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-   -   Werewolf LXXVI - The Werewolf Draft! Game over, see last pages for details (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=65983)

Telle 06-26-2008 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762002)
Didn't that possibility exist yesterday?


Of course. But after a day's reflection my mental odds ratio of probable wolf versus probable seer has adjusted slightly so I'm now willing to wait a little before pursuing him further.

mccollins 06-26-2008 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saldana (Post 1761996)
i am not sold on any of the candidates...my first choice would have been Chief Rum, but since he is not going to win the race, i am gonna make the safe play

vote alan t


huh? safe play? :confused:

Lathum 06-26-2008 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1761999)
What's my agenda? Don't YOU find it odd that Telle voted for you yesterday, but now prefers to vote BK?


you are trying aweful hard to get me lynched.

and I don't find it that odd, alot of people have changed their votes from yesterday ( Including you) so why call Telle out on it?

seems somewhat hypocritical

SnDvls 06-26-2008 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SnDvls (Post 1761931)
both DT's and Lathum's lists are probally very fair lists of people.


I would also add Pass here too FYI

Alan T 06-26-2008 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic (Post 1762007)
Is it not pretty much a known fact he is the duke (making him a villager)? Why would you vote for a villager?



Well the good news is if I feel that I don't like his move I can always take care of him personally :)

What Sndvls may be correct.. or on the other hand Saldana might be going to second level thinking and trying to play off to my better senses to prevent himself from being a duke victim at some point.

mccollins 06-26-2008 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762008)
I wouldn't say that -- it's not like I'm in the Top 6 (or 7) or anything! :p


Aww... if it makes you feel better, you were in my top 6 - but that's because I've played with you and not some of these others!!

I'll say I think it's definitely wrong to gloss over you!

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 1762014)
you are trying aweful hard to get me lynched.

and I don't find it that odd, alot of people have changed their votes from yesterday ( Including you) so why call Telle out on it?

seems somewhat hypocritical


Actually, I'm accusing Telle of trying to get the seer lynched. You were the one who accused her of placing a vote on you that killed her, but now that it's going to be harder, she's not interested.

Telle 06-26-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762011)
However, your vote for Lathum yesterday was placed before DT made his reveal. So whether or not TWO roled villagers were involved should not have been part of your thinking. I'll have to go back and verify this.


I said, it was AFTER Alan's move that I had those thoughts. When I voted for Lathum and through the deadline I was fairly certain that he was lying through his teeth. When Alan nixed the lynch I took a moment to reflect and realized that he might just have saved us all from screwing up big time. So as I've now said numerous times, I in no way fully trust Lathum but for the time being at least I'm not going to pursue him as a vote candidate.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762018)
Actually, I'm accusing Telle of trying to get the seer lynched. You were the one who accused her of placing a vote on you that killed her, but now that it's going to be harder, she's not interested.


Replace 'killed her' with 'almost killed you' please -- thanks.

Lathum 06-26-2008 12:46 PM

i should have included Pass.

SnDvls 06-26-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 1762016)
Well the good news is if I feel that I don't like his move I can always take care of him personally :)

What Sndvls may be correct.. or on the other hand Saldana might be going to second level thinking and trying to play off to my better senses to prevent himself from being a duke victim at some point.


I understand the move IF he has an important role and thus he can only be killed by one wolf, but it's not a teammate move in my book, maybe because I wished I would have thought of it to take the easy way out today :)

Lathum 06-26-2008 12:48 PM

Pass- you are dodging the question that don't you think it is hypocritical that you changed your vote from yesterday but are calling out Telle for doing the same thing.

Alan T 06-26-2008 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SnDvls (Post 1762023)
I understand the move IF he has an important role and thus he can only be killed by one wolf, but it's not a teammate move in my book, maybe because I wished I would have thought of it to take the easy way out today :)



Well I personally made the move I did yesterday because I knew my vote didn't have any impact on the lynch. I think to take that move today over an hour before the deadline when every vote does matter (both in voting history as well as to lynch someone) seems like the ultimate throw away vote. I already have been looking to lynch Saldana, I don't think I like his move today any further as it doesn't provide any voting history for him at all (other than any other throw away vote).

GoldenEagle 06-26-2008 12:50 PM

I am hoping that tonight's kill will give us more information. I have my suspicions on just about everyone. But my past experience in WW has taught me to not to trust my gut feelings, as 99% of the time I am wrong.

There is just not a ton of information available. But like I said, I have a feeling tonight's kill will give us some info.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1762019)
I said, it was AFTER Alan's move that I had those thoughts. When I voted for Lathum and through the deadline I was fairly certain that he was lying through his teeth. When Alan nixed the lynch I took a moment to reflect and realized that he might just have saved us all from screwing up big time. So as I've now said numerous times, I in no way fully trust Lathum but for the time being at least I'm not going to pursue him as a vote candidate.


Since Lathum has pressed me on it, I've come out with my opinion on it. I don't buy this -- you voted for Lathum 3 and a half hours before deadline, which gave you plenty of time to change your mind. I don't see how Alan's move should really affect your thinking on this -- it took that for you to not want to get the seer?

UNVOTE MRS. SCHMIDTY
VOTE TELLE

saldana 06-26-2008 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mccollins (Post 1762013)
huh? safe play? :confused:


limiting the number of people who can kill me....alan is the only known quantitiy...if one accepts DT as the bodyguard, which i don't 100% buy, then i am still only able to be killed by the cunning wolf

same reason alan voted for himself yesterday, and why he is leaving his vote on me today....if he dies, then it was either the cunning wolf, or me...giving the village a legitimate, albeit wrong, lynch candidate the next day.

Telle 06-26-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762029)
Since Lathum has pressed me on it, I've come out with my opinion on it. I don't buy this -- you voted for Lathum 3 and a half hours before deadline, which gave you plenty of time to change your mind. I don't see how Alan's move should really affect your thinking on this -- it took that for you to not want to get the seer?

UNVOTE MRS. SCHMIDTY
VOTE TELLE


So out of curiosity, what is YOUR reason for voting for Lathum yesterday and not today? Hmmmm?

Alan T 06-26-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saldana (Post 1762032)
limiting the number of people who can kill me....alan is the only known quantitiy...if one accepts DT as the bodyguard, which i don't 100% buy, then i am still only able to be killed by the cunning wolf

same reason alan voted for himself yesterday, and why he is leaving his vote on me today....if he dies, then it was either the cunning wolf, or me...giving the village a legitimate, albeit wrong, lynch candidate the next day.



I don't see a play to determine the next lynch via who was killed as a great play at all until the cunning wolf has been found and killed. Until then that feels more like a wolf ploy to get us chasing ourselves in circles more than anything else.

Once the cunning wolf has been killed, by all means this will be an important discussion to have.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 1762025)
Pass- you are dodging the question that don't you think it is hypocritical that you changed your vote from yesterday but are calling out Telle for doing the same thing.


Sorry, didn't mean to dodge it. I can see why you'd think that -- my reasoning was a bit different from Telle's. She just outright didn't believe you, while I just believed DT more (mine was after DT's reveal, Telle's was before). Plus, I was also angling for a tie, and hoping the masons would give us no lynch.

saldana 06-26-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 1762026)
Well I personally made the move I did yesterday because I knew my vote didn't have any impact on the lynch. I think to take that move today over an hour before the deadline when every vote does matter (both in voting history as well as to lynch someone) seems like the ultimate throw away vote. I already have been looking to lynch Saldana, I don't think I like his move today any further as it doesn't provide any voting history for him at all (other than any other throw away vote).


rest assured that if my vote is needed it will go to one of the people on the block...you know damn well that I would not allow there to be a no lynch [/end subtle dig]

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1762036)
So out of curiosity, what is YOUR reason for voting for Lathum yesterday and not today? Hmmmm?


DT revealed as the bodyguard. Much better reasoning than your "I'm not getting a wolfy vibe from DT."

saldana 06-26-2008 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 1762037)
I don't see a play to determine the next lynch via who was killed as a great play at all until the cunning wolf has been found and killed. Until then that feels more like a wolf ploy to get us chasing ourselves in circles more than anything else.

Once the cunning wolf has been killed, by all means this will be an important discussion to have.


this is pretty strong, considering your vote is on me...what makes your throwaway better than my throwaway?

saldana 06-26-2008 12:56 PM

anyone got a count

st.cronin 06-26-2008 01:00 PM

6 - Barkeep49 - Lathum (1052), PackerFanatic (1068), oliegirl (1072), mccollins (1079), Telle (1080), Mrs. Schmidty (1118)
3 - EagleFan - Chief Rum (1000), SnDvls (1065), claphamsa (1084)
3 - Lathum - Danny (1015), Barkeep49 (1040), DaddyTorgo (1089)
2 - Chief Rum - LoneStarGirl (939), RendeR (1038)
1 - oliegirl - EagleFan (943)
1 - saldana - Alan T (1044)
1 - Alan T - saldana (1141)
1 - Telle - Passacaglia (1165)

saldana 06-26-2008 01:00 PM

although i stand by my original plan, the IT department just called me and are coming over to disconnect my computer, so I have to get offline.

unvote alan t
vote chief rum

claphamsa 06-26-2008 01:00 PM

:popcorn:

Telle 06-26-2008 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762042)
DT revealed as the bodyguard. Much better reasoning than your "I'm not getting a wolfy vibe from DT."


So it would be better to just do what everyone else is doing? "Everyone's voting for DT, I should join in! Looks like fun!". I didn't believe Lathum's reveal, and I still have my doubts but I think Alan did a good thing in giving us some breathing room to reflect on our thoughts about the two reveals.

Alan T 06-26-2008 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saldana (Post 1762043)
this is pretty strong, considering your vote is on me...what makes your throwaway better than my throwaway?


My "throwaway" occurred before the other candidates picked up steam and accompanied with thoughts on why I felt you would be a good vote today. No one else evidently agreed with me. Now if you would like to provide the same logic, then perhaps I won't call it a throw away :)

oliegirl 06-26-2008 01:02 PM

I'm heading out to the pool for a couple of hours, I hate checking the board on my blackberry, it's really slow and looks weird, so I won't be back until after deadline.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1762057)
So it would be better to just do what everyone else is doing? "Everyone's voting for DT, I should join in! Looks like fun!". I didn't believe Lathum's reveal, and I still have my doubts but I think Alan did a good thing in giving us some breathing room to reflect on our thoughts about the two reveals.


I can understand that (your last sentence, that is -- I don't know what you're talking about in the first two sentences). What is it today, then, that makes BK more distrustful to you?

Lathum 06-26-2008 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 1762058)
My "throwaway" occurred before the other candidates picked up steam and accompanied with thoughts on why I felt you would be a good vote today. No one else evidently agreed with me. Now if you would like to provide the same logic, then perhaps I won't call it a throw away :)


but unless you change your vote then it is a throwaway

Telle 06-26-2008 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762070)
I can understand that (your last sentence, that is -- I don't know what you're talking about in the first two sentences). What is it today, then, that makes BK more distrustful to you?


The first two sentences have to do with why I didn't vote for DT. Basically I didn't have a reason to vote for him.

I'd say I still distrust Lathum more than BK, but for the time being I'm willing to wait on Lathum to see how this whole seer thing pans out. So then it comes down to Barkeep versus the other candidates.. and I feel more negative about him than any of the others. Mainly this is because I'm used to him giving really good in-depth analysis and I've seen very little this game. But I also don't know if he's changed his MO since I stopped playing last fall so I could be totally off base here.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1761846)
Well now it's going to look like a pile-on, but out of the four choices Barkeep is the one I'm most distrustful of.

VOTE BARKEEP


Telle, this post (1080) tells me otherwise.

Alan T 06-26-2008 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 1762078)
but unless you change your vote then it is a throwaway



Then I guess you should weigh that appropriately when considering if you think I am good or bad I guess, since that is where we view how to rate throwaways. If it's enough for you to feel I'm evil then go ahead and try to push for my lynch.

Telle 06-26-2008 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762080)
Telle, this post (1080) tells me otherwise.


Eh.. I should have qualified that with saying something about how I was reserving me doubts about Lathum. Basically it comes down to
"doubt of Barkeep" > ("doubt of lathum" - "potentiality for Lathum being a seer")

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1762085)
Eh.. I should have qualified that with saying something about how I was reserving me doubts about Lathum. Basically it comes down to
"doubt of Barkeep" > ("doubt of lathum" - "potentiality for Lathum being a seer")


So today you're taking the potentiality for Lathum being a seer into account, but yesterday, you had no reason to vote DT (according to post 1182) -- so you weren't taking the potentiality for Lathum being a seer into account then?

Telle 06-26-2008 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia (Post 1762100)
So today you're taking the potentiality for Lathum being a seer into account, but yesterday, you had no reason to vote DT (according to post 1182) -- so you weren't taking the potentiality for Lathum being a seer into account then?


Yep. Yesterday I felt very certain that Lathum was lying. Now after more reflection I'm not as sure and am willing to wait on him.

Telle 06-26-2008 01:30 PM

So half hour to deadline and no moves to try and save Barkeep and not even many people in the thread.. does this have meaning?

claphamsa 06-26-2008 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Telle (Post 1762108)
So half hour to deadline and no moves to try and save Barkeep and not even many people in the thread.. does this have meaning?


hes gonna be pissed when he gets back?

GoldenEagle 06-26-2008 01:37 PM

I am interested in saving Barkeep, but my vote alone will not do it. There is no other viable candidate for a lynch at this point. EagleFan might not be a bad pick. I will either vote for EagleFan or pin my vote onto Alan T for hopefully a little protection.

Telle 06-26-2008 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by claphamsa (Post 1762117)
hes gonna be pissed when he gets back?


I just get nervous when there's not movement to save someone. Means we've likely caught a villager.

claphamsa 06-26-2008 01:40 PM

people alays talk about this, but i dont think ive ever seen the wolves move ot save someone late, unless it was endgame.

Alan T 06-26-2008 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle (Post 1762118)
I am interested in saving Barkeep, but my vote alone will not do it. There is no other viable candidate for a lynch at this point. EagleFan might not be a bad pick. I will either vote for EagleFan or pin my vote onto Alan T for hopefully a little protection.


Just like I said with Saldana, I'm going to be a bit disappointed in anyone who votes me for that reason. It could cause chaos for everyone to suddenly try to switch votes late onto me for protection, and there is no reason you should be any more protected then anyone else in my eyes.

As I have said already, the whole hub bub about protection so you can't be killed is just way overblown right now. Until the cunning wolf is caught, it is pretty meaningless. Plus if you think about it further, by being consistant with whom you go after for your vote, if something does happen later in the game to you it might provide a road map for your killer..

So if you would rather see BK not killed, then it is your choice to move to EF to try to save him (would make it a 2 vote game), but this voting me stuff is pointless and harmful.

GoldenEagle 06-26-2008 01:42 PM

My only reservation about voting for EagleFan is a hint that he made in a previous post. At this point, I don't want to vote for Barkeep or EagleFan as I believe that both of them are likely villagers. Lathum is not a good choice either.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:42 PM

UNVOTE TELLE
VOTE EAGLEFAN

Telle 06-26-2008 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle (Post 1762128)
My only reservation about voting for EagleFan is a hint that he made in a previous post. At this point, I don't want to vote for Barkeep or EagleFan as I believe that both of them are likely villagers. Lathum is not a good choice either.


Then how about Chief Rum?

Alan T 06-26-2008 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle (Post 1762128)
My only reservation about voting for EagleFan is a hint that he made in a previous post. At this point, I don't want to vote for Barkeep or EagleFan as I believe that both of them are likely villagers. Lathum is not a good choice either.


Well Chief Rum has 3 votes also.. You have endless number of choices! :)

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenEagle (Post 1762128)
My only reservation about voting for EagleFan is a hint that he made in a previous post. At this point, I don't want to vote for Barkeep or EagleFan as I believe that both of them are likely villagers. Lathum is not a good choice either.


What's the hint? I honestly have very little read on either of them.

Passacaglia 06-26-2008 01:44 PM

Ah, I didn't realize CR had 3 votes also. Oh well.

GoldenEagle 06-26-2008 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan T (Post 1762125)
J
As I have said already, the whole hub bub about protection so you can't be killed is just way overblown right now. Until the cunning wolf is caught, it is pretty meaningless. Plus if you think about it further, by being consistant with whom you go after for your vote, if something does happen later in the game to you it might provide a road map for your killer.


How is it worthless? If I vote for Player X today and he is a wolf, but not the cunning wolf, he can still kill me down the road. Say we get lucky and lynch the cunning wolf today. If I vote for a random player like clap, then I would make myself an easy kill tonight.


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