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Galaxy 08-28-2005 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
There is anpther one forming off the coast of W. Africa too. Looks like its gonna be a long month. :(



What does "Tropical Depression " mean, and how does it form?

Did Eaglesfan27 get out in time? When is the main part of the hurricane suppose to hit?

sterlingice 08-28-2005 09:28 PM

I could easily be wrong, but my guess is that it refers to a depression in barometric pressure.

(and from dictionary.com: )
Main Entry: tropical depression
Part of Speech: noun
Definition: a cyclone in a tropical region that is more intense than a disturbance but less than a storm, with wind speeds of 38 mph or less


SI

sachmo71 08-28-2005 09:36 PM

I'd worry more about gas prices if the hurricane were heading for Lake Charles.

sachmo71 08-28-2005 09:37 PM

dola...how about the Louisania homeland security director saying that when the power goes out in the Superdome, it will be 120-130 degrees and RAINING.

:eek:

Craptacular 08-28-2005 09:56 PM

As sterlingice noted, a TD is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. A tropical cyclone is defined as:

A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center. Once formed, a tropical cyclone is maintained by the extraction of heat energy from the ocean at high temperature and heat export at the low temperatures of the upper troposphere. In this they differ from extratropical cyclones, which derive their energy from horizontal temperature contrasts in the atmosphere (baroclinic effects).

Craptacular 08-28-2005 10:05 PM

10 PM CDT advisory ... the usually more interesting discussion from the NHC to follow



000
WTNT32 KNHC 290250
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO APPROACH
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES
SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE
ALREADY DETERIORATING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA
IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND KATRINA
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT EITHER CATEGORY FOUR OR FIVE
INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 90 MPH WAS
RECENTLY REPORTED FROM SOUTHWEST PASS LOUISIANA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 904 MB...26.70 INCHES. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE REACHING THE
CENTER OF KATRINA VERY SHORTLY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.6 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 904 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


Craptacular 08-28-2005 10:06 PM

Discussion:



000
WTNT42 KNHC 290249
TCDAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

THERE ARE CONFLICTING SIGNALS REGARDING THE INTENSITY OF KATRINA.
THE NOAA AIRCRAFT NEAR 00Z REPORTED A PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 155
KT...WHICH WOULD NORMALLY CORRESPOND TO 140 KT AT THE SURFACE. THE
PRESSURE REMAINS EXTREMELY LOW...904 MB AT LAST REPORT. ON THE
OTHER HAND...THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...OR
SFMR...SUGGESTED WINDS WERE IN THE 120-130 KT RANGE...AND LIMITED
DROPSONDE DATA ALSO SUGGESTED SOMETHING A LITTLE BELOW 140 KT.
THERE ARE ENOUGH QUESTIONS ABOUT THE PERFORMANCE OF THE SFMR AT
THESE SPEEDS FOR ME TO STICK WITH THE STANDARD 90 PERCENT
ADJUSTMENT FOR NOW.

THERE HAVE BEEN SOME MODEST CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF KATRINA OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES SHOW THAT AN OUTER
EYEWALL IS IN THE FORMATIVE STAGES...AND THE LATEST IR IMAGES SHOW
A LESS WELL-DEFINED EYEWALL WITH MORE EVIDENCE OF OUTER BANDING.
THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS ALSO REPORTED AN EROSION OF THE EYEWALL
IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THESE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THERE
COULD BE SOME WEAKENING OF KATRINA PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALL THIS IS
RELATIVE...HOWEVER...AND KATRINA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE OF AT
LEAST CATEGORY FOUR INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COAST. AN EYEWALL
REPLACEMENT AT THIS POINT IS NOT ALL GOOD NEWS...AS THEY ARE
GENERALLY ACCOMPANIED BY A BROADENING OF THE WIND FIELD...SO THAT
EVEN AS KATRINA WEAKENS THERE COULD BE AN INCREASE IN THE AREA THAT
EXPERIENCES MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 335/9. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHWARD INTO A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED...WITH THE NOGAPS SHIFTING JUST A BIT
EAST OF ITS PREVIOUS TRACK. WHILE THERE IS GREAT SIGNIFICANCE FOR
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS IN THE DETAILS OF THE TRACK...TRACK
ANOMOLIES OF 30-50 MILES ARE STILL POSSIBLE EVEN 12-18 HOURS OUT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0300Z 27.6N 89.4W 140 KT
12HR VT 29/1200Z 29.2N 89.7W 135 KT
24HR VT 30/0000Z 31.8N 89.5W 85 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 30/1200Z 34.8N 88.1W 45 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 31/0000Z 37.7N 85.9W 30 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 01/0000Z 43.5N 78.5W 25 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 02/0000Z 50.0N 70.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

Craptacular 08-28-2005 10:12 PM

Crappy's summary from above:

Winds still estimated at 160, but some signs of weakening. However, if eyewall replacement is in fact underway, it could expand the wind field, which means a greater area of destructive winds. More bad news is that the forward movement of the storm has slowed to 10 mph (it was 11 last advisory), which means it could hang around just a little longer.

Wolfpack 08-28-2005 10:18 PM

They're kinda guessing at the intensity because Katrina isn't fitting the model they normally use. I imagine they'll get better info overnight to firm up whether she is indeed weakening in any meaningful way. They have for the moment dropped her to a very powerful Cat 4 at landfall, scheduled for just after 8 AM EDT (7 PM CDT) tomorrow morning.

Unfortunately, the latest track is putting Katrina on a course to do the worst lakeside flooding from Pontchartrain into New Orleans, which is a path just east of the city. Gulf water will be forced into the lake and then as Katrina moves past, the wind will drive lake water into the city. There's a lot more water in the lake than the Mississippi. I don't know how devastating it'll be (I have to hope that the news is exaggerating somewhat to get eyeballs watching), but this will not be a pretty sight come Tuesday when the storm is finally out of the area and they can get up in the air to see what's left.

GoldenEagle 08-28-2005 10:50 PM

Why is it weakening? Is there any indication as to that? Does the slowing down of the storm mean that it could gain wind strength? Does all this really matter?

Rizon 08-28-2005 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wolfpack
Yep. Went out and tanked up both cars today. I'm assuming the 2.65 it's going for now up here in MI will be closer to 3.00 later this week as the extent of the damage in Louisiana becomes better known.


I filled mine up tonight. $3.00/g

Buccaneer 08-28-2005 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle
Why is it weakening? Is there any indication as to that?


Not sure, probably due to the reforming of the eye-wall.

Quote:

Does the slowing down of the storm mean that it could gain wind strength? Does all this really matter?

Yes, absolutely. I believe a faster more powerful storm would cause marginally less damage than a slower less powerful storm. Going from 14 mph down 10 mph means at least one more hour of heavy winds and rain and with the expanding area, the damage could be more widely felt.

Craptacular 08-28-2005 11:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle
Why is it weakening? Is there any indication as to that? Does the slowing down of the storm mean that it could gain wind strength? Does all this really matter?


According to the latest NHC discussion, there are some data sources that are showing slightly lower winds. Also, there are signs of eyewall replacement, where the area of storms immediately outside the eyewall contracts, and basically sucks the moisture out of the inner eyewall. The hurricane is usually weakening during the replacement. HOWEVER, once the outer eyewall completely replaces the inner eyewall and contracts, the storm is often as strong (or even stronger) than it was beforehand. This happened in Andrew, and the storm stengthened right at landfall. If the eyewall in Katrina is replaced, the question is, how long will it take? It could really suck if it completes the cycle right before landfall.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-28-2005 11:20 PM

I hope it doesnt turn into The Lost City of New Orleans, but for a few weeks it just might.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-28-2005 11:26 PM

Dola: What Im worried about are those with heart conditions and those that are diabetics in the superdome and within the path of destruction. Heart conditions can be exacurbated by the stress caused by the events, heat, etc. and for those that depend on insulin, no power could mean no insulin to ctrl diabetes. AI hope their meds are on ice buckets right now and there's plenty available.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-28-2005 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wolfpack
Yep. Went out and tanked up both cars today. I'm assuming the 2.65 it's going for now up here in MI will be closer to 3.00 later this week as the extent of the damage in Louisiana becomes better known.

Last night when I topped off Premium was $ 2.88, I just got back from the gym and gas (premium) is noW $ 2. 99....wonder what it will be tomorrow.

vex 08-28-2005 11:32 PM

Yeah, I got scared to think of what prices will be in the next few days so I went and filled up on $2.42.

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-28-2005 11:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vexroid
Yeah, I got scared to think of what prices will be in the next few days so I went and filled up on $2.42.


Futures still trading at $70 per barrel... I don't think it's too far of a stretch to say that $4.00 a gallon will surface in some parts of the country.

Wolfpack 08-28-2005 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Craptacular
According to the latest NHC discussion, there are some data sources that are showing slightly lower winds. Also, there are signs of eyewall replacement, where the area of storms immediately outside the eyewall contracts, and basically sucks the moisture out of the inner eyewall. The hurricane is usually weakening during the replacement. HOWEVER, once the outer eyewall completely replaces the inner eyewall and contracts, the storm is often as strong (or even stronger) than it was beforehand. This happened in Andrew, and the storm stengthened right at landfall. If the eyewall in Katrina is replaced, the question is, how long will it take? It could really suck if it completes the cycle right before landfall.


This would be the grimmest of scenarios, but given the amount of time left before landfall, I don't think there's enough time for Katrina to replace the eyewall. At worst, she'll keep present strength or perhaps reach 165, but typically storms do weaken a little before landfall, particularly in the Gulf. I think it's more likely she'll back down to 155 or even 150, though. Then again at this sort of strength, we're talking "many houses and other structures damaged or destroyed", rather than "most houses and other structures damaged or destroyed". It just ain't gonna make much difference.

GoldenEagle 08-29-2005 12:29 AM

The 1 AM eastern update has the pressure at 908 mb. Winds are still at 160 MPH. It is still moving at 10 MPH and is 150 SSE of New Orleans.

GoldenEagle 08-29-2005 12:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic


This form made it where you have to register to view it. I guess they were getting too many hits.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-29-2005 01:13 AM

I may sound like a Doomsayer but, After tomorrow this nation will be changed economically, emotionally, and will be physically saken by what will enevitably have taken place in N.O., Mississippi, and Alabama. Landscape and lives will forever be changed. I hope Im wrong when saying this but the shock felt after Sept. 11th will pale in comparison to this if the worst comes to pass. There are countless out there who didnt heed the warning or have no means to flee, I pray for their safety and God Bless and Protect everyone in the path of destruction and God Bless America.

Peregrine 08-29-2005 01:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
I may sound like a Doomsayer but, After tomorrow this nation will be changed economically, emotionally, and will be physically saken by what will enevitably have taken place in N.O., Mississippi, and Alabama. Landscape and lives will forever be changed. I hope Im wrong when saying this but the shock felt after Sept. 11th will pale in comparison to this if the worst comes to pass. There are countless out there who didnt heed the warning or have no means to flee, I pray for their safety and God Bless and Protect everyone in the path of destruction and God Bless America.


You're right, you do sound like a doomsayer. I don't think it's going to be anything so catastrophic. The shock will be worse than September 11? No way in hell.

GoldenEagle 08-29-2005 03:11 AM

Well, it was a downgraded to a four and it is moving a little bit faster at the 3 AM update. This is better news, but it still does not look good.

ScottVib 08-29-2005 03:36 AM

Now filled into 915 mb and 150 mph, strong Category 4.

Funny thing, the CNN meteorologist blew up at the anchor screaming at her to "let him talk".

The satellite is significantly less impressive, left side of the storm looks to be getting some shear.

SackAttack 08-29-2005 03:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peregrine
You're right, you do sound like a doomsayer. I don't think it's going to be anything so catastrophic. The shock will be worse than September 11? No way in hell.


I dunno, you don't think people might get more outraged over $4/gallon gas than over two fallen towers?

You're less of a cynic than I am, I guess.

Peregrine 08-29-2005 03:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack
I dunno, you don't think people might get more outraged over $4/gallon gas than over two fallen towers?

You're less of a cynic than I am, I guess.


Yeah but that has little to do with the hurricane, it's just the latest excuse for the profiteering oil companies and refinery owners to restrict supply and hike prices. People will have the chance hurricane or no hurricane.

sterlingice 08-29-2005 03:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack
I dunno, you don't think people might get more outraged over $4/gallon gas than over two fallen towers?

You're less of a cynic than I am, I guess.


Yeah, but while it's a NIMBY thing (the thought process of "gas prices affect me, while terrorism, well, not so much unless i live in NYC"). It's working counter the "flag-waving, patriotism, us-against-them" mentality. Plus, it's not somewhere on the east coast or California so it's not as sexy of a story. But since there's no attractive white female missing this week, it gives the news stations something to look at.

SI

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 05:43 AM

Weakening and turning away from New Orleans. Good news.

Solecismic 08-29-2005 06:42 AM

It's better news for New Orleans, that's for sure. But they're by no means out of the woods. The eye is still 4-5 hours from that area, and a ten-mile jog back to the west could greatly increase the damage.

Hurricanes can change direction suddenly, and a westward jog would also be an indication of increased strength.

No one knows yet whether Lake Pontchartrain will break the levees.

wade moore 08-29-2005 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic
It's better news for New Orleans, that's for sure. But they're by no means out of the woods. The eye is still 4-5 hours from that area, and a ten-mile jog back to the west could greatly increase the damage.

Hurricanes can change direction suddenly, and a westward jog would also be an indication of increased strength.

No one knows yet whether Lake Pontchartrain will break the levees.


From everything I'm hearing, your last statement appears to be the key...

No matter how hard the storm hits, whether it's a direct hit, etc... if the levees break, New Orleans is in a world of hurt...

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2005 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
Dola: What Im worried about are those with heart conditions and those that are diabetics in the superdome and within the path of destruction. Heart conditions can be exacurbated by the stress caused by the events, heat, etc. ...


I thought about your post when I saw this sad blurb:
http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/08/2...ina/index.html
Three residents of a New Orleans nursing home died Sunday while being evacuated to Baton Rouge, said Don Moreau, chief of operations for the East Baton Rouge Parish Coroner's Office.

The 23 residents were supposed to stay at a church, where one of the bodies was found. The other body was found on a school bus and a third person died at a hospital, Moreau said.

The others were found to be suffering from various forms of dehydration and exhaustion, he said.

Moreau did not know whether authorities would term the deaths storm-related. "These people are very fragile," he said. "When they're loaded up on a school bus and transported out of New Orleans ..."

One person died in similar circumstances during evacuations from Hurricane Ivan, he said.

Philliesfan980 08-29-2005 07:52 AM

Joined this thread a little late, but hopefully this thing will pass, we really don't need any thing like this going on right now.

What are the chances that other countries will lend aid to us if this thing really does what its supposted to do?

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 08:03 AM

Reporting on CNN: The roof of the Superdome is failing and may possibly come off.

Philliesfan980 08-29-2005 08:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
Reporting on CNN: The roof of the Superdome is failing and may possibly come off.


Could be worse than 9/11 if that happens

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Philliesfan980
Could be worse than 9/11 if that happens



Not reallly. They have moved people off the floor incase the roof collapses, but for the most part it just means the Saints will be looking for a new home.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-29-2005 08:08 AM

Biloxi is gonna get the brunt bt New Orleans is getting hammered too.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-29-2005 08:09 AM

Dola: These reporters are pretty stupid that its pathetic. HEAD INDOORS!!!!!

Cringer 08-29-2005 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
Reporting on CNN: The roof of the Superdome is failing and may possibly come off.


Stupid FOX had me all worried with their writing at the bottom "Superdome roof has hole, lots of rain getting in."

They finally just had someone on who said the lining came off a little and the structure is just fine. Just means some water is getting in.

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 08:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cringer
Stupid FOX had me all worried with their writing at the bottom "Superdome roof has hole, lots of rain getting in."

They finally just had someone on who said the lining came off a little and the structure is just fine. Just means some water is getting in.



Really? The reporter from CNN said he can see daylight through the roof because a section of the roof has come off.

sachmo71 08-29-2005 08:40 AM

Can we dispense with the 9/11 comparisons?

Cringer 08-29-2005 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
Really? The reporter from CNN said he can see daylight through the roof because a section of the roof has come off.


FOX people are reporting this too now, even though the state official they just had on was downplaying like I said.

Who knows. I am not getting going to take some of hese reports too serious as of right now I think.

Saints are moving to San Antonio....... :p

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2005 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sachmo71
Can we dispense with the 9/11 comparisons?


{shrug} The comparisons seem pretty valid to me, as 9/11 does sort of set the U.S. benchmark for catastrophic loss of life, property, etc. And it's the same standard that the head of disaster planning in New Orleans used for perspective
in the long CNN piece that aired a lot yesterday, so it's not like this is an FOFC thing or something.

9/11 is the catastrophe that all others will be compared to (until something surpasses it).

panerd 08-29-2005 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
{shrug} The comparisons seem pretty valid to me, as 9/11 does sort of set the U.S. benchmark for catastrophic loss of life, property, etc. And it's the same standard that the head of disaster planning in New Orleans used for perspective
in the long CNN piece that aired a lot yesterday, so it's not like this is an FOFC thing or something.

9/11 is the catastrophe that all others will be compared to (until something surpasses it).


I agree with sachmo though. Compare this to hurricane Andrew or the tsunami (as an extreme) or another NATURAL disaster, but it not a bunch of assholes who flew planes into buildings on purpose. I think the loss comparisons are valid, but I jsut feel like these events are apples and oranges.

wbatl1 08-29-2005 08:51 AM

Where is the other thread that ScottVib started?

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-29-2005 08:51 AM

MSNBC: Reports of Levy breached on North side of N.O.
No Official confirmation though.

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wbatl1
Where is the other thread that ScottVib started?



This is it. Eaglefan's thread was merged with this one.

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 08:55 AM

By MARY FOSTER

(AP) Some of the thousands of displaced residents take cover from Hurricane Katrina at the Superdome, a...
Full Image



NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Howling wind from Hurricane Katrina peeled holes in the roof of the Superdome on Monday morning as thousands of people huddled inside seeking shelter.

Pieces of metal sheared off, leaving two holes that were visible from the floor. Water dripped in and people were moved away from about five sections of those seats.

The development, around 8 a.m. as the storm neared its peak outside, did not create any visible fear among the estimated 8,000 to 9,000 people who spent the night in the huge arena. Some watched as sheets of metal, flapping visibly, rumbled loudly. From the floor, looking up more than 19 stories, it appeared to be openings of about 6 feet long.

General Manager Glenn Menard said he did not know how serious the problem was. "We have no way of getting anyone up there to look," he said.

wbatl1 08-29-2005 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
This is it. Eaglefan's thread was merged with this one.


Thats what I figured after I spent 20 minutes searching for it. Thanks

Cringer 08-29-2005 09:13 AM

This FOX guy is nuts. He is outside in Gulfport. He keeps pausing as he watches stuff fly. He was talking and then just went silent....couple seconds starring off..."Oh wow, that roof just flew off." real quietly....

They just asked him where he goes when not on air, he said the hotel was locked up so they just go duck behind a wall. This guy is gonna have a long day...

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 09:15 AM

I'm not sure if I will have time to review the entire thread, but a quick update:

Because of my mother-in-law (who was very frustrating yesterday) we didn't actually get on the road until 6:00 AM.

However, unlike last year when we went to Houston, we went north. I heard nightmares about how slow I-10 was even with contraflow. We went across the causeway, then to I-12, then I-55 north all the way past Memphis before connecting with I-40 west to get to Little Rock. In ideal conditions, it is supposed to take about 8 hours (over 500 miles.) Yesterday, we did it in a little under 10:30 hours. We hit a few spots of congested traffic, but it was generally smooth sailing. We stopped for one severe rainstorm around Memphis, but had a good lunch. Other than that, we had to stop 4-5 times for my mother-in-law's dog's weak bladder.

We arrived at 4:30 last night and had a good dinner and are safely in Little Rock. The hotel is supposed to have free-in-room high speed internet connection, but the hub near my room is "disconnected" and they have still haven't managed to reconnect it 12 hours later. Hopefully, they'll fix it soon. Right now, I'm in the lobby and just connected there. Then again, this is a relatively minor complaint in the grand scheme of things. Anyway, just wanted to let you all know I'm safe (would have done so last night but was exhausted after only getting 3 hours of sleep and then driving all 10 hours plus.)

FrogMan 08-29-2005 09:16 AM

Good news EF27, glad to hear it! :)

FM

marshall881 08-29-2005 09:17 AM

Glad to hear you guys got out and are safe.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 09:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SkyDog
Should I combine this thread with the "Katrina hits Category 5" thread?


Worked for me too.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 09:23 AM

Man, I can't believe this storm damaged parts of the Superdome Roof. I know it is heading slightly east of where my place is, but I really wonder if we will have a place to return to. Right now, the plan is to go visit my family in NJ if it is just too unrealistic to return to New Orleans.

Edit: About to head back to my room, just wanted to remind the front desk in person that it the hub isn't working for my room, and also let you know we're safe. I hope tk's brother and all the rest of you friends and family are safe too.

Lathum 08-29-2005 09:25 AM

Good to hear the EF

Cringer 08-29-2005 09:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Eaglesfan27
Man, I can't believe this storm damaged parts of the Superdome Roof. I know it is heading slightly east of where my place is, but I really wonder if we will have a place to return to. Right now, the plan is to go visit my family in NJ if it is just too unrealistic to return to New Orleans.

Edit: About to head back to my room, just wanted to remind the front desk in person that it the hub isn't working for my room, and also let you know we're safe. I hope tk's brother and all the rest of you friends and family are safe too.


Man, I'll add you to the list of guys to hope for good luck for. I know one of the Imperial League owners is from Slidell and didn't get out until noon or so yesterday. Slidell looks like it is going to get hammered/ is getting hammered.

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2005 09:36 AM

Glad to hear the EF clan is tucked away safely. My wife has asked me twice if we've heard from you yet, so I'll go share the update.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 08-29-2005 09:38 AM

Glad to hear that you're alright, Eaglesfan27. :)

cthomer5000 08-29-2005 09:41 AM

is their streaming live covereage anywhere? wwltv is either down or i just can't connect.

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2005 09:44 AM

anybody seen Jim Cantore or Sheppard Smith this morning?

edit at 11am to add: TWC just mentioned that Cantore & crew have been forced to the 2nd floor of that military retirement home we saw last night, in spite of their +27 feet above sea level location.

Wolfpack 08-29-2005 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cthomer5000
is their streaming live covereage anywhere? wwltv is either down or i just can't connect.


Best I've been able to do is getting stations out of Mobile and they're getting pretty roughed up even there. Judging by the radars at present, the Mississippi coast is going through absolute hell right now with the eye finally ashore roughly at the LA-MS border.

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-29-2005 10:00 AM

Eaglesfan - I'm glad you and the family are ok. Arlie and I were concerned last night.

JIMGA - I heard Shep Smith this morning around 5am pacific. He was giving a report from the French Quarter via phone. Apparently the biggest problem there right now is the hurricane shutters coming loose and crashing through windows of hotels. Also think he reported that one of the levy's was failing.

Cringer 08-29-2005 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
anybody seen Jim Cantore or Sheppard Smith this morning?

edit at 11am to add: TWC just mentioned that Cantore & crew have been forced to the 2nd floor of that military retirement home we saw last night, in spite of their +27 feet above sea level location.


Smith has had a couple call-ins this morning so far. Last one was not too long ago, saying it was at its peak and they expect to be in real bad stuff for an hour or so.

WSUCougar 08-29-2005 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
anybody seen Jim Cantore or Sheppard Smith this morning?

edit at 11am to add: TWC just mentioned that Cantore & crew have been forced to the 2nd floor of that military retirement home we saw last night, in spite of their +27 feet above sea level location.

Yeah, I heard the live phone call with Cantore's producer. He sounded pretty freaked, and said that in his 15 years of doing this it was the worst rising water situation he'd ever seen. :(

Cringer 08-29-2005 10:09 AM

Smith is on FOX right now. Phone call.

Talking about people on their roofs with water up that high in areas. Lots of windows blown out.

Ben E Lou 08-29-2005 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cringer
Smith is on FOX right now. Phone call.

Talking about people on their roofs with water up that high in areas. Lots of windows blown out.

Smith just said that Ponchartrain has started to spill over the levee, but he still feels like NO is going to be ok.

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-29-2005 10:23 AM

Anyone else think these reporters standing out in the storm are idiots? Steve Harrigan on Fox can barely talk, let alone stand in all the wind. And he's still trying to give a report.

SirFozzie 08-29-2005 10:26 AM

The east side of New Orleans is apparently under 5-6 feet of water after the pumps failed.

Wolfpack 08-29-2005 10:27 AM

I think the worst is over in New Orleans at this point. The storm is off to the northeast. Winds will now start shifting to the northwest and decrease, which means the lakeside levees, if they've held this long, should continue to hold for the most part. Latest advisory has dropped max winds to 125 and that number will continue to fall going forward. The eye itself is now beginning to collapse.

New Orleans came thisclose to biting it with this one. A slightly more westward track (we're talking maybe 10 miles) and I think New Orleans would have suffered a lot more than it has. It would have been in the western (albeit weaker) eyewall more directly and would likely have seen continuous winds of over 100 MPH for a long period of time.

I'm now watching a poor reporter getting tossed about in the wind in downtown Mobile. She can barely stand up. Had a wind gauge that with great effort on her part registered gusts to 50 MPH.

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2005 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Farrah Whitworth-Rahn
Anyone else think these reporters standing out in the storm are idiots? Steve Harrigan on Fox can barely talk, let alone stand in all the wind. And he's still trying to give a report.


Something to keep in mind though ... there's nowhere in the world a lot of them would rather be right now.

I chased enough tornadoes as a small-time radio news guy to understand why they're out there (beyond the whole "it's part of my paycheck" aspect of course).

In addition to likely being the largest audiences a lot of them will ever have (certain top-tier personalities notwithstanding), this is the footage that'll be on a lot of their demo reels for the next 20 years. Storm coverage, like war coverage in the 60's, will make or break a few careers.

Plus, aside from those sort of aspects, the story is outside, not inside ... so to tell it best & do what you're supposed to do which is cover the story, requires some exposure.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 10:53 AM

They finally have the internet working in my room and it is free :)

Of course, a nice plus side to this storm is that Mrs. Eaglesfan and I are alone in a hotel room for the first time in over 18 months and I'm not sure how much I'll be on the internet (she is napping again right now.) Of course, I'll make sure I don't call it a date ;)

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 10:53 AM

Dola -

Thank you all for the well wishes/prayers.

Warhammer 08-29-2005 10:56 AM

Good place to eat in Little Rock for steaks go to Doe's. Hole in the wall place with three items on the menu, steak, tamales, and salad. Steaks are ordered by cut and pounds! :D

Lathum 08-29-2005 10:58 AM

Quote:

WGNO reporter Susan Roesgen, who is with the mayor at the Hyatt hotel, said New Orleans police had received more than 100 calls about people in the area trapped on their roofs.

took this from CNN

I don't want to sound like a jerk, but what part of "no services will be available" didn't these people understand. I feel bad for them but I find it hard to have sympathy for them, especially since their stupidity could result in further loss of lives. It just amazes me.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer
Good place to eat in Little Rock for steaks go to Doe's. Hole in the wall place with three items on the menu, steak, tamales, and salad. Steaks are ordered by cut and pounds! :D


Thanks for the recommendation!

On a bad note, I just talked to my mother-in-law. She tells me that my mother-in-law's crazy neighbor stayed in her apartment (on the 3rd floor.) I have NO idea how her phone is still working, but she reports that her own apartment has the siding torn off outside and that her windows have shattered. She thinks my Mother-in-law's windows have shattered as well :(

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-29-2005 11:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Eaglesfan27
Thanks for the recommendation!

On a bad note, I just talked to my mother-in-law. She tells me that my mother-in-law's crazy neighbor stayed in her apartment (on the 3rd floor.) I have NO idea how her phone is still working, but she reports that her own apartment has the siding torn off outside and that her windows have shattered. She thinks my Mother-in-law's windows have shattered as well :(


Does that mean MIL will be staying with you until her apartment is repaired? I feel for you Eaglesfan.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Farrah Whitworth-Rahn
Does that mean MIL will be staying with you until her apartment is repaired? I feel for you Eaglesfan.


Very possible :( It wouldn't just be my mother-in-law, but my 19 year old sister-in-law and my 17 year old brother-in-law (who is still something of a trouble maker.)

Of course, that is assuming our place isn't damaged/destroyed. The hospital evacuated completely, so I have no one to call to see my place. I imagine there is a decent chance that my windows may be blown out. If so, I wonder how much of our stuff will be destroyed. Also, our place is right along the Mississippi River. We might end up being flooded. At least we are a fair distance from the lake. Also, we do have a 8-10 foot brick wall around the hospital.

Galaril 08-29-2005 11:20 AM

Anybody, ScottVib, etc. know what Katrina's Pressure was at landfall 27.70mb? And I am glad to here everyone of our FOFC(And families) like Eaglefan and others are doing alright.

sterlingice 08-29-2005 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SirFozzie
The east side of New Orleans is apparently under 5-6 feet of water after the pumps failed.


To be honest, if 5-6' is the worst water they get there, then the worst case people feared will have been avoided. Don't get me wrong, that's a lot of water but it's not catastrophic.

SI

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-29-2005 11:35 AM

Here's a shot of the damage done to the Superdome.

http://www.nola.com/weblogs/nola/

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 11:41 AM

Is the WWLTV link down for everyone, or is this another quirk of my hotel room internet access?

I imagine it is probably down for everyone as the power is likely out at the station, but just wanted to confirm.

Oh yeah, I can't believe Mrs. Eaglesfan can just sleep through this (she even napped for a few hours yesterday as her sister drove her car for part of the trip.)

sterlingice 08-29-2005 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Eaglesfan27
Is the WWLTV link down for everyone, or is this another quirk of my hotel room internet access?


I can't connect to it either so you're not alone.

SI

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 11:48 AM

One of the clinics that I work at is in Chalmette (which is in St. Bernard.) I just read that the civic center in Chalmette has had it's roof ripped off. Also, the Chalmette High School which is across the street from one of my clinics (where I work 24 hours/week) has had multiple windows blown out (it is a shelter for people who didn't/couldn't evacuate.)

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 12:16 PM

Mississippi Govenor: "I have instructed the police and National Guard to treat looters ruthlessly."

wade moore 08-29-2005 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
Mississippi Govenor: "I have instructed the police and National Guard to treat looters ruthlessly."


Sweet.

Link? Or was that on TV?

Lathum 08-29-2005 12:30 PM

good for him ( her)

sterlingice 08-29-2005 12:32 PM

Yeah, but wasn't he the same guy just on CNN saying "I don't know how much the damage runs but it's higher than I can count" and a friend on AIM messaged "It must be six, seven dollars!" and I was thinking the same thing.

SI

HomerJSimpson 08-29-2005 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wade moore
Sweet.

Link? Or was that on TV?



TV. Bit of a paraphrase, but close enough to be a quote. I wish I could have typed fast enough to get the comments he made about the idiots who refused to leave. Basically, he said if you weren't smart enough to get out, we are not going to risk smarter peoples lives to save you.

sterlingice 08-29-2005 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerJSimpson
TV. Bit of a paraphrase, but close enough to be a quote. I wish I could have typed fast enough to get the comments he made about the idiots who refused to leave. Basically, he said if you weren't smart enough to get out, we are not going to risk smarter peoples lives to save you.


Yeah, that was pretty good.

SI

Farrah Whitworth-Rahn 08-29-2005 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum
good for him ( her)

Him. Haley Barbour. Sounds like John Madden with a southern accent.

Buccaneer 08-29-2005 01:29 PM

I was on last night when wwltv had to switch Baton Rouge. I think they shutdown their web servers in NO, or at least the one that had feeds the streaming video.

Buccaneer 08-29-2005 01:30 PM

dola

Which is too bad because their coverage far exceeded anything the morons at WC, CNN or FOX have been doing.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 01:35 PM

Yeah, I'd really like to see wwltv right now.

From reading local websites and blogs (I can't believe anyone is able to blog from the area and who knows how reliable they are) it appears that there are a few collasped or partially collapsed buildings within a few miles of my MIL's apartment. Also, a hospital near her place (East Jefferson Hospital) reports 4-6 ft of water outside their doors. I wonder if any of these reports are true. If these are true (or even if they aren't) I'm really glad that my wife's grandparents left. A recent report suggests that Kenner also is flooding badly.

sachmo71 08-29-2005 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
{shrug} The comparisons seem pretty valid to me, as 9/11 does sort of set the U.S. benchmark for catastrophic loss of life, property, etc. And it's the same standard that the head of disaster planning in New Orleans used for perspective
in the long CNN piece that aired a lot yesterday, so it's not like this is an FOFC thing or something.

9/11 is the catastrophe that all others will be compared to (until something surpasses it).



Comparing it to the dust bowl would be more logical.

Eaglesfan27 08-29-2005 01:52 PM

I've found a live feed that seems to have decent info from WDSU.com. Here is the link:

http://www.wdsu.com/video/4909353/detail.html

Galaxy 08-29-2005 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Craptacular
LOL. Nicole Mitchell is an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter, and a Weather Channel meteorologist. She's usually on in the morning with Marshall Seese (sp?) and Heather Tesch.

On a serious note, I hope everyone in the area has heeded the warnings and gotten the hell out of the way. Let Jim Cantore and his pals show you what it's like from a couple hundred miles away.


Never seen her. I actually find Erica Hill (CNN) sexy in a weird way. I'm not sure why.

Glad to hear everyone is safe and sound.

sterlingice 08-29-2005 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sachmo71
Comparing it to the dust bowl would be more logical.


Yeah, but only Bucc was around then so that doesn't help any of us ;)

SI

terpkristin 08-29-2005 02:02 PM

Little update from here, we heard from my brother (FINALLY!) not too long ago. He ended up leaving about 6 a.m. Sunday and drove to Austin, TX with a friend (the friend has family there). Haven't heard any updates from him about where he was living (he was more or less in the French Quarter), but when Katrina moved slightly east, I think it helped protect New Orleans in general from much greater devastation (thankfully).

On another note, insurers are reportedly saying that the damage from Katrina could "top 25 billion," making it the worst on record if it does (Andrew is the worst on record, with 21 billion present-day dollars of damage). I got that useless statistic from http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4195018.stm

Glad to hear that people are safe and doing OK, I'll keep fingers crossed that things are OK in New Orleans, that there will be something useful to go back to.

Thanks for the thoughts about my brother, too, guys.

/tk

vex 08-29-2005 02:38 PM

Cat 1 now, 95 mph.


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