I can't stop shaking myself off the idea that we've been wolf/wolf with these two.


VOTE PURDUEBRAD

Telle 05-15-2009 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2023165)
umm, what?


See later.. I had a blond moment.

claphamsa 05-15-2009 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 2023144)
You know, your vote on me yesterday was pretty much a hit and run. And I don't believe you ever explained why you'd rather go that route than voting for one of the lead contenders. And today you're not offering up anything other than "Well Alan said to do it".


I thought I explain it very well. I got nothing bad from Ef (how wrong I was) Or PB... and when people started voting someone I DIDNT trust, I jumped on it. so yeah, I was wrong on EF who knows, maybe Im wrong on you and PB as well!


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