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bronconick 07-15-2015 12:25 PM

Why Republicans Are So Mad About Obama's Nuclear Deal With Iran - The Atlantic

ISiddiqui 07-15-2015 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3041764)
The question is more why make an agreement where one side gets everything it wants and the other side gets nothing? Especially when the side asking for more is calling for your death after it takes care of Israel.


I think the US gets plenty. We get to monitor their nuclear program in way that nuclear experts would give high grades to (which is what the international sanctions were for - nuclear program, not the other stuff):

"I would give it an A": Why nuclear experts love the Iran deal - Vox

Quote:

Jeffrey Lewis was so eager to read the Iran nuclear deal that he woke up at 3:30 am California time to pore through all 150-plus pages of the text. Lewis is a nukes super nerd: He's the director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Monterey Institute of International Studies, and also runs an excellent arms control blog network and arms control podcast and has a regular arms control column in Foreign Policy. He is the person to talk to on this.

When Lewis and I first spoke, in early 2015, he was skeptical, as a lot of arms control analysts were. He was skeptical that the US, world powers, and Iran would ever reach a nuclear deal. And he was skeptical that if they did reach a deal, it would be good enough. But when the negotiators released the "framework" in April, describing the broad strokes, Lewis came away impressed and happily surprised — but with some caveats and some unanswered questions.

I called up Lewis to see what he thought of the final deal. His assessment was very positive: Asked to grade the deal, he said, "I would give it an A."

Schmidty 07-15-2015 12:44 PM

Can we please use a better term than "Straw Man"? It's just played out.

Chief Rum 07-15-2015 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schmidty (Post 3041792)
Can we please use a better term than "Straw Man"? It's just played out.


Played out? It's the term.

You know, I use the word "table" a lot. Can we use another? "Sunlight", too. I'm so sick of that shit.

Solecismic 07-15-2015 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3041766)
Well to be fair Iran only calls for the peaceful elimination of Israel, or something.


Yes. Well, what they apparently have in uranium can't be used for bombs. But the question is why they have spent billions on thousands of centrifuges enriching a lot of it to just under the 20% threshold - something that doesn't have any justification for peaceful applications on the level they're doing it if they don't intend to do the easier and more-easily concealed work to enrich it to the 90% level, which is necessary for nuclear weapons.

The scary part of the agreement is how deeply Iran resisted an inspection requirement for the smaller military labs. That's the only thing they really wanted to protect. They don't want people to see they have warheads fitted for nuclear weapons and they don't want people to see the uranium enrichment from 20% to 90%, which doesn't require these huge numbers of centrifuges. It only requires about 60 pounds of U-235 to wipe out a city.

If the US had held firm to unfettered access, I could see some positives in a deal. But there's nothing in it. Once international sanctions are lifted, getting Russia to agree that there's a violation will be impossible. This agreement really is tacit approval of Iran's nuclear weapons program.

ISiddiqui 07-15-2015 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3041830)
Once international sanctions are lifted, getting Russia to agree that there's a violation will be impossible.


That's why there is a snapback provision. To quote the interview I linked:

Quote:

Jeffrey Lewis: The snapback thing is really clever, I had to read it a couple of times to make sure it said what I think it said.

According to the deal, the way this is going to work is that sanctions will be lifted, but in a conditional fashion. If any party to the deal — and, not to spill the beans, that means the United States — is dissatisfied with Iran's compliance, then first it has to go to the joint commission [of the seven states that signed the Iran deal plus the European Union]. If they don't get satisfaction, then they go to the UN Security Council. And they can notify them that they're not satisfied with the compliance of another party.

That starts a 30-day clock ticking. The Security Council must act to resolve the concerns of the state. If the Security Council does nothing — which could include them trying to pass something and the US vetoing it — at the end of the 30 days, if there's no action from the Security Council, the sanctions are reimposed automatically.

So, if the US is dissatisfied with compliance and the joint commission can't approve anything and then the UN Security Council can't approve anything, the sanctions immediately snapback into place. The Security Council has to take affirmative action to prevent the sanctions from automatically reapplying.

Solecismic 07-15-2015 02:24 PM

There are two major problems with snapback itself:

1) It doesn't apply to deals that will be made before a violation is found. And Russia, at least, is very eager to make those deals - Iran will get a huge cash infusion right away and Russia has an impressive store.

2) It is subject to this bizarre phrase, "...unless the U.N. Security Council decides otherwise." Why was this included? What does it mean?

The literal read is that snapback takes place if we can't agree, unless we do agree. But that's gibberish. The implication is that the independent action of a permanent Security Council member can negate snapback at least as it applies to that member (and anyone else who seeks that member's Security Council protection from sanctions down the road for violating the agreement).

Snapback may sound clever and like a real protection. But it's really absolutely nothing. If Iran wants nuclear weapons, this agreement gives them nuclear weapons. And Iran's actions indicate they want nuclear weapons very badly. Which means Saudi Arabia will want nuclear weapons, because they are Sunni (like around 90% of Muslims in the Middle East) and Iran is Shiite. Of course, we have to be extra careful about taking sides because ISIS and Al-Qaeda are Sunni.

ISiddiqui 07-15-2015 02:28 PM

What do you mean bizarre phrase? It means unless the U.N. Security Council decides otherwise, the sanctions snapback automatically. It's straight forward. And the US, of course, has a veto on the Security Council. So even if all the other countries feel the US's dissatisfaction is unwarranted, they cannot override the US if it really wants to pull the trigger.

Quote:

The implication is that the independent action of a permanent Security Council member can negate snapback

Where exactly are you getting this from?

Subby 07-16-2015 09:15 AM

Here is a good article that outlines why President Obama will be viewed as one of our most important and consequential presidents. Unlike someone like W, history actually will be kind to Obama's legacy.

Barack Obama is officially one of the most consequential presidents in American history - Vox

Edward64 07-16-2015 11:21 AM

Some good articles on the negotiations and the deal. Both were insightful but think NYT had more background info.

Log In - The New York Times
Quote:

But during a break on one particularly discouraging March day in Lausanne, Switzerland, where negotiations were held before adjourning to Vienna, Mr. Zarif struck a different tone as he invoked the names of the key figures on two sides, including Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and the top energy officials of the United States and Iran, Ernest J. Moniz and Ali Akbar Salehi.

“We are not going to have another time in history when there is an Obama and a Biden and a Kerry and a Moniz again,” he said, according to notes of the conversation. “And there may be no Rouhani, Zarif and Salehi.”
:
The logjam was not broken until several extensions of the talks, and a marathon set of meetings in Lausanne, where a critical treaty had been negotiated at the end of World War I. By this time, Mr. Moniz and Mr. Salehi, a former foreign minister and now head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, joined the talks to work out the nuclear details — in a less political, more scientific environment.

The officials working under Mr. Salehi “were mostly hard-liners, and they would give on nothing,” one American official said. But when Mr. Salehi, who got his nuclear training at M.I.T. before the Iranian revolution, showed up and developed a rapport with Mr. Moniz, the secretary of energy and a former chairman of the M.I.T. physics department, the Iranian bureaucrats were often sidelined, or overruled. (Mr. Moniz played the connection to the hilt, showing up one day with M.I.T.-logo baby gifts for Mr. Salehi’s first grandchild.)


The path to a final Iran nuclear deal: Long days and short tempers - The Washington Post
Quote:

As they neared a deal over the weekend, Kerry wanted to get one thing straight with Zarif. “Are you authorized to actually make a deal, not just by the [Iranian] president, but by the supreme leader,” Kerry asked, referring to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Zarif assured Kerry that he was, according to a U.S. official.

Overall, leaning towards this is a good deal for the US. Kerry and Zarif are likley Nobel Prize finalists.

ISiddiqui 07-16-2015 11:25 AM

The deal may actually, finally, validate Obama's Nobel Prize.

Edward64 07-16-2015 12:15 PM

Friedman interview with Obama.

Log In - The New York Times

Quote:

The president argues that preventing Iran from having any enrichment capacity is simply impossible. The key, he insists, is how well you curb it and verify its limitations: “Now, Prime Minister Netanyahu would prefer, and many of the critics would prefer, that they don’t even have any nuclear capacity. But really, what that involves is eliminating the presence of knowledge inside of Iran. Nuclear technology is not that complicated today, and so the notion that the yardstick for success was now whether they ever had the capacity possibly to obtain nuclear weapons — that can’t be the yardstick. The question is, Do we have the kind of inspection regime and safeguards and international consensus whereby it’s not worth it for them to do it? We have accomplished that.”

I agree with the below for sure.

Quote:

The president also said: “America has to listen to our Sunni Arab allies, but also not fall into the trap of letting them blame every problem on Iran. The citizens of more than a few Arab Gulf states have been big contributors to Sunni Jihadist movements that have been equally destabilizing.

Quote:

I noted to Mr. Obama that one of the issues most troubling nonpartisan critics of the deal is what happens if we suspect that Iran is operating a covert nuclear program at a military base not covered by this deal. There is a process in place that allows for inspections, but it could take over three weeks for international inspectors to get access after raising a complaint. Couldn’t Iran use that time to just scrub clean any signs of cheating?

“Yeah, but here’s where having somebody like [Energy Secretary] Ernie Moniz is pretty helpful, because he assured us that if, in fact, we have good mechanisms to scoop up and sample earth, this stuff has got a long half-life. My high school physics probably isn’t equal to Ernie Moniz’s, but I do remember it’s not that easy to suddenly just hide potentially radioactive material that’s been developed. The same is true, by the way, for the possibility that Iran might import materials that could be used for nuclear programs but might have a dual use. We’ve set up unprecedented mechanisms to be able to look at each one of those imports and say, ‘You got to show us how this is being used to ensure that it’s not being converted.’ ”

The president added: “If you hear a critic say, `Well, this inspection regime is not 100 percent foolproof,’ I guess theoretically, nothing is 100 percent foolproof. But if the standard is what is the best, most effective, most rigorous mechanism whereby it is very, very, very difficult for Iran to cheat, then this is the mechanism, and it goes far beyond anything that was done, for example, in North Korea.”


bob 07-16-2015 12:46 PM

To paraphrase a popular movie, let's not start sucking each other dicks quite yet. Let's see how it all plays out first.

Chief Rum 07-16-2015 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3042131)
The deal may actually, finally, validate Obama's Nobel Prize.


Good heaven, I completely forgot about that stupid thing.

Dutch 07-16-2015 01:09 PM

Wasn't Obama the one that made that award obsolete?

JonInMiddleGA 07-16-2015 04:22 PM

In light of the fact this thread is largely a political catch-all ...

Looks like domestic attacks on the military have joined school/public shootings as being so common that they're no longer immediately topical.

Subby 07-16-2015 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 3042203)
In light of the fact this thread is largely a political catch-all ...

Looks like domestic attacks on the military have joined school/public shootings as being so common that they're no longer immediately topical.

"No Way To Prevent This," Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens - The Onion - America's Finest News Source

Dutch 07-16-2015 05:17 PM


How do we stop these things, then?

Chief Rum 07-16-2015 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042215)
How do we stop these things, then?


No solutions allowed! Only complaints!

CraigSca 07-16-2015 06:46 PM

I guess we could follow France's lead. Never mind.

RainMaker 07-16-2015 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042215)
How do we stop these things, then?


Is there a flag we can remove?

Dutch 07-16-2015 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3042244)
Is there a flag we can remove?


Must be one somewhere.

stevew 07-17-2015 12:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 3042203)
In light of the fact this thread is largely a political catch-all ...

Looks like domestic attacks on the military have joined school/public shootings as being so common that they're no longer immediately topical.


A Jordanian born Kuwaiti(or vice versa) naturalized US citizen carries out a heavily armed targeted suicide attack on US military personnel on the eve of Ramadan expiring and we've gotta sit around and decide if it's terrorism or random violence. Geez.

Dutch 07-17-2015 06:19 AM

The only solution is a less awesome America, I guess.

RainMaker 07-17-2015 07:06 AM

Wonder why there won't be a bunch of thinkpieces saying Muslims need to be held accountable for his actions.


rowech 07-17-2015 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3042288)
A Jordanian born Kuwaiti(or vice versa) naturalized US citizen carries out a heavily armed targeted suicide attack on US military personnel on the eve of Ramadan expiring and we've gotta sit around and decide if it's terrorism or random violence. Geez.


It's interesting reading these stories as everybody who know the attacker is saying they can't believe it. Of course, we're already reading that he was "radicalized."

So my question is two parts...

1. Do you think people have to be radicalized or do people just hide their true nature?

2. If you believe somebody can be radicalized, what doe that person's mindset have to be prior? That is, in what condition does the mind have to be in order to be accepting of what is preached to make you carry out something that violent?

cuervo72 07-17-2015 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042305)
The only solution is a less awesome America, I guess.


How the South Skews America - Michael Lind - POLITICO Magazine

If by "less awesome" you mean one where the culture eventually shifts, then maybe:

Quote:

All of this leaves little doubt that, in the absence of Southern exceptionalism, the U.S. would be much more similar to other English-speaking democracies, which don’t subject their leaders to religious tests, don’t suffer from high levels of gun violence and don’t rival communist China and despotic Saudi Arabia in the number of executions per capita. Without the gravitational force exerted on the South, American conservatism itself would be radically different—more Bob Dole than Ted Cruz.

The northern progressives who joke about the U.S. jettisoning “Jesusland” and merging with Canada will not get their wish. But there is hope: A combination of demographic change and generational change is weakening the ability of the old-fashioned South to skew American politics and culture in the future. Peripheral Southern states like Florida and Virginia are increasingly competitive, and the Deep South may join them in time. In Texas once-reactionary cities like Houston and Dallas are competing with Austin as tolerant meccas for transplants who prefer the Sun Belt to the Old South. Immigration into the South from other countries and American regions is breaking down local oligarchies and old folkways.

I had a back and forth with someone on FB over the flag/monument debate, someone who was heated enough to state that they would kill with a shovel anyone who comes to dig up any soldiers (specifically Forrest, who Memphis is looking to move). I don't doubt that she was completely serious. But her opinions were based in her view of heritage:

Quote:

A little Southern education is also in order here related to heritage. Knowing one's lineage down to one's cousins twice removed? DAILY DISCUSSION in my grandparents' homes. Pride in where one comes from. My family has been in Virginia & North Carolina since the 1600s. So, yeah. My heritage here? Runs DEEP. I possess the dageurrotype pictures of some of my Confederate ancestors. The DOA isn't the only big deal society ladies club here. The Daughters of the Confederacy (and yes.. you must prove you had an ancestor who fought in the war) is as well. It matters. The old family names in the small towns that ran the places & still do... those matter. The land that has been in families for over 100 years? Matters. Telling us your relatives landed on The Mayflower is nice... telling us they were in Jamestown in 1607? Matters more.

To which I ask: why in the blue blazes does that matter? Really, why should I or anyone else care that your ancestors were in Jamestown? How does that have any relevance on you or me, in 2015? Should you get points for this? Am I less of an American because my family came here in the 1900s? This speaks directly to what the author of the linked story points out:

Quote:

The American South, with the lowest rates of intergenerational social mobility in the U.S., clearly skews the national statistics, creating an embarrassing and depressing version of American exceptionalism

I don't believe they want mobility. Not if they endorse a system that ranks you based on if you came over in 1607, or 1650, or 1700, etc. Not if they've named places and controlled them for a couple hundred years. They want to keep doing so. If you are black? Well, you can't get in on that lineage. Nor if you are an immigrant. Or a carpet bagger. This is their land, has been and in their minds always will be, and nobody else can tell them what to do. Except that by the numbers, that will eventually change. Will America be less awesome? I know what some will answer (some will say there won't BE one in 30 years). Guess we'll have to wait and find out.

RainMaker 07-17-2015 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cuervo72 (Post 3042310)


If you break down the statistics a little further it ends at a point that I don't think the author intended it to. And definitely not at a point that those on the left want it to.

cuervo72 07-17-2015 09:31 AM

Right, right, I know - well the PROBLEM with the Southern states is more black folk!

And sure, I have no doubt that there is less social and economic mobility for black people, in the South or otherwise. Where you fall on all of this is basically if you believe that is mostly their doing, or if it's more the whites who have held power and money for 400 years doing their best to keep it while attempting to suppress everyone else.

The demographics and politics of gun-owning households | Pew Research Center

Quote:

The new research also suggests a paradox: While blacks are significantly more likely than whites to be gun homicide victims, blacks are only about half as likely as whites to have a firearm in their home (41% vs. 19%). Hispanics are less likely than blacks to be gun homicide victims and half as likely as whites to have a gun at home (20%).

Quote:

But regional differences emerge when race is factored into the analysis. White southerners are significantly more likely to have a gun at home (47%) than whites in other regions. But because blacks disproportionately live in the South and are only half as likely to have a gun at home as whites, the overall rate for the southern region falls to 38%.

So, is it the chicken or the egg? Did ownership rise in defense to violence, or did they proliferate as threats of violence?

PilotMan 07-17-2015 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cuervo72 (Post 3042310)
How the South Skews America - Michael Lind - POLITICO Magazine

If by "less awesome" you mean one where the culture eventually shifts, then maybe:



I had a back and forth with someone on FB over the flag/monument debate, someone who was heated enough to state that they would kill with a shovel anyone who comes to dig up any soldiers (specifically Forrest, who Memphis is looking to move). I don't doubt that she was completely serious. But her opinions were based in her view of heritage:



To which I ask: why in the blue blazes does that matter? Really, why should I or anyone else care that your ancestors were in Jamestown? How does that have any relevance on you or me, in 2015? Should you get points for this? Am I less of an American because my family came here in the 1900s? This speaks directly to what the author of the linked story points out:



I don't believe they want mobility. Not if they endorse a system that ranks you based on if you came over in 1607, or 1650, or 1700, etc. Not if they've named places and controlled them for a couple hundred years. They want to keep doing so. If you are black? Well, you can't get in on that lineage. Nor if you are an immigrant. Or a carpet bagger. This is their land, has been and in their minds always will be, and nobody else can tell them what to do. Except that by the numbers, that will eventually change. Will America be less awesome? I know what some will answer (some will say there won't BE one in 30 years). Guess we'll have to wait and find out.


I've learned to understand a lot of the regional culture of the US by reading Colin Woodward's, American Nations: A History of the Eleven Rival Reigonal Cultures of North America.

The South basically breaks down along three of these "nations;" Tidewater, the Deep South and Greater Appalachia.

Quote:

TIDEWATER. Built by the younger sons of southern English gentry in the Chesapeake country and neighboring sections of Delaware and North Carolina, Tidewater was meant to reproduce the semifeudal society of the countryside they’d left behind. Standing in for the peasantry were indentured servants and, later, slaves. Tidewater places a high value on respect for authority and tradition, and very little on equality or public participation in politics. It was the most powerful of the American nations in the eighteenth century, but today it is in decline, partly because it was cut off from westward expansion by its boisterous Appalachian neighbors and, more recently, because it has been eaten away by the expanding federal halos around D.C. and Norfolk.

Quote:

DEEP SOUTH. Established by English slave lords from Barbados, Deep South was meant as a West Indies–style slave society. This nation offered a version of classical Republicanism modeled on the slave states of the ancient world, where democracy was the privilege of the few and enslavement the natural lot of the many. Its caste systems smashed by outside intervention, it continues to fight against expanded federal powers, taxes on capital and the wealthy, and environmental, labor, and consumer regulations.

Quote:

GREATER APPALACHIA. Founded in the early eighteenth century by wave upon wave of settlers from the war-ravaged borderlands of Northern Ireland, northern England, and the Scottish lowlands, Appalachia has been lampooned by writers and screenwriters as the home of hillbillies and rednecks. It transplanted a culture formed in a state of near constant danger and upheaval, characterized by a warrior ethic and a commitment to personal sovereignty and individual liberty. Intensely suspicious of lowland aristocrats and Yankee social engineers alike, Greater Appalachia has shifted alliances depending on who appeared to be the greatest threat to their freedom. It was with the Union in the Civil War. Since Reconstruction, and especially since the upheavals of the 1960s, it has joined with Deep South to counter federal overrides of local preference.

Over generations the cultures of these areas have been dramatically influenced by the people who settled there. The ideals, social standing and mores of these regions are branded by the history of the area and the people who settled there. Our current political divides are a focused battle to define what makes America, America. These same battles have been going on for generations and will continue into the future. I believe we are possibly heading to a point where open conflict between Americans over that true definition may become a reality.

cuervo72 07-17-2015 10:03 AM

Oh, thanks PilotMan - that sounds like a very interesting read. And it makes a lot of sense - earlier after posting I thought to myself "it's as if that woman wants to perpetuate feudalism" with her lineages and societies. If her family is based in Virginia and North Carolina that matches perfectly with Tidewater.

ETA: this essay may be a little more direct than trying to navigate his site; and yes, he does touch on gun ownership and violence http://www.tufts.edu/alumni/magazine...p-in-arms.html

RainMaker 07-17-2015 10:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cuervo72 (Post 3042326)
Right, right, I know - well the PROBLEM with the Southern states is more black folk!


The article was being smug and implying that if it weren't for those evil white rednecks in the South, this country would be a beacon of enlightenment. That statistically it is holding the country back.

I'm simply pointing out that if you breakdown the statistics further, it's not the evil white Southerners that is skewing the data downward.

JonInMiddleGA 07-17-2015 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3042330)
Our current political divides are a focused battle to define what makes America, America. These same battles have been going on for generations and will continue into the future. I believe we are possibly heading to a point where open conflict between Americans over that true definition may become a reality.


We don't get to do this on each other's stuff very often so ...

+1

Edward64 07-17-2015 10:42 PM

Donald doesn't stand a chance but he is fun to listen to, makes this process more interesting. He brings up some polarizing issues and its interesting to see how candidates respond (or not).

http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/17/politi...rge/index.html
Quote:

Laconia, New Hampshire (CNN)—Donald Trump, surging in the polls, arrived at this lakeside enclave and trained his ire on perhaps the only target that aggravates his supporters as much as the Obama Administration: Republicans.

"They're all talk, they're no action," Trump said, revving up his fiery takedown of politicians.

"I'm more disappointed in many ways with the Republicans," Trump said. "They have this great indignation, whether it's Benghazi or the emails... nothing ever happens."

Trump is enjoying a summer surge as takes the lead in a poll of Republican presidential contenders released on Friday. The billionaire businessman is offending Hispanics and irking his GOP competitors but it's clear that his in-your-face demeanor and willingness to take on President Barack Obama -- then just as quickly turn his sharp tongue toward members of his own party -- is winning over Republican voters.

"Even though I'm a Republican and I'm obviously voting that way, I'm very disappointed in the Republicans in the House. There's weakness there," said Julie Pagliarulo, a 56-year-old resident of Belmont, New Hampshire, who arrived hours early to see Trump speak. "Donald just says it like it is. I love it."

Friday's Fox News poll found Trump leading with support from 18% of Republican primary voters nationwide, compared to 15% for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and 14% for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Statistically speaking, the top three candidates are within the margin of error, and therefore tied -- a point Trump tends to leave out of his speeches.

stevew 07-18-2015 09:43 PM

Real or Onion?

ISIS head Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi bans group from releasing more execution videos

Edward64 07-19-2015 03:44 PM

Early opinions on legacy, history book stuff etc. on Obama's presidency.

From my perspective, his domestic policy has been transformational and I think is equal to or exceeds Reagan. His foreign policy doesn't quite rise up to the end of the Cold War ...

Obama, you're still no Reagan - CNNPolitics.com
Quote:

This may be President Obama's time, but it's still Ronald Reagan's era.

Obama has helped negotiate a nuclear deal with Iran, normalized relations with Cuba, and watched his approval ratings recently hit a two-year high after the U.S. Supreme Court upheld Obamacare. But has he become a "transformational" president like Ronald Reagan?
:
The Obama-Reagan comparisons are nothing new. Obama first made the comparison himself years ago when he declared that Reagan "changed the trajectory of America" and "put us on a fundamentally different path."

But we took the comparison a step further. We asked a group of historians and political scientists from the left and right to describe the qualities that make a president transformational. We also asked whether Obama lines up more favorably against Reagan now that he's reached a deal with Iran.

The consensus was quick. Even those historians who personally disliked Reagan say Obama still hasn't matched the Gipper -- at least not yet.

RainMaker 07-19-2015 03:52 PM

What was so transformational about it? I'm not knocking it but just don't see him accomplishing anything dramatic during his Presidency. At least from a domestic standpoint.

Edward64 07-19-2015 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3042685)
What was so transformational about it? I'm not knocking it but just don't see him accomplishing anything dramatic during his Presidency. At least from a domestic standpoint.


The two are Obamacare and LGBT rights. Arguably (and probably still to be determined) the third is himself as a black man achieving the presidency.

Dutch 07-19-2015 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew (Post 3042620)


For a group that swears by v1.0....lets call this ISIS v1.0.0.1

Dutch 07-19-2015 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3042696)
The two are Obamacare and LGBT rights. Arguably (and probably still to be determined) the third is himself as a black man achieving the presidency.


I'll call it transformational when we don't label him based on skin color.

JPhillips 07-19-2015 05:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042698)
I'll call it transformational when we don't label him based on skin color.


Same goes for Dr. King!

Edward64 07-19-2015 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042698)
I'll call it transformational when we don't label him based on skin color.


He's the first so it's inevitably taken into account (as will gender if Hillary wins). The traditional white male president is going to be joined by a black, a woman, and probably a Hispanic president in the next 10-20 years.

Edward64 07-19-2015 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042697)
For a group that swears by v1.0....lets call this ISIS v1.0.0.1


I know I'm just despondent over the Chattanooga incident and how a seemingly normal immigrant wasn't able to see the good that US is and the opportunities she gave his family and him.

Obama's strategy seems to be more containment and hope the regional powers get its act together. I'm paying more attention to GOP candidates that are talking tougher (some saying "boots on the ground") and willing to have a more active participation with the Kurds. Is our national security interests not being threatened or has it not yet reached that level?

Maybe with the Nuke deal done, Obamacare done ... he can start to focus on the Middle East.

Dutch 07-19-2015 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3042701)
He's the first so it's inevitably taken into account (as will gender if Hillary wins). The traditional white male president is going to be joined by a black, a woman, and probably a Hispanic president in the next 10-20 years.


It is historic...Im waiting for the American transformation when the color of our skin is irrelevant. It's possible, just still a ways off.

Subby 07-20-2015 09:03 AM

Meet Your Three New National Monuments
Quote:

This latest round of National Monuments take the total to 19 created or expanded by President Obama under the Antiquities Act, bringing the total area of land that’s been protected during his administration to 260 million acres — more than any other President, even Teddy Roosevelt.

RainMaker 07-21-2015 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3042696)
The two are Obamacare and LGBT rights. Arguably (and probably still to be determined) the third is himself as a black man achieving the presidency.


I don't know if Obamacare is that transformational. It changed things a bit, but it feels like a bandaid till the country moves to a national health care system. And many of the LGBT advances weren't from his pen.

I mean he'll go down as the first black President which will always be a big deal. But "transformational" seems overboard. When I think about that, I think of guys like Lincoln, Roosevelt, Truman, etc that governed during important times and made dramatic changes to not only the country but the world. It's not Obama's fault that he's President during a rather boring time in the world, but we also shouldn't blow up some of his actions to be larger than they are in the grand scheme of things.

ISiddiqui 07-21-2015 02:39 PM

It depends. If Hillary wins, Obama can be seen as the first in an era of government as an important part of the solution is back - and the ACA will be an example of that transformation. Kind of a reversal of Reagan sort of understanding of the role of government.

RainMaker 07-21-2015 04:10 PM

Obamacare was really just an expansion of what Reagan started with health care in the 80's though.

ISiddiqui 07-21-2015 04:16 PM

....

Edward64 07-24-2015 03:24 PM

This is a surprise as I thought there was some sort of Turkish backdoor deal of pseudo-peace with ISIS to get back their diplomats from a year (?) ago. Good stuff though, there's hope yet that Obama can save his Iraq fiasco.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/23/politi...sis/index.html
Quote:

Washington (CNN)—The U.S. and Turkey have reached a "tentative handshake deal" to increase U.S. and coalition access to Turkish air bases, including the base at Incirlik, according to an administration official.

A finalized deal would give the U.S. crucial access from Turkey into Syria and Iraq that it has long wanted. It could significantly shorten flight times on airstrikes against ISIS compared to flights from current bases in Iraq or aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf.

"Access to Turkish bases such as Incirlik air base will increase the coalition's operational efficiency," said Capt. Jeff Davis, a Pentagon spokesman.

The administration official emphasized strongly that the agreement, which has been a subject of discussion for months, is tentative and still needs to be established as a more formal military agreement. The official noted it's possible either side could back out before that happens.

It is expected that a final agreement could include provisions for the U.S. to conduct manned airstrikes from Incirlik. Until now, the Turks had not allowed such missions.

At a press briefing Thursday, White House spokesman Josh Earnest would not go into details for "operational security reasons." On Wednesday, President Barack Obama spoke with Turkey President Recep Erdogan. Earnest said he "can confirm that in the context of that conversation the two leaders did agree that we would deepen our cooperation as we take on this ISIL threat," another name for ISIS.

Reports of the agreement first appeared in Turkish media.


JPhillips 07-24-2015 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3043904)
his Iraq fiasco.


His?

Dutch 07-24-2015 04:18 PM

Well, the part where Bush put Al Qaeda in Iraq down with the Surge...and then Obama lifted his foot when they weren't quite dead yet...and allowed the insurgency to come back to life. That Iraq fiasco...

bhlloy 07-24-2015 04:37 PM

Having just finished Gates autobiography yesterday I can tell you that is a junk argument - the drawdown in Iraq was put into motion by Bush and a republican president would have almost certainly have had them out on the exact same schedule. In fact Gates is massively complimentary of the way Obama handled the surge in Afghanistan which probably wouldn't have been possible without the drawdown in Iraq

JPhillips 07-24-2015 05:04 PM

Yeah, Bush had negotiated a withdrawal and the Iraqis stated that they wanted the troops gone and if they weren't gone they wouldn't have legal immunity within Iraq. That's not a situation where it's tenable to have tens of thousands of troops.

Chief Rum 07-24-2015 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bhlloy (Post 3043919)
Having just finished Gates autobiography yesterday I can tell you that is a junk argument - the drawdown in Iraq was put into motion by Bush and a republican president would have almost certainly have had them out on the exact same schedule. In fact Gates is massively complimentary of the way Obama handled the surge in Afghanistan which probably wouldn't have been possible without the drawdown in Iraq


I generally agree with the thought that it's not fair to put that all on Obama, but your statement here kinda comes at it double. You're suggesting the drawdown was completely on Bush, but getting troops out of Iraq was one of Obama's biggest campaign promises. So it seems disingenuous to entirely blame the drawdown on Bush alone. Obama was as responsible for that in the end, as Bush, no matter how well Gates thinks he handled the resulting surge in Afghanistan.

bhlloy 07-24-2015 05:19 PM

It's not on Bush but any republican president (including Bush if he'd have had an extra term) would have done exactly the same. Quoting almost directly from the book the republican leadership (mentions McCain by name) were far happier with the eventual duration of the drawdown than the Dems, who felt angry he wasn't getting them out fast enough. And Gates self identifies as a moderate republican so it's hardly a puff piece.

JPhillips 07-24-2015 05:30 PM

And the Iraqis wanted us out. We couldn't maintain combat operations without legal immunity.

Edward64 07-24-2015 08:43 PM

Its not Obama's fault that we were in there but after 6+ years in office, he's got a good part of the blame for the current state.

Turks are starting to get into it, probably going to make a difference in the north. Wonder what we promised/negotiated with them.

Turkish Warplanes Hit ISIS Targets In Syria
Quote:

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — In a major tactical shift, Turkish warplanes struck Islamic State group targets across the border in Syria on Friday, a day after IS militants fired at a Turkish military outpost. A Syrian rights group said the airstrikes killed nine IS fighters.

Turkey, which straddles Europe and Asia and borders the Middle East, had long been reluctant to join the U.S.-led coalition against the extremist group.

In a related, long-awaited development, Turkey said it has agreed to allow U.S.-led coalition forces to base manned and unmanned aircraft at its air bases for operations targeting the IS group.

A Turkish Foreign Ministry statement said Turkey's military would also take part in the operations.

The ministry would not provide details on the agreement, citing operational reasons, but said it expected Turkey's cooperation to "make a difference" to the campaign. The statement did not say which bases would be used, but Turkish media reports said they would include Incirlik, Diyarbakir and Batman, all in southern Turkey near the border with Syria.

Dutch 07-25-2015 08:51 AM

Well, here's a strange article to read this fine Saturday morning in the USA Today. Mostly, I'm fascinated with the "I hate the USA and their lies" and the "I want money from the great USA" thought pattern going on at the same time. On a personal level, if somebody hated me, I wouldn't give them a penny...and I wouldn't ask somebody I hated for money either. So this article just comes off bad in so many ways. Not to mention...how little attention is given to the terrorists that actually committed the crimes. They have a shit load of money, where is the world community uprising against those assholes for compensation? Oh that's right, everybody is afraid of them.

Anyway, here are some notable parts of the article. Click the link to read the full article.

Kenyan terror victims protest Obama, demand aid

Quote:

NAIROBI — Elizabeth Maloba has waited a long time to be heard. Now with President Obama's visit to Kenya this weekend, she is hoping for justice – at last.

Maloba, 45, lost her husband, Fredrick Maloba, during the attack on the U.S. embassy in Kenya in 1998. She said she blames the U.S. and Kenyan governments for refusing to pay attention to the victim's plight for the past 17 years.

"The U.S. government promised that all victims of the blast will receive compensation but until now it has been an empty promise," she said. "We need President Obama to address this issue once (and) for all and pay us our money."

....

Al-Qaeda's deadly attack here killed 213 people, including 12 Americans. The bombing injured more than 4,000 people in one of the darkest moments in Kenya's history. A simultaneous bombing at the U.S. embassy in Tanzania killed 11 and injured around 100 people.

....

In 2014, U.S. courts awarded compensation to Tanzanian, American and Kenyan victims but Maloba said she and other victims have not seen any of that money. "We feel neglected and cheated by the U.S.," said Maloba, who then repeated an African proverb about hypocrisy. "They preach water but drink wine."

Kenya is a key regional ally for Washington in the fight against the al-Qaeda-linked terror group al-Shabab, based in neighboring Somalia. When U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry visited Nairobi in May, he pledged $100 million for Kenya in the fight against terror.

President Obama's visit comes just three months after al-Shabab gunmen massacred 148 people, mostly students, in a raid on Garissa University College. A four-day siege in 2013 by the militants at the upscale Westgate Mall in Nairobi left 67 dead.

....

"We expect the U.S. government to do the right thing and ensure victims get compensation," he added. "We need President Obama to solve this issue."



Dutch 07-25-2015 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chief Rum (Post 3043924)
I generally agree with the thought that it's not fair to put that all on Obama, but your statement here kinda comes at it double. You're suggesting the drawdown was completely on Bush, but getting troops out of Iraq was one of Obama's biggest campaign promises. So it seems disingenuous to entirely blame the drawdown on Bush alone. Obama was as responsible for that in the end, as Bush, no matter how well Gates thinks he handled the resulting surge in Afghanistan.


I think you get it.

Edward64 07-25-2015 09:17 AM

The money is supposed to come from Iran and Sudan. I suspect its subject to a lengthy appeal process and will never be paid. Fat chance it ever getting paid.

Judge Awards $907 Million to 1998 Kenya, Tanzania Bomb Victims - Bloomberg Business
Quote:

March 31 (Bloomberg) -- Families and victims of the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania that killed more than 200 people were awarded $907 million in compensation by a U.S. judge.

U.S. District Judge John D. Bates in Washington awarded the damages March 28, based on formulas that included $3 million for emotional injuries, $5 million for severe physical injuries, and $7 million or more for those blinded and made quadriplegics, according to court papers and a statement by plaintiffs’ attorney Thomas Fay.

The governments of Iran and Sudan were sued by survivors under the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act and accused of helping terrorists produce “calculated mayhem” that killed hundreds and injured thousands, Fay said today in the statement.

Dutch 07-25-2015 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3044004)
The money is supposed to come from Iran and Sudan. I suspect its subject to a lengthy appeal process and will never be paid. Fat chance it ever getting paid.

Judge Awards $907 Million to 1998 Kenya, Tanzania Bomb Victims - Bloomberg Business


So you can probably see the disconnect between the article you cited and the one I did, right?

Edward64 07-25-2015 09:35 AM

I think its a mis-aligned expectations from the Kenyans. They probably thought the US was going to pay them the $ and screwing around with them. Their attorneys should have educated them more I guess.

On another note ...

Obama's greatest frustration is gun control. I'm a gun owner and actually don't mind more gun control but this kind of surprises me. Its a frustration but the greatest in the context of what's happening now?

How about lack of progress with Israeli peace talks, progress on ISIS, Iraq, the middle class still hurting etc. Gun control wouldn't be my top choice. Its probably the safest answer as it can't be pointed back at him.

Obama admits US gun laws are his 'biggest frustration' - BBC News
Quote:

President Barack Obama has admitted that his failure to pass "common sense gun safety laws" in the US is the greatest frustration of his presidency.

In an interview with the BBC, Mr Obama said it was "distressing" not to have made progress on the issue "even in the face of repeated mass killings".

He vowed to keep trying, but the BBC's North America editor Jon Sopel said the president did not sound very confident.


Edward64 07-25-2015 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3043961)
Turks are starting to get into it, probably going to make a difference in the north. Wonder what we promised/negotiated with them.

Turkish Warplanes Hit ISIS Targets In Syria


Nevermind, there probably wasn't any negotiations since they are attacking the Kurds now and the US wouldn't have signed off on that.

Turkey strikes Kurdish militants in Iraq, ends truce of more than 2 years - The Washington Post
Quote:

BEIRUT — Turkish warplanes struck Kurdish militants in northern Iraq overnight Friday, expanding and complicating the air war launched by Turkey against the Islamic State in Syria a day before.

The strikes targeted weapons storage facilities and camps belonging to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party, or PKK, at its Mount Qandil headquarters in the remote mountains of Iraqi Kurdistan, according to a government statement.

There were also strikes for a second night in a row against the Islamic State in Syria, indicating that Turkey is now actively engaged in the war against the militants after months on the sidelines.

The strikes against Kurds in Iraq open a second front for Turkey, effectively ending a two-and-a-half-year truce with the PKK that had been a signature achievement of then-Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s government.

The PKK issued a statement saying the cease-fire is now off. “This truce has no meaning anymore,” it said.

Solecismic 07-25-2015 12:54 PM

There's an old saying, "the enemy of my enemy is my friend."

If you apply that logic to the Middle East, pretty soon you have what we see today.

Better to know your friends and defend them wisely.

It may seem naive to think we can keep nuclear weapons out of Iran's hands (which will, in turn, lead to the Saudis - whose wealthier segment spawned Bin Laden and Al Qaeda - developing nuclear weapons). But we really don't have a choice there.

We can look at the standoff between India and Pakistan and think that works everywhere. But India and Pakistan are a lot more stable at their core.

Edward64 08-02-2015 11:25 PM

Yup, definitely right move for Obama. Let him rot in Russia and constantly looking over his shoulder.

No sign of deal for Snowden as White House rejects 2-year online petition | Fox News
Quote:

Edward Snowden will likely remain hiding in Russia for some time, with Washington officials and most Americans offering no leniency or forgiveness for him notoriously stealing classified information and jeopardizing U.S. national security.

The White House is the most recent entity to take such a position, rejecting a two-year-long petition drive on its own website to pardon Snowden, who took classified National Security Agency data while working as a government contractor.

“Mr. Snowden's dangerous decision to steal and disclose classified information had severe consequences for the security of our country and the people who work … to protect it,” Lisa Monaco, President Obama’s adviser on Homeland Security and Counterterrorism, said this week. “He should come home to the United States and be judged by a jury of his peers.”

She also said that if Snowden thought his actions were consistent with civil disobedience, then he should have done what others who have taken issue with their own government have done: “Challenge it, speak out, engage in a constructive act of protest.”


SackAttack 08-03-2015 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3042698)
I'll call it transformational when we don't label him based on skin color.


And the reality is that that's going to be when whites in this country tackle the institutional challenges that non-whites face and have faced for the entirety of the country's existence. It's not just eliminating slavery or letting non-whites drink from the same water fountains. Part of why Obama's skin color contributes to his label is precisely *because* of those institutional challenges. There haven't been any black Presidents before him not because black men are somehow inferior and unsuited to leading, but because of generational, institutional roadblocks that were erected (or were otherwise endemic to "here's a generation of people who have nothing to call their own told to fend for themselves, let's see what happens") all over the country in the years following emancipation.

Part of Dr. King's dream about content of character had to do with explicitly that. His march was as much about economic factors (which tie into all of those roadblocks) as racial equality. It isn't enough to say "okay black children can attend the same schools as white children now so racism is over." But to many in this country, that's exactly how they see things. We don't have whites-only bathrooms, we don't have (legal) school segregation, we don't have slavery, what race-based problems could there be?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3045301)
Yup, definitely right move for Obama. Let him rot in Russia and constantly looking over his shoulder.

No sign of deal for Snowden as White House rejects 2-year online petition | Fox News


The problem with that quote is that speaking out and challenging the government would probably constitute a violation of the PATRIOT Act. Dumping the specific documents on the web would so constitute, of course, but remember that the Act also allows people to be placed on the no-fly list without either being told WHY they're on the list or being legally allowed to challenge their placement on the list. There were all sorts of things in that law that criminalized exactly the sort of behavior we're being told Snowden "should" have engaged in instead of shooting off a bunch of docs to WikiLeaks.

Catch-22. What he did is "worse" in the eyes of the government than what he might otherwise have done. It provided concrete evidence of the misdeeds that the government couldn't have just waved away and said "he's crazy, there's no such program, don't listen to him."

But if he had a problem with the NSA wiretaps, he didn't have much in the way of legal remedies. You can't sue without standing. You can't establish standing without proving that you are, were, or were likely to have been harmed by the alleged illegal practices. You can't prove those things without revealing the existence of the allegedly illegal program. Judges tend to frown on discovery as a fishing expedition for whether you have standing to sue.

Even if he had all those things, executive privilege was probably going to get invoked to prevent sunshine on the programs to which he took exception.

So what's the appropriate response? The program may be unconstitutional, but exposing that unconstitutionality was almost certainly going to land him in legal hot water no matter how he went about it. The difference between this, and whatever else he might plausibly have done, is one of optics. He sought asylum with a country many still see as Public Enemy #1, because they were less likely than the alternatives (friendly or allied nations) to extradite him to the United States. Avoiding that can of worms probably entailed keeping his mouth shut and allowing the government to continue committing potentially illegal acts.

RainMaker 08-03-2015 01:26 AM

You can be a whistleblower to illegal activity (which just about all of this wasn't) without releasing confidential information to bias media organizations who intend on sensationalizing it. Thomas Drake and William Binney both blew the whistle on things they felt the government were doing that was wrong. They didn't go to jail for it (although Drake did get charged with crimes that were eventually dropped).

Snowden is a narcissist who cares nothing about privacy or free speech. His actions were those of a man trying to feed his ego by gaining the adulation of people who don't understand the law or how any of these programs work.

JonInMiddleGA 08-03-2015 01:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SackAttack (Post 3045309)
So what's the appropriate response?


For the treacherous p.o.s. Snowden? Having enough sense to know that the program was necessary & important.

The appropriate government response would have been two high velocity rounds in his head.

Dutch 08-03-2015 06:13 AM

I think his present situation is perfect. Life in Siberia. Well, until the Russians are tired of him...they don't like turn-coats either and will dispose of him one day. We don't have to waste any effort on this one. He's living on borrowed time and that time is in a shithole paid for by Russian tax dollars.

albionmoonlight 08-03-2015 07:43 AM

I am a fan of civil disobedience. But people who engage in it have to be willing to suffer the consequences. Otherwise, it isn't civil disobedience. I've never agreed with the idea that it should be consequence-free.

To take a less heavy example than Snowden. If someone engages in a sit-in, and they refuse a valid and lawful request to leave, they are guilty of trespass. In that case, I think that person should take the trespass citation and pay the fine. They may argue (correctly or not), that the message that they are sending by the sit-in is worth paying the trespass fine. And I am 100% on board with their right to make that decision. But when they start saying that their message is so important that they should be above the law, that's when they lose me.

Snowden is just that example times a billion.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-29-2015 02:52 PM

Hilarious result to manipulation of a district by business owners in Columbia, Missouri.

Business owners try to remove all voters from business district, but they forgot one college student

Solecismic 08-29-2015 03:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward
Quoted:

The president argues that preventing Iran from having any enrichment capacity is simply impossible. The key, he insists, is how well you curb it and verify its limitations: “Now, Prime Minister Netanyahu would prefer, and many of the critics would prefer, that they don’t even have any nuclear capacity. But really, what that involves is eliminating the presence of knowledge inside of Iran. Nuclear technology is not that complicated today, and so the notion that the yardstick for success was now whether they ever had the capacity possibly to obtain nuclear weapons — that can’t be the yardstick. The question is, Do we have the kind of inspection regime and safeguards and international consensus whereby it’s not worth it for them to do it? We have accomplished that.”

I agree with the below for sure.

Quoted:
I noted to Mr. Obama that one of the issues most troubling nonpartisan critics of the deal is what happens if we suspect that Iran is operating a covert nuclear program at a military base not covered by this deal. There is a process in place that allows for inspections, but it could take over three weeks for international inspectors to get access after raising a complaint. Couldn’t Iran use that time to just scrub clean any signs of cheating?

“Yeah, but here’s where having somebody like [Energy Secretary] Ernie Moniz is pretty helpful, because he assured us that if, in fact, we have good mechanisms to scoop up and sample earth, this stuff has got a long half-life. My high school physics probably isn’t equal to Ernie Moniz’s, but I do remember it’s not that easy to suddenly just hide potentially radioactive material that’s been developed. The same is true, by the way, for the possibility that Iran might import materials that could be used for nuclear programs but might have a dual use. We’ve set up unprecedented mechanisms to be able to look at each one of those imports and say, ‘You got to show us how this is being used to ensure that it’s not being converted.’ ”

The president added: “If you hear a critic say, `Well, this inspection regime is not 100 percent foolproof,’ I guess theoretically, nothing is 100 percent foolproof. But if the standard is what is the best, most effective, most rigorous mechanism whereby it is very, very, very difficult for Iran to cheat, then this is the mechanism, and it goes far beyond anything that was done, for example, in North Korea.”


I'm wondering how people feel about this now that more of the secret part of the deal has been revealed. Soil samples can be requested, and 24 days later Iran will provide them. Access to labs is forbidden.

I don't think any inspection mechanism is 100% foolproof, but this one seems more like 1% foolproof.

There's new construction in an area linked to weapons manufacturing. We haven't heard the word "snapback" in a while.

If Iran wants to build nuclear weapons, nothing in the agreement stops it. Iran now has access to more money and military officials are meeting with Russia, presumably to obtain weapons and technology.

Activity in Lebanon and the Golan Heights indicates that Iran may well be preparing an attack through its proxies in the region. Rhetoric from Iranian leaders promising the destruction of Israel has increased since the agreement was signed.

At one time, it looked like Democrats might join Republicans in revoking the deal, but even getting enough to avoid a filibuster seems like a long shot now.

I wonder what the point of all this was.

JPhillips 08-29-2015 03:21 PM

The 24 days thing is nearly total bullshit.

http://www.vox.com/2015/8/19/9176415...ctions-24-days

Solecismic 08-29-2015 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3050456)
The 24 days thing is nearly total bullshit.

http://www.vox.com/2015/8/19/9176415...ctions-24-days


Someone should have told the president.

Press Conference by the President | whitehouse.gov

But word out of Iran is that they don't feel beholden to the agreement anyway. They're just happy to get the money and openly work with Russia.

I always try to find multiple sources on things. Vox is heavily tied to Daily Kos and other blogs on the left. I'd take anything they write with a grain of salt.

ISiddiqui 08-29-2015 04:26 PM

Vox is tied to Daily Kos?! That's ludicrous. It's like saying Ross Douthat in the NY Times is tied to RedState or something.

JPhillips 08-29-2015 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3050458)
Someone should have told the president.

Press Conference by the President | whitehouse.gov

But word out of Iran is that they don't feel beholden to the agreement anyway. They're just happy to get the money and openly work with Russia.

I always try to find multiple sources on things. Vox is heavily tied to Daily Kos and other blogs on the left. I'd take anything they write with a grain of salt.


I didn't realize you had such good connections in Iran.

Solecismic 08-29-2015 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3050473)
I didn't realize you had such good connections in Iran.


Iran president opposes parliament vote on nuclear deal - Yahoo News

Yes, I personally attend Tehran news conferences. This keeps me one step ahead of our president at all times.

JonInMiddleGA 08-29-2015 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3050475)
Yes, I personally attend Tehran news conferences. This keeps me one step ahead of our president at all times.


So does not suffering from severe brain damage.

JPhillips 08-29-2015 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3050475)
Iran president opposes parliament vote on nuclear deal - Yahoo News

Yes, I personally attend Tehran news conferences. This keeps me one step ahead of our president at all times.


I'm not sure there's much to worry about in that story. This from earlier in the month seems to be saying that the parliament is filled with hard-liners that want to add conditions to the deal that haven't been negotiated. If that's the case, it's not shocking that the Iranian President wouldn't want anything legally binding added to the treaty.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/...0Q637220150801

RainMaker 08-29-2015 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3050465)
Vox is tied to Daily Kos?! That's ludicrous. It's like saying Ross Douthat in the NY Times is tied to RedState or something.


Vox Media was founded by Markos Moulitsas. Same guy who founded Daily Kos.

NobodyHere 08-29-2015 11:35 PM

I'm kind of drunk and I'm mixing threads here.

But I wish for the day when the people wish the president was healthy like we wish quarterbacks are healthy

ISiddiqui 08-29-2015 11:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3050523)
Vox Media was founded by Markos Moulitsas. Same guy who founded Daily Kos.


That's great, but Vox.com is run by Ezra Klein and Matt Yglesias, hardly crazy left wing ideologues. Vox Media also owns SB Nation, the Verge, Polygon, and Curbed - a bunch of left wing sites? ;)

RainMaker 08-30-2015 12:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3050526)
That's great, but Vox.com is run by Ezra Klein and Matt Yglesias, hardly crazy left wing ideologues. Vox Media also owns SB Nation, the Verge, Polygon, and Curbed - a bunch of left wing sites? ;)


I didn't say crazy left wing ideologues, but both those individuals are liberals and have made a career working for liberal publications. You can't look at Vox and tell me that it doesn't have a strong political slant. Vox is just the left-wing version of The Daily Caller.

Polygon and Verge also have a political slant when they touch on social issues (which is rather frequently).

It doesn't invalidate that opinion piece but you can't be serious trying to claim that Vox is a neutral news organization.

ISiddiqui 08-30-2015 12:30 AM

You are trying to shift goalposts. Vox was compared to being the same thing as Daily Kos - ie, crazy left wing ideologues. It'd be the same thing as saying, in your example, the Daily Caller (and lets be honest, Daily Caller is more like a right leaning HuffPo, not a right leaning Vox.com - Vox's comparison on the right is, as I already stated, Ross Douthat, or The American Conservative) was the same thing as RedState. It is ludicrous to claim that Vox deserves the same scrutiny as a Daily Kos article.

RainMaker 08-30-2015 01:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3050530)
You are trying to shift goalposts. Vox was compared to being the same thing as Daily Kos - ie, crazy left wing ideologues. It'd be the same thing as saying, in your example, the Daily Caller (and lets be honest, Daily Caller is more like a right leaning HuffPo, not a right leaning Vox.com - Vox's comparison on the right is, as I already stated, Ross Douthat, or The American Conservative) was the same thing as RedState. It is ludicrous to claim that Vox deserves the same scrutiny as a Daily Kos article.


I don't know what you're trying to argue. Solesmic said Vox has ties to Daily Kos. They do. The founder of Daily Kos founded Vox Media.

I don't think he was saying that they both have the same credibility. Just that they both are heavily slanted toward the same political side. And that the piece was being treated as coming from a legitimate news agency.

Edward64 08-30-2015 10:06 AM

Obama has not been in the news lately other than pending approval/rejection of the deal. I think it'll happen.

Here Are The Wobbly Democrats Who Could Make Or Break The Iran Deal
Quote:

WASHINGTON -- The nuclear deal recently negotiated with Iran faces a final hurdle in Congress before it can be implemented.

Republicans and a handful of Democrats have committed to passing a law that would revoke President Barack Obama’s ability to provide some of the sanctions relief promised to Iran as part of the agreement reached on July 14. As the vote, expected in the Senate during the second week of September, draws closer, there is building momentum within the Democratic Party to preserve the nuclear accord, making it increasingly unlikely that Congress will have the votes to kill the deal.

With a Republican majority in both the House and the Senate, an initial resolution of disapproval of the Iran deal could pass with limited bipartisan support, which would prompt Obama to veto the bill. In order for his veto to hold, the president needs 34 senators or 146 House members to stick with him in support the agreement, which provides sweeping sanctions relief to Iran in return for the Iranians dismantling much of their nuclear infrastructure and surrendering their program to invasive inspections.

Kodos 08-31-2015 07:46 AM


albionmoonlight 08-31-2015 09:58 AM

President Obama signed an order restoring Mt. McKinley's name back to Denali.

Having spent a year in Alaska, I can say that this is a much much much bigger deal to Alaskans (of all races and origins) than people in the lower 48 realize.

Not having been to Ohio, I can't say how the news is going over there, but I would imagine that the answer is "poorly."

NobodyHere 08-31-2015 10:04 AM

John Boehner is "deeply disappointed" and has broken down into tears.

Edward64 09-05-2015 06:21 AM

I was thinking about the difference in how "illegals" are treated in our situation and below.

I get the 2 situations are significantly different - how it happened, why it happened, duration etc. but I do question if it happened here and the scenario was relatively the same that our reaction would be similar? BTW - I'm not hearing much from Obama administration in providing assistance with this refugee crisis?

I suspect the EU is going to be in a world of hurt if this keeps up. More unwanted refugees, different skin color, different values, different religion etc. The EU better come up with a real plan to handle this.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/05/europe...sis/index.html
Quote:

Nickelsdorf, Austria (CNN)—Some Austrians cheered as busloads of migrants pulled up on their border with Hungary early Saturday -- and weary passengers clutching children streamed toward them.

The passengers carried their meager belongings in backpacks as they exited the vehicles in the rain.

They walked on foot over the border to Nickelsdorf, in Austria's Burgenland state, where applause broke out among groups welcoming the convoys of buses with food, Austrian public TV ORF reported.

The Austrian Red Cross also provided medical supplies and warm blankets.

About 4,000 migrants have crossed into Austria in the first few hours of Saturday, and an additional 6,000 or so who are still in Hungary are expected to come over, said Deputy Chief of Burgenland State Police Werner Fasching.

There are only enough beds for 600 people in and around the border town of Nickelsdorf, and the bulk of the refugees are being sent to the Austrian capital, Vienna, via trains and buses, he said.

"We are trying to move as many as possible in the direction of Vienna," Fasching said. There the migrants will receive food, drink and, if needed, medical care. Some who wish to continue on to Germany will be permitted to do so.

Their arrival in Austria caps an emotional week for the migrants, many of whom had walked for hours before they got into dozens of buses provided by the Hungarian authorities.

In light of the acute situation, Austrian and German officials agreed to allow thousands of migrants into their countries, Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann said.

molson 09-05-2015 10:07 AM

I don't believe that's the typical European reaction to migration.

Only 10,000? And it's just a transit stop from them on the way to Germany. That's a drop in the bucket compared to what's happening right now in Europe. The refugees aren't being greeted by cheering crowds in France and Sweden and most other places. And they wouldn't be greeted that way in Austria if that country had to take host 100,000+, and if many more than that came through every day trying to get to Germany or the UK. (And it's not just Syrian refugees, many in the current surge are regular illegal immigrants from places other than Syria, which is adding to the hostility.)

I think illegal immigration/refugees are tolerated far more in the United States than Europe generally. Maybe Trump is touching into something that will change all this, but general open hostility towards immigrants is generally considered a right wing/racist thing in the U.S. That kind of hostility is much more broadly acceptable in most of Europe.

Mizzou B-ball fan 09-05-2015 11:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3051859)
I don't believe that's the typical European reaction to migration.

Only 10,000? And it's just a transit stop from them on the way to Germany. That's a drop in the bucket compared to what's happening right now in Europe. The refugees aren't being greeted by cheering crowds in France and Sweden and most other places. And they wouldn't be greeted that way in Austria if that country had to take host 100,000+, and if many more than that came through every day trying to get to Germany or the UK. (And it's not just Syrian refugees, many in the current surge are regular illegal immigrants from places other than Syria, which is adding to the hostility.)

I think illegal immigration/refugees are tolerated far more in the United States than Europe generally. Maybe Trump is touching into something that will change all this, but general open hostility towards immigrants is generally considered a right wing/racist thing in the U.S. That kind of hostility is much more broadly acceptable in most of Europe.


Agreed. The story above is a rarity. What's going on in Europe is far worse than what we see in our country.

Solecismic 09-05-2015 01:43 PM

Europe has had it easy for a long time, a free pass for deeply entrenched belief systems that never would last in America. They are receiving a wake-up call.

There are seven billion people in the world - we reached one billion about 200 years ago. Where do all these people go? Our ideas about land and ownership and even borders are about to change.

Today, the pressure is these religious wars in the Middle East and Africa. Tomorrow, it's going to be about resources.

Man himself is the ultimate carbon emission.

JonInMiddleGA 09-05-2015 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3051883)
Where do all these people go? Our ideas about land and ownership and even borders are about to change.


Or about the value of most of those 7 billion people.

Europe is insane to open those floodgates, even a trickle frankly. And the people seem to know that deep down, in spite of what some of their so-called leaders seem to say as either liberal fools or slaves to political correctness.

Solecismic 09-05-2015 02:48 PM

It must be nice to know you're more valuable to the world than seven billion faceless strangers. I wish I could say the same.

I will continue to trek on and try and accumulate paper wealth so that I can live in comfort with my family in whatever time I have remaining. Because that's what I'm supposed to do, I think.

But what does accumulating paper wealth have to do with life? When you're dealing with a planet that has enormous population pressures and limited resources, paper isn't high on the list when it comes to value.

The Mayflower apparently had 103 passengers (plus Skipper and some Gilligans). At what point does it cease to matter who can connect a lineage?

Also, since you're a religious man, what does it say about your God that he has apparently granted seven billion lives. Is it up to you to even try and understand their value?

Dutch 09-05-2015 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3051859)
...but general open hostility towards immigrants is generally considered a right wing/racist thing in the U.S.


Question: If a law has been broken, has it really been broken if somebody calls it racism?

JonInMiddleGA 09-05-2015 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic (Post 3051887)
But what does accumulating paper wealth have to do with life?


I've pretty much concluded that is virtually all that matters. Too much evidence for me to believe otherwise at this point.

Quote:

Also, since you're a religious man, what does it say about your God that he has apparently granted seven billion lives. Is it up to you to even try and understand their value?

Increasingly, I'm coming to the conclusion that this whole planet was little more than a sick science project, if you just want to know the flat fucking truth about it.

nol 09-05-2015 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 3051892)
Question: If a law has been broken, has it really been broken if somebody calls it racism?


Good, intelligent question. Why not ponder it and never post again until you've come up with an answer?

Solecismic 09-05-2015 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 3051895)
I've pretty much concluded that is virtually all that matters. Too much evidence for me to believe otherwise at this point.



Increasingly, I'm coming to the conclusion that this whole planet was little more than a sick science project, if you just want to know the flat fucking truth about it.


So, does it bother you that people like me see the same evidence and conclude that there isn't any such thing as a god?

In determining that wealth accumulation is all that matters, do you wonder what happens when others conclude that laws protecting wealth don't matter?

Let's say groups like Iran and ISIS (same idea, just Sunni variations rather than Shia) gain more power and wage war on the world with weapons that can destroy the power grids and other infrastructure. All of a sudden, most of our jobs don't do anything to help our survival. Paper wealth ceases to exist. If you think guns will help you, then someone with more guns and better training will eventually take your guns.

The pressures that seven billion people (and growing at an incredible pace) bring to the world will change life as we know it. Anyone who imagines that climate change (human-generated or natural) is going to matter one way or the other in the next 100 years is being a little naive, IMO.


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