Front Office Football Central

Front Office Football Central (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//index.php)
-   Off Topic (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//forumdisplay.php?f=6)
-   -   The Obama Presidency - 2008 & 2012 (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=69042)

RainMaker 07-27-2010 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 2326191)
What party or candidate has the platform that taxes should fall "mostly on the middle class"?

Probably just the Fair Tax people. Not sure how big that group is though.

RainMaker 07-27-2010 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326101)
Lots of folks at the time, the center-right included, were accepting of those tax cuts.

1.) Reforming his previous Tax Cut by reducing it by 1/3.
2.) Increased the gas tax to counter the deficit.
3.) Tax reform aimed at stopping businesses from using loopholes to avoid taxes (it generated some $50B) and so I guess that's raising taxes. Really I think he just made folks pay what they were already supposed to.

Went a little beyond closing loopholes. It eliminated deductions businesses could use and added withholding tax on interest and dividends. Drastically raised taxes on things like cigarettes and phones. Also increased the unemployment tax people/businesses pay.

Calling the largest non-war tax increase in the nation's history "I guess it's raising taxes" and "made folks pay what they were already supposed to" is just partisian revionist history.

We can throw in increasing the threshold on Social Security taxes as well as overall payroll taxes. Oh, and taxing up to half of people's social security benefits.

Can't fathom how any of that would fly today in conservative world. At least he never passed some massive health care bill that put a burden on to employers. Oh wait.....

Dutch 07-28-2010 02:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2326223)
Went a little beyond closing loopholes. It eliminated deductions businesses could use and added withholding tax on interest and dividends. Drastically raised taxes on things like cigarettes and phones. Also increased the unemployment tax people/businesses pay.

Calling the largest non-war tax increase in the nation's history "I guess it's raising taxes" and "made folks pay what they were already supposed to" is just partisian revionist history.


I guess suggesting that we were at war in the 1980s is revisionism as well? The Cold War doesn't ring any bells with you I suppose. In any event, having the massive tax cut to help stave off the Carter-led recession being left out of your fact-finding mission is not the most fair representation of Reagan's tax history.

Quote:

We can throw in increasing the threshold on Social Security taxes as well as overall payroll taxes. Oh, and taxing up to half of people's social security benefits.

Democrats only want social programs to win votes, they usually leave the reform aftermath of these programs to hard-working Republicans since afterall, it's their constiuents that actually pay for it.[quote]

Quote:

Can't fathom how any of that would fly today in conservative world. At least he never passed some massive health care bill that put a burden on to employers. Oh wait.....

By the time Carters-recession was complete, unemployment sat at 9.5%. It required a lot of efforts on the part of Reagan to bring that back down to around 5% and at the same time he managed to beat the Soviets at their stupid communist expansion game. The mess he was left makes Obama's contant badgery of President Bush laughable, but if the only thing you want to take from it is that he raised taxes so therefore conservatives would hate him, have at it. I can't think of a single politician across the entire American political spectrum that could defeat 1980 Reagan or 1984 Reagan. I can't think of one that wouldn't get landlsided by him. He was a true Republican but he could reach out to the left with more than words.

RainMaker 07-28-2010 03:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326384)
I guess suggesting that we were at war in the 1980s is revisionism as well? The Cold War doesn't ring any bells with you I suppose. In any event, having the massive tax cut to help stave off the Carter-led recession being left out of your fact-finding mission is not the most fair representation of Reagan's tax history.

Where am I getting a sense of Deja Vu here. President takes over during massive recession. Has a sort of complicated foreign conflict that requires massive spending. Does massive tax cuts to help stave off that recession. Later raises certain taxes to help fill the gaps in the deficit.

That's the funny thing. I wasn't bashing Reagan at all. In fact, I agree with a ton of what he did. It's funny because it's basically THE SAME FUCKING THING OBAMA IS DOING. The difference is to partisians like you is that one has a D next to their name, and the other has an R. With partisian hackery, it's not policy vs policy, it's D vs R. You guys are making politics an embarassment.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326384)
Democrats only want social programs to win votes, they usually leave the reform aftermath of these programs to hard-working Republicans since afterall, it's their constiuents that actually pay for it.


All politicians want social programs to win votes. Where were these hard-working Republicans during Medicare reform, No Child Left Behind, faith-based initiatives, farm subsidies, bailouts, or even TARP? They were in power, either holding a heavy majority in both chambers or having the guy who signs the bills into law.

As for whos consitutents are paying for it, remember that the Blue states pay in much more in taxes than the Red states, and receive less than what they paid in back. That shouldn't be an issue though, just pointing out the bullshit about how all social programs come from those dirty Democrats.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326384)
By the time Carters-recession was complete, unemployment sat at 9.5%. It required a lot of efforts on the part of Reagan to bring that back down to around 5% and at the same time he managed to beat the Soviets at their stupid communist expansion game. The mess he was left makes Obama's contant badgery of President Bush laughable, but if the only thing you want to take from it is that he raised taxes so therefore conservatives would hate him, have at it. I can't think of a single politician across the entire American political spectrum that could defeat 1980 Reagan or 1984 Reagan. I can't think of one that wouldn't get landlsided by him. He was a true Republican but he could reach out to the left with more than words.


Reagan was a great politician. Inspired people, instilled confidence, and got his point across. He would be very tough to beat in any election. Just as Obama was a great politician going into the 2008 campaign.

But that has nothing to do with the fact that Reagan would be called a RINO today and be an outcast to most conservatives. Many of the things conservatives are going after Obama for are the same things Reagan did. It's just one has an R and one has a D next to their name. That's all that matters to you people.

Dutch 07-28-2010 03:54 AM

Quote:

But that has nothing to do with the fact that Reagan would be called a RINO today and be an outcast to most conservatives.

Are conservatives saying this or are you saying this for conservatives? There's a big difference.

RainMaker 07-28-2010 04:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326392)
Are conservatives saying this or are you saying this for conservatives? There's a big difference.

I'm basing it on what conservatives are calling a RINO these days. The "purity test" handed out by the RNC.

A Purity Test For The GOP? | TPMDC

Reagan wouldn't have passed the test on a lot of those things. He created a huge deficit and ran up debt. He raised taxes on businesses and people. He wasn't all about free-market health care either.

Perhaps the biggest one is #6. The issue that gets McCain, Graham and other Republicans called RINOs. Reagan granted amnesty to illegals.

Dutch 07-28-2010 05:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2326394)
I'm basing it on what conservatives are calling a RINO these days. The "purity test" handed out by the RNC.

A Purity Test For The GOP? | TPMDC

Reagan wouldn't have passed the test on a lot of those things. He created a huge deficit and ran up debt. He raised taxes on businesses and people. He wasn't all about free-market health care either.

Perhaps the biggest one is #6. The issue that gets McCain, Graham and other Republicans called RINOs. Reagan granted amnesty to illegals.


Heh, learn something new everyday, never heard of this before now. So...Google to the rescue!

Yes, it's true that the Republican Party does not operate in lock-step. In relation to this specific 'test'...I would disagree it was "handed out by the RNC"...Michael Steele rejected it, the RNC rejected it, and the conservatives--that caught wind of this--were overwhelmingly opposed to it. It was pushed by some guy named Jim Bopp of Right to Life. Hardly a mainstream advocate of the RNC and this article kind of proves it.

Republicans reject 'purity test' - Jonathan Martin - POLITICO.com

From what I'm reading I, for instance, line up with Oregon GOP Chairman Bob Tiernan (fierce opposition to), not Jim Bopp (drafter and advocate of).

Also, your argument makes even less sense by citing the "RINO", center-right John McCain who obviously was nominated for President by the RNC.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 06:50 AM

If Reagan were alive I have no doubt he'd shape himself into what could get elected. He was a gifted politician and not so much of an ideologue that he would sacrifice electoral success for purity.

However, the policies that Reagan supported as a governor and President would make him toxic to today's GOP that sees people like Bob Bennett, Lindsey Graham, John McCain, Dede Scozzafava, etc. as too liberal.

He negotiated with the Soviets, when today a new START treaty is being opposed by much of the GOP.

He left Beirut, when today's GOP would say he cut and ran.

He traded arms to the Iranians, which would get AIPAC and its supporters to oppose him.

As a governor he signed into law a permissive abortion bill. That in itself would be hard to overcome.

He had a very close relationship with Tip O'Neill and negotiated with the Dems on almost everything.


The Reagan that the GOP reveres is a caricature of the real man. He's become an ideological guidepost, but the real man was willing to compromise on almost any detail to forward his larger goals. IMO he was certainly conservative enough, but in today's GOP it's hard to see how his actions wouldn't be attacked as too liberal, too weak, and too godless.

Dutch 07-28-2010 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326408)
If Reagan were alive I have no doubt he'd shape himself into what could get elected. He was a gifted politician and not so much of an ideologue that he would sacrifice electoral success for purity.


BTW, I'm pretty sure that "purity" is a new liberal label. I'm not sure though.

Quote:

However, the policies that Reagan supported as a governor and President would make him toxic to today's GOP that sees people like Bob Bennett, Lindsey Graham, John McCain, Dede Scozzafava, etc. as too liberal.

Since when do Presidents have the full ideological backing of everybody intheir party? I don't get this line of rationalization. Certainly not every Democrat thought it no big deal that Barack Obama had absolutely no experience dealing wtih Big Oil and their safety regulations and the such?

Quote:

He negotiated with the Soviets, when today a new START treaty is being opposed by much of the GOP.

Not really, I suspect that most GOP'ers are fine with the current treaty, but need to oppose it at levels which will cripple further reductions at this time.

Quote:

He left Beirut, when today's GOP would say he cut and ran.

Beirut was our "Welcome to the terrorism party", a party that we had absolutely no understanding of. Leaving U.S. Marines in Beirut to get massacred while we figured it out is political revisionist baiting. We had no business staying there at that point in time. By suggesting that doing the right thing and pulling those Marines was something the GOP would have lashed out at is really degrading your ability to articulate your understanding of the GOP.

Quote:

He traded arms to the Iranians, which would get AIPAC and its supporters to oppose him.

Really? The Israeli's were against us trading arms to Iran? Good to know.

Quote:

As a governor he signed into law a permissive abortion bill. That in itself would be hard to overcome.

Actually, I'd bet it would be easier for a Republican President to do that than a Democrat President.

Quote:

He had a very close relationship with Tip O'Neill and negotiated with the Dems on almost everything.

That's how he got his landslide victories. Would the hardline right want that? Of course not, but again, most of the American right is center-right, not the hardline right that gets all the left-leaning press and coverage in the liberal blogosphere.

Quote:

The Reagan that the GOP reveres is a caricature of the real man. He's become an ideological guidepost, but the real man was willing to compromise on almost any detail to forward his larger goals. IMO he was certainly conservative enough, but in today's GOP it's hard to see how his actions wouldn't be attacked as too liberal, too weak, and too godless.

If anything the American center-right is craving a politician like Reagan to come along. We are severely hurting for popular leadership right now, there is no doubt about that.

RainMaker 07-28-2010 07:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326398)
Heh, learn something new everyday, never heard of this before now. So...Google to the rescue!

Yes, it's true that the Republican Party does not operate in lock-step. In relation to this specific 'test'...I would disagree it was "handed out by the RNC"...Michael Steele rejected it, the RNC rejected it, and the conservatives--that caught wind of this--were overwhelmingly opposed to it. It was pushed by some guy named Jim Bopp of Right to Life. Hardly a mainstream advocate of the RNC and this article kind of proves it.

Republicans reject 'purity test' - Jonathan Martin - POLITICO.com

From what I'm reading I, for instance, line up with Oregon GOP Chairman Bob Tiernan (fierce opposition to), not Jim Bopp (drafter and advocate of).

There was a lot of outrage over it, but is anything in that test against what conservatives believe? Do conservatives want a President who will raise taxes, create new health care regulations, stomp on states rights, and give amnesty to illegals? Maybe my definition of conservative is not the same as yours. Let me know if what Reagan did fits into your definition of the word.

And as I said, none of this is to bash Reagan. A lot of the stuff he did I agree with. He was a good President. I just find the revisionist history with him amusing when you hear people talk about how he's the bastion of conservatism. The guy was far from conservative outside of some social issues, and he even took a ton of heat from his own party for being too moderate.

It's just funny that he is held on a pedestal by partisian Republicans when he did the same stuff Obama is doing.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326398)
Also, your argument makes even less sense by citing the "RINO", center-right John McCain who obviously was nominated for President by the RNC.

Well not ever Republican is a conservative. And the Republican party has shifted much farther to the right over the last year or two. But McCain was destroyed by conservatives for being too moderate and it was the reason he had to choose Palin. A simple Google search will pull up thousands of conservative sites calling him a RINO for his stance on immigration. Reagan gave amnesty to illegals but isn't a RINO.

john mccain rino amnesty - Google Search

RainMaker 07-28-2010 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326418)
Actually, I'd bet it would be easier for a Republican President to do that than a Democrat President.

You think a Republican President could sign into law a bill that legalized abortion? Oh God, what planet are you on?

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 08:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326384)
I guess suggesting that we were at war in the 1980s is revisionism as well? The Cold War doesn't ring any bells with you I suppose. In any event, having the massive tax cut to help stave off the Carter-led recession being left out of your fact-finding mission is not the most fair representation of Reagan's tax history.

By the time Carters-recession was complete, unemployment sat at 9.5%. It required a lot of efforts on the part of Reagan to bring that back down to around 5% and at the same time he managed to beat the Soviets at their stupid communist expansion game. The mess he was left makes Obama's contant badgery of President Bush laughable, but if the only thing you want to take from it is that he raised taxes so therefore conservatives would hate him, have at it. I can't think of a single politician across the entire American political spectrum that could defeat 1980 Reagan or 1984 Reagan. I can't think of one that wouldn't get landlsided by him. He was a true Republican but he could reach out to the left with more than words.


We've been over this. Reagan didn't really beat the Soviets. It was the rising standard of living among the average American combined with the realization of this by Warsaw Pact civilians that further exacerbated the supply/demand issue in the Soviet economic system (namely that they couldn't sustain a production level that would feed their military machine and yet also significantly raise the standard of living across their Empire), particularly in the Warsaw Pact nations, coupled with the failure of the Soviet Amry in Afghanistan (both the morale/self-identity issues that that raised, as well as more importantly the fires of ethnic self-determination and separatism that it fanned throughout the Warsaw Pact nations and the various Soviet Republics).

JPhillips 07-28-2010 09:24 AM

Dutch: You're saying that in the eighties Reagan appealed to conservatives. I agree. My point is that the things Reagan did in the eighties wouldn't appeal to conservatives of today. I bet if you asked people about policies and didn't mention the name Reagan that a majority of conservatives would disapprove of that candidate.

Dutch 07-28-2010 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2326426)
You think a Republican President could sign into law a bill that legalized abortion? Oh God, what planet are you on?


Well, you didn't say all abortions...

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326493)
Well, you didn't say all abortions...


Any abortions.

I don't think you'd find a legitimate Republican candidate today who as President would sign any bill for abortion rights.

And if one of them had an attack of conscience and did an about-face on the party platform and signed one...well I think you'd see a sitting President fail to win the nomination of his party.

Dutch 07-28-2010 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326461)
Dutch: You're saying that in the eighties Reagan appealed to conservatives. I agree. My point is that the things Reagan did in the eighties wouldn't appeal to conservatives of today. I bet if you asked people about policies and didn't mention the name Reagan that a majority of conservatives would disapprove of that candidate.


Of course not, it's not 1980. I guess we could go 'round and 'round on this, but if the best way you can find to discredit Ronald Reagan is to say his 1980 platform doesn't equate to the 2010 platform, than you got it. We don't need to beat the Soviets anymore. We don't need to sort out the Iran Hostage crisis. So yes, I would disapprove of somebody with those things in mind.

Dutch 07-28-2010 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2326498)
Any abortions.

I don't think you'd find a legitimate Republican candidate today who as President would sign any bill for abortion rights.

And if one of them had an attack of conscience and did an about-face on the party platform and signed one...well I think you'd see a sitting President fail to win the nomination of his party.


I just don't think you appreciate just how effective a guy like Ronald Reagan was and crossing the isle and getting everybody on board.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326508)
I just don't think you appreciate just how effective a guy like Ronald Reagan was and crossing the isle and getting everybody on board.


Not sure how that relates to my point about today.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326504)
Of course not, it's not 1980. I guess we could go 'round and 'round on this, but if the best way you can find to discredit Ronald Reagan is to say his 1980 platform doesn't equate to the 2010 platform, than you got it. We don't need to beat the Soviets anymore. We don't need to sort out the Iran Hostage crisis. So yes, I would disapprove of somebody with those things in mind.


I'm not trying to discredit Reagan. I'm saying the GOP has moved so far towards an almost religious belief in doctrine that their supposed leading light doesn't match the need for doctrinal purity.

I have a lot of differences with Reagan's politics, but I think one of his strong points was the ability to go against his stated doctrinal preferences when he felt the need to do that. In today's GOP, however, that sort of practical flexibility is seen as a weakness. Do you really think six major tax increases, even coupled with major tax cuts, would fly with today's GOP?

JPhillips 07-28-2010 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2325408)
More frustrating hypocrisy from the man who pledged to have an open administration, yet they tried everything in their power to cover up their role behind the Libyan bomber release.......

White House backed release of Lockerbie bomber Abdel Baset al-Megrahi | The Australian


Or more selectively edited media designed to discredit the admin. From Powerline:
Quote:

We noted yesterday the controversy over the Obama administration's reaction to Scotland's proposed release of Lockerbie bomber Abdelbaset Ali Mohment al-Megrahi on compassionate grounds, i.e., the claim that he was about to die. Foreign newspapers quoted a letter from a U.S. Embassy official in London, Richard LeBaron, which said that the U.S. would prefer that Megrahi not be released, but that if he were to be let go, the Obama administration thought it was "far preferable" to free Megrahi than have him transferred to a Libyan jail. On its face, this preference seemed odd; many wondered whether the notoriously pliable Obama administration had used Megrahi's alleged illness as another opportunity for "outreach." But, as I noted last night, the full text of LeBaron's letter had not been made public, so it was difficult to judge.

Today the State Department did release the full text of LeBaron's letter. In my opinion, it answers the questions we asked yesterday and reflects credit on the State Department and the Obama administration. The relevant portions are as follows:

-- Nevertheless, if Scottish authorities come to the conclusion that Megrahi must be released from Scottish custody, the U.S. position is that conditional release on compassionate grounds would be a far preferable alternative to prisoner transfer, which we strongly oppose.

-- If a decision were made by Scotland to grant conditional release, two conditions would be very important to the United States and would partially mitigate the concerns of the American victims' families. First, any such release should only come after the results of independent and comprehensive medical exams clearly establishing that Megrahi's life expectancy is less than three months. The results of these exams should be made available to the United States and the families of the victims of Pan Am 103. The justification of releasing Megrahi on compassionate grounds would be more severely undercut the longer he is free before his actual death.

-- Second, the United States would strongly oppose any release that would permit Megrahi to travel outside of Scotland. We believe that the welcoming reception that Megrahi might receive if he is permitted to travel abroad would be extremely inappropriate given Megrahi's conviction for a heinous crime that continues to have a deep and profound impact on so many. As such, compassionate release or bail should be conditioned on Megrahi remaining in Scotland.

-- Again, while we are not able to endorse the early release of Megrahi under any scenario, we believe that granting compassionate release or bail under the conditions described (i.e. release with a life expectancy or less than three months and with Megrahi remaining in Scotland under supervision) would mitigate a number of the strong concerns that we have expressed with respect to Megrahi's release.

There you have it: an entirely appropriate expression of concern on behalf of the American people that Megrahi be demonstrably near death--something that turned out not to be true--and under no circumstances be turned into a jihadist hero back in Libya--something that did happen, but not as a result of American policy.

So, unless some contrary information comes to light, I consider this a non-controversy in which the State Department and the Obama administration acted honorably and appropriately.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 11:46 AM

ding ding ding.

JPhillips wins.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 11:52 AM

FWIW, which may not be much, I don't disagree at all with the assertion that Reagan would be an iffy proposition at best as a GOP Presidential candidate in 2010.

On the one hand, a weak-sister like McCain did recently win a nomination, so that bodes in Reagan's favor. On the other hand, if you extrapolate what compromises he would seem likely to be willing to make onto today's issues landscape, I doubt he finishes better than 2nd in the majority of primaries.

In spite of specific examples from his era that seem relevant today, I believe some extrapolation would still be necessary since the landscape is different, the world hasn't continued in a complete vacuum from then until now. We can make some educated guesses but we can't know for sure where he'd fall on a given issue without complete context.

I have a sincere appreciation for some of the tremendous good Reagan did (or at least lent the bully pulpit to) but there's also area where I'd be highly critical of his decisions/positions. Certainly not ready to canonize him by any means.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 11:57 AM

Like I said earlier, if Reagan were alive today I have no doubt he'd mold himself into a candidate that could win. He was a tremendous politician going all the way back to his first run at governor.

JediKooter 07-28-2010 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326560)
Or more selectively edited media designed to discredit the admin. From Powerline:


I think Glenn Beck just had an aneurysm and Rush is on a eating binge.

Dutch 07-28-2010 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326534)
In today's GOP, however, that sort of practical flexibility is seen as a weakness. Do you really think six major tax increases, even coupled with major tax cuts, would fly with today's GOP?


If Ronald Reagan was in office today, the GOP would have it's opposition, but it would generally fly with him.

Look at the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Would those be largely ignored by the left today if it were President McCain? Hell no, it would be an endless stream of organized protests and negative media. With President Obama in charge, the left largely accepts the continuation of those wars because their guy is in office. Couple that with the fact that it will get no resistance from the opposition and it's just good politics.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 12:09 PM

Sure that would be true if Reagan were in office, a party does tend to coalesce around their guy, but my point was that Reagan couldn't win the primary with his record. The GOP has gotten much tougher on unorthodox behavior than it was in 1980.

Dutch 07-28-2010 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326565)
FWIW, which may not be much, I don't disagree at all with the assertion that Reagan would be an iffy proposition at best as a GOP Presidential candidate in 2010.

On the one hand, a weak-sister like McCain did recently win a nomination, so that bodes in Reagan's favor. On the other hand, if you extrapolate what compromises he would seem likely to be willing to make onto today's issues landscape, I doubt he finishes better than 2nd in the majority of primaries.


vs. whom? There isn't anybody out there right now...the only thing a Republican leader needs right now is a little bit of non-polarizing charisma and he/she is a shoe-in for the nomination.

Quote:

In spite of specific examples from his era that seem relevant today, I believe some extrapolation would still be necessary since the landscape is different, the world hasn't continued in a complete vacuum from then until now. We can make some educated guesses but we can't know for sure where he'd fall on a given issue without complete context.

Right. The entire conversation is based completey on opinions and depending on where you stand politically, your opinion will match your response.

Quote:

I have a sincere appreciation for some of the tremendous good Reagan did (or at least lent the bully pulpit to) but there's also area where I'd be highly critical of his decisions/positions. Certainly not ready to canonize him by any means.

I am. Of course, seeing how Reagan is my favorite President to date, that should explain a lot.

Dutch 07-28-2010 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326583)
Sure that would be true if Reagan were in office, a party does tend to coalesce around their guy, but my point was that Reagan couldn't win the primary with his record. The GOP has gotten much tougher on unorthodox behavior than it was in 1980.


If anything I think the GOP is suffering from being leaderless and the vacuum has enabled a lot of fringe elements to cast their voice when they normally shouldn't be so effective to do so.

Who are the current leaders of the GOP? Sarah Palin? Michael Steele? Meh. Who won the Presidential Nomination though? The moderate. That's where the votes are and always have been.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326585)
vs. whom? There isn't anybody out there right now...the only thing a Republican leader needs right now is a little bit of non-polarizing charisma and he/she is a shoe-in for the nomination.


To what end though? Largely rhetorical question I suppose, never mind.

Quote:

The entire conversation is based completey on opinions and depending on where you stand politically, your opinion will match your response.

Or, apparently, possibly the reverse.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 12:24 PM

Quote:

Who won the Presidential Nomination though? The moderate.

And how's that working out? We've seen the abject failure of nominating a weak ass excuse like McCain. Further, more & more people seem to be realizing that such a hollow victory really isn't much cause for celebration.

JediKooter 07-28-2010 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326594)
And how's that working out? We've seen the abject failure of nominating a weak ass excuse like McCain. Further, more & more people seem to be realizing that such a hollow victory really isn't much cause for celebration.


I believe the failure of McCain's campaign (regarding moderate leaning voters) is directly related to one Sarah Palin. I was leaning towards voting for McCain up until he picked her to be his Vice President. She made Dan Quayle look like a genius. Practically everyone that I talked to that was on the fence like me, said pretty much the exact same thing. Yes, purely anecdotal, but, nonetheless, a rather accurate assessment in my opinion.

I think McCain would have won or would have had a much better chance of winning had he not decided to run with Palin.

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 12:47 PM

Wow, never thought I'd see the day where JIMGA & JPhillips would combine to beat up on Dutch.

:popcorn:

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326560)
From Powerline


Wow. Never thought I'd see the day that Powerline would defend the Obama Administration.

:popcorn: :popcorn:

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 2326606)
I think McCain would have won or would have had a much better chance of winning had he not decided to run with Palin.


McCain + Romney + the financial meltdown of September, 2008 could have been the "lucky" combination to swing the race back to McCain. But when you have Rovian disciple Steve Schmidt managing your campaign, you're always going to err on the side of firing up the radical base, and so that's where they went with Palin.

JediKooter 07-28-2010 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 2326616)
McCain + Romney + the financial meltdown of September, 2008 could have been the "lucky" combination to swing the race back to McCain. But when you have Rovian disciple Steve Schmidt managing your campaign, you're always going to err on the side of firing up the radical base, and so that's where they went with Palin.


I can definitely see that. Makes me wonder if many or any at all future presidential candidates will use any of the Rove decendants or if they will continue to fly in the face of past failures and not learn anything from McCain's campaign.

Catering to the radical base is way too gimicky to win a presidential campaign, in my opinion, when there are so many undecided voters that you could win over by keeping the radical base where they belong...in the corner with their mouths taped shut.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326594)
And how's that working out? We've seen the abject failure of nominating a weak ass excuse like McCain. Further, more & more people seem to be realizing that such a hollow victory really isn't much cause for celebration.


It's funny how Dutch and you are ostensibly under the same tent.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326588)
If anything I think the GOP is suffering from being leaderless and the vacuum has enabled a lot of fringe elements to cast their voice when they normally shouldn't be so effective to do so.

Who are the current leaders of the GOP? Sarah Palin? Michael Steele? Meh. Who won the Presidential Nomination though? The moderate. That's where the votes are and always have been.


But he won the nomination and will likely win his Senate reelection in part by forswearing what he supported a few years ago. From immigration to cap and trade to the bank bailout, McCain has had to distance himself from beliefs that don't fit the orthodoxy of the GOP.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 2326620)
I can definitely see that. Makes me wonder if many or any at all future presidential candidates will use any of the Rove decendants or if they will continue to fly in the face of past failures and not learn anything from McCain's campaign.

Catering to the radical base is way too gimicky to win a presidential campaign, in my opinion, when there are so many undecided voters that you could win over by keeping the radical base where they belong...in the corner with their mouths taped shut.


Two points.

One, the radical base is important because of volunteer time and money.

Two, Bob Shrum and Mark Penn still work for Democrats and they lose everything. Once they are in the circle of trust political consultants never seem to be cast out.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 2326620)
by keeping the radical base where they belong...in the corner with their mouths taped shut.


Funny, that's a pretty good description of how I feel about the weak assed middle. I've got little respect for people who lack the courage of pretty much any conviction, nor for those who seem to seek every opportunity to consort with the enemy. If they can be used for some purpose & at no loss of principle, great, otherwise fuck 'em since they're part of the problem instead of the solution.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326635)
Funny, that's a pretty good description of how I feel about the weak assed middle. I've got little respect for people who lack the courage of pretty much any conviction, nor for those who seem to seek every opportunity to consort with the enemy. If they can be used for some purpose & at no loss of principle, great, otherwise fuck 'em since they're part of the problem instead of the solution.


LMAO

Maybe it's not that they lack conviction, but rather that they are intelligent enough to relaize that pragmatism dictates that compromise is necessary in order to get some things done (instead of getting nothing done and sticking to their convictions).

Oh shit...who am I kidding. Look who I'm trying to tell that too. :lol:

Greyroofoo 07-28-2010 01:26 PM

Being in the middle != without conviction

ISiddiqui 07-28-2010 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 2326616)
McCain + Romney + the financial meltdown of September, 2008 could have been the "lucky" combination to swing the race back to McCain.


I do think there is a lot of wierd hindsight happening. I seem to remember thinking regardless of who won the GOP primary, they'd get smoked by Obama simply because Dubya was so utterly hated. I think people forget that.

SteveMax58 07-28-2010 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 2326616)
McCain + Romney + the financial meltdown of September, 2008 could have been the "lucky" combination to swing the race back to McCain. But when you have Rovian disciple Steve Schmidt managing your campaign, you're always going to err on the side of firing up the radical base, and so that's where they went with Palin.


McCain/Romney was about as likely as Obama/SteveMax58 though. I agree with the premise though...maybe a McCain/Huckabee ticket accomplishes the same goal.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveMax58 (Post 2326653)
McCain/Romney was about as likely as Obama/SteveMax58 though. I agree with the premise though...maybe a McCain/Huckabee ticket accomplishes the same goal.


Nah, cuz Huckabee doesn't project the same sense of fiscal knowledge that Romney does.

SteveMax58 07-28-2010 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2326657)
Nah, cuz Huckabee doesn't project the same sense of fiscal knowledge that Romney does.


Yeah, but neither does Obama or Biden. Huckabee could certainly have held his own (and likely better) against Biden while also not scaring the swing voters away with complete lunacy.

But McCain's 2nd biggest mistake (next to Palin) IMO was supporting the bank bailout. Right, wrong, or indifferent...he would have been able to distance himself from Bush's policies (whereas Obama supported it) while also catering the his base's outrage.

JediKooter 07-28-2010 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2326632)
Two points.

One, the radical base is important because of volunteer time and money.

Two, Bob Shrum and Mark Penn still work for Democrats and they lose everything. Once they are in the circle of trust political consultants never seem to be cast out.


Maybe my idea of radical base is different? When I think of radical base, I think of the people shooting abortion doctors and the Fred Phelps clan members or the tree huggers that chain themselves to trees or PETA and their lame organization. Besides the fact of giving so much attention to such a small group of people that don't contribute anything but divisiveness, doesn't make any sense.

Why keep people around that keep losing things for you? That I really don't understand.

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA
Funny, that's a pretty good description of how I feel about the weak assed middle. I've got little respect for people who lack the courage of pretty much any conviction, nor for those who seem to seek every opportunity to consort with the enemy. If they can be used for some purpose & at no loss of principle, great, otherwise fuck 'em since they're part of the problem instead of the solution.


Extreme views do not always lead to effectual or beneficial results. Yes, there are people who have no convictions at all, but, I would not describe the middle as having no convictions. Lets face it, 90% of what both sides peddle is fluff and bull shit to get themselves re-elected and the other 10% might actually be beneficial to the country. Not choosing sides and being able to pick and choose what makes sense is the logical thing to do regardless of party is sponsoring it.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 2326666)
Lets face it, 90% of what both sides peddle is fluff and bull shit to get themselves re-elected and the other 10% might actually be beneficial to the country.


I have to imagine that we differ significantly on what represents "beneficial to the country"

Quote:

Not choosing sides and being able to pick and choose what makes sense is the logical thing to do regardless of party is sponsoring it.

I won't disagree. But when one side consistently does a better job of presenting logical/acceptable/preferable options then it's pretty tough not to become de facto "sided".

It's kind of like my praise for Kerry's initial choices (based on some logical assumptions about the reasons behind them), I give a shit if he's a (D) if he's right then he's right.

DaddyTorgo 07-28-2010 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326670)

I won't disagree. But when one side consistently does a better job of presenting logical/acceptable/preferable options then it's pretty tough not to become de facto "sided".


But what is logical/acceptable/preferable is completely a matter of opinion.

Your problem is that even when you're agreeing here you're still being pig-headed and saying "sure I agree it makes sense to choose based on the issues. but i only find republican ideas acceptable/logical so i'm only going to choose from that universe." You refuse to even consider ideas unless they come from the same side of the aisle that you're on and are completely ideologically pure/without any compromise in them.

Even as you pay lip-service to the idea of deciding based on the individual issues, in the next sentence you go right back to being partisan. Not that that really surprises me at all at this point.

Contrast that with me. We've gone over this before so I won't rehash it all, but I'm actually fiscally conservative and socially liberal. I just tend to vote with an eye towards social issues rather than fiscal issues because neither party exactly has a shining record when it comes to fiscal responsibility these days. But if there was a socially "left-center" Republican who was fiscally conservative?? I'd vote for him. Sure I would.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2326676)
But what is logical/acceptable/preferable is completely a matter of opinion.


Or often as not a matter of right/wrong, which has a lot less flexibility.

Quote:

Your problem is that even when you're agreeing here you're still being pig-headed and saying "sure I agree it makes sense to choose based on the issues. but i only find republican ideas acceptable/logical so i'm only going to choose from that universe." You refuse to even consider ideas unless they come from the same side of the aisle that you're on and are completely ideologically pure/without any compromise in them.

You're getting the process backwards though. There's no aspect of " i only find republican ideas acceptable" for me, there's simply what I find acceptable happens to coincide with where the GOP ends up. If that ceases to be (or on the occasions where they're just flat wrong) then fuck them too.
The only loyalty I have to the (R) extends as far as it suits my desires (or presents a clearly preferrable alternative between bad choices) when that isn't the case then they can go hang afaic.

Phrased differently (because the above seems pretty wordy), they aren't right because they're R's, they're right because (or when) they agree with me. It's awfully rare now that I see the D's (nationally, as a group) take a position I agree with, but how is that my fault? If they did, I'd happily back 'em. Remember, I was a (D) for a decent portion of my voting life but as many former D's point out, I haven't changed nearly as much as they have.

Quote:

But if there was a socially "left-center" Republican who was fiscally conservative?? I'd vote for him. Sure I would.

And you could have him, because if forced to choose, I'd much rather have the social issues be handled correctly than the fiscal ones, that's not even a point that gives me the slightest hesitation. It's just that I haven't entirely abandoned all hope of getting both right.

Therein lies the often (increasingly?) uneasy alliance that exists within the GOP as we know it today.

Dutch 07-28-2010 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 2326649)
I do think there is a lot of wierd hindsight happening. I seem to remember thinking regardless of who won the GOP primary, they'd get smoked by Obama simply because Dubya was so utterly hated. I think people forget that.


They'd probably have been smoked by Clinton was well. So I'm glad Obama won that race at least.

molson 07-28-2010 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 2326649)
I do think there is a lot of wierd hindsight happening. I seem to remember thinking regardless of who won the GOP primary, they'd get smoked by Obama simply because Dubya was so utterly hated. I think people forget that.


True, but by mid-2008, McCain was shockingly in the race, even with Palin. (At least, I was shocked)

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 2326649)
I do think there is a lot of wierd hindsight happening. I seem to remember thinking regardless of who won the GOP primary, they'd get smoked by Obama simply because Dubya was so utterly hated. I think people forget that.


I didn't mean to suggest that if McCain had picked Romney instead of Palin he, for certain, would have won the election. I was just saying that given what happened in September, 2008, if McCain had picked Romney a few weeks earlier, they might have had more of a chance than McCain/Palin did in November. Of course, by that point it was too late: McCain had already picked Palin. Plus, given the common wisdom you reference from over the summer, Romney may not have wanted to hitch himself to a likely losing campaign anyway.

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveMax58 (Post 2326653)
McCain/Romney was about as likely as Obama/SteveMax58 though.


True, thus my point about Schmidt being a Rove disciple. Selecting Palin was an obvious move right out of the Rove playbook.


In hindsight it's, if not ironic then of interest, that they one guy whose "experience/image" on financial matters might have helped the ticket considerably during the financial collapse was pretty much shut out from Day One in the process whereby the campaign selected a VP candidate.


Of course, maybe we should doubt the Rove mantra that Presidential elections can be won by energizing the base, given that the proof of this comes from two Presidential elections against two particularly bad Democrat nominees.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 2326725)
Of course, maybe we should doubt the Rove mantra that Presidential elections can be won by energizing the base, given that the proof of this comes from two Presidential elections against two particularly bad Democrat nominees.


How much worse of a nominee could the D's have found? They chose an underqualified & overmatched (to the job, not the race) fencepost turtle as it was. How worse would it have to get for the comparison to remain? I mean, my God, Obama makes Dukakis look like Solomon.

JediKooter 07-28-2010 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326670)
I have to imagine that we differ significantly on what represents "beneficial to the country"


You (not YOU specifically) can nit pick (and we all do), but, you have to admit that strictly dogmatic beliefs or doctrines don't do a whole heck of a lot of good for the masses. I don't like taxes, but, I do like driving on streets and freeways that don't have pot holes or bridge collapses. So, there is a mutually beneficial outcome for taxes in that regard. I think it would be awesome if we got to pick where our tax dollars were spent, but, I'm holding out as much hope of that happening as seeing John Lennon live in concert.


Quote:

I won't disagree. But when one side consistently does a better job of presenting logical/acceptable/preferable options then it's pretty tough not to become de facto "sided".

It's kind of like my praise for Kerry's initial choices (based on some logical assumptions about the reasons behind them), I give a shit if he's a (D) if he's right then he's right.

But, that's just it, BOTH sides are consistently horrible at doing their supposed jobs. Those logical/acceptable/preferable options are more the exception than the rule, for both sides. I owe allegiance to no party, not because of some elitist voter snobbery on my part, but, because no party has even come close to earning it. My standards are pretty high when it comes to our elected officials, simply because of the power that they yield is so much and wide reaching.

And your praise of Kerry makes sense, given the platform of the GOP regarding taxes and being the side that you have chosen. I'm fine with that. Whether or not I agree or disagree is completely irrelevant. What I'm not fine with is the elected GOP persons acting like he just made the most grievous of insults is absolutely ridiculous when you know that they would do the exact same thing.

I don't know if any of that makes sense and I'm not trying to sway you one way or another, but, not everything isn't so absolute or black and white. What is pretty absolute though is the complete crappyness of the political talent in this country, regardless of the animal they ride.

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326737)
How much worse of a nominee could the D's have found? They chose an underqualified & overmatched (to the job, not the race) fencepost turtle as it was. How worse would it have to get for the comparison to remain? I mean, my God, Obama makes Dukakis look like Solomon.


I wasn't talking about the job, Jon, I was talking about the race. For the purpose of actually winning the race, Obama was a considerably better candidate than Kerry or Gore. Or, for that matter, McCain.

So, Rove won two races for Bush by emphasizing energizing the base. The same strategy did not work for Rove disciple Steve Schmidt when he enacted it by helping to pick Palin for McCain. Thus, should we conclude from this that Rove's strategy is discredited because it only works against terrible Democratic campaigners, or that Rove's strategy still has merit because McCain was a terrible campaigner (or Obama was a transcendent one)?

The question is important (for electoral politics, at least) because the GOP is going to have to decide exactly how far right they want to shift their party to appease/fire up their base (represented most vocally by the Tea Party at the moment) and whether, in so doing, they'll actually hurt their electoral chances.

flere-imsaho 07-28-2010 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326670)
I won't disagree. But when one side consistently does a better job of presenting logical/acceptable/preferable options then it's pretty tough not to become de facto "sided".


Yet in spite of this you still oppose Democrats? :p

RainMaker 07-28-2010 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2326504)
Of course not, it's not 1980. I guess we could go 'round and 'round on this, but if the best way you can find to discredit Ronald Reagan is to say his 1980 platform doesn't equate to the 2010 platform, than you got it. We don't need to beat the Soviets anymore. We don't need to sort out the Iran Hostage crisis. So yes, I would disapprove of somebody with those things in mind.

No one is discrediting Reagan at all. Just saying he would be called a RINO or moderate today. His conservative legend is a myth. Like I have said and others, he was a very good President.

It's more of a shot at partisians who bash Obama for doing the same stuff Reagan did.

RainMaker 07-28-2010 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2326594)
And how's that working out? We've seen the abject failure of nominating a weak ass excuse like McCain. Further, more & more people seem to be realizing that such a hollow victory really isn't much cause for celebration.

No Republican was going to win in that election cycle. McCain stole votes away from Obama from those who wanted experience. Palin rallied far-right. Anyone farther to the right of McCain would have been slaughtered.

I know there is this delusion between partisians that they believe the extremes of their party is what the people want. It's not. Moderates win Presidential elections. I can't even think of the last fringe candidate to win the Presidency.

SirFozzie 07-28-2010 04:47 PM

GWB pretended to be moderate, at least..

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho (Post 2326758)
I wasn't talking about the job, Jon, I was talking about the race. For the purpose of actually winning the race, Obama was a considerably better candidate than Kerry or Gore. Or, for that matter, McCain.


Well there's the race card that guaranteed him a block of votes, I'll give you that one. He seems to have a knack for connecting to the terminally naive, which sure doesn't hurt anyone regardless of party when it comes to getting votes. Otherwise, getting someone with no qualifications into the job actually strikes me as one of the greatest political machinery success in 200+ years. And I say that with admiration, not as criticism.

His primary takedown of Hilary is something that I marvel at, although in fairness I'm not sure how much was good work from his side versus a terrible effort from her side. Still, I'll likely always be impressed by the success they had for whatever reason.

Greyroofoo 07-28-2010 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 2326768)
No Republican was going to win in that election cycle. McCain stole votes away from Obama from those who wanted experience. Palin rallied far-right. Anyone farther to the right of McCain would have been slaughtered.

I know there is this delusion between partisians that they believe the extremes of their party is what the people want. It's not. Moderates win Presidential elections. I can't even think of the last fringe candidate to win the Presidency.


I really hate when someone says a politician "stole" votes. It infers a sense of entitlement.

JonInMiddleGA 07-28-2010 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveBollea (Post 2326775)
so "the black vote" was inconsequential.


Not in getting through the primaries it wasn't.

Also, we were talking about his assets as a candidate, an area where his color was second only to "not being Bush". The self- loathing white guilt complex that seems to affect so many liberals seems to fall under "the race card" that I referred to. I'll admit it isn't something that gets a ton of play so the reference was likely too subtle.

RainMaker 07-28-2010 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SirFozzie (Post 2326770)
GWB pretended to be moderate, at least..

He was pretty moderate. Despite rhetoric about social issues, he never really tackled any of them despite a strong hold on the House and Senate. He was also far from a fiscal conservative.

JPhillips 07-28-2010 05:59 PM

Romney would have been an anchor for McCain. He ran a company that made it's living on buying companies, trimming the workforce and outsourcing jobs. That economic expertise wasn't going to help in 2008.

rowech 07-28-2010 10:28 PM

Just glad he found time to go on The View. Wish he could decide if he wants to be a celebrity or the President.

rowech 07-29-2010 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveBollea (Post 2326909)
Really? Really? Because ya' know, the President is usually so unknown. I have no doubt that if the View existed in 1983, Reagan would've ended up on it or if it existed in 1943, FDR would've ended up on it. Hell, JFK would've banged Hasselbeck in the dressing room beforehand.


Whatever. He's pathetic.

JPhillips 07-29-2010 08:16 AM

I'm so old I remember when people used to complain about Bush Derangement Syndrome.

flere-imsaho 07-29-2010 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveBollea (Post 2326909)
Hell, JFK would've banged Hasselbeck in the dressing room beforehand.


This, my friends, is what happens when an otherwise well-meaning poster takes hyperbole too far. Now we all have to clean our brains with bleach. Let this be a lesson to you all, folks: don't let it happen to you.

DaddyTorgo 08-03-2010 11:41 AM

Interesting Pew Poll Results

http://congressionalconnection.natio...idates-who.php

and for the DailyKos look at it (where I saw the poll results initially)

Daily Kos: Sorry, tea party: Voters prefer government projects

Quote:

Originally Posted by kos
If you look at the net impact of each hypothetical on a liklihood of support (in other words, subtracting the less likely number from the more likely number), you get, in order:
  1. Government projects: +39%
  1. Barack Obama: -1%
  1. Candidate is neither Dem nor GOP: -6%
  1. Tea party: -9%
  1. Sarah Palin: -20%
So it turns out that the tea party's austerity message is a lead balloon for the GOP. Instead, voters want somebody representing them who will deliver the goods for their district. Even among Republicans, voters are just as likely to support a candidate who delivers government projects and money to their district as one who has the backing of the tea party.

Moreover, it turns out the election really isn't about any one national figure, but if it were, it would be Sarah Palin that was a detriment -- not President Obama.

The more you see numbers like this, the clearer it becomes that vulnerable members of Congress shouldn't spend their time running from programs like the recovery act. Instead, they should be touting the benefits of what the stimulus has delivered to their districts. And they should be running on a platform of doing even more of it to get the economy going. As the numbers show, it's not a close call.


Ronnie Dobbs2 08-03-2010 11:48 AM

With that being how the country really thinks, it's a wonder the Democrats ever lose a single election!

DaddyTorgo 08-03-2010 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie Dobbs2 (Post 2329140)
With that being how the country really thinks, it's a wonder the Democrats ever lose a single election!


Pork-barrel politics cuts across party lines and it's disingenuous of you to even suggest that it doesn't.

Ronnie Dobbs2 08-03-2010 12:28 PM

My point, which was not disingenuous, was that of course everyone like government projects in a vacuum. The fact that they don't like to pay for them is why Republicans manage to get elected.

JediKooter 08-03-2010 01:21 PM

I think what people have a problem with is pork projects that the specific elected official has a vested interest in. Seems to be a conflict of interest in my opinion. However, I don't think people have a problem and have never really had a problem with elected officials bringing money into their district in general.

JPhillips 08-03-2010 02:34 PM

It's not just the filibuster. When there's no penalty for obstructing everything, the minority party ends up running the government off a cliff.


Ronnie Dobbs2 08-03-2010 02:35 PM

Looks like everything was going fine until the Democrats started Borking people. ;)

DaddyTorgo 08-03-2010 03:24 PM

That's ridiculous JPhillips. Wow. I had no idea it was THAT bad.

cue Jon ("You mean that good. Only way it could be better is if it was 0%.")

rowech 08-03-2010 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2329257)
It's not just the filibuster. When there's no penalty for obstructing everything, the minority party ends up running the government off a cliff.



Also keep in mind Obama has purposesly assigned how many people when Congress was unable to confirm them?

molson 08-03-2010 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2329257)
It's not just the filibuster. When there's no penalty for obstructing everything, the minority party ends up running the government off a cliff.



Isn't it completely ridiculous to compare these kinds of numbers between a sitting president and former presidents? Wouldn't Obama's numbers include dozens of recent nominees? How many of that 60% can anyone definitively blame Republicans for?

DaddyTorgo 08-03-2010 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveBollea (Post 2329388)
First, there's no evidence that Obama's appointees have been any more out of the mainstream than Reagan, Bush I, Clinton, or Bush II. That's not shocking because Obama's a standard issue center-left Democrat.

Second, to Molson's point. Let me steal a quote, "the Alliance for Justice found that in Obama's first year in office, the Senate confirmed a mere 23 percent of his judicial nominees. By contrast, Presidents Carter and Reagan had 91 percent of their nominees confirmed in their first year. That number dropped to 65 percent for George H.W. Bush, 57 percent for Bill Clinton, and 44 percent for George W. Bush.

As I wrote last month, you can attribute the massive change in confirmation rates to the GOP's strategy of hyper-obstruction through abuse of Senate rules; through routine filibusters and holds, Republican senators have kept dozens of judicial nominees from leaving committee or coming to a vote. And while it's true that Democrats aren't always without a reliable 60 votes for cloture, breaking each filibuster eats away at floor time and keeps the majority from considering its other priorities.

That said, President Obama isn't entirely blameless in this game. Yes, the Senate has confirmed precious few of his nominees, but he's also offered far fewer nominees than his predecessors. In his first year, Obama offered a slim total of 26 judicial nominees: 12 to the U.S. Court of Appeals and 14 to U.S. District Courts. By contrast, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush offered a respective 47 and 65 nominees in their first years. As of today, there are 82 vacancies in U.S. District Courts and 35 pending nominees. Filibusters aside, Obama has yet to offer nominees for 47 court vacancies.

To be honest, I'm completely puzzled by Obama's unwillingness to take judicial nominations seriously -- even with Republican intransigence, the 111th Congress was the best shot he had for getting the nominees he wanted. Obama is making a huge mistake if he thinks that next year is the time to get serious about making judicial nominations. By then, the GOP will be stronger and far less willing to defer to the president's preferences. Judicial confirmations will slow to a trickle, and Obama will deserve a lot of blame for the vacant judiciary."


I'm increasingly coming to the belief that the guy is clueless AND is being poorly advised. Very disappointing.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-03-2010 10:10 PM

Amazing stuff in one of the first votes to Obama's health care mandate and its insurance requirements/penalties. With 70% of the votes counted, Missouri voters have voted by a 3-to-1 margin to opt out of several of the main portions of the Health Care Act.

Missourians Rejected Obama Health-Care Reform - Politics News Story - KMBC Kansas City

JonInMiddleGA 08-03-2010 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329550)
Amazing stuff in one of the first votes to Obama's health care mandate and its insurance requirements/penalties. With 70% of the votes counted, Missouri voters have voted by a 3-to-1 margin to opt out of several of the main portions of the Health Care Act.


Alas, nothing I've read seems to indicate this has much more weight than a straw poll, pending the outcome of the likely court battles.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-04-2010 12:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 2329569)
Alas, nothing I've read seems to indicate this has much more weight than a straw poll, pending the outcome of the likely court battles.


Most of the media this evening was discussing whether the Missouri referendum would go to court or not. I was a bit surprised to hear that.

What was even more telling from a political standpoint was how quiet the Democrats in Missouri were (some of whom voted for the Health Care Bill). Most privately said that they feared for their political life if they came out against this Proposition C. Given the voting results, they were correct to be apprehensive. To have a bellweather state vote so strongly against the Health Care Bill is a red flag to Obama and the majority party.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-04-2010 12:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveBollea (Post 2329561)
I suppose all those people will now say no longer want the opportunity to keep their kids on their own health insurance until 25 or still want health insurance companies have the ability to deny them for preexisting conditions?

Of course not, this is something that attacks the most unpopular (because of conservative mantra of 'services now, taxes never!) aspects of the health care reform bill.


I think you'd be very surprised how many don't want that opportunity in this state, but I'm guessing you didn't want an actual answer to your question other than one that fits your argument. Even the Democrats in Missouri are very conservative when it comes to fiscal responsibility. People in this state generally want less government intervention even if it means it doesn't ultimately provide them a benefit. I know people in other areas don't think that's possible, but it's a reality in many Midwest states.

DaddyTorgo 08-04-2010 12:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329599)
I think you'd be very surprised how many don't want that opportunity in this state, but I'm guessing you didn't want an actual answer to your question other than one that fits your argument. Even the Democrats in Missouri are very conservative when it comes to fiscal responsibility. People in this state generally want less government intervention even if it means it doesn't ultimately provide them a benefit. I know people in other areas don't think that's possible, but it's a reality in many Midwest states.


Good. You all can join the "New Confederacy" with Jon and his Southern states and those of us who live in states where we pay in more in tax dollars than we receive in federal spending will finally get to see a real return on our tax dollars being spent on our citizens.

win win for everyone as far as i'm concerned.

JPhillips 08-04-2010 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329550)
Amazing stuff in one of the first votes to Obama's health care mandate and its insurance requirements/penalties. With 70% of the votes counted, Missouri voters have voted by a 3-to-1 margin to opt out of several of the main portions of the Health Care Act.

Missourians Rejected Obama Health-Care Reform - Politics News Story - KMBC Kansas City


Don't get so excited. Less than 15% of the population voted and there was almost no campaign against it because eventually this will be decided in the courts. Missouri may have a majority opposed to a mandate, but this vote doesn't mean 75% of Missouri is against the ACA.

I'm so old I remember when the insurance mandate was a Republican idea.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-04-2010 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2329693)
Don't get so excited. Less than 15% of the population voted and there was almost no campaign against it because eventually this will be decided in the courts. Missouri may have a majority opposed to a mandate, but this vote doesn't mean 75% of Missouri is against the ACA.

I'm so old I remember when the insurance mandate was a Republican idea.


75% of the voters voted for the Proposition. You can spin it however you want it, but 100% of the voters had the opportunity to come out and vote. There was no campaign against it because anyone who opposed it knew it would be political suicide in this state. That may not be the case if a similar proposition came up in your home state, but it definitely is here. Obama and Democrat are four-letter words in this state right now no matter what you'd like to spin it as. That's a fact and it doesn't have any relation to party or race.

DaddyTorgo 08-04-2010 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329721)
75% of the voters voted for the Proposition. You can spin it however you want it, but 100% of the voters had the opportunity to come out and vote. There was no campaign against it because anyone who opposed it knew it would be political suicide in this state. That may not be the case if a similar proposition came up in your home state, but it definitely is here. Obama and Democrat are four-letter words in this state right now no matter what you'd like to spin it as. That's a fact and it doesn't have any relation to party or race.


Actually it's not a fact, it's an opinion. Your opinion.

JPhillips 08-04-2010 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329721)
75% of the voters voted for the Proposition. You can spin it however you want it, but 100% of the voters had the opportunity to come out and vote. There was no campaign against it because anyone who opposed it knew it would be political suicide in this state. That may not be the case if a similar proposition came up in your home state, but it definitely is here. Obama and Democrat are four-letter words in this state right now no matter what you'd like to spin it as. That's a fact and it doesn't have any relation to party or race.


There's plenty of special interest money that could have campaigned against the proposition if they felt like it was important. The mandate is going to be decided in the courts and these symbolic propositions don't matter. If the mandate is deemed unconstitutional the whole ACA falls apart, so I can assure you there would be plenty of campaigning if these propositions really mattered.

Ronnie Dobbs2 08-04-2010 08:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2329724)
Actually it's not a fact, it's an opinion. Your opinion.


Well, it is a fact that only 34% of MO residents approve of Obama's work.

MO Sen: Blunt Takes 6-Point*Lead - Real Clear Politics – TIME.com

DaddyTorgo 08-04-2010 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie Dobbs2 (Post 2329730)
Well, it is a fact that only 34% of MO residents approve of Obama's work.

MO Sen: Blunt Takes 6-Point*Lead - Real Clear Politics – TIME.com


Real Clear Politics? What's their house bias against (D)'s again? I don't recall, but I know they're hardly viewed as an impartial pollster. And that's without even looking at the poll you linked.

albionmoonlight 08-04-2010 09:00 AM

I so rarely get to type this, but MBBF is right. Y'all forget that Missouri voted for McCain in 2008. And the President is less popular nationally than he was then, so it would make sense that Missouri is stridently anti-Obama right now. So, some straw poll comes out that lets people stick a thumb in the President's eye? What do you think will happen? I'm surprised that 25% of the people motivated enough to vote supported the President's reforms.

If we had a Presidental election today, I doubt that Missouri would even be contested by the parties.

JPhillips 08-04-2010 09:01 AM

I don't doubt there's majority disapproval of the mandate, but there's no way it's at 75% of the population. Even with Obama's 34% you'd have to believe a third of those who support Obama want the mandate repealed.

I doubt you could get 75% of the population of Missouri to agree on anything, even whether or not they live in Missouri.

Dutch 08-04-2010 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2329735)
Real Clear Politics? What's their house bias against (D)'s again? I don't recall, but I know they're hardly viewed as an impartial pollster. And that's without even looking at the poll you linked.


I wish we could put a (D) or a (R) next to every link we posted here. That would save us all a lot of uneccessary confusion.

DaddyTorgo 08-04-2010 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dutch (Post 2329742)
I wish we could put a (D) or a (R) next to every link we posted here. That would save us all a lot of uneccessary confusion.


and consternation.

Ronnie Dobbs2 08-04-2010 09:21 AM

It's certainly easy to always be right when you discount any evidence to the contrary.

Mizzou B-ball fan 08-04-2010 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight (Post 2329738)
If we had a Presidental election today, I doubt that Missouri would even be contested by the parties.


This part of your comment has to be the most surprising part, but your exactly right. Missouri has only picked the loser in 2 elections since 1900 (one being the last election as you correctly note, though it was only 3,000 votes difference). If Obama and his party are in this much trouble in a state like Missouri, it doesn't bode well for either of them.

Just as an example, my House Rep is Ike Skeleton, who is a helluva good guy and a Democrat who I've voted for every election. He's having to spend in this election alone copious amount of money on his campaign, which is something he's never had to do before. Granted, he's getting up there in years, but to see him have to work this hard to get elected is shocking.

DaddyTorgo 08-04-2010 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie Dobbs2 (Post 2329750)
It's certainly easy to always be right when you discount any evidence to the contrary.


Who's discounting it? I'm just saying you have to take into account the various biases.

albionmoonlight 08-04-2010 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan (Post 2329751)
If Obama and his party are in this much trouble in a state like Missouri, it doesn't bode well for either of them.


Well, I think that the Dems will lose the House and barely keep the Senate, so they are in trouble by any definition of the term.

But I don't really see Missouri as symbolic of that. It swung red in an election where the President got 53% of the popular vote. Missouri has gone from a national swing state to a GOP stronghold. But that seems to have much more to do with Missouri than it does with the national mood.

Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia seem to be the new national swing states. (IMHO, North Carolina and Indiana are still only going to go blue in Democratic blowout elections).

Ronnie Dobbs2 08-04-2010 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2329760)
Who's discounting it? I'm just saying you have to take into account the various biases.


So how many percentage points would you in your wisdom discount the RCP poll? Taking their bias into account, of course.

rowech 08-04-2010 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2329739)
I don't doubt there's majority disapproval of the mandate, but there's no way it's at 75% of the population. Even with Obama's 34% you'd have to believe a third of those who support Obama want the mandate repealed.

I doubt you could get 75% of the population of Missouri to agree on anything, even whether or not they live in Missouri.


I think the central to midwest portion of the US is really pissed off.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:38 AM.

Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.