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-   -   The Biden Presidency - 2020 (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=97045)

rjolley 12-28-2020 02:58 PM

From the White House to the NBA. That's...not expected.

GrantDawg 12-29-2020 02:10 PM

I think this is suggestive. I believe at this point they might just be waiting to see if the Dems gain control of the Senate before making an AG announcement. If they win, they name Garland so they can replace his seat, if they lose, they give it to Doug Jones who should be an easy confirmation.

Edward64 12-30-2020 03:28 PM

I see GA Dem Senate ads but I see more of Rep Senate ads.

A pretty good one just now was a housewife saying how she voted for Biden but now will be voting Rep for "balance". Worried for Warnock also, the Rep ad quoting his wife is pretty effective to me. Haven't seen much of Ossoff which is surprising because I read the Dems had a pretty good war chest.

IMO the Rep is doing a better job with ads so far.

miked 12-30-2020 04:00 PM

Come inside the perimeter, I See about 10 of each (R and D) every 30 minutes.

ISiddiqui 12-30-2020 04:05 PM

Yep, I see a ton of Ossoff and Warnock ads (same as Loeffler, but very few Perdue ads - more third party against Ossoff lately).

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Edward64 01-04-2021 04:17 PM

Latest GA polls from 538. Should be fun tomorrow.

Ossoff - 49 vs 47.4
Warnock - 49.3 vs 47.3

Latest Polls Of The Georgia Senate Runoff Elections | FiveThirtyEight

GrantDawg 01-04-2021 05:02 PM

I do not trust the polls, but the turn out numbers look encouraging so far. I still believe it will end up being a big GOP win, though. I have been burned too many times when I have hope.

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miked 01-04-2021 08:00 PM

Loeffler is trying super hard now, just said she would back voting against the elector results.

On a side note, I was up in Blue Ridge the last few days and saw tons of ads for both parties, as well as quite a few Warnock/Ossoff signs. Obviously neither are coming within 60 pts in Fanin/Gilmer, but the Trump signs are mostly gone and there are not too many Loeffler/Perdue signs/

GrantDawg 01-04-2021 08:01 PM

I love Blue Ridge. That is all.

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Swaggs 01-04-2021 09:34 PM

It seems like Loeffler and Ossoff have been more negative with their campaigning, so it seems possible that their internal polls may be showing that they need to reduce turnout for their opponents (vs rallying their own troops). Betting odds favor the democrats. Should be interesting and will probably take a week or so to do all the counts.

Young Drachma 01-04-2021 09:39 PM

Damn this thread is huge and we haven't even had inauguration day yet.

molson 01-04-2021 10:20 PM

I read this somewhere else, but if Trump wins the write-in vote for both elections, does he get to be both Senators? Is there like, a rule for that or something?

RainMaker 01-04-2021 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swaggs (Post 3320915)
It seems like Loeffler and Ossoff have been more negative with their campaigning, so it seems possible that their internal polls may be showing that they need to reduce turnout for their opponents (vs rallying their own troops). Betting odds favor the democrats. Should be interesting and will probably take a week or so to do all the counts.


Loeffler is running an ad that makes Warnock's skin much darker. Maybe she wins but seems like desperate moves.

rjolley 01-05-2021 02:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3320921)
I read this somewhere else, but if Trump wins the write-in vote for both elections, does he get to be both Senators? Is there like, a rule for that or something?


Can this happen just so we can see McConnell's reaction when he thinks he has to deal with Trump in the Senate?

GrantDawg 01-05-2021 07:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3320926)
Loeffler is running an ad that makes Warnock's skin much darker. Maybe she wins but seems like desperate moves.

She is desperate. Most believe the election is split, she will be the one who loses. She is not as known or as liked as Perdue (not that he particularly loved), and she was appointed over Trump's objection. With the Trump demonization of Kemp, that makes her appointment even worse. That is why she has firmly attached her mouth to Trump's butt, and has courted the Q people. "Desperate" is an apt definition of her.

miami_fan 01-05-2021 07:02 PM

I am guessing this is the thread for the GA elections. Are these getting called tonight?

Lathum 01-05-2021 07:11 PM

The Dems are toast.

CNN just said 93% of the current votes counted are early. The republicans are going to fly by late night. Kind of ironic if you think about it.

Jas_lov 01-05-2021 07:13 PM

STOP THE COUNT

larrymcg421 01-05-2021 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3321113)
I am guessing this is the thread for the GA elections. Are these getting called tonight?


Depends on how close it is. The count is progressing pretty well. The NYT needle has the Dems favored right now...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...lection_recirc

Lathum 01-05-2021 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jas_lov (Post 3321115)
STOP THE COUNT


Jake Tapper just had a great rant on this.

molson 01-05-2021 07:16 PM

That goddamn needle still gives me flashbacks.

GrantDawg 01-05-2021 07:19 PM

Numbers just came in in Fulton, and they were very good. Both Dems up on Biden's numbers, with a still good number of mail ballots to count that are even heavier Dem.

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Jas_lov 01-05-2021 07:20 PM

The numbers Kornacki is showing on MSNBC look good for Dems. They're running ahead of Biden.

GrantDawg 01-05-2021 07:25 PM

If both Republicans end up losing, there is no chance either concedes right?

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Ksyrup 01-05-2021 07:26 PM

Does this increase the odds someone does something to force Biden to take legal action tomorrow?

larrymcg421 01-05-2021 07:29 PM

PredictIt is going huge for Dems right now...

.87 for Warnock
.80 for Ossoff

Wondering if I should sell some of my Ossoff I bought at .38 to hedge.

bronconick 01-05-2021 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3321123)
If both Republicans end up losing, there is no chance either concedes right?

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Of course not.

RainMaker 01-05-2021 08:01 PM

Can't understand why McConnell didn't go with the $2k checks. Was a powerful message to hand to Democrats in that state.

RainMaker 01-05-2021 08:04 PM

Ossoff would be the youngest elected Senator since Joe Biden.

NobodyHere 01-05-2021 08:04 PM

Normally I would want a divided government, but McConnel really needs to go back to hide in his shell.

kingfc22 01-05-2021 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3321134)
Normally I would want a divided government, but McConnel really needs to go back to hide in his shell.


GOP needs to suffer for Trump.

kingfc22 01-05-2021 08:07 PM

Warnock seems to be positioned well based on the numbers/trend coming in. Purdue and Ossoff will be really tight.

Swaggs 01-05-2021 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingfc22 (Post 3321137)
Warnock seems to be positioned well based on the numbers/trend coming in. Purdue and Ossoff will be really tight.


MSNBC just showed where votes are remaining and there seem to be a lot left around Atlanta. I think Warnock could get called tonight (I doubt we get any concessions).

GrantDawg 01-05-2021 08:11 PM

These numbers have me pretty excited.

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GrantDawg 01-05-2021 08:15 PM

I will also say a numbers guy who lives and knows the state well says we will have calls tonight. He is not saying the Dens will definitely win, but it would be a less than one percent Perdue win if he did.

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ISiddiqui 01-05-2021 08:18 PM

The NYT needle seems to show Warnock at over 70% chance and Ossoff at over 60% chance of winning based on the numbers so far. The tightening is based on GOP counties coming in and they show Warnock and Ossoff doing better than Biden in November.

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RainMaker 01-05-2021 08:37 PM

Schumer is terrified he might be the majority leader.

Brian Swartz 01-05-2021 08:38 PM

Good news. I look forward to seeing what happens. It'll still be tough to get anything substantive through the Senate, but a lot easier than it would have been without getting to 50-50.

Galaril 01-05-2021 08:43 PM

Well Perdue is up almost 2 % and warlock down 1% so think arrest the Dems split which sucks.

GrantDawg 01-05-2021 08:43 PM

Dave Wasserman has called one seat for Warnock.

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Lathum 01-05-2021 08:45 PM

This doesn't seem to be going well. Hope there are some Dem strongholds to still come in

ISiddiqui 01-05-2021 08:47 PM

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...900417536?s=19

Wasserman calls it for Warnock. Ossoff to close to call.

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cmp 01-05-2021 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3321152)
This doesn't seem to be going well. Hope there are some Dem strongholds to still come in


It’s looking good for Dems

Thomkal 01-05-2021 08:50 PM

Yeah seeing some journalists/election experts calling Georgia for Warnock

cmp 01-05-2021 08:52 PM

The needle has Warnock at +1.7 and Ossoff at +1.0

HerRealName 01-05-2021 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3321152)
This doesn't seem to be going well. Hope there are some Dem strongholds to still come in


Georgia is going blue but Lathum is going Q. :p

Ghost Econ 01-05-2021 08:56 PM

Does this mean I won't have to see Kelly Loeffler's janky eye anymore when I watch the news?

I've never seen anyone so uncomfortably wear a trucker hat like she does in her ads. She's totally just a normal Southern girl.

Atocep 01-05-2021 08:58 PM

We're Ossoff away from Senate minority leader McConnell.

bronconick 01-05-2021 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3321152)
This doesn't seem to be going well. Hope there are some Dem strongholds to still come in


DeKalb has 200,000+ outstanding alone.

ISiddiqui 01-05-2021 09:10 PM

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/...835595265?s=21

Quote:

Highly respected Republicans who know Georgia think Ossoff prevails unless something really funky happens in DeKalb and Cobb


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