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GrantDawg 10-24-2023 04:17 PM

Dean Phillips, a Democratic congressman from Minnesota, is announcing Friday he is entering the primaries against Biden. He resigned his leadership post a couple of weeks ago saying he was angry the party wasn't putting a candidate up against Biden, and I guess it should come as no surprise that he meant that candidate to be himself.


Btw: His slogan is going to be "Make America Affordable Again!". I don't think aping the Trump slogan is going to win you over to Democrats, but I will say that I think a "It's the grocery store, stupid" focus is pretty solid.

RainMaker 10-24-2023 04:18 PM

Pritzker should have run but I'm guessing he's going to go in 2028.

GrantDawg 10-24-2023 05:41 PM

Rainmaker, I think anybody that really wants to be President in the future has no interest in pissing off the party now by challenging a sitting President. I'm not saying it wouldn't be nice to have a true alternative, but no one is really has a shot to take out an incumbent.

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Edward64 10-26-2023 07:53 AM

Wed, Nov 8 for Debate #3.

Pence & Scott have not made the cut-off yet.

Quote:

So far, five candidates have hit the Republican National Committee’s increasingly stringent requirements to make it onto the debate stage. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie have all qualified, as has the current frontrunner, former President Donald Trump — who is set to again skip the debate in favor of his own rally in nearby Hialeah, Fla.

Former Vice President Mike Pence, meanwhile, has met the polling requirements but still needs to hit the 70,000-donor mark. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) has yet to hit either threshold, according to POLITCO’s analysis, though his campaign has claimed he has met the polling requirements.

JPhillips 10-26-2023 08:08 AM

Trump is leading by 40-50 points. Cancel the debates.

GrantDawg 10-28-2023 01:41 PM

Mike Pence has suspended his Presidential campaign. Didn't even make it to the first vote.

Ksyrup 10-28-2023 02:06 PM

He should be forced to carry his campaign to term.

bronconick 10-28-2023 02:20 PM

Mother is heartbroken.

Thomkal 10-28-2023 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3416256)
He should be forced to carry his campaign to term.



You win this thread for today, lol

Thomkal 10-28-2023 03:25 PM

I guess thoughts and prayers didn't work for Pence either.

Atocep 10-28-2023 03:30 PM

I still have no idea what kind of campaign Pence was trying to run and how he thought whatever he was doing could win.

His only chance, and it was a remote one, was to come out swinging and tell people how he had a first hand view of how awful of a leader Trump was. Spill the tea, try to convince enough voters that he's a godless charlatan that lacks morals. Nothing else was going to work.

Thomkal 10-28-2023 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3416261)
I still have no idea what kind of campaign Pence was trying to run and how he thought whatever he was doing could win.

His only chance, and it was a remote one, was to come out swinging and tell people how he had a first hand view of how awful of a leader Trump was. Spill the tea, try to convince enough voters that he's a godless charlatan that lacks morals. Nothing else was going to work.


Yeah embrace Christian nationalism, tell everyone that Trump never went to church but played golf instead. Make himself the leader Christians wanted to follow, but instead we got blah Pence. I wonder when/if Trump goes to jail, gets 14th Amendment from running again, he'll restart his campaign.

Atocep 10-28-2023 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3416266)
Yeah embrace Christian nationalism, tell everyone that Trump never went to church but played golf instead. Make himself the leader Christians wanted to follow, but instead we got blah Pence. I wonder when/if Trump goes to jail, gets 14th Amendment from running again, he'll restart his campaign.


What's so confusing about how these candidates are handling Trump is that at least one of them may end up on a debate stage with him. What's their plan then? Do they think Trump is going to say nice things about them and tip toe around issues?

Thomkal 10-28-2023 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3416267)
What's so confusing about how these candidates are handling Trump is that at least one of them may end up on a debate stage with him. What's their plan then? Do they think Trump is going to say nice things about them and tip toe around issues?



They all will suspend their campaigns if Trump ever goes to a debate, because then they will all have to tell everyone how horrible he would be if he got back to the Oval Office, Better to just kiss the ring and move on.

RainMaker 10-28-2023 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3416266)
Yeah embrace Christian nationalism, tell everyone that Trump never went to church but played golf instead. Make himself the leader Christians wanted to follow, but instead we got blah Pence. I wonder when/if Trump goes to jail, gets 14th Amendment from running again, he'll restart his campaign.


The thing with Christian nationalists is they don't actually care about the Christian part that much. The fact that Trump and all his vices got the support of evangelicals tells you all you need to know.

Pence is a dumb guy who probably thought some straight talk would turn people around. But I think most of the other candidates are just trying to get their name out there for a 2028 run (Haley, Vivek) or angling for the VP spot (Scott). DeSantis was the only one who had a reasonable shot but he ran maybe the worst campaign in history.

flere-imsaho 10-29-2023 05:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3416256)
He should be forced to carry his campaign to term.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3416260)
I guess thoughts and prayers didn't work for Pence either.


Outstanding, gentlemen! :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3416272)
Pence is a dumb guy who probably thought some straight talk would turn people around.


This is my take, as well. And, to be fair, this got him pretty far, so why not try and keep it up?

Quote:

DeSantis was the only one who had a reasonable shot but he ran maybe the worst campaign in history.

Rudy Giuliani from 2008 would like a word.

Brian Swartz 10-29-2023 06:46 AM

I think DeSantis was worse. And that's saying something.

GrantDawg 10-29-2023 10:18 AM

Jeb!

flere-imsaho 10-29-2023 11:08 AM

There are definitely a bunch of good candidates. Clinton in 08 & 16 also needs to be in the running, although mostly on hubris.

Ksyrup 11-04-2023 08:25 PM

He's relishing this.


Edward64 11-05-2023 08:06 AM

TBH I'm not sure why RFK is getting a 22% support. It probably won't last but it's an interesting situation.

Access to this page has been denied
Quote:

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appears to pull more support from former President Trump than President Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to a new poll.

A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday showed Biden narrowly ahead of Trump by 1 point — 47 percent to 46 percent, within the margin of error — in a head-to-head matchup. But with Kennedy in a three-way race, Biden is ahead with 39 percent to Trump’s 36 percent and Kennedy’s 22 percent.

GrantDawg 11-05-2023 08:12 AM

It's the grocery store, stupid.

GrantDawg 11-05-2023 08:18 AM

Trump is going to win the White House because this old m-fer didn't know when to step aside:

Ksyrup 11-05-2023 10:21 AM

Now:

"I've proven I can beat Trump."

November 8th-ish:

"Damn, I thought for sure I'd win again."

At least we'll now have a replacement for Thanks, Obama!

jcard 11-05-2023 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3415912)
Dean Phillips, a Democratic congressman from Minnesota, is announcing Friday he is entering the primaries against Biden. He resigned his leadership post a couple of weeks ago saying he was angry the party wasn't putting a candidate up against Biden, and I guess it should come as no surprise that he meant that candidate to be himself.


Btw: His slogan is going to be "Make America Affordable Again!". I don't think aping the Trump slogan is going to win you over to Democrats, but I will say that I think a "It's the grocery store, stupid" focus is pretty solid.


MA’AM?

RainMaker 11-05-2023 12:47 PM

He's cooked.


RainMaker 11-05-2023 01:59 PM

This is insane. 13 point gap between Biden and generic Dem.


GrantDawg 11-05-2023 03:20 PM

That's not a surprised though. "No set candidate" always fair better than an actual human. Voters project their own values to "no set candidate", and that magic candidate has no negative traits that any human is going to have.

JonInMiddleGA 11-05-2023 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3417474)
That's not a surprised though. "No set candidate" always fair better than an actual human. Voters project their own values to "no set candidate", and that magic candidate has no negative traits that any human is going to have.


Y'aint wrong.

It's similar to how the broad national "generic R vs generic D" poll stuff has very little bearing on actual outcomes ... because those two don't run against each other and we don't vote on a single precinct basis.

GrantDawg 11-08-2023 02:51 PM

I have to admit that the guy just seems so awkward at being a human I'm almost feeling sorry for him.

RainMaker 11-08-2023 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3417422)
Trump is going to win the White House because this old m-fer didn't know when to step aside:



He's basically LBJ in 67 at this point.

Edward64 11-12-2023 09:15 PM

And then there was 4 + 1

Tim Scott gone.

Ghost Econ 11-13-2023 06:26 AM

So his "girlfriend" will only be kept around as long as he has a VP shot, right?

Brian Swartz 11-13-2023 06:28 AM

The election is a year away. There's bad news for Biden to be sure, but it's far from over.

GrantDawg 11-13-2023 06:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3418406)
And then there was 4 + 1

Tim Scott gone.

When Tim Scott's girlfriend was asked for comment, she said "He told you I was his WHAT?"

Edward64 11-13-2023 07:40 AM

Can't a guy catch a break with all you critics.

Quote:

A campaign official would only confirm that the woman on stage was indeed Scott’s girlfriend and her name is “Mindy.” Online sleuthing points to the person as being Mindy Noce, a Charleston-area interior designer and mother of three.

After the debate, Scott, a 58-year old bachelor, confirmed that he had brought his girlfriend to the event, telling reporters that the two have been dating “about a year.”

GrantDawg 11-13-2023 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3418428)
Can't a guy catch a break with all you critics.

The rest of the article:
Quote:

You can see Mindy's next theatrical performance when she plays "Miss Adeliade" in the Charleston City Players rendition of "Guys and Dolls".

Ksyrup 11-13-2023 08:18 AM

Started dating 5-6 months before he announced his candidacy. Seems to be about the right timeline in preparation for such things...

Edward64 11-16-2023 01:57 PM

Haley doing well in New Hampshire.

CNN Poll: Trump holds significant lead in New Hampshire GOP primary, while Haley moves into second place | CNN Politics
Quote:

Former President Donald Trump maintains a significant lead among likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary, but former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has moved ahead of Trump’s other rivals and holds second place, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.
I'm calling it ... Ramaswamy is done.

Quote:

Haley’s support has climbed 8 percentage points from the last CNN/UNH poll in September, with Ramaswamy dipping 5 points and support for Trump, Christie and DeSantis remaining relatively steady.
Looking forward to mid-January

Quote:

New Hampshire Secretary of State David Scanlan announced Wednesday that the state’s first-in-the-nation primary would be held on January 23, about a week after Iowa’s caucuses kick off the GOP nomination contest.

Atocep 11-16-2023 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3418795)
Haley doing well in New Hampshire.

CNN Poll: Trump holds significant lead in New Hampshire GOP primary, while Haley moves into second place | CNN Politics

I'm calling it ... Ramaswamy is done.


Looking forward to mid-January


Vivek would get a boost in a non-Trump primary because a decent chunk of the MAGA people love him. Apparently toxic masculinity is the only box they really care is checked.

I don't think Trump's hold on the GOP is as strong as it seems. It's partly smoke and mirrors. I'd go as far to say the majority of the party would rather he not run or would prefer a better candidate. They just can't come to a consensus on who that is so they're just going with Trump because they know what they're getting.

GrantDawg 11-16-2023 05:42 PM

It sounds like Tim Scott's money people are falling in with Haley. She seems to be where the non-Trumpers are starting to gather. She has no chance, but for her to have one most if the rest of group needs to drop. I just don't see DeSantis doing her that favor.

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flere-imsaho 11-17-2023 07:12 AM

I dunno, the facts seem to indicate that Trump's hold over the GOP is not only pretty strong, but it's pretty reliant on him, as DeSantis' and Ramaswamy's attempts to infiltrate using his schtick look to have failed.

Probably a third of state filing deadlines (for primaries) have already passed, and most of the rest will pass by the end of December, so this is group (barring drop-outs) who head into the primaries.

I'm with GD: looks to be shaping up to be a 2-horse race with Trump and Haley, neatly encapsulating the lines drawn in the to-date super one-sided GOP civil war. However, with the kind of polling leads Trump has, and most of the primaries being winner-takes-all/winner-takes-most, I could functionally see this being over by March.

Ghost Econ 11-17-2023 07:47 AM

Are you saying the charade is over by March or that it actually is over mathematically by March? There is literally no chance it's anyone other than Trump unless he (god willing) drops dead and even then he'd probably still be the nominee.

flere-imsaho 11-17-2023 08:15 AM

Probably charade, as I'm not sure if one can get a majority of delegates by March, but presume he'll have basically an insurmountable delegate lead by then.

flere-imsaho 11-17-2023 08:16 AM

Gives him plenty of time to have people come and kiss the ring if they want the VP slot. That'll be the real show.

RainMaker 11-20-2023 10:08 PM

I wonder if this becomes a way to attack Biden or maybe Trump come a general election. Surprised to see them calling it out.


Edward64 11-28-2023 09:06 AM

Nice win for Haley.

Influential Koch network backs Nikki Haley in GOP presidential primary | CNN Politics
Quote:

The influential network associated with billionaire Charles Koch will throw its money and influence behind former South Caroline Gov. Nikki Haley in the Republican presidential primary, the group announced Tuesday.

The decision could dramatically reshape the Republican field – roughly seven weeks before the Iowa caucuses – as Americans for Prosperity Action deploys its vast resources and standing army of conservative activists on behalf of the former South Carolina governor.

The endorsement marks the latest sign that powerful Republican donors are coalescing behind the candidacy of the former US ambassador to the United Nations. She has seen prominent figures join her campaign in recent weeks, particularly after South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott exited the race.

Ghost Econ 11-28-2023 09:57 AM

Trump showing up at the Clemson-Carolina game shows he's at least hedging. Haley pretty much needs every non-trump candidate to drop out in the next week or 2 to even get a minute chance. If there's anyone siphoning her votes in the first primary or two, she won't get the chance to hang in for the longer primary season.

As someone who lives in Haley's state, she's annoying but your average politician. She's at least shown the ability to be swayed by public opinion to do the bare minimum of a right thing (see Confederate flag). I don't think she'd be a good president, but the country would at least slow it's collapse into degeneracy as opposed to Trump.

albionmoonlight 11-28-2023 10:06 AM

Trump will soon attack Haley. How she (and others) respond will be critical.

Swaggs 11-28-2023 10:23 AM

She will be well positioned if Trump drops out or is not available, but it is still so early. We've had similar pushes at 10-15 months out before from Rudy Giulliani, Mike Huckabee, Hermain Cain, Ron Paul, and Rick Santorum (I'm sure I'm forgetting some others) in recent years. I guess the best hope for the non-Trump candidates is to have enough money to survive through the primaries and hope he drops out. I can't even imagine what would happen if he wins the primaries and then becomes unable to run and who they might come to a consensus on if they choose at the convention.


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