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-   -   Israeli-Hamas & Iran war (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=99006)

PilotMan 06-17-2025 03:56 PM

I've always thought it was amusing that the same Americans that elected trump and scream about English being the language, and foreigners that never assimilate and don't deserve to be here, are the same ones that don't seem too concerned about the large amount of Orthodox Jews, or the Amish communities we have throughout the US.

RainMaker 06-17-2025 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3464873)
I've always thought it was amusing that the same Americans that elected trump and scream about English being the language, and foreigners that never assimilate and don't deserve to be here, are the same ones that don't seem too concerned about the large amount of Orthodox Jews, or the Amish communities we have throughout the US.


It's because they're white.

RainMaker 06-17-2025 04:53 PM

This would be an interesting test for NATO.

Edward64 06-17-2025 06:13 PM

Gee, wonder why …

Quote:

US to shut embassy in Jerusalem from Wednesday through Friday
The U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem will be shut from Wednesday through Friday due to the security situation in the region and to comply with Israeli guidance, the U.S. State Department said on Tuesday.

"Given the security situation and in compliance with Israel Home Front Command guidance, the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem will be closed tomorrow (Wednesday, June 18) through Friday (June 20). This includes the Consular Sections in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv," the State Department said on X.

--Reuters

GrantDawg 06-17-2025 07:17 PM

Israel also called for the evacuation of the heaviest populated areas of Tehran. It is also where some of the biggest weapons manufacturing plants are.

Edit: and they hit the area heavy about an hour ago.

RainMaker 06-17-2025 08:31 PM

Weird timeline when MTG and Tucker Carlson are your biggest antiwar voices in the country at the moment. Also really funny seeing these guys when they don't get lobbed softballs by Fox News.


BYU 14 06-17-2025 08:40 PM

What kind of bizarro world do we live in when I actually like Tucker Carlson, but then anybody sitting across from Ted Cruz is likeable I guess.

Atocep 06-17-2025 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3464903)
Weird timeline when MTG and Tucker Carlson are your biggest antiwar voices in the country at the moment. Also really funny seeing these guys when they don't get lobbed softballs by Fox News.



Trump reportedly liked the coverage Israel was getting on Fox News and wanted to jump in and start taking some credit for it, which is where the "we" stuff and his interest in pulling us into the conflict came from. Everyone seems to know it too, since MGT and Tucker have both blamed Fox News for this.

GrantDawg 06-17-2025 08:54 PM

I still just want to punch both of them in the face.

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RainMaker 06-17-2025 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3464906)
Trump reportedly liked the coverage Israel was getting on Fox News and wanted to jump in and start taking some credit for it, which is where the "we" stuff and his interest in pulling us into the conflict came from. Everyone seems to know it too, since MGT and Tucker have both blamed Fox News for this.


I think that's just how MAGA operates. Trump can never make a mistake, it has to be advisors or news networks that cause the problem. Its how people used to talk about royalty.

JPhillips 06-17-2025 09:55 PM

It's so fucking hard to praise Tucker, but he's absolutely right that a senator leading the call for war should have studied the country. There was a time that a performance like this would have ended up with the guys at the top gelding Cruz, but those guys are bigger idiots than he is, so...

RainMaker 06-17-2025 10:00 PM

More clips

Ghost Econ 06-18-2025 04:13 AM

That was the dumbest conversation. Also, tucker works for Putin, it's not really a surprise he's on Iran's side on this.

Edward64 06-18-2025 04:49 AM

WSJ and WaPo reporting that Israel is running low on its Arrow interceptor missiles. Iran has a lot of ballistic missiles left but are limited by the launchers, and not all of those have the range to hit Israel.

Just a moment...
Quote:

Israel is running low on defensive “Arrow” missile interceptors, The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday, citing an unnamed US official.
Quote:

A report in The Washington Post Tuesday cited a person briefed on US and Israeli intelligence, who said that, according to “some assessments,” Israel can maintain its air defense for 10-12 days at the current rate of Iranian attacks — which have lessened since the start of the fighting last week — before it will require the US to replenish its stocks or get more involved in the war.
Quote:

The military said Tuesday that some 40 percent of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers have been destroyed so far in the operation.
Quote:

The Arrow system is not the only defensive measure being used against Iran’s missiles.

The US has both ground-based Patriot missile defense systems and Terminal High Altitude Air Defense (THAAD) systems in the Middle East capable of intercepting ballistic missiles. US Navy destroyers have also shot down projectiles.

Edward64 06-18-2025 04:50 AM

Apparently, Iran has their own version of Bagdad Bob ... Tehran Terry.

Quote:

According to Iranian state media, Colonel Iman Tajik, spokesperson for Operation Promise of Truth 3, declared that Iran has achieved “complete control over the skies of the occupied territories,” referring to Israel, following the latest wave of missile attacks.

Ghost Econ 06-18-2025 07:47 AM

So basically this is like a YouTuber boxing match where they talk all kinds of shit, try to punch hard for a round, then lean on each other for the rest of the bout.

RainMaker 06-18-2025 02:12 PM


RainMaker 06-18-2025 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ghost Econ (Post 3464917)
That was the dumbest conversation. Also, tucker works for Putin, it's not really a surprise he's on Iran's side on this.


Why are the options spend a couple trillion in another disastrous way in the Middle East or side with Russia? Iran is no threat to any of us and has no tangible impact on our lives. They did not start the war.

NobodyHere 06-18-2025 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by From Edwards Post
According to Iranian state media, Colonel Iman Tajik, spokesperson for Operation Promise of Truth 3, declared that Iran has achieved “complete control over the skies of the occupied territories,” referring to Israel, following the latest wave of missile attacks.


That's Hollywood style lazy the way they named their operations.

GrantDawg 06-18-2025 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ghost Econ (Post 3464921)
So basically this is like a YouTuber boxing match where they talk all kinds of shit, try to punch hard for a round, then lean on each other for the rest of the bout.

That's really almost all wars. Hot to start, long period of attrition until one side either finally marshals enough strength for the killing blow or just gives up.

flere-imsaho 06-18-2025 04:42 PM

I remember when Ted Cruz was a screaming-loony right-wing Congressman and now he's a vilified member of the Washington establishment.

GrantDawg 06-18-2025 04:47 PM

Trump has approved the attack plans, but is holding out hope Iran will fully surrender its nuclear program.
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/ira..._copyURL_share

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RainMaker 06-18-2025 05:00 PM

They don't have a nuclear weapons program so this is kind of pointless.

GrantDawg 06-18-2025 05:43 PM

BREAKING via ABC NEWS

“President Donald Trump is getting comfortable with the idea of taking out Iran's Fordo nuclear facility. It would not be just one strike on the facility, it would be several. There is now a movement to get ready for this.”

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Edward64 06-18-2025 06:39 PM

It’s great that he’s asking this question …

Just a moment...
Quote:

One key question is on President Trump's mind these days, his advisers say: If the U.S. joins Israel's war and drops its massive bunker busters, will they actually destroy Iran's most heavily fortified nuclear facility?

Why it matters: Trump's doubts Wednesday about the certainty of success are one reason he was still questioning whether to move forward with a strike.

The big picture: Trump wants to make sure such an attack is really needed, wouldn't drag the U.S. into a prolonged war in the Middle East — and most of all, would actually achieve the objective of destroying Iran's nuclear program, U.S. officials say.]

flere-imsaho 06-19-2025 01:15 PM

I suspect he's mostly concerned about how many days he'll have to stay in Washington for situation room updates instead of golfing if he goes ahead with these actions.

JPhillips 06-19-2025 01:19 PM

lol Trump says he'll decide about Iran in two weeks.

GrantDawg 06-19-2025 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3464960)
lol Trump says he'll decide about Iran in two weeks.

That's the best news I have heard. "Two weeks" means he has no intentions of doing it.

Passacaglia 06-19-2025 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 3464959)
I suspect he's mostly concerned about how many days he'll have to stay in Washington for situation room updates instead of golfing if he goes ahead with these actions.


No one told him about W?

Atocep 06-19-2025 02:15 PM

So why hire Hegseth and Tulsi if they're going to be cut out of all decision making and planning?

Lathum 06-19-2025 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3464970)
So why hire Hegseth and Tulsi if they're going to be cut out of all decision making and planning?


Same reason he hires attorneys then doesn't take their advice. He is a raging narcissist who thinks he always knows better than anyone, even the experts (not that Hegseth and Gabbard are)

Atocep 06-19-2025 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3464971)
Same reason he hires attorneys then doesn't take their advice. He is a raging narcissist who thinks he always knows better than anyone, even the experts (not that Hegseth and Gabbard are)


We have Stephen Miller in charge of ICE and the military. Apparently Hegseth is so incompetent he's been cut out of all decision making. Miller has so much control over domestic policy that he overruled Trump on stopping ICE raids on farms and hospitality services.

Tulsi is on the outside of everything because she pissed off Trump with her anti-nuclear war post a week or so ago and because she told Trump Iran isn't close to having nukes. Trump has fired 10 people from her office and is reportedly considered shuttering the national security council because he hasn't agreed with their assessments.

This administration it seems Trump has no interest in directing domestic policy and has just let Miller do whatever while he focuses on the economy and foreign policy.

Edward64 06-19-2025 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3464966)
That's the best news I have heard. "Two weeks" means he has no intentions of doing it.


Dunno about that. Lots of reports of a lot of hardware moving to that region.

But agree it’s good. If anything, up to 2 weeks is a good amount of time for Israel to continue pounding Irans offensive/defensive capabilities. And enough time for “give peace a chance”.

Lots of Israeli redditors are PO’d but that’s okay. If it was a one and done, for sure destroyed then great. But do think it’s valid for Trump to ask what if it’s not; or if Iran retaliates and kills US citizens or civilians etc. and then we’re force to continue the cycle.

RainMaker 06-19-2025 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3464970)
So why hire Hegseth and Tulsi if they're going to be cut out of all decision making and planning?


Need people to blame and fire.

GrantDawg 06-19-2025 04:20 PM

I meant that tongue in cheek. Trump is all over the place. It is really hard to tell if he is Sabre rattling to scare Iran into a deal, or if he really wants to bomb them. I think he would prefer not to, and come out with some kind of diplomatic win. That's the best thing you can generally say about him. He wants to seem tough, but he does not want to go to war. My fear is he has painted himself into a corner which will end up forcing his hand.

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NobodyHere 06-19-2025 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3464970)
So why hire Hegseth and Tulsi if they're going to be cut out of all decision making and planning?


Because he has two ass cheeks that need constant kissing?

dubb93 06-19-2025 06:01 PM

Israel painted everyone into a corner by starting whatever this is and not having the weapons needed to accomplish their objectives. If I had a butter knife I wouldn’t go cut down a red wood. If I didn’t have bunker busting bombs I wouldn’t start a war where my objective is to render a bunker inoperable.

RainMaker 06-19-2025 07:33 PM

I think he's in a weird spot and just doesn't know how to proceed. Normally you just do what Israel tells you and start a war. Manufacture consent through the press which is easy these days. But his base actually has a contingent that is very anti-war (or maybe just opposed to money being spent outside the country to be more exact).

Now you can argue that the "America First" contingent is smaller, but it's also really vocal. And I think it is filled with a lot of people who were not politically active before Trump. Seeing a lot of influencers, podcast hosts, etc speak out heavily against going to war with Iran. So if that side sticks to their guns, that's a really vocal contingent of mostly young people who you are pissing off.

What does help him is the absence of an opposition party. Maybe they are taking into account that those America First people have nowhere else to go. So they'll be mad, but they're kind of stuck.

Edward64 06-20-2025 05:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3464771)
Must spend another trillion to protect this apartheid system for some reason.


Here's a rebuttal, got a translation of what was said

Blocked
Quote:

I just wanted to clear the air with a fact-check video regarding the controversy about the Thais in Israel supposedly being blocked from entering a bunker. The original video circulating had loud music over it, which effectively drowned out the young Israeli man's voice.

Edward64 06-20-2025 05:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3464974)
And enough time for “give peace a chance”.


I like giving this a shot. But don't think Bibi wants the chance of something acceptable coming out of it that will give Trump an out for attacking Fordo.

I think the odds of Israeli ground action at Fordo has gone up.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c994v4gm9jmt
Quote:

UK, French and German foreign ministers will hold talks with their Iranian counterpart in Geneva today as part of efforts to ease the Israel-Iran conflict

Ahead of the meeting, UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy says "a window now exists within the next two weeks to achieve a diplomatic solution"

GrantDawg 06-21-2025 12:45 PM

This is a really good thread of what a US attack on the Iranian nuclear facility will look like, and the risks involved.
Bluesky

BYU 14 06-21-2025 02:26 PM

General summary for those that don't have Bluesky?

GrantDawg 06-21-2025 02:33 PM

She breaks down the strengths and weaknesses of stealth. The B-2's will need still need many support planes to safely get to target, and there will likely be casualties.

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JPhillips 06-21-2025 03:18 PM

We'll almost certainly hit the target, but we'll probably have some losses as well.

PilotMan 06-21-2025 05:35 PM

Man I remember when Kushner brought mid east peace to the world and trump bragged that nobody had even thought of it before.

Edward64 06-21-2025 06:53 PM

Being reported in Reddit

Quote:

Trump:

We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. All planes are now outside of Iran air space. A full payload of BOMBS was dropped on the primary site, Fordow. All planes are safely on their way home. Congratulations to our great American Warriors. There is not another military in the World that could have done this. NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE!Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Sure hope it’s one and done and Bibi can do the rest but fair chance we’ll be dragged further into this.

RainMaker 06-21-2025 06:55 PM

Guess we are at war with Iran now.

GrantDawg 06-21-2025 07:01 PM

It makes sense that he made very public statements about waiting for a couple of weeks. This fits actions in the past that tried to head-fake moderation then attack.

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dubb93 06-21-2025 07:04 PM

Israel wasn’t capable of accomplishing their objectives. We were always going to be involved in this.

PilotMan 06-21-2025 07:16 PM

Dumb fuck


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