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Brian Swartz 05-11-2020 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker
The guy built his political career on the claim that Obama could not be President because he was black.


I don't think that's accurate, and it goes back to what I consistently have said about Trump - the reasons for his election go far further than racism. I don't think they're even primarily racism. Dismissing it as that misses the opportunity to meaningfully address the big picture. I've explained which I believe this many times on these forums, but perhaps a smarter and wiser man than me (Simon Sinek) can hold forth this time:

DONALD TRUMP IS A REFLECTION OF US - Simon Sinek on Trump - YouTube

ISiddiqui 05-11-2020 09:07 PM

What do you mean I don't think that's accurate? What other way is there to describe birtherism?


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Brian Swartz 05-11-2020 09:16 PM

Birtherism appealed not just to racists but also to a lot of garden-variety conspiracy theorists not driven by racism. But more importantly, I don't think it's correct to say Trump's political career was built on birtherism either.

NobodyHere 05-11-2020 09:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3280877)
Birtherism appealed not just to racists but also to a lot of garden-variety conspiracy theorists not driven by racism. But more importantly, I don't think it's correct to say Trump's political career was built on birtherism either.


Birtherism was definitely a building block in Trump's political career. Not sure how you can think otherwise. It's not the only block, it may or may not be the largest block. But it is a block none-the-less.

JPhillips 05-11-2020 09:56 PM

Trump absolutely found his political niche with birtherism. It's what gave him the following to start his campaign. He used it as a way to show he would tell the truth when the squishes wouldn't.

JPhillips 05-11-2020 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3280875)
I don't think that's accurate, and it goes back to what I consistently have said about Trump - the reasons for his election go far further than racism. I don't think they're even primarily racism. Dismissing it as that misses the opportunity to meaningfully address the big picture. I've explained which I believe this many times on these forums, but perhaps a smarter and wiser man than me (Simon Sinek) can hold forth this time:

DONALD TRUMP IS A REFLECTION OF US - Simon Sinek on Trump - YouTube


Not everyone who voted...

But there's no doubt that the key group of Trump voters, non-college educated whites, were much more motivated by cultural and racial resentment than by economic anxiety.

Quote:

The PRRI analysis of more than 3,000 voters, summarized The Atlantic’s Emma Green, “suggests financially troubled voters in the white working class were more likely to prefer Clinton over Trump.” Got that? Hillary Clinton over Trump. Meanwhile, partisan affiliation aside, “it was cultural anxiety — feeling like a stranger in America, supporting the deportation of immigrants, and hesitating about educational investment — that best predicted support for Trump.”

In fact, according to the survey data, white, working-class voters who expressed fears of “cultural displacement” were three-and-a-half times more likely to vote for Trump than those who didn’t share these fears.

sterlingice 05-11-2020 10:14 PM

So... Trump telling a Chinese-born reporter to go ask China about his failed coronavirus response has led to splitting hairs about whether Trump is kinda racist or really racist?

The man's an artist in a demented sort of way. I have to give him that.

SI

whomario 05-12-2020 02:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3280848)
We all call other viruses things like Ebola and West Nile. Is that racist too, or is the latest one somehow different?


Or maybe that was some time ago and we now know better ? Or these are quite purposefully NOT named after a country or village (but river/region).

And in this instance "we" is essentially "some peope". (Yes, yes, we dumb sheep elsewhere kowtow to china or are too political correct ...). There has never been a consensus to name a new virus after the place of origin, either. And again, neither was this one actually named that.

It has been called (!) China/Wuhan to make a statement, not because that is what it by some iron clad rule should be its name. I mean, you can agree with that statement, but there's no need to pretend it is some sort of inevitability to call it that or that language is not shaped by or used with intent.

Lathum 05-12-2020 07:52 AM

Good lord trump is tweeting any governor who has a high approval rating has him to thank because they couldn’t have done it without the help of the federal government. I can’t even fathom the alternate reality these people live in.

CrimsonFox 05-12-2020 12:15 PM

The racist baby-in-chief's latest tantrum


NobodyHere 05-12-2020 01:32 PM

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/12/coro...lief-bill.html

Good lord, 3 trillion dollars. With that money they should just pay every adult two grand every month to the end of the year.

But nah, they'll squander it.

ISiddiqui 05-12-2020 01:33 PM

Well, here we go, CARES2 negotiations starting:

Coronavirus stimulus: Democrats’ $3 trillion opening bid for the next stimulus package, explained - Vox

Seems most of it is money for states/localities/tribes, another $1200 payment, extension of added unemployment benefits, a PPP with a lot of additional limits, more funding for testing and contact tracing, money for SNAP benefits, money for elections and vote by mail, more money for USPS, and paying for COBRA benefits.

Also, there are some provisions to help with rent/mortgage payments.

Of course Senate Republicans are calling it a lib wish list, while those on the left are saying it doesn't go far enough. So we'll see what happens. I'm sure the President wants some of this to happen enough (the payments for one so he can send a letter again) that there is going to be some pressure applied.

spleen1015 05-12-2020 02:07 PM

The Dems should put in there they want an autographed 8x10 of Trump included with every check. The GOP would go for it then because Donny will make them.

NobodyHere 05-12-2020 02:26 PM

I have absolutely no doubts that idea would work.

albionmoonlight 05-12-2020 02:34 PM

There Is No Evidence That Voting By Mail Gives One Party An Advantage | FiveThirtyEight

It would be funny if Dems fight tooth and nail for VBM, and the GOP fights tooth and nail against it.

And then it all kind of turns out not to really matter in terms of giving one party an advantage.

Kodos 05-12-2020 02:36 PM

It's sad that one party's best strategy is to suppress voters, rather than try to appeal to a majority of voters in an honest manner.

Atocep 05-12-2020 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kodos (Post 3280956)
It's sad that one party's best strategy is to suppress voters, rather than try to appeal to a majority of voters in an honest manner.


I read a quote from a GOP congressman during the shutdown last year complaining that the Dem platform is just stuff that's popular and Republicans are forced to be the adults in the room.

Yes, I know you can't just give the majority of the people everything they want but it says everything about the state of our politics when the ruling party admits their ideas aren't popular.

Atocep 05-12-2020 03:17 PM

Based on the first day of testimony, Trump's claim that he's essentially a King for 4 year terms isn't going over well. It's looking like a 8-1 or 9-0 decision depending on how the wind blows for Thomas.

GrantDawg 05-12-2020 03:24 PM

That's funny. I was just reading a Vox article that said the House lawyer sound unprepared and the Supreme Court is likely to give Trump wins across the board.

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kingfc22 05-12-2020 03:27 PM

Based off the various articles I've read I don't gather Trump losing this decision.

Of course, by no means am I a lawyer or a constitutional expert.

ISiddiqui 05-12-2020 03:30 PM

GD: I believe you are speaking of this article?

Supreme Court: The House’s defense of its Trump investigation was a disaster - Vox

It does say the House lawyer was terrible and a majority of SCOTUS wants to give sitting Presidents some leeway but also points out that those justices also don't seem inclined to squash the investigations. So more mixed - special, but not total, immunity.

Atocep 05-12-2020 03:49 PM

The house did a terrible job but Trump's team was proba ly even worse. They have no argument other than "he's the president".

Fwiw, Neal Katyal and George Conway both have this 7-2. Thomas should just wear a MAGA hat on the bench at this point while Gorsuch has always supported presidential power.

bronconick 05-12-2020 04:26 PM

After Paula Jones and Whitewater it should be 9-0 against Trump but I assume even if they liked that decision against Clinton, they'll thread the needle like Bush v. Gore where it only applies to this one case(s)

GrantDawg 05-12-2020 04:38 PM

Pete Williams on MSNBC says he believes they will kick it back to the lower court. Most likely, that will draw it out till next year.

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JPhillips 05-12-2020 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3280970)
The house did a terrible job but Trump's team was proba ly even worse. They have no argument other than "he's the president".

Fwiw, Neal Katyal and George Conway both have this 7-2. Thomas should just wear a MAGA hat on the bench at this point while Gorsuch has always supported presidential power.


Temporary Presidential Immunity.

Flasch186 05-12-2020 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3280962)
Based on the first day of testimony, Trump's claim that he's essentially a King for 4 year terms isn't going over well. It's looking like a 8-1 or 9-0 decision depending on how the wind blows for Thomas.


I am reading the opposite.

kingfc22 05-12-2020 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3280941)
Well, here we go, CARES2 negotiations starting:

Coronavirus stimulus: Democrats’ $3 trillion opening bid for the next stimulus package, explained - Vox

Seems most of it is money for states/localities/tribes, another $1200 payment, extension of added unemployment benefits, a PPP with a lot of additional limits, more funding for testing and contact tracing, money for SNAP benefits, money for elections and vote by mail, more money for USPS, and paying for COBRA benefits.

Also, there are some provisions to help with rent/mortgage payments.

Of course Senate Republicans are calling it a lib wish list, while those on the left are saying it doesn't go far enough. So we'll see what happens. I'm sure the President wants some of this to happen enough (the payments for one so he can send a letter again) that there is going to be some pressure applied.


The main talking points they are getting out on social media is: it’s too many words, too many paragraphs and it’s a bailout for...what for it...the evil, dreaded blue states.

NobodyHere 05-12-2020 09:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingfc22 (Post 3280988)
The main talking points they are getting out on social media is: it’s too many words, too many paragraphs and it’s a bailout for...what for it...the evil, dreaded blue states.


It's like the Democrats are trying to push me to vote Libertarian this election.

They should just give every adult 2k/month until the end of the year and maybe let the states tax it.

RainMaker 05-13-2020 04:13 AM

COBRA payments are bullshit. Bailout for insurance companies. If people need coverage, put them in Medicare.

Was told how great private health insurance is and now the government needs to bail it out incessantly at the first sign of a health crisis. Well done dipshits.

albionmoonlight 05-13-2020 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3280993)
It's like the Democrats are trying to push me to vote Libertarian this election.

They should just give every adult 2k/month until the end of the year and maybe let the states tax it.


If you are inclined to vote libertarian, then you should.

BYU 14 05-13-2020 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3281018)
COBRA payments are bullshit. Bailout for insurance companies. If people need coverage, put them in Medicare.

Was told how great private health insurance is and now the government needs to bail it out incessantly at the first sign of a health crisis. Well done dipshits.


COBRA payments are steep since you are now covering the entire cost of the premium with no employer subsidy, but curious how you see this as more helpful to insurance companies than consumers? There is going to be hit regardless. So your are either paying it to an already stretched Medicare program with what is assuredly a multitude or regulations and qualifiers, or putting it on state Medicaid, which creates a greater funding burden.

With all of current Covid-19 related disbursement funds for providers that state programs provide for testing, practice relief, incentives and community based assistance programs administered through health care providers, Medicaid is already running at a financial redline.

There is no winner in where ever you choose to pump additional cash, but at least with the COBRA subsidies it is less taxing on the insureds, who can keep a familiar product without disruption to their healthcare needs.

NobodyHere 05-13-2020 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3281028)
If you are inclined to vote libertarian, then you should.


I would, but then this pops up in my head



My parents always said The Simpsons would be a bad influence on me.

Flasch186 05-13-2020 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3280993)
It's like the Democrats are trying to push me to vote Libertarian this election.

They should just give every adult 2k/month until the end of the year and maybe let the states tax it.


So let me get this straight. Both parties are spending monies to 'save' the capitalist economy yet one wants no oversight of the flow and wants monies to go to the wealthiest companies and one is trying to get money into the hands of people at the bottom and work your way up from there. Yet one of them is wrong to you and one of them is right or are they both bad for it? I would say they're similar now in this regard and it's just whether or not you want the very wealthiest to be able to 'steal' the money (my words) or do you want it to go to people at the bottom who don't 'want to work for it?'

One of them sounds consistent to the way things have gone for about 3 years which we see what that's gotten us and one is about trying to stop the graft and theft by the 1%.

Again its all just redistribution of wealth only one side has made that terms dog whistle. I believe its based upon which way the redistribution flows that determines whether or not you're a current fan of that flow.

tarcone 05-13-2020 09:32 AM

I see it this way. If the Feds are throwing money around like a drunken sailor, no matter how I feel about that, I want my cut. I dont want the oil companies getting money or the banks. Give me $2k a month and let me decide what to do with it. I need that money more than some big corporation that profits are slightly lower than 3 months ago.

Is it redistribution? sure, but its my tax dollars. And I dont want my tax dollars going to big corporations.

Qwikshot 05-13-2020 09:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3280993)
It's like the Democrats are trying to push me to vote Libertarian this election.

They should just give every adult 2k/month until the end of the year and maybe let the states tax it.


I love this. Please do.

I need Trump in office another four years.

As a middle aged, semi wealthy white Christian straight dude, I'm not the target of his scorn, and I may get another tax cut out of it.

Of course, your libertarian ideals will be ignored too but hey, that vote matters to you, and that's what is important.

panerd 05-13-2020 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186 (Post 3281036)
So let me get this straight. Both parties are spending monies to 'save' the capitalist economy yet one wants no oversight of the flow and wants monies to go to the wealthiest companies and one is trying to get money into the hands of people at the bottom and work your way up from there. Yet one of them is wrong to you and one of them is right or are they both bad for it? I would say they're similar now in this regard and it's just whether or not you want the very wealthiest to be able to 'steal' the money (my words) or do you want it to go to people at the bottom who don't 'want to work for it?'

One of them sounds consistent to the way things have gone for about 3 years which we see what that's gotten us and one is about trying to stop the graft and theft by the 1%.

Again its all just redistribution of wealth only one side has made that terms dog whistle. I believe its based upon which way the redistribution flows that determines whether or not you're a current fan of that flow.


The way I am reading it is there is no way he was voting Trump and now the Democrats are losing his vote as well.

Flasch186 05-13-2020 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281043)
The way I am reading it is there is no way he was voting Trump and now the Democrats are losing his vote as well.


...but without a true multi party system (which I would love) built upon less money in politics including a reversal of 'Citizens United' a vote for anything but one of the parties (D or R) is a vote for the D or R who is less affected by the leading 3rd party candidate.

I get it that it feels better in the effort but the effect is the same.

NobodyHere 05-13-2020 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281043)
The way I am reading it is there is no way he was voting Trump and now the Democrats are losing his vote as well.


Pretty much. I am a never-Republican voter who decides between Democrats and Libertarians pretty much depending on my mood and how much I trust the integrity of individual candidates.

panerd 05-13-2020 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186 (Post 3281045)
...but without a true multi party system (which I would love) built upon less money in politics including a reversal of 'Citizens United' a vote for anything but one of the parties (D or R) is a vote for the D or R who is less affected by the leading 3rd party candidate.

I get it that it feels better in the effort but the effect is the same.


As a libertarian voter then why are you assuming where my vote would go in a two party party system?

And the amount of times I have heard "I would love to vote third party but...". Vote third party. Most states are already decided right so your vote for a D or R also doesn't matter. I think Quiksand said this earlier in this thread in a nicer more succinct way. Telling me my vote in Missouri is life or death for the D/R paradigm could be traded off with a California or Wyoming voter whose vote means nothing. But they selfishly stick to their D/R vote so why am I so bad to stick to my L vote? If you really believed in a multi party system your vote is much better made to make one of the third party's achieve 5% then to a 65/30 landslide in a non battleground state.

panerd 05-13-2020 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3281047)
Pretty much. I am a never-Republican voter who decides between Democrats and Libertarians pretty much depending on my mood and how much I trust the integrity of individual candidates.


I am a NO Trump, highly likely never Republican, mostly Libertarian/ but possible Democrat voter. I voted Claire McCaskill and actually like Biden as a candidate though the possibility of Amash had made me reconsider a little. My problem is my vote for Biden would be a vote for no Trump and a return to sanity but fear a Biden victory would lead the Democrats to believe my vote was a mandate on some of the crazier (EDIT: IMO) Sanders/AOC/Pelosi aspects of the Democratic Party.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU 14 (Post 3281029)
There is no winner in where ever you choose to pump additional cash, but at least with the COBRA subsidies it is less taxing on the insureds, who can keep a familiar product without disruption to their healthcare needs.


Exactly. In addition to losing out on ER subsidies for health plans, they can charge a 2% admin fee - so now in order to keep their same health plan Participants would have to pay up to 102% of the premium costs. This can be substantial (note: I work in the government agency that enforces COBRA).

It is probably far more likely, without a COBRA bailout that Participants would just drop COBRA and go for a less comprehensive ACA Plan (they would be eligible to sign on under special enrollment because they've lost their job) which would likely cost less.

Not to mention that this is something that you probably CAN get Republican support on (not for the entirety of COBRA benefits, of course). Putting them on Medicare would be a complete non-starter (as the GOP would consider it an attempt to start a Medicare for All plan).

albionmoonlight 05-13-2020 10:15 AM



Good news for Trump. He seems to be slightly improving in polling.

Qwikshot 05-13-2020 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281049)
I am a NO Trump, highly likely never Republican, mostly Libertarian/ but possible Democrat voter. I voted Claire McCaskill and actually like Biden as a candidate though the possibility of Amash had made me reconsider a little. My problem is my vote for Biden would be a vote for no Trump and a return to sanity but fear a Biden victory would lead the Democrats to believe my vote was a mandate on some of the crazier (EDIT: IMO) Sanders/AOC/Pelosi aspects of the Democratic Party.


Truth is, even if Biden wins, the Republicans/FoxNews cycle will decimate any sort of momentum the Democrats would have and in another four years, he'll be popped out for Trump Jr anyway.

If Trump is voted out (unlikely), the Repubs would make it their goal to make Biden a one term president too. They'll stall judges and everything, just to make this happen.

Then they'll state that Biden was inept and we need "leadership" (and tax cuts for the wealthy) back again...oh and the Bible too...

Qwikshot 05-13-2020 10:35 AM

Quote:

I asked whether Republican lawmakers are worried that the pandemic made Trump’s campaign unwinnable. “I don’t think people are freaking out that it’s the end of Trump,” the Senate aide said. “They’re freaking out about [whether] it’s the end of their majority or their career. If Trump goes down and goes down big, that means you lose a lot of congressional seats and Senate races. But if you had Biden elected and a Republican Senate, I’m not sure you’d have a lot of complaints.” The aide laughed. “They’d be able to adapt to that world.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...s-2020/611500/

BYU 14 05-13-2020 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3281053)
Truth is, even if Biden wins, the Republicans/FoxNews cycle will decimate any sort of momentum the Democrats would have and in another four years, he'll be popped out for Trump Jr anyway.

If Trump is voted out (unlikely), the Repubs would make it their goal to make Biden a one term president too. They'll stall judges and everything, just to make this happen.

Then they'll state that Biden was inept and we need "leadership" (and tax cuts for the wealthy) back again...oh and the Bible too...


Well to be fair, Biden has already made it clear he is a one term President. so the real key here is flipping the Senate.

larrymcg421 05-13-2020 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3281053)
Truth is, even if Biden wins, the Republicans/FoxNews cycle will decimate any sort of momentum the Democrats would have and in another four years, he'll be popped out for Trump Jr anyway.

If Trump is voted out (unlikely), the Repubs would make it their goal to make Biden a one term president too. They'll stall judges and everything, just to make this happen.

Then they'll state that Biden was inept and we need "leadership" (and tax cuts for the wealthy) back again...oh and the Bible too...


Why is it unlikely that Trump gets voted out?

Flasch186 05-13-2020 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281048)
As a libertarian voter then why are you assuming where my vote would go in a two party party system?

And the amount of times I have heard "I would love to vote third party but...". Vote third party. Most states are already decided right so your vote for a D or R also doesn't matter. I think Quiksand said this earlier in this thread in a nicer more succinct way. Telling me my vote in Missouri is life or death for the D/R paradigm could be traded off with a California or Wyoming voter whose vote means nothing. But they selfishly stick to their D/R vote so why am I so bad to stick to my L vote? If you really believed in a multi party system your vote is much better made to make one of the third party's achieve 5% then to a 65/30 landslide in a non battleground state.


It's chicken and egg. I would love to vote 3rd party but feel that we cannot until Citizen's United is repealed.

I'm not assuming where it'll go. What I said is wherever it does go will in essence be a vote for the party in that state that is most hurt by that.

Atocep 05-13-2020 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 3281056)
Why is it unlikely that Trump gets voted out?


It's fascinating to me that the majority see Trump as the favorite despite trailing Biden in the polls for well over a year now, Trump remaining underwater with his approval rating, and the generic congressional poll showing Dems with an 8 point lead.

I think 538's chat this morning covers most of the reasons.

If Trump Is Down In The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win? | FiveThirtyEight

JPhillips 05-13-2020 11:21 AM

I've always thought that if you're voting for a third party, that's fine. You should give your support to the party that most closely fits your desires. My problem is with the people that vote third party as a protest. If you're more closely aligned with one of the two major parties, voting for a third party really does make it more likely that the opposition party wins.

Kodos 05-13-2020 11:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281049)
My problem is my vote for Biden would be a vote for no Trump and a return to sanity but fear a Biden victory would lead the Democrats to believe my vote was a mandate on some of the crazier (EDIT: IMO) Sanders/AOC/Pelosi aspects of the Democratic Party.


I think the risk of some of the more extreme democratic positions getting enacted under Biden is pretty small. The guy is a moderate.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186 (Post 3281058)
It's chicken and egg. I would love to vote 3rd party but feel that we cannot until Citizen's United is repealed.


I don't actually think Citizen's United matters that much here - pre CU you didn't have viable 3rd parties really - you had a rich guy who could spend his own money, but that exists today as well. The only way 3rd parties are going to matter is with Ranked Voting (which Maine now has for federal elections) or a Parliamentary system.

But even with ranked voting, it'll probably take a while for 3rd party representation in Congress.

JPhillips 05-13-2020 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kodos (Post 3281061)
I think the risk of some of the more extreme democratic positions getting enacted under Biden is pretty small. The guy is a moderate.


There weren't even 60 Dems in the Senate for a public option.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3281063)
There weren't even 60 Dems in the Senate for a public option.


Yeah, I can't see Senator Manchin voting for Medicare for All (though he has voted for protecting the ACA as is at least)

JPhillips 05-13-2020 12:12 PM

Quote:

I don't want to have to wear a face mask in the shower.

How can you get anywhere when GOP senators are willing to spout such bullshit?

Atocep 05-13-2020 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3281066)
How can you get anywhere when GOP senators are willing to spout such bullshit?


How about John Cornyn saying this during a PBS interview yesterday?

Quote:

"Well, the good news is that if you lose your employer-provided coverage, which covers about 180 million Americans, that is a significant life event, which makes you then eligible to sign up for the Affordable Care Act -- and as you know, it has a sliding scale of subsidies up to 400% of poverty. So that's an option for people.... [T]he good news is people can find, get coverage under the Affordable Care Act or via Medicaid based on their income."

Cornyn has voted 20 times to block, repeal, or defund the ACA.

Qwikshot 05-13-2020 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 3281056)
Why is it unlikely that Trump gets voted out?


Think of all the shit he's pulled and he's still polling the same.

The regions that support him haven't changed, or been affected to a state they'll go blue.

He's going to be re-elected and put another judge on SCOTUS. Plus have you seen the circuit judges they've been shunting in?

Then at the end of the 4 years, he'll have enough judges to stay as POTUS until his son is ready to take over.

Barr and company will do anything to prop him.

Putin didn't really have to do much to damage the US permanently. We're doing it quite well now on our own.

RainMaker 05-13-2020 05:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU 14 (Post 3281029)
COBRA payments are steep since you are now covering the entire cost of the premium with no employer subsidy, but curious how you see this as more helpful to insurance companies than consumers? There is going to be hit regardless. So your are either paying it to an already stretched Medicare program with what is assuredly a multitude or regulations and qualifiers, or putting it on state Medicaid, which creates a greater funding burden.

With all of current Covid-19 related disbursement funds for providers that state programs provide for testing, practice relief, incentives and community based assistance programs administered through health care providers, Medicaid is already running at a financial redline.

There is no winner in where ever you choose to pump additional cash, but at least with the COBRA subsidies it is less taxing on the insureds, who can keep a familiar product without disruption to their healthcare needs.


If insurance companies are losing customers, perhaps them and the doctors should lower their rates to make premiums more affordable? Like in a free market?

Y'all wanted private health insurance, deal with the consequences.

Atocep 05-13-2020 06:21 PM

The Wisconsin Supreme Court rules that the state's stay at home order is illegal.

BishopMVP 05-13-2020 09:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281049)
I am a NO Trump, highly likely never Republican, mostly Libertarian/ but possible Democrat voter. I voted Claire McCaskill and actually like Biden as a candidate though the possibility of Amash had made me reconsider a little. My problem is my vote for Biden would be a vote for no Trump and a return to sanity but fear a Biden victory would lead the Democrats to believe my vote was a mandate on some of the crazier (EDIT: IMO) Sanders/AOC/Pelosi aspects of the Democratic Party.

Don't worry too much, every time the Democrats get that power that "crazier" wing and the "let's be pragmatic and not piss off Republican voters" wing devolve into infighting and let the Republican Party dig in and prevent any massive changes. (Fwiw I don't like her, but I also don't think Pelosi is super progressive or radical.)

RainMaker 05-13-2020 09:35 PM

lol at putting Pelosi in the same category as AOC and Sanders.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3281101)
If insurance companies are losing customers, perhaps them and the doctors should lower their rates to make premiums more affordable? Like in a free market?

Y'all wanted private health insurance, deal with the consequences.


This is literally a plan to help people who have lost insurance by helping to pay for a program that these people are already eligible for, but sure, completely miss the point (esp since insurance companies aren't really fans of COBRA and would prefer these people have to buy individual policies outside of a group health plan).

RainMaker 05-13-2020 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281131)
This is literally a plan to help people who have lost insurance by helping to pay for a program that these people are already eligible for, but sure, completely miss the point.


It's not a program, it's just the cost for a private health insurance plan.

The point is, why not just put them on Medicare? A program that already exists. Put the money allocated toward that instead of handing it to a private health insurance company that now doesn't have to adjust their price to the market.

It's another privatize profits, socialize losses play. Sorry that the private health insurance defenders got exposed as frauds by this. Change how its done instead of prop up a failed idea.

RainMaker 05-13-2020 10:41 PM

Government health care is bad unless they add in a completely unnecessary middleman to collect billions in taxpayer money. Then it is good.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 10:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3281133)
It's not a program, it's just the cost for a private health insurance plan.

The point is, why not just put them on Medicare? A program that already exists. Put the money allocated toward that instead of handing it to a private health insurance company that now doesn't have to adjust their price to the market.

It's another privatize profits, socialize losses play. Sorry that the private health insurance defenders got exposed as frauds by this. Change how its done instead of prop up a failed idea.


Please let us know when you make that magic wand that will convince even the conservative Dems in the Senate to put people on Medicare who've lost their jobs due to this pandemic (adding them onto a Medicaid expansion would be more likely politically, but still DOA). Paying for part of COBRA has, of course, been done before in a stimulus, and is far more likely to pass - but when have you ever cared about that?

I'm just tired of the morons who claim the ACA was just a giveaway to the insurance companies when for about a decade I've been enforcing the ACA against insurance companies who try to get around the mandates of the ACA (usually they try to play fast and loose with what is considered preventive care). No insurance company attorney I've interviewed actually likes the ACA (though they always say they want to follow it... though then they interpret it in strange ways). In addition, prior to the ACA, the federal government hardly went after the insurance companies, as that was considered a state issue. Not to mention the original law had Medicaid expansion required (struck down by the Supreme Court).

BYU 14 05-13-2020 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3281101)
If insurance companies are losing customers, perhaps them and the doctors should lower their rates to make premiums more affordable? Like in a free market?

Y'all wanted private health insurance, deal with the consequences.


If you had to work with the morass of inane over regulation that is CMS, you wouldn't be so quick to trumpet that cause, I promise. I am for Universal Health care, but we are nowhere near ready for it here yet.

ISiddiqui 05-13-2020 11:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU 14 (Post 3281142)
If you had to work with the morass of inane over regulation that is CMS, you wouldn't be so quick to trumpet that cause, I promise. I am for Universal Health care, but we are nowhere near ready for it here yet.


It is unfortunate that there weren't the votes for a public option. I also wonder if most people who trumpet M4A realize that most people on Medicare purchase private insurance to supplement the gaps (Medicare Advantage/Part C or Medigap). Not to mention that there is cost sharing applied in Medicare (deductible and copays, though they are pretty reasonable as far as I can tell).

Galaril 05-13-2020 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3281071)

Putin didn't really have to do much to damage the US permanently. We're doing it quite well now on our own.


Serious question but I am now starting to wonder if my grandkids will be reading in history books someday about how the US lost the Cold War with the old USSR/Russia thanks to them getting a Manchuria Candidate type elected with Trump in 2016/2020 and who knows if one his kids get elected after him.
Working in Cyber security I see quite a bit of the attack’s and threats they generate and send at us to just poison Americans and our systems of democracy and is pretty un-nerving. Do we do it them and other “enemies” of the US? Yes, it is just we are not as successful at it as they are are.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2020 06:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3276507)


Not that there was any doubt.

I'm guessing that this is a pretty good time for the GOP Senate to release this. Long before the 2020 election, and its gonna get buried in COVID-19 news.


Trump/Barr's FBI just got a search warrant for Barr as part of the insider trading scandal.

At first, I thought it was strange that they were bothering to go after a Republican.

But then I learned that, apparently, the Senate Intelligence Committee (of which Barr is the chair) still has more of this Report to release.

I don't think that anyone in the United States noticed when this report came out. But it must have ruffled a few feathers in Moscow and the White House.

So how does this work now? Barr will step down as committee chair. McConnell will appoint a new committee chair, and the Report will now focus on Hunter Biden.

Oh, and after Barr steps down, the DOJ investigation into him will just sort of peter out . . .

panerd 05-14-2020 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3281121)
lol at putting Pelosi in the same category as AOC and Sanders.


Yep, she's the de facto head of the party is she not? If they decide to run with AOC and Sanders ideas guess who implements it?

panerd 05-14-2020 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galaril (Post 3281146)
Serious question but I am now starting to wonder if my grandkids will be reading in history books someday about how the US lost the Cold War with the old USSR/Russia thanks to them getting a Manchuria Candidate type elected with Trump in 2016/2020 and who knows if one his kids get elected after him.
Working in Cyber security I see quite a bit of the attack’s and threats they generate and send at us to just poison Americans and our systems of democracy and is pretty un-nerving. Do we do it them and other “enemies” of the US? Yes, it is just we are not as successful at it as they are are.


Seriously? I've seen this a few times on here the last couple of days there really is some sort of fear of a monarchy with Don Jr. or Ivanka as the new dictator/king/queen? LOL, too much Game of Thrones watching I guess?

And you can't be serious on the United States unsuccessfully meddling in other countries affairs. That's the entire basis of the Cold War in South Korea, Japan, Western Europe, Central America, the Middle East...

QuikSand 05-14-2020 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 3281169)
Trump/Barr's FBI just got a search warrant for Barr as part of the insider trading scandal.

At first, I thought it was strange that they were bothering to go after a Republican.

But then I learned that, apparently, the Senate Intelligence Committee (of which Barr is the chair) still has more of this Report to release.

I don't think that anyone in the United States noticed when this report came out. But it must have ruffled a few feathers in Moscow and the White House.

So how does this work now? Barr will step down as committee chair. McConnell will appoint a new committee chair, and the Report will now focus on Hunter Biden.

Oh, and after Barr steps down, the DOJ investigation into him will just sort of peter out . . .


You, among all of us, should know by now that the proper framing of any "think about this Administration and what they do" is to adopt the mindset that they are simply a fairly standard organized crime enterprise (albeit out of the usual milieu for same). The loyalty-above-all, turf-defending, deceit-as-default, ruthlessness... it all makes complete sense in that light.

spleen1015 05-14-2020 08:38 AM

My worry is that he will somehow win the election by rigging things in his favor.

Right now, I think the next several months are going to end up being key in the election. If we keep going down the road we are and things get worse, it is going to be really bad for his re-election chances.

Also, 3 million less people voted in 2016 than in 2012. If more people vote, then I don't think he'll win either.

I didn't think he was going to win in 2016 either, so what the hell do I know?

Jas_lov 05-14-2020 08:57 AM

In recent polling Trump was trailing Biden among voters 65+ If that holds he won't win. He won that demographic by 7-8 points in 2016.

Qwikshot 05-14-2020 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281182)
Seriously? I've seen this a few times on here the last couple of days there really is some sort of fear of a monarchy with Don Jr. or Ivanka as the new dictator/king/queen? LOL, too much Game of Thrones watching I guess?

And you can't be serious on the United States unsuccessfully meddling in other countries affairs. That's the entire basis of the Cold War in South Korea, Japan, Western Europe, Central America, the Middle East...


Cool, downplay it. That's why we have this Idiot in Chief now. He wants legacy ("the wall") and he plays up his genes and progeny. Feel free to be ignorant about it.

Quote:

Serious question but I am now starting to wonder if my grandkids will be reading in history books someday about how the US lost the Cold War with the old USSR/Russia thanks to them getting a Manchuria Candidate type elected with Trump in 2016/2020 and who knows if one his kids get elected after him.
Working in Cyber security I see quite a bit of the attack’s and threats they generate and send at us to just poison Americans and our systems of democracy and is pretty un-nerving. Do we do it them and other “enemies” of the US? Yes, it is just we are not as successful at it as they are are.

I think you are being too nationalistic about it. Putin only cares about Putin, he uses nationalism to control the masses, it's how he wields the influence. From what I gather, Putin and his loyalists are very wealthy and that is how they pushed on toppling influence.

It's not about USA vs Russia or China. It's about the rich controlling power. The very wealthy and the very wealthy combining their influence and using nationalism and culture to foment and control.

Trump only cares about Trump. He'll do anything to keep power. They'll do everything to keep power (more Trump circuit judges, control SCOTUS). Even if they lose the Senate, I'm pretty sure they'll take it to court and win because Trump wants loyalty over all else.

Every system built to prevent this has been stripped or compromised. Once he gets the election, he'll force for an extension of term limits because "he's better than any president" and his base will go to war for it. If he has the Senate and SCOTUS, it'll be a mere formality.

Then he'll sell his brand for Donald Jr (really it'll still be Kushner behind the scenes) and Donald (just like when Putin had Medvedev as his proxy). It'll be Donald. Will the courts stacked with loyalists, there will be no opposition. He'll simply crush them with Foxnews and prosecutions.

His followers will lap it up. The stupids will "own" America culturally, the Corporations will own America financially, and the rich will own America in reality.

Watch what happens in November and tell me I'm wrong. I'm not some conspiracy theorists, it is like watching a car crash happen in slow motion.

Qwikshot 05-14-2020 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jas_lov (Post 3281189)
In recent polling Trump was trailing Biden among voters 65+ If that holds he won't win. He won that demographic by 7-8 points in 2016.


I think some news outlet polled that Trump is leading in all battleground states. They're the only ones that matter. He only needs a few of those and it Trump time all the time.

panerd 05-14-2020 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3281190)
Cool, downplay it. That's why we have this Idiot in Chief now. He wants legacy ("the wall") and he plays up his genes and progeny. Feel free to be ignorant about it.


The "Idiot in Chief" (your words) who is an imbecile in every sense of the word (my words) is going to overthrow 200+ years of American government thus leading to a Trump ruling dynasty? Yeah you are right I am the one being ignorant that theory is not out there at all!

Qwikshot 05-14-2020 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281194)
The "Idiot in Chief" (your words) who is an imbecile in every sense of the word (my words) is going to overthrow 200+ years of American government thus leading to a Trump ruling dynasty? Yeah you are right I am the one being ignorant that theory is not out there at all!


Okay, whatever you say man. Laugh about it. Trump is an idiot, but the powers that back him aren't.

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 09:48 AM

If Trump wins in 2020, I don't know how anyone can dismiss Ivanka being a big contender in 2024.

BYU 14 05-14-2020 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281144)
It is unfortunate that there weren't the votes for a public option. I also wonder if most people who trumpet M4A realize that most people on Medicare purchase private insurance to supplement the gaps (Medicare Advantage/Part C or Medigap). Not to mention that there is cost sharing applied in Medicare (deductible and copays, though they are pretty reasonable as far as I can tell).


The deductibles can be a killer for folks not making a lot of money. 1408.00 once per benefit period for an IP admit, then a coinsurance 352.00 for days 61-90 if it is long term.

In addition if a member is discharged and stays out of an inpatient setting for over 60 days a new benefit period starts meaning another 1408.00 deductible. So in theory a member could be admitted for short stays (2-4 days) in January, April, July and November and have to pay 5632.00 in deductible charges in addition to any part B cost share (198.00 yearly deductible then 20% coinsurance) so it can add up.

JPhillips 05-14-2020 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qwikshot (Post 3281192)
I think some news outlet polled that Trump is leading in all battleground states. They're the only ones that matter. He only needs a few of those and it Trump time all the time.


Something is odd about that poll, though. It has Biden up 6 nationally, but down 7 in those battleground states. I could maybe buy Biden being slightly behind, but a 13 point difference between national and battleground is just too much to take seriously, IMO.

BYU 14 05-14-2020 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281198)
If Trump wins in 2020, I don't know how anyone can dismiss Ivanka being a big contender in 2024.


Or Donald Jr. who has all of the arrogance/ignorance of his dad, but can actually string coherent, intelligent sentences together.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2020 09:57 AM

The polls seem a bit weird right now.

Like, if these Senate polls are to be believed, then the GOP is in for the bloodbath of our lifetimes:

What To Make Of Those New Senate Polls That Have Democrats Way Ahead | FiveThirtyEight

I mean, if that's the national mood, then states like Ohio and Iowa are back in play for the Democrats.

But these polls seem like crazy outliers and out of sync with the polls showing Trump cutting into Biden's lead, Trump's approval remaining steady, Trump keeping very high GOP support, etc.

On balance, there seems to be more good news than bad for the GOP, but there's some crazy shit out there right now.

panerd 05-14-2020 10:23 AM

LOL at you guys. Seriously I love the fact that this board doesn't get into "Bush did this!" well "Obama did this!" nonsense of most of the internet and the discourse is really civil and often productive. But Ivanka or Don Jr. in 2024? You guys are out of your minds obsessed with fear of Donald Trump!

Kodos 05-14-2020 10:38 AM

I think we're reacting to the fact that his backers stick with him no matter what he does. Stuff that would be political death to others bounces off of him. I do think people are going a little far in extrapolating what might happen down the road with his offspring, in part because we got burned so badly when Trump won the presidency. At a time where a competent president would have been a really good thing to have, we got a conspiracy theorist who doesn't believe in science.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2020 10:42 AM



Be careful what you wish for, Donnie.

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 10:46 AM

This isn't just pie-in-the-sky speculation.

From January:
Donald Trump Jr and Ivanka Trump among top Republican picks for 2024 | US news | The Guardian

Quote:

Forty percent of respondents to the survey by news site Axios and Survey Monkey wanted the vice-president, Mike Pence, to be the Republican nominee in 2024, whether to succeed Donald Trump in the Oval Office or to take on a Democratic incumbent if this year’s race is lost.

Twenty-six percent wanted Nikki Haley, formerly governor of South Carolina and ambassador to the United Nations under Trump.

But 29% plumped for Donald Trump Jr, a regular surrogate for his father despite nominally being separated from the political side of the family by joint control, with his brother Eric, of the Trump Organization.

Ivanka Trump, with her husband, Jared Kushner, a senior adviser in the White House, was supported by 16%.

Note: This isn't a traditional Survey Monkey poll - there was a random selection by Axios and Survey Monkey. I don't think it's as good as some of the traditional polls, but it isn't self selected results either.

Qwikshot 05-14-2020 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281204)
LOL at you guys. Seriously I love the fact that this board doesn't get into "Bush did this!" well "Obama did this!" nonsense of most of the internet and the discourse is really civil and often productive. But Ivanka or Don Jr. in 2024? You guys are out of your minds obsessed with fear of Donald Trump!


I'm sure those on the Titanic thought it was going to turn out alright too.

Quote:

This isn't just pie-in-the-sky speculation.

From January:
Donald Trump Jr and Ivanka Trump among top Republican picks for 2024 | US news | The Guardian

Quote:
Forty percent of respondents to the survey by news site Axios and Survey Monkey wanted the vice-president, Mike Pence, to be the Republican nominee in 2024, whether to succeed Donald Trump in the Oval Office or to take on a Democratic incumbent if this year’s race is lost.

Twenty-six percent wanted Nikki Haley, formerly governor of South Carolina and ambassador to the United Nations under Trump.

But 29% plumped for Donald Trump Jr, a regular surrogate for his father despite nominally being separated from the political side of the family by joint control, with his brother Eric, of the Trump Organization.

Ivanka Trump, with her husband, Jared Kushner, a senior adviser in the White House, was supported by 16%.

Note: This isn't a traditional Survey Monkey poll - there was a random selection by Axios and Survey Monkey. I don't think it's as good as some of the traditional polls, but it isn't self selected results either.

You can laugh all you want, Republicans have a base now that is fanatical in keeping control the way they want to the point of subverting all government controls.

bronconick 05-14-2020 10:58 AM

That and the next GOP nominee will probably try to harness Trump's campaign style and ideas unless he gets beaten badly in November, which is unlikely when he continues to hold 40-45% overall and 85-90% of the Republican party. If it isn't a Don Jr, it'll be someone trying to copy Trump (DeSantis maybe?). It's not going to be a Paul Ryan or a Pence.

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bronconick (Post 3281210)
That and the next GOP nominee will probably try to harness Trump's campaign style and ideas unless he gets beaten badly in November, which is unlikely when he continues to hold 40-45% overall and 85-90% of the Republican party. If it isn't a Don Jr, it'll be someone trying to copy Trump (DeSantis maybe?). It's not going to be a Paul Ryan or a Pence.


Right, if Trump wins or loses closely in November (and then Trump claims he was stabbed in the back by the media or something), 2024 is going to have a Trump like GOP candidate (if not Trump himself if he loses this year).

The only way to prevent that is for him to get thumped.

panerd 05-14-2020 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281207)
This isn't just pie-in-the-sky speculation.

From January:
Donald Trump Jr and Ivanka Trump among top Republican picks for 2024 | US news | The Guardian



Note: This isn't a traditional Survey Monkey poll - there was a random selection by Axios and Survey Monkey. I don't think it's as good as some of the traditional polls, but it isn't self selected results either.


So if the GOP runs a Jewish woman won't that cut into the misogynism and Nazi sympathizer angle that every other GOP candidate is usually painted with?

Just don't see it happening but I guess I will back off you guys being nuts and just stick with people in general being nuts if >1% would support either as a candidate for President of the United States. Personally I have no fear of it happening as...

1) Trump isn't winning in 2020
2) If he did Mike Pence would run in 2024 as running either of the other two would be giving up the race.

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281214)
So if the GOP runs a Jewish woman won't that cut into the misogynism and Nazi sympathizer angle that every other GOP candidate is usually painted with?


I have my speculation that Ivanka is actually far more of a moderate (if not a conservative Democrat). That may hurt her against Don, Jr.

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 11:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281214)
If he did Mike Pence would run in 2024 as running either of the other two would be giving up the race.


You know there is a primary right? Don Jr is apparently had chants of "46!" at Trump rallies and you KNOW that Trump is going to go for one of his own over Pence. That Trump endorsement is going to be massive.

Now, Pence may still win, but a Trump kid is going to be in the top 3 in 2024 if Trump wins in November.

panerd 05-14-2020 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281215)
I have my speculation that Ivanka is actually far more of a moderate (if not a conservative Democrat). That may hurt her against Don, Jr.


I think Donald Trump is too but he sees the only way to stay in power is to play off this current persona. (He's on awful president by the way but I'm not sure he cares about most of the stuff he does, he just does it to stay in power)

ISiddiqui 05-14-2020 11:14 AM

Trump has always been a racist who wanted benefits for the wealthy though - for decades this is how he was seen in the NYC metro area. He may be more liberal when dealing with gay and lesbian people, but he's been as moderate as, say, Rudy Guiliani has been moderate.

Lathum 05-14-2020 11:26 AM

Watching some of this hearing. Glad republicans still don't actually ask questions and only grandstand. Hudson from NC just thanked Trump for the great job he is doing considering he wasn't left with any plan from the previous administration. WTF. It is amazing how these elected representatives flat out lie.

Lathum 05-14-2020 11:31 AM

Just noted Fox News isn't showing the hearing. Can't have their viewers get educated.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2020 11:39 AM

Burr steps down as chair.

With all due respect to Nate Silver and Co., any story about the 2020 election that is not about the United States Department of Justice encouraging and covering up foreign interference in the election on behalf of the GOP is not actually a story about the 2020 election.

albionmoonlight 05-14-2020 11:42 AM

dola: and for those wondering about how some of us are convinced that Trump will win in 2020, this is my answer at least.

In one week, the DOJ refused to prosecute someone who helped Russia interfere in our elections and took steps to prosecute a sitting Senator who was willing to confirm that Russia tried to interfere in our elections.

Add a 5-4 GOP SCOTUS to that mix, and you've got 4 more years.

sterlingice 05-14-2020 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3281204)
LOL at you guys. Seriously I love the fact that this board doesn't get into "Bush did this!" well "Obama did this!" nonsense of most of the internet and the discourse is really civil and often productive. But Ivanka or Don Jr. in 2024? You guys are out of your minds obsessed with fear of Donald Trump!


Quote:

Originally Posted by Kodos (Post 3281205)
I think we're reacting to the fact that his backers stick with him no matter what he does. Stuff that would be political death to others bounces off of him. I do think people are going a little far in extrapolating what might happen down the road with his offspring, in part because we got burned so badly when Trump won the presidency. At a time where a competent president would have been a really good thing to have, we got a conspiracy theorist who doesn't believe in science.


I'm with panerd here. I think that courtesy extends to Donald Trump and only Donald Trump. His kids don't get nearly the same leeway or have the "mystique" around him that he does.

I fear there will be another demagogue that those same people latch onto but it's not going to be his kids.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3281213)
Right, if Trump wins or loses closely in November (and then Trump claims he was stabbed in the back by the media or something), 2024 is going to have a Trump like GOP candidate (if not Trump himself if he loses this year).

The only way to prevent that is for him to get thumped.


Yeah, see - that's the bigger problem. No matter who wins in 2020, there's going to be someone who tries to channel Trump in 2024 for the GOP. I don't see how they avoid it. It's going to be some crazy white nationalist and protectionist who saw what Trump did as the way to win with an ever shrinking GOP base unless they get totally destroyed in this election. And I don't think that's happening - there are just too many wacky variables in play from non-traditional COVID voting patterns to ever more prevalent voter suppression to Trump's weird political teflon.

Hell, if Trump loses in 2020 and he's alive in 2024, why not Trump again? He'll have spent the last 4 years trying to slam Biden (or whoever) and stay in the spotlight.

SI

JPhillips 05-14-2020 11:55 AM

Hawley and Cotton will literally murder people to get their chance at POTUS. Both of them scare me more than Trump because they have a plan and aren't lazy. To some degree, we've been lucky that Trump isn't interested in anything other than ego gratification. We've seen a lot of weaknesses in the system exposed now, so the next would-be autocrat is going to be tremendously dangerous.


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