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That rule only applies to the next night -- if Lathum or DT were a non-cunning wolf, they would have been able to kill one of those voters last night. |
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Yes its a 24 hour clock, but he had until 1:59 to put in his order... granted he was away at deadline (I think) and he had a decent reason to scan telle, but I think the masses would be happier with a scan of mrs. schmidty or DT |
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Can we get clarification on this because on the intro post it says "Only the cunning wolf can kill any player - all other wolves may only kill a player who has voted for them at some point in the game. This only includes votes tabulated at the deadline. The wolves may kill 1 player per night." |
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Wolves can't add. You must be a wolf. :) |
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I dont drink coffee much... but I said this before I read WHY you scanned her. I comment as I read... or by the time I get done reading the 8 pages I forget everything I want to say and I have one week post...which is generally why I am considered UTR |
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I see your problem -- Eaglesfan27 isn't playing this game. |
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My bad, you're right. |
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Well, there is 5 total players there. To expand on my analysis, EagleFan was involved in 2 of the 6 votes. Perhaps EagleFan would be a good starting point to discuss as a potential lynch target? |
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Oops. I guess I'm bad at paying attention, and we all know that Villagers from Washington state are bad at paying attention!!!!!! |
Upon further though, I probably need to clarify my line of thinking a bit more. If a wolf tacked on a vote to a single person, it would not make much sense if they were both wolves, because then there would be no reason to kill each other.
But perhaps a wolf used a ploy to get someone to vote for him. Maybe Mrs. Schmidty told EagleFan that if he voted for her, Schmidty would vote for EagleFan. Thus now EagleFan can kill Schmidty and the wolves can use that whenever they need to. Schmidty, you have been played. |
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Huh? Maybe it's the lack of sleep but I have a headache now. |
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Is a wolf more likely to do this though? I know in the last game, three of the wolves were actually in on the first two lynchings. |
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I would agree with this! |
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I'm not missing anything. Cronin made sure to post and say to issue conditional orders, so why didn't Lathum do that. He has played enough games to know that NOTHING is absolute in WW until deadline. And even if I give him the benefit of the doubt on that, why Telle? Why not BK? Why not you? Someone who was vocal on day one and/or had some sort of controvery/suspicion around them? Hell, the way he and Render were going at it yesterday, that pick for a scan would have made a hell of a lot more sense than Telle... I'm still catching up so some of this might have already been addressed... |
Dola, I see now why Lathum scanned Telle, I don't think it was the best scan for the team, but I see why he did it.
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FEISTY!!! |
i dont really think there is too much more to say.
i didnt buy DaddyTorgo's reveal 15 minutes before the deadline....this whole game, people have been complaining that the deadline was going to be very hard for them to be online, yet he waited to a point when he may or may not have been able to saved by switches to make his reveal also, i dont agree with his statement that he was just sitting back and not saying much he was right in the middle of the mix the entire time...the bodyguard should not be a lightning rod, they should be hiding in the basement. that same argument is exactly why i do believe that lathum is the fake seer....he is an instant lightning rod, whether he wants to be or not...making him the fake seer is brilliant, IMO, because the wolves wont night kill him...he takes too much attention away from them, and if/when he gets lynched, the wolves will think the seer is out of the game |
dola, this may have been posted before, but for those of you that are convinced that Poli would have left Lathum for last to force him onto Team Wolf, why would hoops then not have just made him the cultist, so that when we lynch him, which people seem obsessed with doing, it actually hurts us, and then makes his 4 actual draft picks the 4 wolves?
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sal -- I already addressed that and said that even if lathum was the cultist i'd rather he was dead than a plain-vanilla villager, because as the cultist even though he counts for us he's going to be working against us
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I waited as long as I could for my reveal but I noticed there were plenty of people online in the thread at that point that could have saved me
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it's only a matter of time till i'm fucked now - the wolvies are gonna eat me
*sighs* unless we can get the damn cunning wolf first please. If we could get the cunning wolf you know then the seers+I could just not vote for anyone and we couldn't be eaten by the wolves... |
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Tons of people were on at deadline -- I have a post at deadline showing 14, which includes cronin and hoops and maybe one or two others not in the game, but still, a lot. There were some complaints, but there were more posts dismissing that as unnecessary drama and stating that more people are usually available for afternoon deadlines. You seem destined to be on Lathum's side no matter what happens in this game. |
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there were a good number of people in the thread at the deadline, but (without knowing exactly who they were) half of them were already voting for lathum anyway. |
dola, so you really only had a handful of people to help you
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handful would have been enough
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not true, but i can see your point of view for that....the more correct statement would be that I am going to be on Lathum's side until there is more than argument that i firmly disagree with against him |
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really..you think saying "i am the bodyguard" with nothing to back it up is enough to get 3 out of 5 people to change their minds? you realize that the percent chance of us having zeroed in on TWO roled players in a 21 person game on day one is 0.22%!!! |
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any argument about how many people were online at the time DT revealed is just plain silly. It's not like he could know how many people were going to be online and purposely wait as long as possible. |
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thats not correct pass... Quote:
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in Passs' defense I think that rule was altered late
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Just got home, looks like I have 5 pages to read, not too bad I guess....haha
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Was this for me by the way? I saw the post but wasn't sure. If it is and your refering to my vote on DT, I couldn't vote for Lathum at the time if he really is the seer, just didn't seem right. |
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ahh. i see. |
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haha sorry, catching up on the posts and this is funny. You know he's not playing, right? :) I assume you know which makes this funnier. |
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I'm pretty sure that was Pass getting onto DT for calling me out when I didn't have a vote on him. That comment from DT is what caused me to unvote you, and vote hoops in error, so then I voted DT...in the meantime he'd realized that he got me and LSG mixed up... Yes, it was a bit of a confusing day :D |
I am home and catching up, if anyone cares.
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Some of the above things make me wonder. First we get the idea of one female wolf being pushed and it seems that Mrs Schmidty becomes the target of attention. There may be more than just one wolf in the female four. Take oliegirl's "I'm not changing my vote" followed by her switch to DT. Plus she votes for hoops, whose only role was picking the wolves. It seems a little too much like confusing PM's and accidentally outing oneself in the process. |
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I care! |
I have to make a decision tonight but I really don't know who to go for. I was hoping some votes would already be thrown out there. Obviously i dont think there will be much momentum for Lathum... but there is hope for DaddyTorgo. But in the change that people will be unwilling to go after him again I am going to vote for Chief Rum. Not only did Chief have a vote for saldana late in the day, after it was obvious it was Lathum VS DT, but I compared him to DaddyTorgo in skill and respect. If I were hoops I would have picked either Chief, DT or maybe Pass... those three I hold in the same regard.
Vote Chief Rum |
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Did you mean to quote me in that? |
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haha you noticed this too? After having such a good first game I feel a bit of pressure to perform well again. There seems to be a lot of emotion and it makes me heistant to be so vocal! There's a TON to read through too which makes it hard to read through the BS. :) |
*yawns ignominously*
Are we done yet? |
I can't get past the accidental vote for hoops. I know it was explained off as a mistake but it just seems to be too coincidental because of hoops' initial role in this game.
vote oliegirl |
Eagle, ask anyone in this game, hell - ask DT and Hoops - I get them confused ALL the time! It's not the first time I've done that. Think what you want, but I'm a vanilla villager...it was a simple mistake, just like DT calling me out for what LSG said, a mix up, that's all.
Yes, I originally said I wasn't going to change my vote, but after DT made his error (which happened before I accidentally voted for Hoops), I thought back to the last game where Alan did the exact same thing - called me out for something I hadn't said, then when I asked him about it he said he'd made a mistake. That is why I said "once bitten, twice shy". So if you are going to vote me on that slip up, then you need to be willing to vote DT for it as well...and actually vote him first b/c his slip is what caused my slip. |
Dola...and why did you quote LSG in a post full of quotes from me????
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Yeah, that happened to me last game. Of course, I was a wolf then, too. |
Double dola...the other reason I got them mixed up is that Hoops is involved in Chief's draft on OT, which I am helping him run. So having him on that list of people, and then having a list of people over here - the names got mixed up in my head.
Note that NONE of these reasons mean I'm a wolf. Just a little scatterbrained every now and then... |
Dammit Cheif - you ruined my double dola!!!!:rant:
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Well, at least you voted for someone guaranteed to be rooting for the wolves. :) |
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It's all in the wrist. |
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No, it was referring to a post DT made where he accused olie of getting some argument started on him -- it turned out he meant LSG. |
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Why did you vote DT after the situation was cleared up, anyway? |
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I was already thinking it was a full moon based on some questionable calls in my flag football game yesterday -- the way this game has gone down has me thinking it even more. |
Full moon was June 18. Good to know -- I never bought into that superstition, anyway.
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I am guessing Alan explains this later (I haven't even reached deadline yet on my reading), but this is just weird. |
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I don't get how voting for hoops makes her more wolfish. |
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probably my fault |
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Because even though he cleared it up, it was still exactly like what happened with AlanT and I in the last game...and kind of like EF's train of though with me, I figured one possibility might be discussing one or both of us in PM's between wolves. When it comes down to it, a slip is a slip...I realize I made one, and I know it was innocent, but I also know it casts doubt on my role. |
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Okay. I take back my questioning of EagleFan -- a slip is a slip. |
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Well...I don't get his reasoning that b/c I voted for Hoops it makes me more wolfy...I just see where he is coming from on reading into the slip in the first place. Does that make sense??? Either way, feel free to continue to question EF and defend me :) |
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Too late, it's taken back. You got what's coming to you for leaving your vote on DT! :p |
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Wait, you actually read that hint enough at the time for the song to get going in your head, and you didn't catch the BG hint? The hint itself was hard to get--I certainly missed it. But if I actually caught it like you're saying you did, I'm not sure how I would miss that. |
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Based on the rule set, 38% if we count wolves. 28% if we don't. |
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A no lynch is much better than lynching the BG, assuming DT is telling the truth. That said, really disappointed to get to the end of such a long day, and we don't even have a lynch or anything on which to base our voting analysis. Now we will need another day to try to get some value out of this. Delays like this only help the wolves. But if we saved the BG, then I'm a little annoyed at DT for not coming out sooner. What's up with the weird reveal times (first Lathum, now DT). |
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It's not the act of voting hoops, its the possibility that the slip was caused by mixing up PM's. I know I made that mistake once and luckily it didn't get called out (I made a reference to something that was said which after I hit submit it hit me that what weas said happened to be in PM's between myself and wolfy team-mate from that game and not within the thread). Luckily that mistake didn't get noticed but it made me watch for those things a bit more closely in others' posts. |
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That's a good point. I mean, I buy Alan's reveal, of course. He pretty much proved it. But this was just one more in a CF of Day One reveals. |
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1) Wolves never commit strongly anywhere on Day One unless there's an absolute runaway. I think we can be fairly confident they were spread out. As I usually say, I would look at people who were quieter or dropped a vote with not much explanation later in the voting period. Under your scenario, both Lathum and DT are villagers, so the wolves wouldn't care as much about where their vote is as they would trying to not draw attention to themselves. You know, get out of the way of the villagers and let them kill each other. 2) DT was never ahead enough, IMO, for a pile on, and if wolves moved to save him, they didn't do a very good job. I think it more likely that if he is a wolf, they were surprised by the direction the vote took and decided it would be too risky to switch. IMO, the only likely wolves on a DT list would be the first or second votes or around there, when he wasn't in danger, and they thought it was a safe place to stash a "wolf" vote. 3) This could have more legs, as certainly DT was developed as an alternate candidate with respect to Lathum. But we have a natural tendency to do that, as someone (Telle?) noted yesterday. I'm not sure we should be excluding anyone from being vote targets just yet. |
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what;s this mean exactly? |
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But your analysis of her now puts her in the same murky water as you. If you're the fake seer, we get nothing from your scan. But if on the off chance you are the real seer, you have just cleared someone and now are looking to lynch that cleared person. Basically, we don't know anything about Telle until we know something more about you. And I think you have already given us all the information you have--in other words, we're going to need someone else's intervention to determine if you are the fake or real seer. Frankly, I would much more like a concrete vote, and I think you're muddying the waters here (unintentionally). But then if I were the revealed seer, I would have scanned the most suspicious person on my list and said what I was told as well... |
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Meaning it makes sense that if you're a wolf (don't jump me; I'm just rolling with Alan's hypothetical), there might have been a movement to save you hidden in the votes on DT. I don't think you're a wolf, so it doesn't much matter to me, but I decided to respond to Alan within the framework he set up. |
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Hmm, then why don't you mention him among players you mistrust? Or do you think he's hiding another role? I don't see why he would do that. |
why is LSG still pushing people to vote for me?? very eagerly too...?
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That's 13 of 15 viewers who were players in the game and in the thread in the 10 minutes before deadline. |
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She must've had a hot tamale for dinner while catching up on posts! |
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So late? It was last night and he was at work like always, right? |
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Exactly - we are where we are and we just need to figure out how we'd like to proceed. |
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Curious, but why? Only Lathum was a good candidate at that point, and I didn't think he was a wolf. Plus, not sure late is a good term, considering I voted more than 12 hours before deadline. Heck, I would still argue right now that it is far more likely my vote went on a wolf than the vast majority of the village. |
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5 people? Why do you keep misrepresenting the number of people in the thread? |
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Just at random, there is only a 1 in 4 chance that none of these players are wolves or the cultist. I'm not really sure you're telling us much here. |
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Huh...good catch if that is correct. That would have been a critical error if what we have been assuming so far is wrong. It actually makes me wonder if maybe the misinformation was pushed on us by a wolf in the hopes that we would run with it. In the last game (where I was a wolf), we "allowed' the impression that everyone had forgotten an early vote I had placed in hopes of getting a tie. So it wouldn't be the first time this sort of mind game was used. |
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While I questioned your post on this, I will say I didn't get a good vibe off of EF's hit and run vote yesterday. It's exactly the type of vote I was talking about above in responding to Alan's "Lathum and DT are both villagers" hypothesis. |
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I have to admit, this is interesting coming from someone who also happens to currently be playing with his significant other. |
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That threw me off too. Similar to me not voting Lathum on day 1 due to a decent reveal that I give the benefit of the doubt, I probably won't vote for either of you on day 2 until we can sort out more about your roles and possibly verify them somehow. |
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Can we get a clarification on this, cronin? (I mean, if it was originally in the rules or changed sometime later). If people were trying to use misinformation, the timing of this change would, of course, have a lot of bearing. |
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Just curious, what is the misinformation that you felt was pushed earlier and who pushed it in regards to this? There is a bit of information that I felt a few people have been pushing that I don't agree with that I have been watching, but I'm not following on this one. I thought everyone was pretty clear on how the wolf kill mechanic worked based on the clarification questions I asked Cronin in thread early on in the game... Of course I guess if everyone is not clear on them, that might explain why LSG and BK gave me a hard time for my day 1 final vote... since it seemed obvious to myself what I was doing at least... Of course my natural tendency is to just suspect them for their reactions however. |
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Poor oliegirl. I tagged her, too. :D |
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Is this the stuff that you all are looking for a clarification for? Or am I missing what you all are talking about here? |
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Before this evening, I thought the non-cunning wolves could only night kill a person who had voted for them on that specific day in the final vote tally. |
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Oh, I'm pretty sure that part of the rule was never changed and was always like that. As you see in my previous quote, I mention a vote from the entire game.. I copied that directly from the rules at the time.. That part wasn't what was changed. |
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Even when I read that the first time (and I see how that Q & A can still be interpreted this way), I thought it meant only on that day. Since it means any point in the game, it is going to be very important to avoid throw away votes. |
Dola, but I could see how that could be a confusing phrasing that led to people's different interpretation of it.. I'm not sure that I feel anyone has been trying to use that to mislead us.
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I'm not one to normally throw my schedule out there, but everyone knows I am not available during work days. I put my vote out there when it was Lathum distantly in the lead. DT had a vote or two, I am sure, but he was one of about 5 or 6 players to have votes. At the point I voted, it was "believe Lathum or not". I chose to believe him. Now, as to the rest, I can see myself being put on a shortlist by hoops, I guess, so I can't fault you there. It didn't work out that way, but I'm not going to ding you for thinking that. Personally, I think you say a lot more than you think, if you consider you mention DT as deserving such consideration (which he does), and he has been at the very least a "person of interest" so far in this one. |
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Okay, this is a reach. |
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Not to bring meta-game reasons into this, BTW, but hoops is not a part of my draft in the OT forum (although he has posted in the thread). I think oliegirl made an innocent mistake, but that explanation of hoops in the OT draft thread doesn't ping my veracity radar too sharply. |
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What are you worried about? She voted for me. :( |
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Ding, ding, ding. :D |
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I am talking about the wolf vote triggers for night killing being for the whole game, not just that night. Meaning you vote for a wolf just once, that wolf can kill you the rest of the game. Until that rule was spelled out in the posts I was responding to, my impression and my perception of everyone else's perception was that that night kill trigger was only good for the following night. My supposition is that it's possible wolves jumped on this bit of misinformation and tried to push it into mainstream belief here, so that we would start only questioning voters from the previous day, instead of focusing on the game history of votes on that person. I don't recall your questions specifically clarifying that, and if that impression wasn't out there, there would have been no need for the clarification posts put up just a page or two back. Not saying you were doing something--just trying to respond to your comment about your earlier questions on that. I didn't get what you were doing either until I saw you were the Duke. Did you need to do that to trigger your action? Usually the Duke just PMs a player in private, rather than having to make an overt move like that, although you did hint at role differences from the standard Duke. (And if those are best left quiet, well, then just tell me to shut up ;) ). |
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Well, I see you did have that right yourself. But I would still argue the general impression was how mccollins had it. That's how I had it, too. And that's why I wondered if maybe someone was running a bit of a misinformation game on us. |
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No, my power as Duke does not require me to have the vote on someone that I want to duke (or on myself to invalidate the entire lynch) as someone mentioned before. Next time my power can kick in, my vote has nothing to do with it. I simply moved my vote to myself there because I had decided to no-lynch the day due to all of the reveals and uncertainty of us possibly killing off our own bodyguard or seer. The reason I voted myself was hopefully to allow any spy type role out there the option if they wanted to watch me at times this game if someone tries to kill me right now it would have to be the cunning wolf. No other wolf has the ability to kill me thus far. I didn't really spell that out up till now as I was trying to be somewhat clever on the chance that they come after me hoping the spy would pick up on it.. since several people have mentioned not having any idea why I did that, I guess I was being too clever for functional purpose. |
All right, I need to get a vote in. Unlike yesterday, you guys haven't chosen a candidate yet, fortunately.
I would vote for DT, because I have my doubts, too, but I am skittish about voting for the BG. So he lives another day in my book. And I still believe Lathum--eventually he maybe needs to go so we know what's up, but I don't want to risk a seer lynch right now either. So I am going with Eaglefan. He did a driveby vote yesterday, and I'm not so willing to buy the possibility he had legit reasons for voting for oliegirl over what I think is just a simple mistake. VOTE EAGLEFAN |
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